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Harley-Davidson, Inc.

HOG Consumer Cyclical Recreational Vehicles

Harley-Davidson, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $4.5 billion, down 13.8% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue fell 5.86%, EPS fell 14.6%, free cash flow fell 53.2% and total debt fell 67.3%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Dividend growth for five consecutive years; insiders bought in the last twelve months.

26.90 0.15 +0.56%
Market cap
$2.8B
P/E
16.0×
Fwd P/E
65.6×
Dividend yield
2.76%
F-score
7/9
Altman Z
2.10
Beneish M
−1.54
Dividend safety
86/100

Insider Decisions trades per month

Total buys 1.85
Total sells 0.84
Totals in millions of $.
Dec 25 Mar 26 Jun 26 Sep 26
Buy — — — 1 2 — — — 1 2 — —
Sell 2 — — 1 1 — 2 1 1 1 1 1
Insider Ownership 2.10%

Capital & Financial Ratios $m

Market Cap 2,780.00
Revenue 4,239.84
Net Income 195.72
Free Cash Flow (133.07)
Net Debt 346.67
Current Ratio 1.90 (at or above 1.5: strong)
Debt/Equity 0.72
P/E ratio 16.01
Fwd P/E 65.60 (above 35: high)
P/S ratio 0.67
P/B ratio 0.91
Past 5Y EPS Growth 208.18% (at or above 15%: strong)
This Y EPS Growth (74.68%) (below 0%: weak)
Next Y EPS Growth 175.84% (at or above 15%: strong)
Next Y revenue growth (15.43%) (below 0%: weak)
Next 5Y EPS Growth 1.99%

Green and red mark values outside typical ranges. How we judge →

Valuation vs history

P/E against its own 10 years 87.37%
10-year low 10-year high
P/S against its own 10 years 13.81%
10-year low 10-year high
P/B against its own 10 years 8.90%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/Sales against its own 10 years 6.20%
10-year low 10-year high

Dividends

Payout Ratio 0.46
Annual Dividend Rate 0.74
Annual Dividend Yield 2.76%
total individual payouts
2028 Powerpack
2027 Powerpack
2026 0.75
0.19
0.19
0.19
2025 0.72
0.18
0.18
0.18
0.18
2024 0.69
0.17
0.17
0.17
0.17
2023 0.83
0.17
0.17
0.17
0.17
0.17
2022 0.63
0.16
0.16
0.16
0.16
2021 0.60
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
2020 0.44
0.38
0.02
0.02
0.02
2019 1.50
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.38
2018 1.48
0.37
0.37
0.37
0.37
2017 1.46
0.37
0.37
0.37
0.37
2016 1.40
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.35
predictions special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities $m

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 1,638 1,725 3,092 1,896
Receivables 267 234 490 848
Inventory 930 746 731 501
Other 214 260 292 250
5,164 4,997 5,587 4,589
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 349 299 389 409
ST’ Debt 2,135 2,492 1,317 1,112
Other 253 173 280 266
3,384 3,557 2,659 2,411

Compound Annual Growth %

10y 5y 3y
Sales (2.89%) 1.99% (8.06%)
Cash Flow (6.38%) (13.55%) 1.23%
Earnings (7.67%) 204.31% (22.98%)
Book Value 5.55% 12.88% 2.79%

Revenue $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 1,173 1,230 — — —
’25 1,329 1,307 1,341 496 4,473
’24 1,730 1,619 1,151 688 5,187
’23 1,789 1,446 1,549 1,053 5,836
’22 1,495 1,469 1,649 1,142 5,755
’21 1,423 1,532 1,365 1,016 5,336
’20 1,298 865 1,166 725 4,054
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Operating Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (228) 168 — — —
’25 142 368 (93) 152 569
’24 104 474 353 133 1,064
’23 47 364 296 48 755
’22 139 105 331 (26) 548
’21 163 482 281 50 976
’20 (9) 619 525 43 1,178
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Free Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (260) 155 — — —
’25 112 332 (129) 100 415
’24 58 432 300 77 867
’23 2 322 244 (20) 547
’22 111 78 301 (93) 397
’21 144 463 257 (9) 856
’20 (42) 585 500 4 1,047
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

EPS $

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 0.22 0.75 — — —
’25 1.07 0.88 3.10 (2.44) 2.78
’24 1.72 1.63 0.91 (0.93) 3.44
’23 2.04 1.22 1.38 0.18 4.87
’22 1.45 1.46 1.78 0.28 4.96
’21 1.68 1.33 1.05 0.14 4.19
’20 0.45 (0.60) 0.78 (0.63) 0.01
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

2.7
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell

Ten years at a glance Fiscal years to December

Group Line 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Trend 2026e 2027e 2028e
Price, $
Price, $ Low 36.36 44.52 31.36 30.17 14.31 31.20 29.80 25.43 29.46 20.40

