Monday 5 October 2026 Export all V data to Excel Powerpack

Visa Inc.

V Financial Credit Services

Visa Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended September 2025) was $40.0 billion, up 11.3% from fiscal 2024. Member of the S&P 500 and Dow Jones; dividend growth for ten consecutive years, revenue growth for five.

369.41 8.75 +2.43%
Market cap
$672.8B
P/E
29.5×
Dividend yield
0.74%
F-score
5/9
Altman Z
n/a
Beneish M
n/a
Dividend safety
n/a

Insider Decisions trades per month

Total sells 86.28
Totals in millions of $.
Dec 25 Mar 26 Jun 26 Sep 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell 4 4 1 — 1 1 1 1 3 3 2 1
Insider Ownership 4.55%

Capital & Financial Ratios $m

Market Cap 672,830.00
Revenue 44,488.00
Net Income 22,592.00
Free Cash Flow 21,013.00
Net Debt 9,178.00
Current Ratio 0.99
Debt/Equity 0.68
P/E ratio 29.54
P/S ratio 14.44
P/B ratio 18.53
Past 5Y EPS Growth 15.84%
This Y EPS Growth 15.31%
Next Y EPS Growth 13.60%
Next 5Y EPS Growth 14.17%

Scores & Valuation vs History

P/E against its own 10 years 16.46%
10-year low 10-year high
P/S against its own 10 years 50.31%
10-year low 10-year high
P/B against its own 10 years 98.22%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/Sales against its own 10 years 52.20%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/FCF against its own 10 years 69.33%
10-year low 10-year high

Dividends

Payout Ratio 0.23
Annual Dividend Rate 2.68
Annual Dividend Yield 0.74%
total individual payouts
2028 Powerpack
2027 Powerpack
2026 2.70
0.67
0.67
0.67
2025 2.44
0.59
0.59
0.59
0.67
2024 2.15
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.59
2023 1.87
0.45
0.45
0.45
0.52
2022 1.58
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.45
2021 1.34
0.32
0.32
0.32
0.38
2020 1.22
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.32
2019 1.05
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.30
2018 0.88
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.25
2017 0.69
0.17
0.17
0.17
0.20
2016 0.59
0.14
0.14
0.14
0.17
predictions special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities $m

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 21,892 18,264 21,987 14,680
Receivables 4,474 7,015 7,317 5,927
Inventory — — — —
Other 4,582 5,442 5,783 6,833
33,532 34,033 37,766 31,002
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 375 479 555 553
ST’ Debt 106 — 5,569 2,996
Other 11,182 12,599 13,994 15,739
23,098 26,517 35,048 31,467

Compound Annual Growth %

10y 5y 3y
Sales 11.16% 12.86% 10.92%
Cash Flow 13.35% 17.17% 6.95%
Earnings 12.23% 13.04% 10.28%
Book Value 2.42% 0.92% 2.14%

Revenue $m

Dec Mar Jun Sep Year
’26 10,901 11,230 11,633 — —
’25 9,510 9,594 10,172 10,724 40,000
’24 8,634 8,775 8,900 9,617 35,926
’23 7,936 7,985 8,123 8,609 32,653
’22 7,059 7,189 7,275 7,787 29,310
’21 5,687 5,729 6,130 6,559 24,105
’20 6,054 5,854 4,837 5,101 21,846
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Operating Cash Flow $m

Dec Mar Jun Sep Year
’26 6,780 3,008 6,554 — —
’25 5,396 4,695 6,730 6,238 23,059
’24 3,614 4,538 5,134 6,664 19,950
’23 4,171 3,860 5,797 6,927 20,755
’22 4,232 3,489 5,252 5,876 18,849
’21 3,513 3,329 4,414 3,971 15,227
’20 3,875 1,467 3,002 2,096 10,440
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Free Cash Flow $m

Dec Mar Jun Sep Year
’26 6,402 2,625 6,137 — —
’25 5,051 4,368 6,309 5,849 21,577
’24 3,347 4,257 4,734 6,355 18,693
’23 3,922 3,650 5,502 6,622 19,696
’22 4,059 3,222 5,017 5,581 17,879
’21 3,353 3,171 4,235 3,763 14,522
’20 3,684 1,251 2,841 1,928 9,704
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

