Markel Group Inc. MKL

1,727.73 (7.50) (0.43%) as of 25 Sep
Market cap
$21.5B
P/E
9.5×
Insider Buys alert about insiders buying in the last 12 month

Insider Decisions

Total buys 0.37
Total sells 3.68
in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — — — — — — 2 — — — —
Sell — 2 1 — 1 — — 1 — — — —
Insider Ownership 3.57%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap 21,500.00
Revenue 16,596.45
Net Income 2,326.98
Free Cash Flow 2,118.32
Net Debt 299.70
Current Ratio 0.57
Debt/Equity 0.23
P/E ratio 9.46
P/S ratio 1.31
P/B ratio 1.14
Past 5Y EPS Growth 9.08%
This Y EPS Growth (13.75%)
Next Y EPS Growth 13.76%
Next 5Y EPS Growth (2.34%)
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio 0.00
Annual Dividend Rate —
Annual Dividend Yield —
total individual payouts
2023 Powerpack
2022 Powerpack
2021 Powerpack
2020 Powerpack
2019 Powerpack
2017 Powerpack
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 4,332 4,192 4,603 4,068
Receivables 12,691 15,232 18,581 19,941
Inventory — — — —
Other — — — —
17,023 19,424 23,184 24,009
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 31,813 35,132 39,778 41,775
ST’ Debt — — — —
Other — — — —
31,813 35,132 39,778 41,775
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales 11.94% 11.25% 12.42%
Cash Flow 15.54% 9.71% 0.63%
Earnings 13.57% 21.14% 0.00%
Book Value 9.02% 7.73% 12.06%

Revenue

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 2,823 5,186 — — —
’25 3,399 4,603 4,367 4,220 16,589
’24 4,467 3,702 4,611 3,841 16,621
’23 3,643 4,143 3,375 4,643 15,804
’22 2,606 1,792 3,066 4,211 11,675
’21 2,900 3,501 2,687 3,758 12,846
’20 336 3,132 2,912 3,356 9,735
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Operating Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 16 429 — — —
’25 376 504 1,218 662 2,761
’24 631 579 891 494 2,594
’23 284 724 956 823 2,787
’22 415 506 959 829 2,709
’21 318 495 809 652 2,274
’20 66 423 773 476 1,738
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Free Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (31) 385 — — —
’25 335 454 1,166 599 2,554
’24 559 521 839 420 2,339
’23 247 682 880 719 2,528
’22 363 447 861 784 2,455
’21 287 470 784 587 2,129
’20 36 402 751 447 1,636
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

EPS

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (18.90) 92.76 — — —
’25 10.08 49.67 59.25 48.75 169.22
’24 75.43 18.62 66.25 38.74 199.32
’23 37.26 50.09 3.14 56.48 146.98
’22 (3.58) (69.19) 3.50 49.05 (23.57)
’21 42.02 57.02 15.09 62.44 176.51
’20 (100.60) 65.75 31.03 59.33 55.63
fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

3.3
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
805.03 887.40 954.39 950.16 710.52 942.44 1,064.09 1,186.56 1,342.66 1,621.89

