Friday 6 November 2026
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Cincinnati Financial Corporation
CINF Financial Insurance Property & Casualty
Cincinnati Financial Corporation’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $12.6 billion, up 11.4% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- −18.2%
- EPS
- −58.4%
- Free cash flow
- −29.0%
- Total debt
- −0.91%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
187.94
2.54
−1.33%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Ten-year view | Analyst estimates Powerpack | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | TTM Sep ’26 | Trend | 10 yrs | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e | Next 3/yr |
| Income, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 5,449 | 5,732 | 5,407 | 7,924 | 7,536 | 9,626 | 6,563 | 10,013 | 11,337 | 12,631 | 13,275 | +9.8% | 13,210 | 12,545 | 13,082 | +1.2% | |
| Gross margin, % | 16.09 | 13.89 | 5.92 | 32.16 | 20.87 | 39.18 | (9.42) | 23.52 | 25.96 | 24.28 | 25.48 | +8.2 pt | ||||||
| EBT | 812 | 730 | 251 | 2,472 | 1,499 | 3,698 | (694) | 2,276 | 2,858 | 2,980 | 3,295 | +15.5% | ||||||
| EBT margin, % | 14.90 | 12.74 | 4.64 | 31.20 | 19.89 | 38.42 | (10.57) | 22.73 | 25.21 | 23.59 | 24.82 | +8.7 pt | ||||||
| Net income | 591 | 1,045 | 287 | 1,997 | 1,216 | 2,968 | (487) | 1,843 | 2,292 | 2,393 | 2,664 | +16.8% | ||||||
| Per share, $ | ||||||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 33.12 | 34.91 | 33.13 | 48.55 | 46.75 | 59.79 | 41.33 | 63.78 | 72.49 | 80.92 | 86.48 | +10.4% | |||||
| Earnings | 3.59 | 6.36 | 1.76 | 12.24 | 7.55 | 18.29 | (3.06) | 11.74 | 14.65 | 15.32 | 17.24 | +17.5% | ||||||
| Cash flow | 6.78 | 6.41 | 7.24 | 7.40 | 9.25 | 12.30 | 12.92 | 13.07 | 16.94 | 19.94 | 20.16 | +12.7% | ||||||
| Capex | (0.08) | (0.10) | (0.12) | (0.15) | (0.12) | (0.09) | (0.09) | (0.11) | (0.14) | (0.13) | (0.10) | +5.5% | ||||||
| Free cash flow | 6.70 | 6.31 | 7.11 | 7.25 | 9.13 | 12.21 | 12.83 | 12.96 | 16.80 | 19.81 | 20.05 | +12.8% | ||||||
| Book value | 42.92 | 50.20 | 48.00 | 60.44 | 66.93 | 81.40 | 66.51 | 77.06 | 89.10 | 101.93 | 105.42 | +10.1% | ||||||
| Shares, m | 165 | 164 | 163 | 163 | 161 | 161 | 159 | 157 | 156 | 156 | 155 | (0.6%) | ||||||
| Valuation, × | ||||||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 21.17 | 11.47 | 43.99 | 8.61 | 11.47 | 6.23 | 0.00 | 9.03 | 9.84 | 10.65 | 10.90 | 13.2 | |||||
| P/S | 2.29 | 2.09 | 2.34 | 2.17 | 1.87 | 1.91 | 2.52 | 1.66 | 1.98 | 2.02 | 2.17 | 2.1 | ||||||
| P/B | 1.77 | 1.46 | 1.61 | 1.74 | 1.31 | 1.40 | 1.56 | 1.37 | 1.61 | 1.60 | 1.78 | 1.5 | ||||||
| EV/Sales | 2.30 | 2.13 | 2.35 | 2.18 | 1.87 | 1.88 | 2.46 | 1.66 | 1.97 | 1.98 | — | 2.1 | ||||||
| EV/FCF | 11.38 | 11.77 | 10.95 | 14.59 | 9.57 | 9.21 | 7.93 | 8.16 | 8.51 | 8.07 | — | 10.0 | ||||||
| Cash, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | 1,115 | 1,052 | 1,181 | 1,208 | 1,491 | 1,981 | 2,052 | 2,052 | 2,649 | 3,112 | 3,094 | +12.1% | |||||
| Capex | (13) | (16) | (20) | (24) | (20) | (15) | (15) | (18) | (22) | (20) | (16) | +4.9% | ||||||
| Free cash flow | 1,102 | 1,036 | 1,161 | 1,184 | 1,471 | 1,966 | 2,037 | 2,034 | 2,627 | 3,092 | 3,078 | +12.1% | ||||||