EPS $

Dec Mar Jun Sep Year
’26 3.03 3.14 2.97 — —
’25 2.58 2.32 2.69 2.62 10.20
’24 2.39 2.29 2.40 2.65 9.73
’23 1.99 2.03 2.00 2.27 8.28
’22 1.83 1.70 1.60 1.86 7.00
’21 1.42 1.38 1.18 1.65 5.63
’20 1.46 1.38 1.07 0.97 4.89
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

1.4
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell

Ten years at a glance Fiscal years to September

Group Line 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Trend 2026e 2027e 2028e
Price, $
Price, $ Low 66.12 78.49 111.02 127.88 133.93 190.10 174.60 206.16 252.70 299.00

Analyst estimates 2026–2028

Powerpack
High 83.96 114.92 151.56 189.89 220.39 252.67 235.85 263.25 321.62 375.51
People
People Employees — — 17,000 19,500 20,500 21,500 26,500 28,800 31,600 34,100
Revenue/emp, $m 0.00 0.00 1.21 1.18 1.07 1.12 1.11 1.13 1.14 1.17
Income, $m
Income, $m Revenue 15,082 18,358 20,609 22,977 21,846 24,105 29,310 32,653 35,926 40,000
Gross margin, % 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
EBT 8,012 11,694 12,806 14,884 13,790 16,063 18,136 21,037 23,916 24,194
EBT margin, % 53.12 63.70 62.14 64.78 63.12 66.64 61.88 64.43 66.57 60.49
Net income 5,991 6,699 10,301 12,080 10,866 12,311 14,957 17,273 19,743 20,058
Depreciation 502 556 602 656 767 804 861 943 1,034 1,220
Per share, $
Per share, $ Revenue 6.95 8.73 10.06 11.49 11.19 12.39 15.38 17.43 19.59 21.65
Earnings 2.49 2.80 4.43 5.32 4.90 5.63 7.01 8.29 9.74 10.22
Cash flow 2.57 4.43 6.32 6.40 5.35 7.82 9.89 11.08 10.88 12.48
Capex (0.24) (0.33) (0.35) (0.38) (0.38) (0.36) (0.51) (0.57) (0.69) (0.80)
Free cash flow 2.33 4.10 5.97 6.02 4.97 7.46 9.38 10.52 10.19 11.68
Book value 15.17 15.57 16.60 17.35 18.54 19.32 18.67 20.68 21.34 20.51
Shares, m 2,170 2,104 2,049 1,999 1,953 1,946 1,906 1,873 1,834 1,848
Valuation, ×
Valuation, × P/E 33.48 37.39 34.04 32.33 40.89 39.56 25.38 27.86 28.23 33.44
P/S 11.90 12.08 14.99 14.96 17.88 17.98 11.55 13.27 14.04 15.77
P/B 6.60 8.15 10.83 11.77 12.55 12.56 10.18 11.70 13.23 16.98
EV/Sales 12.29 12.30 15.24 15.19 18.02 18.05 11.64 13.23 14.11 15.85
EV/FCF 36.70 26.18 25.70 29.02 40.57 29.96 19.08 21.93 27.12 29.39
Cash, $m
Cash, $m Operating cash flow 5,574 9,317 12,941 12,784 10,440 15,227 18,849 20,755 19,950 23,059
Capex (523) (695) (718) (756) (736) (705) (970) (1,059) (1,257) (1,482)
Free cash flow 5,051 8,622 12,223 12,028 9,704 14,522 17,879 19,696 18,693 21,577
Balance, $m
Balance, $m Working capital 6,267 9,029 6,911 7,555 13,135 11,868 9,352 10,434 7,516 2,718
Total debt 15,882 18,367 16,630 16,729 24,070 20,977 22,450 20,569 20,836 25,171
Net debt 5,917 3,898 3,430 3,450 3,128 1,571 2,479 (1,323) 2,572 3,184
Shareholders’ equity 32,912 32,760 34,006 34,684 36,210 37,589 35,581 38,733 39,137 37,909
Returns, %
Returns, % ROA 11.59 10.15 15.02 17.04 14.16 15.03 17.76 19.63 21.34 20.66
ROIC 12.69 20.70 21.63 24.59 22.37 25.22 30.89 35.08 35.36 36.49
ROE 21.01 24.62 36.94 41.83 36.01 37.51 44.14 49.15 52.55 53.30
Negative figures in brackets.