Analyst estimates 2026–2028

Powerpack
Low Price
989.18 1,157.30 1,228.32 1,216.47 1,347.64 1,343.56 1,519.25 1,560.00 1,809.11 2,207.59
High Price
10,900 15,600 17,400 18,600 18,900 20,300 20,900 21,600 22,000 22,900
Employees
1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Revenue/Emp
5,612 6,062 6,841 9,526 9,735 12,846 11,675 15,804 16,621 16,589
Revenue
36.78% 26.50% 32.79% 49.94% 43.66% 54.27% 40.38% 48.35% 51.69% 50.49%
Gross Margin
630 87 (8) 2,286 1,000 3,130 (152) 2,654 3,638 2,733
EBT
11.22% 1.44% (0.11%) 23.99% 10.28% 24.36% (1.30%) 16.79% 21.89% 16.47%
EBT Margin
460 401 (130) 1,799 832 2,446 (103) 2,101 2,847 2,152
Net Income
213 204 427 269 307 336 447 260 219 244
Depreciation
400.49 434.09 491.37 687.27 704.88 933.06 859.74 1,184.06 1,276.85 1,315.67
Revenue/Sh
31.41 25.89 (9.55) 129.25 55.67 176.92 (23.57) 147.32 199.69 169.74
Earnings/Sh
38.15 61.48 64.13 91.92 125.81 165.17 199.52 208.80 199.28 218.99
Cash Flow/Sh
(4.54) (5.35) (7.66) (8.90) (7.33) (10.55) (18.76) (19.38) (19.59) (16.41)
Capex/Sh
33.61 56.14 56.47 83.02 118.48 154.62 180.76 189.42 179.69 202.58
Free CF/Sh
604.25 680.43 653.62 799.25 927.86 1,070.61 973.04 1,128.06 1,300.53 1,474.83
Book Value/Sh
14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 13 13
Shares
29.06 43.08 0.00 8.85 18.54 6.97 0.00 9.75 8.66 12.77
PE Ratio
2.28 2.57 2.11 1.66 1.47 1.32 1.54 1.21 1.35 1.63
PS Ratio
1.51 1.64 1.59 1.43 1.17 1.20 1.42 1.33 1.38 1.46
PB Ratio
2.37 2.67 2.20 1.67 1.29 1.28 1.44 1.18 1.36 1.62
EV/Sales
28.20 20.65 19.16 13.80 7.66 7.74 6.86 7.37 9.67 10.49
EV/FCF
535 859 893 1,274 1,738 2,274 2,709 2,787 2,594 2,761
Op' Cash Flow
(64) (75) (107) (123) (101) (145) (255) (259) (255) (207)
Capex
471 784 786 1,151 1,636 2,129 2,455 2,528 2,339 2,554
FCF
(8,220) (9,476) (9,915) (9,398) (9,083) (10,494) (11,860) (14,790) (15,708) (16,594)
Working Cap'
2,575 3,099 3,010 3,534 3,484 4,361 4,104 3,780 4,330 4,304
Total Debt
489 598 613 34 (1,733) (520) (1,118) (552) 138 (299)
Net Debt
8,467 9,502 9,100 11,078 12,815 14,740 13,214 15,056 16,929 18,596
Sh' Equity
1.79% 1.35% (0.39%) 5.06% 2.01% 5.29% (0.51%) 3.74% 4.64% 3.18%
ROA
5.62% 1.34% 0.26% 13.93% 7.18% 14.25% (0.48%) 12.62% 13.60% 10.91%
ROIC
5.59% 4.40% (1.38%) 17.75% 6.85% 18.10% (1.88%) 14.47% 17.60% 11.91%
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026

Markel Group Inc. (MKL) key facts

  • Markel Group Inc. (MKL) is an Insurance Property & Casualty company in the Financial sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
  • Markel Group Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $16.6 billion, roughly unchanged from fiscal 2024.
  • As of September 25, 2026, MKL traded at $1,727.73, a market capitalization of $21.5 billion.
  • Return on equity was 11.9% and debt-to-equity 0.23.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

Markel Group Inc. (MKL) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

25 Sep

3

Markel Group rose 43.8% over five years but is down year-to-date, prompting questions whether its $1,727.73 price is justified by capital returns. The business blends underwriting and investments, so future value hinges on reinvesting retained earnings at attractive rates rather than only expanding premium volume. A 9.4x P/E invites valuation scrutiny. The Excess Returns framework uses a $1,531.53 per-share book value, a Stable EPS of $139.46, and a cost of equity of $131.90, yielding a per-share excess of $7.56 and an average ROE of 7.65%. Projections push book value to $1,822.80, implying intrinsic value above the current price if forecasts hold. Narratives point to AI-enabled underwriting and Cortex shortening cycles, plus a 12% undervalued view. Disclosures note Simply Wall St’s lack of stock ownership and that the piece is general analysis, not financial advice. Valuation-focused analysis suggests meaningful upside potential if durable returns materialize, but execution risk and reliance on future earnings power keep the impact moderate.

