| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | 9 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 0.27 |
—
—
|
| 2025 | 0.40 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 0.40 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 0.40 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 0.50 |
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 0.50 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 497.47 | 507.34 | 503.36 | 498.41 |
| Receivables | 512.07 | 417.96 | 526.69 | 531.79 |
| Inventory | — | — | — | — |
| Other | 33.02 | 99.96 | 37.57 | 83.60 |
| 10,518.58 | 14,511.68 | 15,074.13 | 16,044.34 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 469.10 | 580.74 | 707.79 | 882.00 |
| ST’ Debt | 4,995.90 | 8,788.39 | 8,999.99 | 8,683.74 |
| Other | 40.78 | 35.97 | 26.57 | 33.57 |
| 5,665.36 | 9,564.92 | 9,895.65 | 9,759.71 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 752.89 | 162.13 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 224.79 | 856.18 | 563.24 | 759.04 |
2,403.25
|
| ’24 | 569.96 | 507.09 | 526.43 | 560.21 |
2,163.69
|
| ’23 | 161.27 | 587.52 | 677.12 | (114.58) |
1,311.33
|
| ’22 | 821.79 | 564.23 | 684.17 | 302.43 |
2,372.63
|
| ’21 | 1,189.87 | 484.65 | 690.31 | 605.46 |
2,970.29
|
| ’20 | 455.46 | 830.65 | 1,834.20 | 1,818.29 |
4,938.59
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (2,229.88) | 344.04 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 593.90 | (265.88) | (3,079.34) | 103.76 |
(2,647.56)
|
| ’24 | (2,202.74) | (1,317.18) | (2,178.32) | (543.26) |
(6,241.49)
|
| ’23 | 1,992.92 | (1,844.31) | 345.90 | (329.27) |
165.24
|
| ’22 | 11,751.76 | (391.06) | (547.88) | (2,544.64) |
8,268.18
|
| ’21 | 2,637.02 | (6,982.97) | 592.10 | (6,203.10) |
(9,956.96)
|
| ’20 | (636.09) | 415.28 | 1,610.97 | (1,333.75) |
56.41
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (1,706.32) | 592.96 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 1,517.54 | 360.31 | (2,438.86) | 263.12 |
(297.89)
|
| ’24 | (915.85) | (258.76) | (1,947.47) | (446.91) |
(3,568.99)
|
| ’23 | 2,635.68 | (1,418.71) | 927.14 | (161.65) |
1,982.46
|
| ’22 | 12,359.19 | (189.66) | (206.02) | (2,410.66) |
9,552.85
|
| ’21 | 2,629.78 | (7,005.31) | 811.03 | (6,193.82) |
(9,758.32)
|
| ’20 | (403.63) | 420.17 | 1,587.74 | (1,315.98) |
288.29
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 0.09 | (0.24) | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (0.12) | 0.11 | (0.01) | 0.08 |
0.12
|
| ’24 | 0.09 | 0.03 | (0.06) | 0.02 |
0.13
|
| ’23 | (0.13) | 0.08 | 0.15 | (0.29) |
(0.14)
|
| ’22 | 0.22 | 0.09 | 0.13 | (0.03) |
0.45
|
| ’21 | 0.33 | 0.07 | 0.16 | 0.11 |
0.66
|
| ’20 | 0.01 | 0.00 | (0.10) | (0.02) |
(0.12)
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 2.84 | 3.31 | 5.44 | 3.80 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.20 | 7.43 | 9.74 | 7.14 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6,000 | 6,700 | 9,100 | 9,100 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.24 | 0.26 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,372.63 | 1,311.33 | 2,163.69 | 2,403.25 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 89.19% | 82.00% | 86.08% | 85.25% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 934.67 | (76.29) | 335.96 | 250.90 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 39.39% | (5.82%) | 15.53% | 10.44% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 931.86 | (69.78) | 329.38 | 244.02 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 49.40 | 50.06 | 48.78 | 55.51 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 25.66 | 14.06 | 19.43 | 11.37 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 0.45 | (0.14) | 0.13 | 0.13 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 89.41 | 1.77 | (56.04) | (12.52) | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 13.89 | 19.49 | 24.00 | 11.11 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 103.30 | 21.26 | (32.04) | (1.41) | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 34.30 | 26.54 | 18.44 | 7.54 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 92.48 | 93.25 | 111.37 | 211.41 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.39 | 0.00 | 48.92 | 43.80 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.13 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.39 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.10 | 0.26 | 0.32 | 0.58 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.76 | 6.04 | 5.66 | 5.67 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.94 | 4.00 | (3.43) | (45.75) | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8,268.18 | 165.24 | (6,241.49) | (2,647.56) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,284.67 | 1,817.22 | 2,672.50 | 2,349.66 | — | — | — |
Capex
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9,552.85 | 1,982.46 | (3,568.99) | (297.89) | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5,564.86 | 4,853.22 | 4,946.76 | 5,178.48 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9,323.18 | 7,764.85 | 12,098.81 | 13,205.44 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8,618.28 | 7,267.38 | 11,591.47 | 12,702.07 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,171.69 | 2,474.67 | 2,053.85 | 1,593.63 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.23% | (0.10%) | 0.10% | 0.17% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.70% | 1.57% | 3.76% | 3.40% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.32% | (0.47%) | 0.64% | 1.50% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
United Wholesale Mortgage (UWMC) has been a rollercoaster for investors, mirroring the mortgage industry’s feast-or-famine cycle. The top wholesale lender surged on the 2020-2021 refi boom with revenue exploding 286% to nearly $5 billion and sky-high margins, but cratered as rates soared—dropping 45% to $1.31 billion in 2023 amid losses and dilution from its SPAC debut. A impressive 65% revenue rebound to $2.16 billion in 2024 signals resilience, driven by purchase volumes and broker partnerships, with profitability flipping back positive and efficiency metrics improving.
Yet, the story tempers excitement: massive debt at $12 billion, book value down 62%, erratic cash flows, and explosive insider selling—over $446 million dumped by CEO Mat Ishbia and execs, with zero buys—raise red flags amid cheap valuations (PS 0.3x, PB 0.32x). The stock, volatile from $14 highs to $2.80 lows, lags the turnaround but trades at depressed multiples versus historical peaks.
Analysts forecast revenue growth accelerating to $3.78 billion by 2027 and 28% average upside (up to 105%), betting on rate cuts and UWM’s tech investments. But risks like dilution to 268 million shares, rate sensitivity, and insider caution make this a high-conviction value play for patient investors—dive into the full analysis for the numbers that could turn famine into feast.
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