| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
| Sell | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 0.96 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 0.91 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 0.88 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 0.88 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 0.88 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 0.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 0.72 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 0.54 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 0.40 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 0.32 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2016 | 0.32 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 237.86 | 507.51 | 309.60 | 550.33 |
| Receivables | — | — | — | — |
| Inventory | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 8,318.12 | 8,521.88 | 8,955.43 | 9,464.76 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 10,031.60 | 10,530.53 | 10,748.42 | 11,084.87 |
| ST’ Debt | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 10,037.30 | 10,535.13 | 10,752.17 | 11,088.68 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 157.57 | 164.35 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 145.58 | 151.02 | 131.32 | 121.38 |
549.30
|
| ’24 | 139.51 | 143.42 | 144.99 | 109.22 |
537.14
|
| ’23 | 130.71 | 135.40 | 139.03 | 141.12 |
546.25
|
| ’22 | 98.36 | 97.71 | 105.20 | 107.67 |
408.94
|
| ’21 | 78.68 | 82.51 | 77.07 | 91.27 |
329.53
|
| ’20 | 75.74 | 83.83 | 80.14 | 79.32 |
319.03
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 61.20 | 66.48 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 52.60 | 45.71 | 49.67 | 55.16 |
203.13
|
| ’24 | (20.09) | 87.72 | 38.42 | 68.73 |
174.78
|
| ’23 | 36.62 | 28.54 | 28.08 | 38.17 |
131.40
|
| ’22 | 100.14 | 30.37 | 48.69 | 51.45 |
230.65
|
| ’21 | 30.73 | 50.37 | 30.08 | 31.16 |
142.34
|
| ’20 | 13.67 | 30.83 | (10.45) | 24.29 |
58.33
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 59.90 | 64.88 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 53.40 | 43.29 | 53.31 | 56.14 |
206.14
|
| ’24 | (21.72) | 87.86 | 39.20 | 68.13 |
173.46
|
| ’23 | 36.28 | 27.06 | 26.74 | 37.86 |
127.95
|
| ’22 | 99.03 | 29.15 | 47.44 | 50.05 |
225.67
|
| ’21 | 26.42 | 48.58 | 27.55 | 30.70 |
133.25
|
| ’20 | 12.54 | 27.72 | (15.01) | 20.91 |
46.16
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 1.13 | 1.22 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 0.88 | 0.93 | 0.49 | 0.38 |
2.68
|
| ’24 | 0.61 | 0.70 | 0.45 | 0.08 |
1.84
|
| ’23 | 0.37 | 0.71 | 0.73 | 0.72 |
2.53
|
| ’22 | 0.95 | 1.03 | 1.06 | 1.08 |
4.12
|
| ’21 | 0.99 | 1.03 | 0.97 | 0.30 |
3.19
|
| ’20 | 0.62 | 0.56 | 0.81 | 0.83 |
2.81
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 32.90 | 26.00 | 29.53 | 34.50 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 49.00 | 43.47 | 50.34 | 56.45 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,294 | 1,445 | 1,396 | 1,374 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.32 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.40 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 408.94 | 546.25 | 537.14 | 549.30 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 96.06% | 73.99% | 65.19% | 71.06% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 185.22 | 131.96 | 98.12 | 139.50 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 45.29% | 24.16% | 18.27% | 25.40% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | — |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 146.94 | 104.13 | 76.22 | 111.05 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 26.69 | 31.27 | 26.73 | 21.61 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11.52 | 13.41 | 13.09 | 13.33 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 4.12 | 2.53 | 1.85 | 2.68 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.50 | 3.22 | 4.26 | 4.93 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.14) | (0.08) | (0.03) | 0.07 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | — |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 6.36 | 3.14 | 4.23 | 5.00 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 29.07 | 33.68 | 35.24 | 40.15 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 35.49 | 40.75 | 41.02 | 41.20 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 10.18 | 14.70 | 23.77 | 18.95 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | — |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.64 | 2.77 | 3.36 | 3.81 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | — |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 1.44 | 1.10 | 1.25 | 1.26 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | — |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.22 | 4.05 | 3.15 | 3.93 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | — |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.65 | 17.27 | 9.74 | 10.48 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 230.65 | 131.40 | 174.78 | 203.13 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | — |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (4.99) | (3.45) | (1.32) | 3.01 | — | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 225.67 | 127.95 | 173.46 | 206.14 | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (2,354.78) | (1,719.18) | (2,013.25) | (1,796.74) | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 507.51 | 630.16 | 91.88 | 74.57 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 237.19 | 392.30 | (415.63) | (235.03) | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,031.60 | 1,372.38 | 1,445.61 | 1,654.17 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.38% | 0.91% | 0.63% | 0.89% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9.37% | 5.16% | 5.95% | 6.14% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12.92% | 8.61% | 5.38% | 7.12% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
First Bancorp (FBNC), a Southeast U.S. community bank, delivered explosive growth over the past decade, surging revenue 249% from $156 million in 2016 to $546 million in 2023 through strategic mergers and efficient scaling—revenue per employee doubled to $385,000 while book value per share rose 91% to $35.24. Yet, 2023-2024 exposed vulnerabilities amid the regional banking crisis and Fed rate hikes, crimping net interest margins (gross margin down 31 points to 65%), slashing EPS 55% to $1.85, and dropping ROE to 5%, though robust cash flows ($175 million operating) and a net cash position provided a buffer.
Shares outperformed peers, climbing 194% since 2016 lows to near $50 highs, with resilient lows and attractive forward valuations (P/E 17x for 2025, EV/FCF 9.7x). Insider activity shows cautious confidence—modest director buys amid profit-taking sells—aligning with Wall Street’s optimistic forecasts of EPS tripling to $4.98 by 2027, revenue rebounding to $547 million, and ROE exceeding 20%, fueled by anticipated rate cuts expanding margins.
FBNC’s narrative pivots to recovery, blending regional roots, acquisition DNA, and value appeal, but risks like recession-driven provisions or deposit competition linger. With low forward multiples and strong fundamentals, it tempts patient investors betting on a happy ending.
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