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Sep 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026

V metrics, ten years each

Visa Inc. (V) key facts

  • Visa Inc. (V) is a Credit Services company in the Financial sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
  • Visa Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended September 2025) was $40.0 billion, up 11.3% from fiscal 2024.
  • As of October 5, 2026, V traded at $361.14, a market capitalization of $672.8 billion.
  • Visa Inc. pays an annual dividend of $2.68 per share, a yield of 0.74%, with a payout ratio of 22.8%.
  • Return on equity was 53.3% and debt-to-equity 0.68.
  • Its Piotroski F-score is 5 out of 9 for fiscal 2025.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

Financial Analysis (summary)

Updated

In FY2025, Visa reported revenue of $40.0 billion, net income of $20.1 billion, and free cash flow of $21.6 billion. In Q3 FY2026, revenue was $11.6 billion, operating income was $6.9 billion, and net income was $5.6 billion.

In the TTM to Q3 FY2026, revenue was $44.5 billion, net income was $22.6 billion, and free cash flow was $21.0 billion. Net debt was $9.2 billion in Q3 FY2026, while market capitalisation was $655.4 billion as of September 24, 2026.

Visa Inc. (V) Latest News

5 Oct

Impact 4 ·

Visa is expanding stablecoins and AI-enabled payments to grow its network and revenue. In fiscal 2026 year-to-date, about 17% of stablecoin-linked card volume came from business and commercial programs, with more than 160 stablecoin-linked card programs and volume up nearly 200% year over year. Companies are testing stablecoins for supplier payments, treasury operations, payouts, liquidity management and cross-border commerce. Industry estimates place annual stablecoin payment volume at $401-$527 billion, with service fees of about $56B, payroll $43B and supplier payments $28B; 43% of analyzed B2B stablecoin volume crosses borders. Visa argues stablecoins can expand addressable payment flows without replacing its core network, via linking stablecoin settlements, payouts and pre-funding with its card and merchant network. Growth engines beyond stablecoins include Visa Value-Added Services at $3.8B in Q3 FY2026, plus AI-driven agentic commerce initiatives and partnerships; strong cash flow supports buybacks.

Impact 4 ·

Open USD (OUSD) is a new stablecoin launched Sept 30, 2026, backed by a syndicate including Visa, Mastercard, Stripe, and Coinbase. By Oct 2 it reached about $668 million in supply, challenging Circle’s USDC and Tether’s USDT. OUSD distributes reserve income to its distribution partners, after a small fee, creating a strong incentive for wide network promotion since revenue scales with activity by each partner. Visa has said its stablecoin settlement pace surpassed a $20 billion annualized rate. Both Visa and Mastercard run network validators on Circle’s Arc blockchain and maintain support for USDC. OUSD is a strategic play on broader stablecoin growth for payment networks, not a forced winner-take-all. Circle faces increased competitive risk; Tether looks safer for now. UBS and SBI among OUSD’s partners underscore its reach.

Impact 4 ·

Visa poll across 14 Asian markets finds 46% would likely use stablecoins within five years, with 49% seeing stablecoins as a preferred method for moving money across borders and for online purchases, travel, and overseas shopping. Current adoption is low; only 16% in Asia Pacific used stablecoins in the past year. Knowledge gap is wide: only 6% demonstrate an accurate understanding of how stablecoins work. Stablecoins are pegged assets, typically tied to the U.S. dollar. Visa released the results ahead of a Visa-led Open Standard launch of the stablecoin OUSD. The Consumer 360 survey polled 14,250 people aged 18-65 across 14 markets including mainland China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, the Philippines, Vietnam, India, Australia and New Zealand. Visa stock V trades around $360.66, up 3% over the last year.

Impact 4 ·

Visa expands its fan-first pro football platform with new and renewed team partnerships, bringing its total to 13 NFL team relationships across major markets. New partnerships include the Los Angeles Rams, Chargers, Kansas City Chiefs, Washington Commanders, Dallas Cowboys, Houston Texans, and Philadelphia Eagles; renewals with the San Francisco 49ers, New England Patriots, Buffalo Bills, and Pittsburgh Steelers; existing deals with the Chicago Bears and Baltimore Ravens remain. The program aims to deepen fan engagement through game-day experiences, community initiatives, athletes and creators, and commerce activations, tying into travel, ticketing, dining, merchandise, and entertainment. Visa says its network will help clients, merchants, and fans participate in these moments more seamlessly, securely, and reliably. Executives highlight a shift from visibility to meaningful participation, with further activations planned in the 2026 season.

