Markel Group Inc. MKL
- Market cap
- $21.5B
- P/E
- 9.5×
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free account| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 805.03 | 887.40 | 954.39 | 950.16 | 710.52 | 942.44 | 1,064.09 | 1,186.56 | 1,342.66 | 1,621.89 |
Analyst estimates 2026–2028 Powerpack |
Low Price
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| 989.18 | 1,157.30 | 1,228.32 | 1,216.47 | 1,347.64 | 1,343.56 | 1,519.25 | 1,560.00 | 1,809.11 | 2,207.59 |
High Price
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| 10,900 | 15,600 | 17,400 | 18,600 | 18,900 | 20,300 | 20,900 | 21,600 | 22,000 | 22,900 |
Employees
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|||
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Revenue/Emp
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| 5,612 | 6,062 | 6,841 | 9,526 | 9,735 | 12,846 | 11,675 | 15,804 | 16,621 | 16,589 |
Revenue
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| 36.78% | 26.50% | 32.79% | 49.94% | 43.66% | 54.27% | 40.38% | 48.35% | 51.69% | 50.49% |
Gross Margin
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| 630 | 87 | (8) | 2,286 | 1,000 | 3,130 | (152) | 2,654 | 3,638 | 2,733 |
EBT
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| 11.22% | 1.44% | (0.11%) | 23.99% | 10.28% | 24.36% | (1.30%) | 16.79% | 21.89% | 16.47% |
EBT Margin
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| 460 | 401 | (130) | 1,799 | 832 | 2,446 | (103) | 2,101 | 2,847 | 2,152 |
Net Income
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| 213 | 204 | 427 | 269 | 307 | 336 | 447 | 260 | 219 | 244 |
Depreciation
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|||
| 400.49 | 434.09 | 491.37 | 687.27 | 704.88 | 933.06 | 859.74 | 1,184.06 | 1,276.85 | 1,315.67 |
Revenue/Sh
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| 31.41 | 25.89 | (9.55) | 129.25 | 55.67 | 176.92 | (23.57) | 147.32 | 199.69 | 169.74 |
Earnings/Sh
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| 38.15 | 61.48 | 64.13 | 91.92 | 125.81 | 165.17 | 199.52 | 208.80 | 199.28 | 218.99 |
Cash Flow/Sh
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| (4.54) | (5.35) | (7.66) | (8.90) | (7.33) | (10.55) | (18.76) | (19.38) | (19.59) | (16.41) |
Capex/Sh
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| 33.61 | 56.14 | 56.47 | 83.02 | 118.48 | 154.62 | 180.76 | 189.42 | 179.69 | 202.58 |
Free CF/Sh
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| 604.25 | 680.43 | 653.62 | 799.25 | 927.86 | 1,070.61 | 973.04 | 1,128.06 | 1,300.53 | 1,474.83 |
Book Value/Sh
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|||
| 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Shares
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|||
| 29.06 | 43.08 | 0.00 | 8.85 | 18.54 | 6.97 | 0.00 | 9.75 | 8.66 | 12.77 |
PE Ratio
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| 2.28 | 2.57 | 2.11 | 1.66 | 1.47 | 1.32 | 1.54 | 1.21 | 1.35 | 1.63 |
PS Ratio
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| 1.51 | 1.64 | 1.59 | 1.43 | 1.17 | 1.20 | 1.42 | 1.33 | 1.38 | 1.46 |
PB Ratio
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| 2.37 | 2.67 | 2.20 | 1.67 | 1.29 | 1.28 | 1.44 | 1.18 | 1.36 | 1.62 |
EV/Sales
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| 28.20 | 20.65 | 19.16 | 13.80 | 7.66 | 7.74 | 6.86 | 7.37 | 9.67 | 10.49 |
EV/FCF
|
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| 535 | 859 | 893 | 1,274 | 1,738 | 2,274 | 2,709 | 2,787 | 2,594 | 2,761 |
Op' Cash Flow
|
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| (64) | (75) | (107) | (123) | (101) | (145) | (255) | (259) | (255) | (207) |
Capex
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| 471 | 784 | 786 | 1,151 | 1,636 | 2,129 | 2,455 | 2,528 | 2,339 | 2,554 |
FCF
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| (8,220) | (9,476) | (9,915) | (9,398) | (9,083) | (10,494) | (11,860) | (14,790) | (15,708) | (16,594) |
Working Cap'
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| 2,575 | 3,099 | 3,010 | 3,534 | 3,484 | 4,361 | 4,104 | 3,780 | 4,330 | 4,304 |
Total Debt
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| 489 | 598 | 613 | 34 | (1,733) | (520) | (1,118) | (552) | 138 | (299) |
Net Debt
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| 8,467 | 9,502 | 9,100 | 11,078 | 12,815 | 14,740 | 13,214 | 15,056 | 16,929 | 18,596 |
Sh' Equity
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| 1.79% | 1.35% | (0.39%) | 5.06% | 2.01% | 5.29% | (0.51%) | 3.74% | 4.64% | 3.18% |
ROA
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| 5.62% | 1.34% | 0.26% | 13.93% | 7.18% | 14.25% | (0.48%) | 12.62% | 13.60% | 10.91% |
ROIC
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| 5.59% | 4.40% | (1.38%) | 17.75% | 6.85% | 18.10% | (1.88%) | 14.47% | 17.60% | 11.91% |
ROE
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Markel Group Inc. peers in Insurance Property & Casualty
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|
| L Loews Corporation | $21.5B | 12.8× | Compare |
| CINF Cincinnati Financial Corporation | $24.9B | 7.6× | Compare |
| WRB W.R. Berkley Corporation | $25.0B | 13.7× | Compare |
| AIZ Assurant, Inc. | $12.9B | 12.5× | Compare |
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNA CNA Financial Corporation | $12.5B | 10.1× | Compare |
| AFG American Financial Group, Inc. | $11.5B | 12.1× | Compare |
| ORI Old Republic International Corporation | $9.2B | 8.1× | Compare |
| ALL The Allstate Corporation | $57.4B | 4.5× | Compare |
Markel Group Inc. (MKL) key facts
- Markel Group Inc. (MKL) is an Insurance Property & Casualty company in the Financial sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
- Markel Group Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $16.6 billion, roughly unchanged from fiscal 2024.
