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Market map S&P 500, sized by market cap, shaded by year-to-date change

SpaceX and Tesla are advancing talks on a potential record-setting merger, possibly announcing a deal in December or early 2027. Boards and advisers are negotiating terms, governance and the share exchange. The combination would unite electric vehicles, energy storage, rockets, satellites and AI infrastructure, but faces regulatory and shareholder hurdles, including national-security concerns and Tesla’s China operations. Shares of both companies rose after the report.

The Strait of Hormuz’s closure during the US-Iran conflict disrupted global energy flows, sending Brent crude to $118.35, US gasoline above $4 per gallon, and diesel above $6. Higher fuel costs fueled inflation, pushed Treasury yields higher, and contributed to Federal Reserve rate hikes. Exports have partly recovered through rerouting and risky tanker voyages, easing oil prices, but refining capacity remains tight and geopolitical risks persist. Analysts see a wide range of possible prices, with renewed conflict threatening supply and diplomacy potentially driving prices lower.

Jensen Huang’s reported resignation as Nvidia CEO has renewed scrutiny of the company’s financial ties to AI firms that also buy its chips. Nvidia’s shares fell, as did cloud providers CoreWeave and Nebius, while AMD and Broadcom rose. Nvidia has large investments, purchase commitments, and guarantees linked to companies including OpenAI and CoreWeave; its filings list about $530 billion in commitments and guarantees. Risks include slower customer payments, falling portfolio values, and tighter financing for AI infrastructure. Nvidia reports earnings Tuesday, when investors will assess its guidance, commitments, and collections.

Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan says he remains committed to the company’s multiyear turnaround despite a sharp stock decline after weak sales guidance. Earlier progress included higher sales, a return to operating profit, and improved manufacturing execution. PC demand is under pressure from memory shortages and rising prices, while an explosion at an Israeli facility is expected to cost about $600 million in sales. Intel plans to boost output, improve yields, and expand supplier capacity as it pursues growth in processors and US-based chip manufacturing.

October CPI rose 0.4%, above expectations, while core inflation increased 0.3%, also exceeding forecasts. Persistent services and healthcare price pressures have Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee warning that inflation is at a precarious point. He said policymakers are monitoring whether data-center investment could fuel broader demand overheating. Markets are pricing in a Fed rate hike next month.

Also on 12 November

11 November