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Target Price Range
Recommendation Rating
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 5.17 | 13.84 | 28.43 | 31.63 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 16.24 | 33.14 | 59.47 | 61.67 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 465 | 470 | 528 | 568 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.55 | 2.49 | 3.12 | 4.36 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,187.66 | 1,168.77 | 1,647.77 | 2,474.20 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 53.07% | 50.59% | 49.63% | 47.49% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 433.51 | 545.36 | 590.83 | 1,004.67 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 36.50% | 46.66% | 35.86% | 40.61% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 269.54 | 396.96 | 477.52 | 719.06 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 234.86 | 276.43 | 437.70 | 738.90 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 13.52 | 12.48 | 17.18 | 24.14 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 3.07 | 4.28 | 4.98 | 7.02 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.85 | 7.60 | 10.00 | 7.77 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (5.52) | (7.43) | (11.09) | (14.31) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.33 | 0.17 | (1.09) | (6.55) | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9.61 | 13.31 | 16.90 | 24.50 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 87.86 | 93.68 | 95.91 | 102.50 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.68 | 6.71 | 10.89 | 7.00 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | — |
PE Ratio
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.06 | 2.29 | 3.15 | 2.02 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.50 | 2.14 | 3.20 | 1.99 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.32 | 2.63 | 3.56 | 3.07 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.66 | 188.53 | (56.03) | (11.33) | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 689.77 | 712.03 | 959.03 | 796.19 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (485.05) | (695.73) | (1,063.86) | (1,467.13) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Capex
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 204.72 | 16.30 | (104.83) | (670.94) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (60.65) | 66.52 | (5.48) | (140.68) | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 549.33 | 616.06 | 1,448.57 | 3,154.08 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 304.95 | 402.80 | 684.26 | 2,615.68 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 844.06 | 1,247.02 | 1,621.21 | 2,511.59 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 14.48% | 17.12% | 13.98% | 12.68% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 28.78% | 23.92% | 16.95% | 15.25% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 38.25% | 37.97% | 33.30% | 34.80% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Analyst Commentary (Summary)
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. - Sponsored ADR (VIST) Latest News
18 Sep
Vista Energy projects 70% adjusted EBITDA margins for 2026 via shale expansion. Shale expansion targeting 70% EBITDA margins signals major growth potential for Vista Energy.
14 Sep
Mexico-based Vista Energy eyes a buy point as oil prices surge on Middle East conflict. Middle East conflict surges oil prices and positions Vista for significant gains as an energy producer.
19 Aug
Billionaire Peter Thiel acquired a 1% stake in Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. The purchase may increase investor attention and support VIST stock performance through heightened market sentiment. Peter Thiel's 1% stake signals moderate investor interest that may lift short-term sentiment but leaves Vista Energy's core trajectory unchanged.
17 Aug
Peter Thiel reveals stake in Vista Energy triggering jump in VIST stock price. Peter Thiel stake disclosure moderately lifts VIST investor sentiment and near-term valuation.
Thiel Macro led by Peter Thiel acquired shares in Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. Sponsored ADR (VIST) during Q2 2026. Stake purchase by Thiel Macro signals notable investor interest likely to lift short-term market sentiment for VIST.
15 Aug
Peter Thiel acquires a 1% stake in Argentina’s Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. Peter Thiel's 1% stake purchase delivers a major investor endorsement that lifts Vista Energy's market trajectory and sentiment.
31 Jul
Vista Energy missed earnings expectations in its latest report, prompting questions on whether its sponsored ADR stock remains attractive to investors. Earnings miss at Vista Energy may affect short-term stock sentiment and valuation without fundamentally altering company trajectory.
21 Jul
VIST reported Q2 earnings that missed estimates despite year-over-year revenue growth from increased production. Quarterly earnings results can influence short-term stock performance but do not indicate long-term fundamental changes.
17 Jul
Vista Energy SAB de CV posted record revenue and a sharp rise in production during Q2 2026. Record revenue and production growth signal major operational gains that can materially lift financial results and investor outlook.
Vista Energy Q2 results showed higher production volumes and revenue, with management highlighting continued Vaca Muerta drilling and raised full-year output guidance. Q2 earnings beat and raised guidance point to improved near-term financial performance without altering long-term strategy.
30 Jun
Eni acquires stake in Argentina's Vaca Muerta to expand upstream gas portfolio. Eni stake adds competition in Vaca Muerta where Vista operates.
1 Jun
Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. presents growth prospects in energy production and reserves that position VIST as an investment opportunity. Investment analysis may moderately influence market sentiment and short-term trading in VIST without altering core operations.
18 May
Vista Energy missed Q1 earnings expectations due to lower realized commodity prices that reduced revenue and profitability. Q1 earnings miss tied to weaker commodity prices is likely to create moderate near-term pressure on financial results and stock sentiment.
13 May
Higher oil prices are boosting the long-term outlook for Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) stock. Higher oil prices directly improve profitability and market performance for Vista Energy as an oil producer.
Wall Street analysts forecast 29.14% upside for Vista Energy (VIST) stock, questioning if it can realistically achieve this target. Analyst consensus projecting 29.14% upside moderately influences market sentiment and short-term performance.
