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Market map S&P 500, sized by market cap, shaded by year-to-date change

Coherent reported fiscal Q1 revenue of $2.37 billion, up 50% year over year, and adjusted EPS of $2.09, beating estimates. It forecast Q2 sales and earnings above expectations and said fiscal 2027 revenue would grow more than 60% on a pro forma basis. Shares rose over 5% overnight. Marvell’s proposed $115 billion acquisition of Lumentum has renewed investor interest in optical networking, which is increasingly important for AI data centers. Retail sentiment toward Coherent turned extremely bullish.

AMD recorded a $1.1 billion noncash charge tied to warrants granted to OpenAI and Meta, which could acquire up to 320 million shares if milestones are met. The charge reflects AMD’s rising share price and changing estimates of whether conditions will be satisfied; no shares had vested by quarter-end. AMD will also recognize $4.5 billion of warrant value as reductions in revenue tied to qualifying sales. Data-center revenue reached a record $8.5 billion, and the company forecast $17 billion in fourth-quarter revenue and growth above 80% in 2027. Inventory rose to $11.5 billion, free cash flow fell to $554 million, and debt principal reached $7.1 billion.

Chamath Palihapitiya warns that AI model companies such as OpenAI and Google could compete directly with AI-native startups by expanding into workplace software and applications. As model costs fall, he says value will shift from selling tokens to owning application workflows, putting startups in areas like legal services, sales and customer support at risk. Other investors and executives point to AI’s limitations, the potential for AI agents to reshape markets, and rising demand for infrastructure such as chips, data centers and electricity.

Hyperscaler spending and strong leasing demand are driving rapid data-center expansion, but power constraints, construction costs, financing needs and cyclical component pricing threaten returns. A screen of U.S.-listed suppliers with forward P/Es below 20 and revenue growth above 15% identifies Western Digital, Sandisk, Broadcom, Micron and Nvidia, ranked by billionaire ownership. Their recent results show surging AI-related sales in storage, memory, chips and networking, though valuations and earnings forecasts remain sensitive to demand and supply cycles.

A Treasury advisory panel says circular financing among AI chipmakers, cloud firms and customers is intentional and manageable for now, though rising spending will require hundreds of billions in new debt. Credit-insurance costs have surged for Amazon, Oracle and CoreWeave, signaling borrower-specific risks. The panel sees no current evidence that technology issuance is crowding out Treasury demand, but warns that firms raising more than needed may reflect concern about future capital availability.

Also on 4 November