Impact 3 ·

Visa could gain about 43% over three years if revenue grows from $44.5B today to $62.9B, with net margin near 51% and P/E held at 30x. The upside comes mainly from revenue growth (roughly 97%), forecast at 12.2% annually due to higher card spending, value-added services, and pricing; earnings would reach about $32.3B, lifting the stock to about $515.89 from $360.66. The scenario assumes no P/E expansion. Value-added services rose 34% in Q3 2026, and payments volume grew about 10% in constant dollars; management targets net revenue growth in the low-teens for fiscal 2026. The upside declines if growth slows or margins revert toward the 3-year average. Visa's next report around Oct. 26, 2026 will test this pace. The piece also notes defensive strategies like options but warns of single-stock risk.

4 Oct

Impact 4 ·

Visa trades around $360 after closing October 2 up 2.8% from 2025. International revenue reached 60.9% of total in fiscal 2025, up from 53.7% in 2021, with 17.1% CAGR overseas, underscoring a growth engine as banks and governments build domestic payment infrastructure. UK plans a new interbank rails utility backed by about £50 million; Visa is involved and NatWest became a Visa client after winning its consumer credit portfolio, signaling limited domestic exposure risk. Visa is betting on local investment in Europe: an additional €500 million over the next decade, including a Frankfurt HQ and data center. In Q3, revenue rose 14.36% to $11.633 billion, but GAAP EPS of $2.97 missed estimates due to severance and a litigation provision. Valuation models show a mid-case target near $683, implying about 89% total return from $360.66 and roughly 17% annualized over four years, with downside if domestic rails curb cross-border volumes.

2 Oct

Impact 3 ·

Mastercard expands Agent Pay with trust and intelligence tools to better assess AI-led transactions. The first tool assigns a probability that a transaction was initiated by an AI agent; the score will evolve with more data to guide approvals. With AI agents potentially powering 10% of purchases by 2030, agentic activity could resemble human transactions yet raise legitimate declines. Beyond authorization, identity, fraud and transaction data could enhance security and reduce declines, while partnerships with Cloudflare and Skyfire aim to verify trusted agents and purposes. Near-term earnings impact is likely limited; longer-term potential includes higher authorization accuracy, volume growth and new fraud tools. Visa is building similar infrastructure, and PayPal is pursuing agentic-commerce features, signaling a broader shift toward trusted AI-enabled transactions.

Impact 3 ·

Visa Inc. (V) has attracted attention from Zacks.com readers after posting a mixed set of near-term growth indicators. Over the last month, Visa fell about 5%, trailing the S&P 500 (+0.6%), while its Financial Transaction Services peers slid around 4.9%. The report emphasizes earnings estimate revisions as the primary driver of valuation, noting that current-quarter earnings are forecast at $3.43 per share, up 15.1% year over year, with the 12-month consensus EPS at $13.22 (+15.3%) and next-year consensus at $14.98 (+13.3%). Revenue projections show a current-quarter run rate of $12.07 billion (+12.6%), with annual readings of $45.83 billion (+14.6%) and $50.62 billion (+10.4%). Visa beat earnings and revenue expectations in the last four quarters. The Zacks Rank remains #2 (Buy), but the Value style score grades Visa D, indicating a premium valuation relative to peers. The article suggests potential near-term outperformance but cautions on valuation.

1 Oct

Impact 4 ·

Visa-led Open Standard consortium launched OUSD, a U.S. dollar–pegged stablecoin backed by more than 100 companies, with initial access for Visa, Stripe, Mastercard, and Coinbase. Shopify committed to minting $1 billion of OUSD to seed liquidity. OUSD is live on four blockchains, including Ethereum and Solana, with plans to integrate into member products. The consortium says OUSD aims to address adoption barriers by leveraging a cross-industry distribution network spanning payments, crypto infrastructure, and ecommerce platforms. The move challenges established stablecoins like Tether’s USDT and Circle’s USD Coin. Open Standard will govern the ecosystem behind OUSD. Visa’s stock has risen about 3% over the past 12 months, trading around $360 per share.