| Balance, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | (7,023) | (7,533) | (7,887) | (8,406) | (9,094) | (9,586) | (10,601) | (11,787) | (12,959) | (14,144) | (15,555) | +8.1% | |||||
| Net debt | 69 | 194 | 82 | 118 | (1) | (242) | (373) | (33) | (108) | (545) | (364) | n/m | ||||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 7,060 | 8,243 | 7,833 | 9,864 | 10,789 | 13,105 | 10,562 | 12,098 | 13,935 | 15,911 | 16,182 | +9.4% | ||||||
| Returns, % | ||||||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 3.01 | 4.95 | 1.31 | 8.44 | 4.59 | 10.07 | (1.59) | 5.90 | 6.62 | 6.18 | 6.41 | +3.2 pt | |||||
| ROIC | 7.58 | 5.80 | 2.40 | 15.81 | 9.00 | 18.23 | (3.93) | 12.07 | 13.16 | 12.34 | 13.22 | +4.8 pt | ||||||
| ROE | 8.76 | 13.66 | 3.57 | 22.57 | 11.78 | 24.84 | (4.12) | 16.27 | 17.61 | 16.04 | 16.87 | +7.3 pt | ||||||
| People | ||||||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | 4,754 | 4,925 | 4,999 | 5,148 | 5,266 | 5,166 | 5,148 | 5,426 | 5,624 | 5,705 | — | +2.0% | |||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | 1.15 | 1.16 | 1.08 | 1.54 | 1.43 | 1.86 | 1.27 | 1.85 | 2.02 | 2.21 | — | +7.6% | ||||||
Negative figures in brackets.
estimates
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Sep 2026 · fundamentals updated 2 Nov 2026
Business profile
Where the money comes from and where it goes Fiscal 2025
| Commercial Insurance | 4,868 | 38.54% |
|---|---|---|
| Personal Insurance | 3,204 | 25.37% |
| Investment Segment | 2,607 | 20.64% |
| Other, not broken out | 914 | 7.24% |
| Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance | 702 | 5.56% |
| Life Insurance Segment | 336 | 2.66% |
| Gross margin | 24.28% | |
| Operating margin | 24.01% | |
| Pre-tax margin | 23.59% |
Cincinnati Financial Corporation vs peers in Insurance Property & Casualty (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. | $82.6B | 10.4× | 10.9× | −0.47% (below 0%: shrinking) | +9.92% (above 0%: growing) | −7.92% (below 0%: shrinking) | 47.74% | 20.04% | Compare |
| ALL The Allstate Corporation | $67.4B | 6.0× | 6.9× | +0.54% (above 0%: growing) | −42.32% (below 0%: shrinking) | +14.99% (above 0%: growing) | 0.00% | 0.00% | Compare |
| CINF Cincinnati Financial Corporation | $28.9B | 10.9× | 11.6× | −18.22% (below 0%: shrinking) | −58.41% (below 0%: shrinking) | −29.04% (below 0%: shrinking) | 18.81% | 18.54% | |
| WRB W.R. Berkley Corporation | $28.6B | 16.2× | 15.1× | −0.78% (below 0%: shrinking) | −10.85% (below 0%: shrinking) | −31.31% (below 0%: shrinking) | 46.55% | 16.21% | Compare |
| MKL Markel Group Inc. | $23.9B | 13.8× | 12.3× | −11.22% (below 0%: shrinking) | −69.36% (below 0%: shrinking) | −27.15% (below 0%: shrinking) | 46.51% | 9.88% | Compare |
| L Loews Corporation | $22.5B | 15.2× | 16.0× | +1.88% (above 0%: growing) | −35.20% (below 0%: shrinking) | −9.55% (below 0%: shrinking) | 50.68% | 10.65% | Compare |
| AIZ Assurant, Inc. | $15.1B | 14.2× | 14.0× | +9.22% (above 0%: growing) | +6.97% (above 0%: growing) | +99.03% (above 0%: growing) | 77.83% | 10.73% | Compare |
