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US employers added 165,000 jobs in October, well above forecasts, and September’s gain was revised up to 60,000. Unemployment edged down to 4.1%, while wages rose 0.4% month over month. Hiring was broad, led by professional and business services, healthcare, transportation and warehousing, and manufacturing. The stronger-than-expected labor market and wage growth have increased market expectations of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike in December, though the Fed will also weigh November employment and October inflation data.
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US employers added 165,000 jobs in October, well above expectations, while unemployment fell to 4.1% and wage growth exceeded forecasts. September’s job gains were revised higher. Hiring increased across professional services, healthcare, transportation, and manufacturing. The strong report may bolster the Federal Reserve’s case for another rate hike in December; traders raised the implied odds of a quarter-point increase to 77%.
The S&P 500 fell more than 4% as technology stocks plunged 8% and semiconductors lost 12%, raising concerns about a rapid downturn resembling past crises. Tech is 17% below its October record, with AI spending doubts and political uncertainty contributing. Unlike the 2000 dot-com peak, current earnings growth and valuations appear stronger, though technology’s record 39% share of the S&P 500 makes a sustained decline consequential. Past sell-offs often recovered quickly, but the 2000 crash led to a 78% further decline and took until 2017 to regain its high.
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