Monday 2 November 2026
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Polaris Inc.
PII Consumer Cyclical Recreational Vehicles
Polaris Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $7.2 billion, roughly unchanged from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +10.9%
- EPS
- +339.3%
- Free cash flow
- −33.5%
- Total debt
- +22.6%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
62.30
2.89
+4.86%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Ten-year view | Analyst estimates Powerpack | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | TTM Sep ’26 | Trend | 10 yrs | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e | Next 3/yr |
| Income, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 4,517 | 5,428 | 6,079 | 6,783 | 6,281 | 7,439 | 8,589 | 8,934 | 7,175 | 7,152 | 7,646 | +5.2% | 7,569 | 7,795 | 8,092 | +4.2% | |
| Gross margin, % | 24.48 | 24.40 | 24.70 | 24.31 | 24.45 | 23.54 | 22.81 | 21.94 | 20.44 | 19.14 | 21.31 | (5.3) pt | ||||||
| EBT | 313 | 319 | 429 | 408 | 450 | 629 | 761 | 620 | 141 | (533) | (225) | n/m | ||||||
| EBT margin, % | 6.94 | 5.87 | 7.06 | 6.01 | 7.17 | 8.45 | 8.86 | 6.94 | 1.96 | (7.45) | (2.94) | (14.4) pt | ||||||
| Net income | 213 | 172 | 335 | 324 | 125 | 494 | 448 | 503 | 111 | (465) | (205) | n/m | ||||||
| Per share, $ | ||||||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 70.25 | 86.28 | 97.26 | 110.46 | 101.48 | 121.36 | 144.84 | 156.47 | 127.00 | 125.69 | 132.74 | +6.7% | |||||
| Earnings | 3.31 | 2.74 | 5.36 | 5.27 | 2.02 | 8.06 | 7.54 | 8.80 | 1.96 | (8.18) | (3.65) | n/m | ||||||
| Cash flow | 9.17 | 9.30 | 7.63 | 10.67 | 16.46 | 4.79 | 8.58 | 16.21 | 4.75 | 13.02 | 8.17 | +4.0% | ||||||
| Capex | (3.25) | (2.93) | (3.61) | (4.09) | (3.30) | (4.61) | (5.17) | (7.23) | (4.63) | (3.21) | (3.56) | (0.1%) | ||||||
| Free cash flow | 5.92 | 6.37 | 4.03 | 6.57 | 13.16 | 0.18 | 3.41 | 8.99 | 0.12 | 9.81 | 4.61 | +5.8% | ||||||
| Book value | 13.49 | 14.81 | 13.87 | 18.05 | 18.49 | 20.00 | 18.58 | 24.88 | 22.90 | 14.64 | 14.74 | +0.9% | ||||||
| Shares, m | 64 | 63 | 63 | 61 | 62 | 61 | 59 | 57 | 57 | 57 | 57 | (1.3%) | ||||||
| Valuation, × | ||||||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 25.03 | 45.91 | 14.28 | 19.26 | 47.88 | 13.67 | 13.21 | 10.71 | 29.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.9 | |||||
| P/S | 1.18 | 1.46 | 0.79 | 0.92 | 0.94 | 0.91 | 0.69 | 0.60 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.47 | 0.8 | ||||||
| P/B | 6.13 | 8.53 | 5.53 | 5.63 | 5.15 | 5.49 | 5.41 | 3.79 | 2.52 | 4.32 | 4.23 | 5.2 | ||||||
| EV/Sales | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.08 | 1.15 | 1.07 | 1.08 | 0.90 | 0.83 | 0.72 | 0.77 | 0.71 | 1.1 | ||||||
| EV/FCF | 16.63 | 21.63 | 26.19 | 19.27 | 8.24 | 737.24 | 38.08 | 14.47 | 793.76 | 9.89 | 20.47 | 168.5 | ||||||
| Cash, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | 590 | 585 | 477 | 655 | 1,019 | 294 | 509 | 926 | 268 | 741 | 471 | +2.6% | |||||
| Capex | (209) | (184) | (225) | (251) | (204) | (283) | (307) | (413) | (262) | (183) | (205) | (1.5%) | ||||||
| Free cash flow | 380 | 401 | 252 | 404 | 814 | 11 | 202 | 513 | 7 | 558 | 266 | +4.3% | ||||||
| Balance, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | 231 | 123 | 288 | 99 | 318 | 329 | 439 | 758 | 339 | (37) | 146 | n/m | |||||
| Net debt | 1,015 | 775 | 1,802 | 1,536 | 816 | 1,298 | 1,733 | 1,487 | 1,350 | 1,367 | 1,292 | +3.4% | ||||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 867 | 932 | 867 | 1,108 | 1,145 | 1,226 | 1,102 | 1,421 | 1,294 | 833 | 849 | (0.4%) | ||||||
| Returns, % | ||||||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 7.76 | 5.57 | 9.30 | 7.57 | 2.75 | 10.20 | 8.71 | 9.37 | 2.01 | (8.94) | (3.98) | (16.7) pt | |||||
| ROIC | 11.63 | 13.17 | 11.41 | 11.43 | 16.61 | 17.63 | 17.74 | 15.07 | 6.87 | (9.91) | (4.00) | (21.5) pt | ||||||
| ROE | 23.04 | 19.18 | 37.28 | 32.81 | 11.08 | 41.66 | 38.41 | 39.87 | 8.16 | (43.77) | (20.59) | (66.8) pt | ||||||
| People | ||||||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | 8,600 | 11,000 | 12,000 | 14,000 | 15,000 | 16,000 | 16,200 | 18,500 | 15,000 | 14,500 | — | +6.0% | |||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | 0.53 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 0.48 | 0.42 | 0.46 | 0.53 | 0.48 | 0.48 | 0.49 | — | (0.7%) | ||||||
Negative figures in brackets.