Impact 4 ·

Lloyds Banking Group and Visa completed a live pilot testing stablecoin-based settlement to speed cross-border transactions. Over seven days, USD 750,000 of USDC was settled via Archax, a UK-regulated exchange, with Lloyds’ Corporate Markets book in Jersey transferring funds to Visa in the US. Settlements arrived in under an hour, including weekends, highlighting 24/7 settlement potential and improved liquidity visibility versus traditional methods that can take a day or more. The trial evaluated round-the-clock settlement, clearer fund-status information, and more predictable timing for transactions outside standard banking hours. It also tested interoperability across private and public blockchains: Lloyds ran a Canton node with configurable privacy, while Visa supported a settlement on a separate public chain. The effort aims to move beyond theory toward scalable digital money use in international payments.

Impact 3 ·

PM Capital's Global Opportunities Fund added Visa (NYSE:V) in Q2 2026, citing a price disconnect and an attractive entry point into its asset-light, high-visibility cash generation. As of Sept. 30, 2026, Visa traded about $359.33 per share with a $670.89 billion market cap and had a one-month decline of 4.22% while posting a 52-week gain of 2.69%. The fund notes Visa has underperformed recently due to slower cash-to-card tailwinds in developed markets, perceptions of moat erosion, regulatory pressure, and a broader rotation away from quality growth. The stock trades around 21x FY27 earnings, well below its five-year average of 28–30x, a discount PM Capital says is excessive given Visa's earnings durability and growth catalysts. They first bought Visa in 2011 and see upside from regulatory clarity, Value-Added Services growth, and emerging digital-payment tailwinds that could close the valuation gap.

30 Sep

Impact 4 ·

Open Standard launches Open USD (OUSD), a US-dollar stablecoin backed by dollar reserves and issued by Stripe’s Bridge, with Visa, Stripe, Mastercard, Coinbase, BVNK, and Shopify among initial backers. About $1 billion of token supply will be minted to establish immediate liquidity. OUSD operates across Ethereum, Solana, Base, and Tempo, with initial exchange support on Uniswap, Kraken, and Coinbase. Reserves are held by BlackRock, Lead Bank, and BNY, with monthly attestations. The rollout aims to streamline cheaper, faster, programmable settlement within existing payments rails and leverage a favorable regulatory backdrop, but faces a crowded market led by USDT and USDC and uses a partner-reward model to align incentives.

Impact 4 ·

Visa (V) expanded its relationship with AptPay via a direct integration to Visa Direct for real-time payouts. The rollout includes Visa Direct Alias, enabling recipients to receive funds without traditional bank details by using alternative identifiers. AptPay plans to use the Visa Direct connection to support instant disbursements in the U.S., focusing on iGaming and digital-first payout use cases. The move fits into Visa’s broader strategy to monetize the network through real-time payments and value-added services, extending cross-border and money-movement capabilities beyond card spending. Analysts and investors are watching for how management reports volume growth tied to Visa Direct and Alias in upcoming results, with particular attention to the share of payout traffic in iGaming and other digital disbursements. While real-time rails pose risk, the integration reinforces Visa’s high-margin payout utilities as a growing revenue source.

Impact 4 ·

Visa expands Infinite Tastes: Beyond the Menu, its chef-led dining marquee for Visa Infinite cardholders, across 13 Asia Pacific markets. The program offers exclusive experiences beyond the restaurant - market tours, tastings, chef-hosted tables, off-menu creations and one-night-only journeys - curated by a regional collective of chefs and storytellers. Markets include Hong Kong SAR, India, Indonesia, Japan, Mainland China, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam. Notable journeys feature Dave Pynt at People People Brewing Co. in Singapore and Deepanker Khosla’s Terra Ananta retreat in Thailand. The rollout aligns with Visa Infinite's refreshed proposition to deliver personalized experiences and strengthen loyalty among affluent cardholders.

