Saturday 10 October 2026
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Harley-Davidson, Inc.
HOG Consumer Cyclical Recreational Vehicles
Harley-Davidson, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $4.5 billion, down 13.8% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue fell 5.86%, EPS fell 14.6%, free cash flow fell 53.2% and total debt fell 67.3%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Dividend growth for five consecutive years; insiders bought in the last twelve months.
26.90
0.15
+0.56%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Trend | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Price, $ | Low | 36.36 | 44.52 | 31.36 | 30.17 | 14.31 | 31.20 | 29.80 | 25.43 | 29.46 | 20.40 |
Analyst estimates 2026–2028 Powerpack |
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| High | 62.35 | 63.40 | 56.50 | 41.40 | 41.82 | 52.06 | 48.72 | 51.77 | 44.16 | 31.25 | |||||
| People | |||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | 5,400 | 5,200 | 5,300 | 5,000 | 4,600 | 5,800 | 6,300 | 6,400 | 5,900 | 5,500 | ||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | 1.11 | 1.09 | 1.08 | 1.07 | 0.88 | 0.92 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.88 | 0.81 | |||||
| Income, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 5,996 | 5,647 | 5,717 | 5,362 | 4,054 | 5,336 | 5,755 | 5,836 | 5,187 | 4,473 | ||||
| Gross margin, % | 39.97 | 38.86 | 37.99 | 35.84 | 33.84 | 35.61 | 37.08 | 37.38 | 34.88 | 30.02 | |||||
| EBT | 1,024 | 864 | 687 | 557 | (16) | 819 | 931 | 867 | 517 | 459 | |||||
| EBT margin, % | 17.08 | 15.30 | 12.01 | 10.40 | (0.39) | 15.35 | 16.18 | 14.85 | 9.97 | 10.26 | |||||
| Net income | 692 | 522 | 531 | 424 | 1 | 650 | 739 | 695 | 445 | 329 | |||||
| Depreciation | 305 | 313 | 355 | 319 | 271 | 265 | 262 | 256 | 245 | 231 | |||||
| Per share, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 33.37 | 32.83 | 34.51 | 34.14 | 26.47 | 34.71 | 38.88 | 40.99 | 39.46 | 37.25 | ||||
| Earnings | 3.85 | 3.03 | 3.21 | 2.70 | 0.01 | 4.23 | 5.01 | 4.96 | 3.46 | 2.82 | |||||
| Cash flow | 6.54 | 5.84 | 7.28 | 5.53 | 7.69 | 6.35 | 3.71 | 5.30 | 8.09 | 4.74 | |||||
| Capex | (1.43) | (1.20) | (1.29) | (1.16) | (0.86) | (0.78) | (1.02) | (1.46) | (1.50) | (1.28) | |||||
| Free cash flow | 5.11 | 4.64 | 5.99 | 4.37 | 6.83 | 5.56 | 2.68 | 3.85 | 6.60 | 3.46 | |||||
| Book value | 10.69 | 10.72 | 10.71 | 11.49 | 11.25 | 16.61 | 19.64 | 22.84 | 24.03 | 26.29 | |||||
| Shares, m | 180 | 172 | 166 | 157 | 153 | 154 | 148 | 142 | 131 | 120 | |||||
| Valuation, × | |||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 15.39 | 17.41 | 10.73 | 13.93 | 3,670.00 | 8.91 | 8.21 | 7.39 | 8.97 | 7.73 | ||||
| P/S | 1.77 | 1.59 | 0.99 | 1.09 | 1.39 | 1.09 | 1.06 | 0.89 | 0.76 | 0.55 | |||||
| P/B | 5.52 | 4.86 | 3.19 | 3.24 | 3.26 | 2.27 | 2.09 | 1.59 | 1.25 | 0.78 | |||||
| EV/Sales | 2.76 | 2.69 | 2.10 | 2.31 | 2.77 | 2.00 | 1.99 | 1.83 | 1.77 | 0.52 | |||||
| EV/FCF | 18.06 | 19.04 | 12.08 | 18.04 | 10.72 | 12.48 | 28.81 | 19.46 | 10.60 | 5.62 | |||||
| Cash, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | 1,174 | 1,005 | 1,206 | 868 | 1,178 | 976 | 548 | 755 | 1,064 | 569 | ||||
| Capex | (256) | (206) | (214) | (181) | (131) | (120) | (152) | (207) | (197) | (154) | |||||
| Free cash flow | 918 | 799 | 992 | 687 | 1,047 | 856 | 397 | 547 | 867 | 415 | |||||
