| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1 |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 0.93 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 0.80 |
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 0.74 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 0.60 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 0.16 |
—
—
|
| 2021 | 0.02 |
—
—
|
| 2020 | 0.02 |
—
—
|
| 2019 | 0.10 |
—
—
|
| 2018 | 0.10 |
—
—
|
| 2017 | 0.10 |
—
—
|
| 2016 | 0.10 |
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 616.16 | — | 368.00 | 620.00 |
| Receivables | 231.17 | 361.00 | 331.00 | 989.00 |
| Inventory | — | — | — | — |
| Other | 56.44 | 49.00 | 83.00 | 145.00 |
| 916.44 | 435.00 | 811.00 | 1,900.00 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 611.60 | 760.00 | 690.00 | 2,367.00 |
| ST’ Debt | — | — | 419.00 | — |
| Other | 22.21 | 29.00 | 60.00 | 306.00 |
| 633.81 | 790.00 | 1,169.00 | 3,089.00 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 1,479.00 | 2,500.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 845.00 | 793.00 | 811.59 | 704.41 |
3,154.00
|
| ’24 | 559.87 | 634.56 | 643.61 | 851.96 |
2,690.00
|
| ’23 | 573.51 | 550.75 | 640.90 | 608.84 |
2,374.00
|
| ’22 | 859.78 | 992.10 | 835.45 | 671.32 |
3,358.65
|
| ’21 | 443.85 | 563.85 | 760.24 | 854.96 |
2,622.89
|
| ’20 | 355.73 | 169.63 | 281.02 | 320.29 |
1,126.67
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 640.00 | 1,103.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 483.00 | 571.00 | 505.09 | 451.91 |
2,011.00
|
| ’24 | 276.00 | 476.38 | 452.26 | 578.36 |
1,783.00
|
| ’23 | 331.63 | 383.25 | 382.99 | 476.12 |
1,574.00
|
| ’22 | 342.09 | 542.57 | 513.37 | 288.38 |
1,686.41
|
| ’21 | 105.62 | 296.40 | 328.12 | 429.63 |
1,159.77
|
| ’20 | 218.13 | 114.34 | 201.61 | 256.86 |
790.94
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 85.00 | 1,246.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 69.00 | 161.00 | 85.85 | 223.15 |
539.00
|
| ’24 | (56.37) | 153.70 | 149.32 | (1,878.65) |
(1,632.00)
|
| ’23 | 90.92 | (14.92) | 145.80 | 253.20 |
475.00
|
| ’22 | 191.97 | 326.95 | 287.26 | 0.29 |
806.47
|
| ’21 | (41.94) | 73.79 | 148.03 | 301.73 |
481.61
|
| ’20 | 78.83 | (56.56) | 85.06 | 135.84 |
243.16
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (1.68) | 4.46 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 1.59 | 1.76 | 1.35 | 0.95 |
5.64
|
| ’24 | 1.13 | 1.82 | 2.09 | 1.64 |
6.67
|
| ’23 | 1.62 | 1.25 | 1.88 | 2.12 |
6.86
|
| ’22 | 0.39 | 2.60 | 3.87 | 2.09 |
8.96
|
| ’21 | (2.19) | (1.88) | 0.69 | 3.43 |
0.29
|
| ’20 | (3.64) | (0.79) | (0.86) | (1.44) |
(6.72)
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 28.91 | 24.66 | 34.76 | 17.58 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 54.97 | 43.73 | 53.26 | 44.95 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 539 | 544 | 663 | 1,241 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.23 | 4.36 | 4.06 | 2.54 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,358.65 | 2,374.00 | 2,690.00 | 3,154.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 81.51% | 76.24% | 76.32% | 71.94% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,395.77 | 914.00 | 966.00 | 830.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 41.56% | 38.50% | 35.91% | 26.32% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,111.95 | 818.00 | 770.00 | 648.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 614.06 | 695.00 | 816.00 | 1,217.00 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 27.45 | 19.95 | 23.39 | 27.43 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 9.09 | 6.89 | 6.71 | 5.65 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 13.78 | 13.23 | 15.50 | 17.49 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (7.19) | (9.24) | (29.70) | (12.80) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.59 | 3.99 | (14.19) | 4.69 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 25.22 | 30.39 | 36.84 | 41.83 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 122.35 | 119.00 | 115.00 | 115.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.53 | 5.64 | 5.78 | 3.31 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.17 | 1.95 | 1.66 | 0.68 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.27 | 1.28 | 1.05 | 0.45 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.50 | 2.36 | 2.05 | 1.43 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.26 | 11.80 | (3.38) | 8.34 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,686.41 | 1,574.00 | 1,783.00 | 2,011.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (879.94) | (1,099.00) | (3,415.00) | (1,472.00) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 806.47 | 475.00 | (1,632.00) | 539.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 138.62 | 282.63 | (355.00) | (358.00) | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,582.21 | 1,575.33 | 2,777.00 | 2,715.00 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,137.21 | 959.17 | 2,777.00 | 2,347.00 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,085.46 | 3,615.85 | 4,237.00 | 4,810.00 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 20.31% | 13.53% | 10.30% | 7.27% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 23.38% | 13.48% | 9.59% | 8.73% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 43.19% | 24.41% | 19.61% | 14.33% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROE
|
SM Energy (SM), a Permian powerhouse, has ridden oil’s wild rollercoaster—crashing to pennies in 2020’s COVID abyss before surging 343% to $55 highs in 2022 amid geopolitical shocks—yet its fundamentals scream undervaluation today. Trading at mid-cap levels with a dirt-cheap 5.8x PE, 1.65x PS, and 1.05x PB, the stock offers 35% mean upside per analysts (high of 170%), backed by stellar efficiency: gross margins over 65%, ROE trajectory from -32% to 20%, and cash flows funding aggressive capex despite recent FCF dips. Insider buys by the CEO and directors at these levels signal conviction amid a 60% pullback from peaks, decoupling from robust 2024 results (13% revenue growth, $6.71 EPS).
Explosive forecasts fuel the bull case: revenue poised to rocket 21% to $3.24B in 2025, then 111% to $6.84B in 2026 via M&A and Permian tailwinds, flipping FCF positive at $900M while ROE holds ~23%. But contrarians beware dilution (shares doubling) and capex overruns could sting if WTI sags below $70—though 70th percentile scenarios still yield 25% returns, skewing risk-reward sharply positive versus XLE. Dive deeper for the full data-driven edge.
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