Impact 3 ·

Visa (V) closed 1.79% lower at $359.33, underperforming a market where the S&P 500 fell 0.25% and the Dow dropped 0.86% while the Nasdaq rose 0.24%. The stock is down about 1.82% over the past month, helping the Financial Transaction Services group shed 5.76% versus the S&P 500’s 0.42% decline. Investors await earnings with Q2 consensus of $3.43 per share on $12.07 billion in revenue (up 15.1% and 12.59%, respectively). For the full year, Zacks projects $13.22 per share on $45.83 billion in revenue (about 15.26% and 14.58% gains). Positive estimate revisions support a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy). Valuation shows a forward P/E of 27.67 vs. 13.68 for the industry, and a PEG of 1.95 vs. 0.76; the Financial Transaction Services industry sits in the bottom third (Rank 166 of 250).

Impact 3 ·

Open USD (OUSD), a dollar stablecoin issued by Stripe-owned Bridge and run by Open Standard, launched on Ethereum, Base, Solana, and Stripe's Tempo chain. Unlike typical stablecoins, the reserve yield goes largely to distributors instead of Open Standard, and OUSD mints/redeems at 1:1 with zero fees. Reserves are managed by BlackRock, BNY, and Lead Bank, with monthly attestations promised. The distribution rails run through Stripe, Visa, Mastercard (via BVNK), and Coinbase, with Kraken and Uniswap as day-one trading venues. Open Standard claims 200+ partners, including AmEx, UBS, Shopify, and Western Union; partners earn from the OUSD in circulation and may receive equity in Open Standard. DeFi integrations already consider OUSD as a borrowable asset, signaling possible wholesale adoption and a shift in stablecoin economics.

Impact 3 ·

Apple Pay launches in India with Axis Bank as local partner, enabling Axis Bank customers to add eligible Visa and Mastercard credit cards to the Apple Wallet for payments on iPhone, iPad, and Apple Watch; Mac support coming soon. At launch, only Axis Bank cards on Visa/Mastercard networks are supported; RuPay and several major Indian banks aren’t onboard yet as terms are negotiated. Apple reportedly seeks about 20 basis points per transaction, a meaningful slice of India’s payments mix (40 to 50 bps). The service will be accepted by millions of merchants through PSPs like Cashfree, Juspay, Mswipe, Paytm, PayU, Pine Labs, and Razorpay, including Blinkit, Croma, Ixigo, Reliance brands, Tata 1mg, and Zomato. India’s payments landscape is defined by UPI; Apple Pay competes on card rails rather than bank transfers, with device-based security. Apple Pay now operates in over 90 countries with 11,000+ bank and network partners.

Impact 3 ·

Visa Foundation unveiled a $2 million commitment to strengthen entrepreneurial support organizations (ESOs) that assist U.S. small businesses. Through its first U.S. Request for Proposals, up to 12 eligible 501(c)(3) ESOs can receive grants between $100,000 and $250,000 to expand practical support—training, mentoring, access to capital, technology adoption and growth opportunities. Applications close October 21, 2026, and funding is expected to reach organizations across all 50 states and U.S. territories. The effort complements Visa & Main and aims to bolster networks that help small businesses navigate costs, digital tools and resilience. Visa Foundation President Najada Kumbuli emphasized timely support can change a business trajectory, while Regional President Kim Lawrence noted the importance of the ESOs in communities.

29 Sep

Impact 4 ·

Visa stock advanced about 1.7% over the last week, trading near $368 ahead of October 27 results, close to a high. Growth catalysts include a study showing U.S. intent to use stablecoins for cross-border transfers rising to 56% with bank protections, underscoring trust in Visa’s regulated network. Visa expanded Visa Direct in Saudi Arabia with three major banks, and Saudi central bank approval supports online payments locally; transactions in Saudi rose over 50% year over year. Q3 showed net revenue up 14% to $11.6B and adjusted EPS up 11% to $3.32; quarterly payments volume exceeded $4 trillion, up 10% YoY in constant dollars. A valuation model pegs a $502 target (36.5% upside; 16.7% annualized over 2 years). Costs include $563M severance for about 2,600 jobs; reinvestment goes to stablecoins and agentic commerce. Regulation risk persists in profitability reporting. OpenAI collaboration signals broader AI payments initiatives.