Analyst estimates 2026–2028

Powerpack
High 62.35 63.40 56.50 41.40 41.82 52.06 48.72 51.77 44.16 31.25
People
People Employees 5,400 5,200 5,300 5,000 4,600 5,800 6,300 6,400 5,900 5,500
Revenue/emp, $m 1.11 1.09 1.08 1.07 0.88 0.92 0.91 0.91 0.88 0.81
Income, $m
Income, $m Revenue 5,996 5,647 5,717 5,362 4,054 5,336 5,755 5,836 5,187 4,473
Gross margin, % 39.97 38.86 37.99 35.84 33.84 35.61 37.08 37.38 34.88 30.02
EBT 1,024 864 687 557 (16) 819 931 867 517 459
EBT margin, % 17.08 15.30 12.01 10.40 (0.39) 15.35 16.18 14.85 9.97 10.26
Net income 692 522 531 424 1 650 739 695 445 329
Depreciation 305 313 355 319 271 265 262 256 245 231
Per share, $
Per share, $ Revenue 33.37 32.83 34.51 34.14 26.47 34.71 38.88 40.99 39.46 37.25
Earnings 3.85 3.03 3.21 2.70 0.01 4.23 5.01 4.96 3.46 2.82
Cash flow 6.54 5.84 7.28 5.53 7.69 6.35 3.71 5.30 8.09 4.74
Capex (1.43) (1.20) (1.29) (1.16) (0.86) (0.78) (1.02) (1.46) (1.50) (1.28)
Free cash flow 5.11 4.64 5.99 4.37 6.83 5.56 2.68 3.85 6.60 3.46
Book value 10.69 10.72 10.71 11.49 11.25 16.61 19.64 22.84 24.03 26.29
Shares, m 180 172 166 157 153 154 148 142 131 120
Valuation, ×
Valuation, × P/E 15.39 17.41 10.73 13.93 3,670.00 8.91 8.21 7.39 8.97 7.73
P/S 1.77 1.59 0.99 1.09 1.39 1.09 1.06 0.89 0.76 0.55
P/B 5.52 4.86 3.19 3.24 3.26 2.27 2.09 1.59 1.25 0.78
EV/Sales 2.76 2.69 2.10 2.31 2.77 2.00 1.99 1.83 1.77 0.52
EV/FCF 18.06 19.04 12.08 18.04 10.72 12.48 28.81 19.46 10.60 5.62
Cash, $m
Cash, $m Operating cash flow 1,174 1,005 1,206 868 1,178 976 548 755 1,064 569
Capex (256) (206) (214) (181) (131) (120) (152) (207) (197) (154)
Free cash flow 918 799 992 687 1,047 856 397 547 867 415
Balance, $m
Balance, $m Working capital 991 727 887 1,006 1,863 1,207 1,217 1,779 1,439 2,928
Total debt 6,808 6,988 7,599 7,445 8,987 6,889 6,912 7,126 6,960 2,967
Net debt 5,989 6,253 6,336 6,547 5,598 4,886 5,344 5,487 5,235 (125)
Shareholders’ equity 1,920 1,844 1,774 1,804 1,723 2,553 2,907 3,252 3,159 3,157
Returns, %
Returns, % ROA 6.97 5.25 5.15 4.00 0.01 5.64 6.58 5.98 3.79 3.40
ROIC 8.27 6.81 5.50 4.16 0.08 6.92 6.89 5.57 3.10 7.97
ROE 36.82 27.72 29.38 23.68 0.07 30.40 27.16 22.94 14.21 10.73
Negative figures in brackets.

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026

Charts ten years each

Harley-Davidson, Inc. vs peers in Recreational Vehicles (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier

Company Market cap P/E Fwd P/E Revenue growth (Q) EPS growth (Q) FCF growth (Q) Gross margin (Q) EBIT margin (Q) Compare
BC Brunswick Corporation $4.0B — (loss-making) 21.9× +7.66% (above 0%: growing) +88.76% (above 0%: growing) +0.80% (above 0%: growing) 28.10% 8.31% Compare
DOO BRP Inc. $3.9B 46.5× — +16.59% (above 0%: growing) n/m +116.16% (above 0%: growing) 11.74% (2.24%) Compare
THO Thor Industries, Inc. $3.4B 18.8× 15.7× −8.41% (below 0%: shrinking) −66.96% (below 0%: shrinking) −26.73% (below 0%: shrinking) 12.36% 2.19% Compare
PII Polaris Inc. $3.0B — (loss-making) 70.0× +9.18% (above 0%: growing) n/m −33.49% (below 0%: shrinking) 23.65% 7.36% Compare
HOG Harley-Davidson, Inc. $2.8B 16.0× 65.6× −5.86% (below 0%: shrinking) −14.61% (below 0%: shrinking) −53.23% (below 0%: shrinking) 31.74% 6.18%
PATK Patrick Industries, Inc. $2.1B 13.9× 17.4× −0.56% (below 0%: shrinking) +36.00% (above 0%: growing) −49.38% (below 0%: shrinking) 23.77% 7.40% Compare
LCII LCI Industries $2.0B 9.0× 10.6× −12.52% (below 0%: shrinking) +20.52% (above 0%: growing) +88.04% (above 0%: growing) 31.09% 9.91% Compare
WGO Winnebago Industries, Inc. $696.8M 17.2× 16.1× −9.86% (below 0%: shrinking) −19.05% (below 0%: shrinking) +155.68% (above 0%: growing) 13.58% 3.29% Compare
MCFT MASTERCRAFT BOAT HOLDINGS, INC. $474.6M — (loss-making) 12.7× +63.41% (above 0%: growing) n/m −18.29% (below 0%: shrinking) 22.56% (4.86%) Compare
Median of peers $2.6B 17.2× 16.1× +3.55% +20.52% −8.74% 23.10% 5.33%

All 16 Recreational Vehicles stocks →

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) key facts

  • Concern: Harley-Davidson, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $4.5 billion, down 13.8% from fiscal 2024.
  • Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) is a Recreational Vehicles company in the Consumer Cyclical sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
  • As of October 9, 2026, HOG traded at $26.90, a market capitalization of $2.8 billion.
  • Harley-Davidson, Inc. pays an annual dividend of $0.74 per share, a yield of 2.76%, with a payout ratio of 45.6%.
  • Return on equity was 10.7% and debt-to-equity 0.72.
  • Its Piotroski F-score is 7 out of 9 and its Altman Z-score is 2.10 (grey zone) for fiscal 2025.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) Latest News

1 Oct

stockrow.com/HOG · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com