2 May
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) Q1 earnings call highlights key financial results, production updates, and forward guidance for the quarter. Q1 earnings call highlights detail financial performance and strategic outlook, significantly impacting investor sentiment and stock trajectory.
1 May
Vista Energy SAB de CV (VIST) reported record production and revenue in Q1 2026 earnings call highlights. Record production and revenue signal major operational success driving significant positive impact on future performance and market sentiment.
30 Apr
Momentum in Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. - Sponsored ADR (VIST) is expected to continue. Ongoing momentum signals moderate positive influence on VIST's market performance and investor sentiment.
11 Apr
Vista Energy (VIST) ranks among the most profitable natural gas stocks, positioning it as a top buy due to strong profitability metrics. Identifying VIST as one of the most profitable natural gas stocks positively influences investor sentiment and short-term market performance.
9 Apr
Wall Street analysts forecast 26.74% upside for Vista Energy (VIST) stock. Analyst consensus targets implying 26.74% surge potential could significantly boost investor sentiment and alter stock trajectory.
1 Apr
Analysts raised earnings estimates for Vista Energy (VIST), with upward revisions for current and next quarters boosting Zacks Consensus Estimate. Positive trends in EPS forecasts, strong industry rank, and high Growth Score position VIST as a buy candidate amid favorable market sentiment. Upward earnings estimate revisions signal improved financial outlook, likely driving significant stock price gains and investor interest.
17 Mar
Analysts raised the price target for Vista Energy (VIST) to $66.90, signaling optimism about its future performance. Price target hike indicates positive analyst sentiment likely to influence short-term market performance and investor interest.
9 Mar
Goldman Sachs raised its price target for Vista Energy (VIST) to $66.90 from $53.20. Goldman Sachs' substantial price target increase signals improved analyst outlook, likely influencing short-to-medium term market sentiment and stock performance.
6 Mar
Morgan Stanley expresses bullish outlook on Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST), highlighting strong growth potential in Vaca Muerta shale play amid rising production and favorable market dynamics. Morgan Stanley's bullish initiation on VIST underscores major production ramps and strategic positioning in Vaca Muerta, likely driving significant investor sentiment and stock upside.
5 Mar
Vista Energy's ADR (VIST) stock surges 32% after an investor builds a $7 million stake. Investor’s $7 million stake sparked a 32% stock rally, boosting sentiment and signaling potential for sustained performance gains.
Vista Energy (VIST) Q4 earnings missed estimates due to lower realized crude prices. Earnings miss from lower crude prices moderately affects financial performance but is balanced by broader market oil dynamics.
1 Mar
Vista Energy reported Q4 earnings call highlights, including record production of 80,000 boe/d, 45% YoY revenue growth to $530 million, adjusted EBITDA of $320 million, and optimistic 2024 guidance with 20% production increase. Q4 earnings highlights showcase strong financial growth and production gains, poised to boost investor confidence and stock trajectory.
23 Feb
Vista Energy prepares to report Q4 earnings, with focus on production growth, financial results, and outlook amid Vaca Muerta operations. Pre-earnings anticipation highlights potential shifts in financial performance and production metrics that could drive significant stock volatility and investor reassessment.
4 Feb
Equinor has sold its onshore assets in Argentina to Vista Energy for $1.1 billion. This acquisition is part of Vista's strategy to expand its operations in the region and enhance its production capabilities. The deal is expected to strengthen Vista's position in the Argentine energy market, allowing for increased investment and development in the acquired assets. The acquisition significantly enhances Vista Energy's operational capacity and market position in Argentina.
3 Feb
Equinor has agreed to sell its onshore assets in Argentina to Vista Energy for $1.1 billion. This acquisition is part of Vista's strategy to expand its operations in the region and enhance its production capabilities. The deal is expected to strengthen Vista's position in the Argentine energy market, leveraging Equinor's established assets. The acquisition significantly enhances Vista's operational capacity and market presence in Argentina, likely impacting its future performance.
Vista Energy (VIST), an Argentina-based E&P firm anchored in the Vaca Muerta shale, has staged a stunning turnaround from 2020’s pandemic lows—revenue plunging 34% to $274 million and net losses of $103 million—to 2024 peaks of $1.65 billion revenue, $478 million net income (ROE 33%), and stock highs up 1,478% from $1.80. Surging Brent prices, operational leverage (gross margins 53% in 2022), and efficiency (revenue/employee $3.12 million) fueled 400%+ revenue growth since 2018, with EPS rocketing from -$1.17 to $4.98 and book value/share doubling to $16.90.
Yet valuation metrics like 10.9x PE and 3.15x PS reflect a premium amid froth, with net debt up 70% to $684 million and FCF/share negative (-$1.09) from capex spikes ($1.06 billion). Neutral insider activity underscores execution focus, but Argentina’s inflation, devaluations, and political wild cards loom large.
Projections starkly contrast: 2025 revenue craters 74% to $421 million, EPS to $0.13 amid 145% share dilution, though mean price targets imply 41% upside (high 85%). Milei’s reforms could unlock exports, mirroring Permian booms, but oil below $60/bbl or capex overruns risk repeating past traps—compelling for scaled entries below targets if macros hold.