| CNA CNA Financial Corporation | $13.0B | 12.6× | 11.8× | +0.10% (above 0%: growing) | −51.11% (below 0%: shrinking) | −9.94% (below 0%: shrinking) | 38.58% | 7.04% | Compare |
| AFG American Financial Group, Inc. | $13.0B | 12.7× | 12.4× | +10.81% (above 0%: growing) | +31.78% (above 0%: growing) | +134.10% (above 0%: growing) | 20.98% | 14.79% | Compare |
| Median of peers | $23.2B | 13.3× | 12.4× | +0.32% | −23.02% | −8.74% | 46.53% | 10.69% |
From the latest earnings call
- Steve Spray said property-casualty premium growth moderated as Cincinnati Financial maintained pricing discipline and selected risks policy by policy.
- Spray said competition was most intense for larger commercial accounts and reiterated that the company would prioritize underwriting profit over growth.
Largest institutional holders 13F, quarter to 30 June 2026
Held by institutions
72.26%
Held by the ten largest
41.33%
| Holder | Shares | Stake | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vanguard | 19.92m | 12.98% | +63.20k |
| BlackRock | 12.61m | 8.22% | −1.07k |
| State Street | 8.54m | 5.56% | +252.23k |
| Charles Schwab | 5.48m | 3.57% | +440.14k |
| Geode Capital Management | 4.21m | 2.74% | +8.86k |
| First Trust | 4.14m | 2.70% | +2.04m |
| Invesco | 2.67m | 1.74% | +569.90k |
| UBS | 2.06m | 1.34% | +244.58k |
| Morgan Stanley | 1.91m | 1.25% | +30.88k |
| Bank of America | 1.88m | 1.22% | +19.16k |
13F filings for the quarter to 30 June 2026: long positions in US-listed shares reported by managers with $100m or more, ~45 days after the quarter.
Pay and ownership Proxy statement filed 18 March 2026
Ownership
Directors and executive officers, together
2.94%
100 Vanguard Blvd.
12.32%
50 Hudson Yards
7.81%
State Street Financial Center
6.24%
Ownership is the proxy’s own table: the directors and officers as a group, and every holder of 5% or more.
Read the proxy statement
Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF) Latest News
27 Oct
26 Oct
25 Oct
23 Oct
21 Oct
CINF metrics, ten years each
- Revenue
- Net income
- EPS (diluted)
- EBITDA
- Free cash flow
- Operating cash flow
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
- Free cash flow margin
- P/E ratio
- P/S ratio
- P/B ratio
- Price to free cash flow
- Return on equity
- Return on assets
- Return on invested capital
- Debt to equity
- Current ratio
- Total debt
- Shares outstanding
- Book value per share
- Revenue growth
- Piotroski F-score
Cincinnati Financial Corporation is an insurance holding company founded in 1950 and headquartered in Fairfield. Steve Spray is president and chief executive officer. Its main business is property-casualty insurance: coverage that pays for specified damage, liability claims or other losses affecting businesses, vehicles, homes and individuals.
The company sells commercial insurance for businesses, including liability, property, auto, workers’ compensation, management liability, surety, machinery and equipment coverage. It also sells personal auto, homeowner and related personal coverages. These policies are primarily marketed through independent insurance agencies rather than through a captive sales force or direct-to-consumer channel.