estimates
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Sep 2026 · fundamentals updated 2 Nov 2026
Polaris Inc. vs peers in Recreational Vehicles (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC Brunswick Corporation | $4.9B | 24.4× | 19.1× | +6.89% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +0.80% (above 0%: growing) | 28.32% | 7.15% | Compare |
| DOO BRP Inc. | $4.4B | 55.4× | — | +16.59% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +116.16% (above 0%: growing) | 11.74% | (2.24%) | Compare |
| THO Thor Industries, Inc. | $3.8B | 23.3× | 20.2× | −8.41% (below 0%: shrinking) | −66.96% (below 0%: shrinking) | −26.73% (below 0%: shrinking) | 12.36% | 2.19% | Compare |
| PII Polaris Inc. | $3.4B | — (loss-making) | 28.3× | +10.91% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | −33.49% (below 0%: shrinking) | 21.17% | 3.59% | |
| HOG Harley-Davidson, Inc. | $3.3B | — (loss-making) | 39.8× | −19.25% (below 0%: shrinking) | −87.35% (below 0%: shrinking) | −53.23% (below 0%: shrinking) | 25.97% | 3.45% | Compare |
| PATK Patrick Industries, Inc. | $2.5B | 19.8× | 18.8× | −0.04% (below 0%: shrinking) | −38.64% (below 0%: shrinking) | −49.38% (below 0%: shrinking) | 23.57% | 5.11% | Compare |
| LCII LCI Industries | $2.4B | 11.8× | 11.8× | −12.52% (below 0%: shrinking) | +20.52% (above 0%: growing) | +88.04% (above 0%: growing) | 31.09% | 9.91% | Compare |
| WGO Winnebago Industries, Inc. | $871.7M | 26.6× | 20.4× | −17.01% (below 0%: shrinking) | −30.61% (below 0%: shrinking) | +155.68% (above 0%: growing) | 12.51% | 2.73% | Compare |
| MCFT MASTERCRAFT BOAT HOLDINGS, INC. | $520.6M | — (loss-making) | 12.7× | +63.41% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | −18.29% (below 0%: shrinking) | 22.56% | (4.86%) | Compare |
| Median of peers | $2.9B | 23.8× | 19.1× | −4.22% | −38.64% | −8.74% | 23.07% | 3.09% |
Pay and ownership Proxy statement filed 17 March 2026
Chief executive’s pay
| Year | Total pay | Actually paid | $100 invested |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11.14m | 14.53m | 77.64 |
| 2024 | 9.03m | 1.12m | 66.94 |
| 2023 | 8.87m | 6.09m | 106.55 |
| 2022 | 8.76m | 7.96m | 110.71 |
| 2021 | 9.76m | 10.91m | 117.80 |
Ownership
Directors and executive officers, together
2.40%
Capital World Investors
11.84%
BlackRock, Inc.
11.18%
The Vanguard Group
10.24%
State Street Corporation
5.53%
Polaris Inc. Employee Stock Ownership Plan
5.14%
Total pay is as the Summary Compensation Table states it; actually paid revalues the year’s share awards
at its end, as the SEC’s pay-versus-performance rule asks. $100 invested is what $100 in the company’s
shares at the start of the earliest year shown was worth at each year’s end.
Ownership is the proxy’s own table: the directors and officers as a group, and every holder of 5% or more.
Read the proxy statement