- As of September 25, 2026, MKL traded at $1,727.73, a market capitalization of $21.5 billion.
- Return on equity was 11.9% and debt-to-equity 0.23.
Markel Group Inc. (MKL) Latest News
25 Sep
Markel Group rose 43.8% over five years but is down year-to-date, prompting questions whether its $1,727.73 price is justified by capital returns. The business blends underwriting and investments, so future value hinges on reinvesting retained earnings at attractive rates rather than only expanding premium volume. A 9.4x P/E invites valuation scrutiny. The Excess Returns framework uses a $1,531.53 per-share book value, a Stable EPS of $139.46, and a cost of equity of $131.90, yielding a per-share excess of $7.56 and an average ROE of 7.65%. Projections push book value to $1,822.80, implying intrinsic value above the current price if forecasts hold. Narratives point to AI-enabled underwriting and Cortex shortening cycles, plus a 12% undervalued view. Disclosures note Simply Wall St’s lack of stock ownership and that the piece is general analysis, not financial advice. Valuation-focused analysis suggests meaningful upside potential if durable returns materialize, but execution risk and reliance on future earnings power keep the impact moderate.
StockStory marks Markel Group (MKL) as a mid-cap stock to sell, alongside Warner Music Group (WMG). The report notes mid-cap companies' potential to scale but warns of competitive headwinds. MKL faces insurance headwinds with stagnant net premiums earned over two years, a projected 2.7% sales decline over the next 12 months, and rising costs that have squeezed pre-tax margins—margin decline of 14.1 percentage points over five years. MKL trades at about $1,735 per share and roughly 1.1x forward P/B. The piece contrasts MKL with a buy recommendation on Sterling Infrastructure (STRL), highlighting STRL's 28.9% revenue growth, free-cash-flow strength, and improving profitability. It emphasizes tracking a free research report on MKL and STRL and promotional stock picks for growth. The overall tone is cautious on MKL due to demand weakness and cost pressures. Near-term headwinds, declining sales, and rising costs indicate a meaningful but not transformative drag on MKL's trajectory.
Markel Group Inc. (MKL) expanded its Marine Transportation line at Markel Insurance, naming Dean Johnson as head of Transport Logistics and Rhys O’Neill as head of Marine Liability for a newly created Marine Transportation unit. The hires are part of Markel’s broader refocus on a three‑engine underwriting model, aiming to embed accountable P&L leadership in defined niches and tighten risk pricing and cost control. Two London‑based appointments are described as routine within a 14‑unit, globally diversified platform. The moves carry execution risk, with forecasts suggesting about 1.4% annual earnings declines if new units underperform. Proponents say freeing capital from Global Reinsurance could strengthen underwriting discipline, while critics warn that poor reserving or expense creep at new units could weigh on earnings. Investors will watch how leadership, risk selection, and capital allocation align with the underwriting reboot. Two leadership appointments signal tighter P&L accountability in a key unit and could influence underwriting discipline and earnings, subject to execution risk.
19 Sep
Markel Group Inc. is positioned as a potential value investing model akin to Berkshire Hathaway for the post-Buffett era. Comparison to Berkshire Hathaway may boost Markel's investor appeal without altering core operations.
8 Sep
Markel expands into California's workers' compensation market through its Midwest operations. Market entry via Midwest adds exposure to a major insurance segment without guaranteed large-scale immediate effects.
Markel Group Inc. Chairman Steve Markel will retire and be succeeded by Tom Gayner. Chairman succession introduces moderate leadership change that may influence strategy and sentiment without altering core operations.