| Balance, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | 991 | 727 | 887 | 1,006 | 1,863 | 1,207 | 1,217 | 1,779 | 1,439 | 2,928 | ||||
| Total debt | 6,808 | 6,988 | 7,599 | 7,445 | 8,987 | 6,889 | 6,912 | 7,126 | 6,960 | 2,967 | |||||
| Net debt | 5,989 | 6,253 | 6,336 | 6,547 | 5,598 | 4,886 | 5,344 | 5,487 | 5,235 | (125) | |||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 1,920 | 1,844 | 1,774 | 1,804 | 1,723 | 2,553 | 2,907 | 3,252 | 3,159 | 3,157 | |||||
| Returns, % | |||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 6.97 | 5.25 | 5.15 | 4.00 | 0.01 | 5.64 | 6.58 | 5.98 | 3.79 | 3.40 | ||||
| ROIC | 8.27 | 6.81 | 5.50 | 4.16 | 0.08 | 6.92 | 6.89 | 5.57 | 3.10 | 7.97 | |||||
| ROE | 36.82 | 27.72 | 29.38 | 23.68 | 0.07 | 30.40 | 27.16 | 22.94 | 14.21 | 10.73 | |||||
Negative figures in brackets.
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026
Charts ten years each
Harley-Davidson, Inc. vs peers in Recreational Vehicles (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC Brunswick Corporation | $4.0B | — (loss-making) | 21.9× | +7.66% (above 0%: growing) | +88.76% (above 0%: growing) | +0.80% (above 0%: growing) | 28.10% | 8.31% | Compare |
| DOO BRP Inc. | $3.9B | 46.5× | — | +16.59% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +116.16% (above 0%: growing) | 11.74% | (2.24%) | Compare |
| THO Thor Industries, Inc. | $3.4B | 18.8× | 15.7× | −8.41% (below 0%: shrinking) | −66.96% (below 0%: shrinking) | −26.73% (below 0%: shrinking) | 12.36% | 2.19% | Compare |
| PII Polaris Inc. | $3.0B | — (loss-making) | 70.0× | +9.18% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | −33.49% (below 0%: shrinking) | 23.65% | 7.36% | Compare |
| HOG Harley-Davidson, Inc. | $2.8B | 16.0× | 65.6× | −5.86% (below 0%: shrinking) | −14.61% (below 0%: shrinking) | −53.23% (below 0%: shrinking) | 31.74% | 6.18% | |
| PATK Patrick Industries, Inc. | $2.1B | 13.9× | 17.4× | −0.56% (below 0%: shrinking) | +36.00% (above 0%: growing) | −49.38% (below 0%: shrinking) | 23.77% | 7.40% | Compare |
| LCII LCI Industries | $2.0B | 9.0× | 10.6× | −12.52% (below 0%: shrinking) | +20.52% (above 0%: growing) | +88.04% (above 0%: growing) | 31.09% | 9.91% | Compare |
| WGO Winnebago Industries, Inc. | $696.8M | 17.2× | 16.1× | −9.86% (below 0%: shrinking) | −19.05% (below 0%: shrinking) | +155.68% (above 0%: growing) | 13.58% | 3.29% | Compare |
| MCFT MASTERCRAFT BOAT HOLDINGS, INC. | $474.6M | — (loss-making) | 12.7× | +63.41% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | −18.29% (below 0%: shrinking) | 22.56% | (4.86%) | Compare |
| Median of peers | $2.6B | 17.2× | 16.1× | +3.55% | +20.52% | −8.74% | 23.10% | 5.33% |
Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) key facts
- Concern: Harley-Davidson, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $4.5 billion, down 13.8% from fiscal 2024.
- Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) is a Recreational Vehicles company in the Consumer Cyclical sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
- As of October 9, 2026, HOG traded at $26.90, a market capitalization of $2.8 billion.
- Harley-Davidson, Inc. pays an annual dividend of $0.74 per share, a yield of 2.76%, with a payout ratio of 45.6%.
- Return on equity was 10.7% and debt-to-equity 0.72.
- Its Piotroski F-score is 7 out of 9 and its Altman Z-score is 2.10 (grey zone) for fiscal 2025.