Impact 4 ·

Visa is expanding Visa Direct into the U.S. iGaming market via AptPay’s planned direct integration, with Visa Direct Alias piloted to allow payouts to identifiers such as phone numbers or emails. AptPay’s single integration could simplify payouts, routing, reconciliation, and connectivity for operators, speeding access to winnings and improving user experience. The move widens Visa’s role in real-time money movement beyond traditional card transactions as regulated online gaming grows; U.S. iGaming revenue reached $10.74 billion in 2025 (up 27.6%), and 44% of online bettors prefer digital wallets. No revenue, fee, or volume guidance is provided for Visa or AptPay; near-term earnings impact is unlikely to be material, but increased payout activity could gradually lift Visa’s money-movement and services revenues.

Impact 3 ·

Apple Pay will launch in India later Tuesday with Axis Bank as its first partner, enabling Axis Bank cards on Visa and Mastercard in a limited rollout. RuPay won’t be supported initially, and acceptance will depend on merchants and terminals that have enabled the service. Apple Pay is card-based and requires issuers and infrastructure to integrate, making broad rollout complex. Apple seeks about 20 basis points per transaction — a sizable bite from the 40–50 basis points typical in the payments layer — a sticking point for major Indian banks. HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, and SBI Card aren’t expected to support at launch as terms are negotiated. The move comes as India remains dominated by UPI, but could appeal to iPhone users with premium cards and monetize Apple’s growing Indian user base. Initial use covers online purchases and contactless payments at enabled terminals.

28 Sep

Impact 4 ·

APTPay announced at G2E 2026 that it will directly integrate with Visa Direct, expanding card payouts and piloting Visa Direct Alias in the United States to enable real-time payments to eligible Visa cards and to participating digital wallets. The integration extends AptPay’s multi-rail orchestration platform to support real-time card-based payouts and provides operators with access to eligible cards, accounts, and wallets through a single interface. Visa Direct Alias enables real-time payments to users via aliases such as phone numbers, emails, or wallet handles to participating wallets. The move aligns with rapid growth in U.S. iGaming and the rising demand for digital wallets, with AptPay’s CEO emphasizing speed and accessibility of funds. Note: fund availability depends on banks and regions; Alias pilot status remains U.S.-only.

Impact 3 ·

Mastercard is deepening its SME push in India, piloting One Credential with City Union Bank to link multiple payment relationships to a single tokenized credential. The move aims to simplify payment management and give SMEs more control over funding for business and personal spending. It is backed by Dreamonomics findings: 63% of Indian SMEs want real-time payments, 45% seek flexible digital solutions, and 39% favor a combined credit/debit business card with controls, signaling demand beyond basic payment acceptance. A deeper SME footprint could drive demand for commercial cards, cybersecurity, data services and other value-added offerings, while helping issuing banks cross-sell without issuing separate cards. India offers Mastercard a growth story beyond transactions, as SMEs digitalize workflows; execution will be key, but stronger SME adoption could broaden Mastercard's payment reach and longer-term value-added growth. Visa and AmEx are noted competitors in this space.

Impact 3 ·

Visa disclosed a $405 million deposit into its U.S. litigation escrow on Sept. 18, 2026 under its retrospective responsibility plan, shifting legacy U.S. litigation costs from Class A to Class B and lowering conversion rates for B-1, B-2, and B-3 into Class A stock. The adjustments reduce the combined as-converted Class B share count by about 1.1 million, delivering EPS accretion comparable to open-market share repurchases while diminishing dilution pressure on Class A. In Q3 FY2026, Visa reported $11.6 billion in net revenue (up 14%), $5.6 billion GAAP net income, and returned $6.2 billion to shareholders via buybacks and dividends. Processed transactions rose 10% to 71.7 billion; cross-border volume grew 13%; other revenue jumped 45% to $1.5 billion. Bears caution that the cash outflow and ongoing MDL litigation weigh on liquidity, and rising expenses could compress margins, though the structure supports continued EPS growth amid strong fundamentals and buybacks.

26 Sep

Impact 4 ·

Visa's moat remains the network connecting consumers, merchants, banks and fintechs. In Q3 it processed over $4 trillion in payment volume and 72 billion transactions, underscoring its network effect and high NPS (76 for the third straight year). Beyond card processing, value-added services climbed 34% in constant currency to $3.8 billion, with issuing, acceptance, risk and security growing more than 20% YoY. Visa is expanding into stablecoin infrastructure, tokenized deposits and AI-enabled commerce, including OpenAI partnerships and 150+ AI-powered apps, and it launched its Visa Stablecoin Platform. The bear case: payments could migrate to account-to-account rails, real-time systems, or wallets, reducing reliance on traditional networks. Visa argues trust, security and global acceptance will preserve value even as methods evolve. Wall Street expects healthy double-digit growth ahead, and hedge funds hold notable stakes.

