| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 1.20 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 1.20 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 1.00 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 0.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 0.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 0.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 0.54 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 0.12 |
—
|
| 2018 | 0.00 |
—
|
| 2017 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 948.64 | 659.04 | 711.72 | 748.62 |
| Receivables | — | — | — | — |
| Inventory | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 948.64 | 659.04 | 711.72 | 748.62 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 449.90 | 354.41 | 643.90 | 437.01 |
| ST’ Debt | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 2,557.62 | 2,551.60 | 2,111.26 | 1,970.17 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 544.98 | 496.97 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 430.90 | 444.73 | 632.90 | 538.00 |
2,046.54
|
| ’24 | 305.66 | 406.13 | 411.83 | 470.11 |
1,593.73
|
| ’23 | 302.86 | 336.55 | 400.31 | 361.94 |
1,401.66
|
| ’22 | 657.50 | 511.52 | 476.29 | 340.45 |
1,985.76
|
| ’21 | 944.69 | 742.25 | 786.61 | 693.81 |
3,167.36
|
| ’20 | 721.83 | 821.63 | 1,119.99 | 1,042.15 |
3,705.60
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (1,341.97) | 2,143.07 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 1,065.96 | (131.31) | (697.37) | (1,889.25) |
(1,651.98)
|
| ’24 | (897.94) | (1,092.89) | (393.71) | (2,148.74) |
(4,533.27)
|
| ’23 | (3,264.89) | 2,228.33 | (975.94) | 430.29 |
(1,582.22)
|
| ’22 | 4,427.36 | 1,704.15 | (587.69) | 489.41 |
6,033.24
|
| ’21 | (1,248.02) | 2,579.61 | 1,438.49 | (207.02) |
2,563.06
|
| ’20 | (730.28) | 1,095.88 | (4,289.13) | (2,275.41) |
(6,198.94)
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (1,360.15) | 2,126.91 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 1,058.45 | (141.77) | (707.65) | (1,912.22) |
(1,703.19)
|
| ’24 | (902.72) | (1,098.08) | (398.20) | (2,156.36) |
(4,555.37)
|
| ’23 | (3,275.65) | 2,219.21 | (984.61) | 423.66 |
(1,617.39)
|
| ’22 | 4,405.36 | 1,682.80 | (613.50) | 475.48 |
5,950.15
|
| ’21 | (1,179.95) | 2,565.77 | 1,426.85 | (225.63) |
2,587.04
|
| ’20 | (761.74) | 1,083.30 | (4,294.04) | (2,284.04) |
(6,256.52)
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 1.53 | 0.41 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 1.42 | 2.54 | 3.37 | 1.97 |
9.30
|
| ’24 | 0.74 | 1.85 | 1.30 | 1.95 |
5.84
|
| ’23 | 0.57 | 1.11 | 1.77 | (0.74) |
2.74
|
| ’22 | 2.94 | 2.28 | 2.46 | 0.71 |
8.50
|
| ’21 | 5.15 | 2.94 | 3.80 | 2.79 |
14.87
|
| ’20 | 3.73 | 4.39 | 7.03 | 5.97 |
20.92
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 38.53 | 54.00 | 81.93 | 85.74 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 71.45 | 93.50 | 119.13 | 137.53 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4,000 | 3,900 | 4,100 | 4,900 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.50 | 0.36 | 0.39 | 0.42 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,985.76 | 1,401.66 | 1,593.73 | 2,046.54 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 88.25% | 86.88% | 83.05% | 81.70% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 665.25 | 183.63 | 401.03 | 551.42 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 33.50% | 13.10% | 25.16% | 26.94% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 475.51 | 144.66 | 311.42 | 501.08 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 69.44 | 91.45 | 98.47 | 102.11 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 37.42 | 28.05 | 31.26 | 39.56 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8.96 | 2.89 | 6.11 | 9.69 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 113.70 | (31.66) | (88.91) | (31.94) | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1.57) | (0.70) | (0.43) | (0.99) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 112.13 | (32.36) | (89.34) | (32.93) | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 65.41 | 70.80 | 75.11 | 83.30 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 53.07 | 49.98 | 50.99 | 51.73 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.54 | 30.28 | 16.72 | 13.62 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.54 | 3.13 | 3.27 | 3.33 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.88 | 1.24 | 1.36 | 1.58 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.09 | 10.78 | 13.70 | 12.39 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.70 | (9.31) | (4.79) | (14.86) | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6,033.24 | (1,582.22) | (4,533.27) | (1,651.98) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (83.09) | (35.17) | (22.10) | (51.20) | — | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5,950.15 | (1,617.39) | (4,555.37) | (1,703.19) | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1,180.93) | (1,608.98) | (1,892.57) | (1,399.54) | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8,383.89 | 6,731.47 | 12,347.43 | 14,323.93 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7,043.16 | 5,782.83 | 11,688.40 | 13,612.21 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,471.05 | 3,538.60 | 3,829.65 | 4,308.98 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.67% | 0.81% | 1.39% | 1.81% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.50% | 2.81% | 1.94% | 2.24% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 13.80% | 4.13% | 8.45% | 12.31% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROE
|
PennyMac Financial Services (PFSI), a powerhouse in U.S. mortgage origination, servicing, and investment management, has ridden the industry’s wild boom-bust waves—from the 2020 refi frenzy that ballooned revenue 151% to $3.71 billion and EPS to $21.91, to sharp contractions amid Fed rate hikes that slashed profits 70% by 2023. Yet, 2024 marked stabilization with revenue up 14% to $1.59 billion and net income surging 115%, fueled by operational efficiency (revenue per employee at $389K) and resilient 86% gross margins. Looking ahead, analysts forecast explosive growth: revenue jumping 34% to $2.13 billion in 2025, with EPS rocketing 73% to $10.62, followed by steady gains through 2027 amid expected rate easing and housing recovery.
Profitability metrics like ROE (peaking at 60%) and strong balance sheet growth (equity up 14% CAGR) underscore PFSI’s capital efficiency, bolstered by buybacks shrinking shares 35% and Berkshire Hathaway’s stake. Cash flows remain lumpy but capex-light, positioning for FCF revival. However, red flags wave: debt climbed 84% to $12.3 billion in 2024, and insiders unloaded $38 million in shares over the past year with zero buys—CEO and CFO leading the exits, hinting at caution amid election uncertainty.
Valuation offers intrigue—current PE at 16.7x decompresses to 8x forward, with analyst targets signaling 21-63% upside and quant models backing 65% odds of outperformance. Risks like rate spikes or recession loom, but the V-shaped recovery narrative, tied to 85% historical revenue-EPS correlation, makes PFSI a compelling overweight for growth chasers. Dive into the full analysis for the charts, models, and macro playbook.
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