| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 0.28 |
—
|
| 2025 | 0.30 |
—
|
| 2024 | 0.54 |
—
|
| 2023 | 0.00 |
—
|
| 2022 | 0.00 |
—
|
| 2021 | 0.00 |
—
|
| 2020 | 0.00 |
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 972.02 | 1,468.00 | 795.83 | 1,254.58 |
| Receivables | 29.41 | 26.35 | 38.32 | 35.16 |
| Inventory | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | 445.04 | — |
| 1,103.31 | 1,645.62 | 1,392.35 | 1,385.28 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 86.86 | 84.29 | 83.59 | 84.71 |
| ST’ Debt | 30.37 | 589.64 | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| Other | 3.84 | 3.84 | 6.84 | 6.84 |
| 294.66 | 876.60 | 297.41 | 269.83 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 345.89 | 366.39 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 347.38 | 365.79 | 372.26 | 397.05 |
1,482.48
|
| ’24 | 354.61 | 370.35 | 381.14 | 341.02 |
1,447.12
|
| ’23 | 410.46 | 432.71 | 417.06 | 430.27 |
1,690.49
|
| ’22 | 496.60 | 464.37 | 454.49 | 426.47 |
1,841.93
|
| ’21 | 529.72 | 568.68 | 583.42 | 605.44 |
2,287.25
|
| ’20 | 507.58 | 547.52 | 554.77 | 692.69 |
2,302.56
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 23.04 | 95.06 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 33.04 | 35.34 | 20.59 | 80.21 |
169.19
|
| ’24 | 55.42 | 65.04 | 52.87 | 51.35 |
224.68
|
| ’23 | 65.68 | 110.68 | 78.75 | 65.62 |
320.73
|
| ’22 | 6.83 | 29.54 | 60.37 | 81.14 |
177.88
|
| ’21 | 76.56 | (24.86) | 87.00 | 105.97 |
244.67
|
| ’20 | 76.76 | 114.43 | 109.54 | 171.44 |
472.17
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 20.84 | 92.80 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 29.20 | 31.64 | 3.92 | 33.99 |
98.76
|
| ’24 | 49.31 | 37.58 | 48.86 | 49.82 |
185.56
|
| ’23 | 64.19 | 109.24 | 46.12 | 20.01 |
239.56
|
| ’22 | 3.42 | 26.49 | 56.94 | 79.37 |
166.22
|
| ’21 | 72.71 | (29.37) | 83.54 | 102.83 |
229.71
|
| ’20 | 71.37 | 107.93 | 105.58 | 168.26 |
453.14
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 0.26 | 0.22 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 0.29 | (0.12) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
0.68
|
| ’24 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 0.35 | 0.37 |
1.01
|
| ’23 | 0.28 | 0.39 | 0.38 | 0.33 |
1.39
|
| ’22 | 0.22 | 0.26 | 0.31 | 0.30 |
1.06
|
| ’21 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 0.30 | (3.37) |
(2.26)
|
| ’20 | 0.34 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.46 |
1.48
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 4.10 | 6.23 | 4.79 | 5.12 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 10.95 | 11.54 | 8.19 | 9.22 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,705 | 1,382 | 1,390 | 1,400 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.08 | 1.22 | 1.04 | 1.06 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,841.93 | 1,690.49 | 1,447.12 | 1,482.48 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 41.58% | 41.47% | 38.96% | 37.82% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 294.50 | 373.58 | 250.08 | 237.70 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 15.99% | 22.10% | 17.28% | 16.03% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 214.58 | 274.89 | 142.42 | 115.33 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 16.26 | 11.21 | 8.05 | 11.70 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9.44 | 8.95 | 7.84 | 8.92 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.10 | 1.46 | 1.07 | 0.79 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.91 | 1.70 | 1.22 | 1.02 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.06) | (0.43) | (0.21) | (0.42) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.85 | 1.27 | 1.00 | 0.59 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8.12 | 8.94 | 8.48 | 9.54 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 195.09 | 188.82 | 184.66 | 166.18 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 8.49 | 4.64 | 7.21 | 9.49 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.01 | 0.75 | 0.98 | 0.73 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.17 | 0.75 | 0.91 | 0.69 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.38 | 0.36 | 0.56 | 0.20 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.29 | 2.56 | 4.45 | 3.06 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 177.88 | 320.73 | 224.68 | 169.19 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (11.66) | (81.17) | (39.12) | (70.43) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 166.22 | 239.56 | 185.56 | 98.76 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,012.92 | 808.65 | 769.02 | 1,094.94 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 398.00 | 306.14 | 589.64 | 0.75 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1,155.68) | (665.88) | (878.37) | (795.08) | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,584.79 | 1,688.30 | 1,566.27 | 1,585.10 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8.38% | 12.04% | 5.93% | 5.12% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 34.37% | 19.85% | 19.08% | 15.32% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 13.26% | 16.85% | 8.75% | 7.30% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROE
|
Hello Group Inc. (MOMO), the innovative force behind China’s vibrant social and live-streaming ecosystem, has weathered a stormy decade—from explosive revenue growth topping $2.4 billion in 2019 (64% CAGR) to a leaner $1.45 billion in 2024 amid regulatory squeezes and COVID shocks. Yet, this resilience shines through: a slashed headcount boosted efficiency to $1 million revenue per employee, gross margins stabilized, and operating cash flow stayed positive every year, fueling share buybacks that trimmed shares 11% and built a fortress-like $769 million working capital buffer.
What excites? Rock-bottom valuations screaming opportunity—PE at 7x, PS under 1x, EV/FCF at 4.5x—far cheaper than historical peaks or peers, with debt down 20% and FCF per share at $1.00. Analysts forecast modest revenue upticks to $1.5 billion in 2025 and EPS recovery, but their price targets ignite real fire: mean 900% upside, high over 1,200% from multi-year lows, powered by AI content, tier-2/3 user reactivation, and buyback acceleration.
In China’s dynamic emerging market, MOMO’s cash generation and undervaluation position it for disruptive rebound—potentially 20-30% annual returns for patient growth seekers. Risks like competition and macros loom, but this asymmetric bet on innovation’s comeback demands attention. Dive into the full analysis for the charts, projections, and strategic edge!
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