Impact 3 ·

Clark Howard warns Capital One has quietly migrated price-sensitive, no-fee customers to the Discover network, risking occasional declines abroad outside Mexico, Canada, the Caribbean, and the UK. Capital One owns Discover along with PULSE and Diners Club, and says the reissue keeps interchange revenue in-house, driving Global Payment Network volume 156% higher year over year to $189.6 billion in the latest quarter. The move targets low-profit, low-travel customers while continuing to invest in heavy-spender, premium benefits. Discover’s international acceptance is thinner than Visa’s or Mastercard’s, so travelers abroad may face declines unless they carry a Visa or Mastercard backup. Capital One’s stock has fallen about 18% year-to-date as the integration with Discover progresses on a planned 24-month timeline. Before trips, travelers are advised to check card networks, carry a secondary card from another issuer, and review foreign transaction fees."

25 Sep

Impact 4 ·

Visa (V) teams with UPT to deploy Currencycloud for corporate cross-border payments and virtual IBANs, enabling virtual EUR and GBP IBANs for global collections. UPT will use Currencycloud to streamline cross-border flows for business customers across multiple markets, expanding Visa's role as infrastructure for international commerce. This aligns with Visa's broader strategy to deepen value-added services and real-time rails beyond card spending, including cross-border and remittance corridors via Visa Direct. A warning sign: monetization depth and pricing power may be challenged as more real-time rails and alternative networks emerge. Analysts will watch Visa Direct and cross-border volumes in fiscal 2027, particularly B2B and remittance corridors powered by Currencycloud. Overall, the move reinforces Visa's cross-border infrastructure narrative with potential implications for growth and capital allocation.

Impact 3 ·

Visa's growth narrative shifted from the old emphasis on "new flows"—driven by commercial payments and Visa Direct—to a broader "commercial and money movement solutions" framework, with value-added services taking a larger share of growth. New flows revenue grew 22% in constant dollars in Q4 FY2024 and 19% in Q1 FY2025, but the company stopped highlighting it as a separate line; in Q3 2026 that line grew 17% (24% in Q2 2026) under the new label. Value-added services rose 34% to $3.8B in Q3 2026, about a third of net revenue of $11.6B. Agentic commerce and stablecoins have no revenue figures yet, leaving revenue visibility for newer themes unclear. The shift is described as a label change, not a retreat; shares trade around 31x earnings versus 22.4x for the S&P 500, implying persistent growth expectations. Investors should watch Q4 2026 for updates on agentic commerce."

24 Sep

Impact 3 ·

Visa trades around 31x trailing earnings, Amex about 18x, reflecting Visa’s credit-free revenue model versus Amex’s lending risk. Visa generates roughly $44B in revenue and about $22B in profit last year, with ~14% revenue growth and faster EPS, and it is expanding into fraud prevention, stablecoin infrastructure, and AI-driven commerce, including a $2.4B BioCatch deal that hasn’t closed. Amex earns from owning loans, producing about $72B in revenue and $11B in profit, with faster earnings growth and a higher dividend but greater credit risk. Visa’s margin is a structural advantage, yet its valuation already prices in durability. Amex offers higher growth and income but faces credit sensitivity. The conclusion: Visa is the stronger business, but less compelling on valuation; Amex is more attractive for investors willing to take credit risk, with attention to Amex credit provisions when it reports on Oct 23.

Impact 3 ·

Moov Financial is launching a peer-to-peer payments tool, Moov Money, that lets users send and receive money via an eligible debit card and a mobile phone. Developed with Mastercard and Visa, the service enables transfers across apps and banks using the recipient’s contact information, with card details auto-filled to avoid manual entry. Built on Jack Henry’s digital platform, Moov Money will be available through about 1,000 banks and credit unions. Moov CEO Wade Arnold says the product combines the user experience of Cash App and Venmo with broader reach than a single closed network, aiming to bring P2P payments back into bank apps. Moov has raised roughly $125 million in funding, including investments from Bain Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, and Visa.

stockrow.com/V · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com