8 Aug
Hagerty Q2 earnings call highlights revenue growth, underwriting results and strategic updates tied to its insurance and marketplace segments. Hagerty results affect returns on MKL's large equity stake in the company.
7 Aug
Markel Group Inc. released its Q2 2026 earnings call transcript covering quarterly financial results and management discussion. Earnings call provides financial updates that can influence short-term stock movement and sentiment.
3 Aug
Markel Group Inc. missed Q2 profit expectations after booking a reserve charge while allocating resources to AI initiatives. Reserve charge directly hits earnings and may weigh on near-term results while AI spending points to future operational shifts.
1 Aug
Markel Group (MKL) earnings have brought its underwriting narrative and valuation into focus. Earnings results shape perceptions of underwriting performance and valuation metrics.
31 Jul
Markel Group Inc. released Q2 earnings call highlights. Q2 earnings highlights offer moderate insight into financial results and outlook.
30 Jul
Markel Corporation Q2 2026 earnings call summary outlines quarterly financial results and operational updates. Quarterly earnings disclosures directly shape market expectations and stock valuation for MKL.
29 Jul
Markel Group Inc. reported sales exceeding analyst expectations for Q2 CY2026. Quarterly sales beat can lift near-term investor sentiment and share price but rarely shifts long-term company trajectory.
Markel Group Inc. released its second quarter and six-month 2026 financial results. Quarterly earnings reports detail financial performance that can sway market perceptions and stock valuation.
Markel Group Inc. reported its second quarter and six-months results for 2026. Quarterly results release provides performance data that can shift near-term investor views.
2 Jul
Markel Group faces removal from a key index along with investment losses that undermine its insurance-led investment narrative and could pressure stock visibility and sentiment. Index removal and investment losses may moderately affect Markel Group's market visibility and investment strategy perception.
19 Jun
Markel Group Inc. is pursuing acquisitions to drive expansion and diversify its growth initiatives. Acquisitions represent major strategic moves that can significantly alter Markel Group's trajectory and investor sentiment.
1 Jun
Markel Insurance CEO Simon Wilson discussed integration of AI into specialty risk management along with strategies for scaling expertise across operations. CEO comments on AI adoption and expertise scaling point to moderate operational enhancements without signaling immediate major shifts in financials or market position.
24 May
Markel Group expands nuclear insurance and AI underwriting operations amid lagging valuation relative to peers. Targeted expansions in nuclear and AI lines open new revenue streams within core insurance operations.
20 May
Markel Group Inc. and Willis have launched a dedicated nuclear insurance facility to expand specialty coverage offerings. Partnership forms specialized nuclear insurance unit that broadens Markel product lines without altering core trajectory.
15 May
Markel Group expands specialty insurance coverage and adopts AI underwriting amid lagging share performance. Expansions into specialty coverage and AI underwriting enable major operational improvements and competitive gains.
14 May
Markel Group Inc. expands AI-driven underwriting capabilities through partnership with Hyperexponential. AI-driven underwriting expansion via Hyperexponential bolsters Markel's insurance pricing accuracy, risk management, and competitive positioning.
Markel Group Inc. (MKL) expands its professional liability insurance offerings with new coverage options tailored for media and entertainment sectors. Expansion into media and entertainment coverage bolsters MKL's competitive edge in specialty professional liability insurance.
Markel Group Inc. expands professional liability insurance with new coverage options tailored for media and entertainment sectors. Expanding professional liability into media and entertainment strengthens Markel's specialty insurance portfolio and competitive positioning without fundamentally transforming its trajectory.
12 May
Markel Canada partners with hyperexponential to create an AI-native underwriting environment, leveraging advanced pricing technology to enhance risk modeling and decision-making. AI-native underwriting partnership targets core insurance operations, driving efficiency gains and competitive edge in a tech-transforming industry.
10 May
Hagerty reported Q1 earnings call highlights, including revenue growth, improved underwriting results, and optimistic outlook for classic car insurance amid rising demand. Hagerty's Q1 performance directly influences Markel Group's insurance segment metrics and investor views on specialty lines.
8 May
Markel Group Inc. (MKL), a mini Berkshire Hathaway, is a buy amid an activist investor pushing to break it up. Activist investor's breakup push signals major strategic changes that could reshape MKL's structure and boost investor sentiment.
6 May
Markel Group Inc. (MKL) Q1 earnings and revenues topped estimates, driven by solid investment spread. Q1 earnings beat on strong investment spread signals significant positive shift in financial performance and investor sentiment.
5 May
Markel Group Inc. (MKL) shares dropped 7.6% after an activist investor pushed to break up the Markel Ventures strategy, arguing it dilutes focus on core insurance operations and destroys shareholder value. Activist pressure for strategic breakup targets core business diversification, potentially forcing major restructuring with significant effects on valuation and performance.
4 May
Markel Group Inc. (MKL) Q1 earnings and revenues missed analyst estimates, with premiums down year-over-year. Q1 earnings miss and declining premiums signal significant pressure on financial performance and investor sentiment.