3

StockStory marks Markel Group (MKL) as a mid-cap stock to sell, alongside Warner Music Group (WMG). The report notes mid-cap companies' potential to scale but warns of competitive headwinds. MKL faces insurance headwinds with stagnant net premiums earned over two years, a projected 2.7% sales decline over the next 12 months, and rising costs that have squeezed pre-tax margins—margin decline of 14.1 percentage points over five years. MKL trades at about $1,735 per share and roughly 1.1x forward P/B. The piece contrasts MKL with a buy recommendation on Sterling Infrastructure (STRL), highlighting STRL's 28.9% revenue growth, free-cash-flow strength, and improving profitability. It emphasizes tracking a free research report on MKL and STRL and promotional stock picks for growth. The overall tone is cautious on MKL due to demand weakness and cost pressures. Near-term headwinds, declining sales, and rising costs indicate a meaningful but not transformative drag on MKL's trajectory.

3

Markel Group Inc. (MKL) expanded its Marine Transportation line at Markel Insurance, naming Dean Johnson as head of Transport Logistics and Rhys O’Neill as head of Marine Liability for a newly created Marine Transportation unit. The hires are part of Markel’s broader refocus on a three‑engine underwriting model, aiming to embed accountable P&L leadership in defined niches and tighten risk pricing and cost control. Two London‑based appointments are described as routine within a 14‑unit, globally diversified platform. The moves carry execution risk, with forecasts suggesting about 1.4% annual earnings declines if new units underperform. Proponents say freeing capital from Global Reinsurance could strengthen underwriting discipline, while critics warn that poor reserving or expense creep at new units could weigh on earnings. Investors will watch how leadership, risk selection, and capital allocation align with the underwriting reboot. Two leadership appointments signal tighter P&L accountability in a key unit and could influence underwriting discipline and earnings, subject to execution risk.

19 Sep

3

Markel Group Inc. is positioned as a potential value investing model akin to Berkshire Hathaway for the post-Buffett era. Comparison to Berkshire Hathaway may boost Markel's investor appeal without altering core operations.

8 Sep

3

Markel expands into California's workers' compensation market through its Midwest operations. Market entry via Midwest adds exposure to a major insurance segment without guaranteed large-scale immediate effects.

3

Markel Group Inc. Chairman Steve Markel will retire and be succeeded by Tom Gayner. Chairman succession introduces moderate leadership change that may influence strategy and sentiment without altering core operations.

8 Aug

3 transcript

Hagerty Q2 earnings call highlights revenue growth, underwriting results and strategic updates tied to its insurance and marketplace segments. Hagerty results affect returns on MKL's large equity stake in the company.

7 Aug

3 transcript

Markel Group Inc. released its Q2 2026 earnings call transcript covering quarterly financial results and management discussion. Earnings call provides financial updates that can influence short-term stock movement and sentiment.

3 Aug

3

Markel Group Inc. missed Q2 profit expectations after booking a reserve charge while allocating resources to AI initiatives. Reserve charge directly hits earnings and may weigh on near-term results while AI spending points to future operational shifts.

1 Aug

3

Markel Group (MKL) earnings have brought its underwriting narrative and valuation into focus. Earnings results shape perceptions of underwriting performance and valuation metrics.

31 Jul

3

Markel Group Inc. released Q2 earnings call highlights. Q2 earnings highlights offer moderate insight into financial results and outlook.

30 Jul

3 transcript

Markel Corporation Q2 2026 earnings call summary outlines quarterly financial results and operational updates. Quarterly earnings disclosures directly shape market expectations and stock valuation for MKL.

29 Jul

3

Markel Group Inc. reported sales exceeding analyst expectations for Q2 CY2026. Quarterly sales beat can lift near-term investor sentiment and share price but rarely shifts long-term company trajectory.

3

Markel Group Inc. released its second quarter and six-month 2026 financial results. Quarterly earnings reports detail financial performance that can sway market perceptions and stock valuation.

3

Markel Group Inc. reported its second quarter and six-months results for 2026. Quarterly results release provides performance data that can shift near-term investor views.

2 Jul

3

Markel Group faces removal from a key index along with investment losses that undermine its insurance-led investment narrative and could pressure stock visibility and sentiment. Index removal and investment losses may moderately affect Markel Group's market visibility and investment strategy perception.

19 Jun

4

Markel Group Inc. is pursuing acquisitions to drive expansion and diversify its growth initiatives. Acquisitions represent major strategic moves that can significantly alter Markel Group's trajectory and investor sentiment.

1 Jun

3

Markel Insurance CEO Simon Wilson discussed integration of AI into specialty risk management along with strategies for scaling expertise across operations. CEO comments on AI adoption and expertise scaling point to moderate operational enhancements without signaling immediate major shifts in financials or market position.

24 May

3

Markel Group expands nuclear insurance and AI underwriting operations amid lagging valuation relative to peers. Targeted expansions in nuclear and AI lines open new revenue streams within core insurance operations.

20 May

3

Markel Group Inc. and Willis have launched a dedicated nuclear insurance facility to expand specialty coverage offerings. Partnership forms specialized nuclear insurance unit that broadens Markel product lines without altering core trajectory.

15 May

4

Markel Group expands specialty insurance coverage and adopts AI underwriting amid lagging share performance. Expansions into specialty coverage and AI underwriting enable major operational improvements and competitive gains.

14 May

4

Markel Group Inc. expands AI-driven underwriting capabilities through partnership with Hyperexponential. AI-driven underwriting expansion via Hyperexponential bolsters Markel's insurance pricing accuracy, risk management, and competitive positioning.

3

Markel Group Inc. (MKL) expands its professional liability insurance offerings with new coverage options tailored for media and entertainment sectors. Expansion into media and entertainment coverage bolsters MKL's competitive edge in specialty professional liability insurance.

3

Markel Group Inc. expands professional liability insurance with new coverage options tailored for media and entertainment sectors. Expanding professional liability into media and entertainment strengthens Markel's specialty insurance portfolio and competitive positioning without fundamentally transforming its trajectory.

12 May

4

Markel Canada partners with hyperexponential to create an AI-native underwriting environment, leveraging advanced pricing technology to enhance risk modeling and decision-making. AI-native underwriting partnership targets core insurance operations, driving efficiency gains and competitive edge in a tech-transforming industry.

10 May

3

Hagerty reported Q1 earnings call highlights, including revenue growth, improved underwriting results, and optimistic outlook for classic car insurance amid rising demand. Hagerty's Q1 performance directly influences Markel Group's insurance segment metrics and investor views on specialty lines.

8 May

4

Markel Group Inc. (MKL), a mini Berkshire Hathaway, is a buy amid an activist investor pushing to break it up. Activist investor's breakup push signals major strategic changes that could reshape MKL's structure and boost investor sentiment.

6 May

4

Markel Group Inc. (MKL) Q1 earnings and revenues topped estimates, driven by solid investment spread. Q1 earnings beat on strong investment spread signals significant positive shift in financial performance and investor sentiment.

5 May

4

Markel Group Inc. (MKL) shares dropped 7.6% after an activist investor pushed to break up the Markel Ventures strategy, arguing it dilutes focus on core insurance operations and destroys shareholder value. Activist pressure for strategic breakup targets core business diversification, potentially forcing major restructuring with significant effects on valuation and performance.

4 May

4

Markel Group Inc. (MKL) Q1 earnings and revenues missed analyst estimates, with premiums down year-over-year. Q1 earnings miss and declining premiums signal significant pressure on financial performance and investor sentiment.

stockrow.com/MKL · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com