| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 1.79 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 1.57 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 1.43 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 1.25 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 1.14 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 1.03 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 0.94 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 0.83 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 0.74 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 0.66 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2016 | 0.61 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 13.27 | 63.02 | 17.96 | 10.93 |
| Receivables | 1,969.90 | 2,528.95 | 2,449.40 | 2,589.96 |
| Inventory | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 1,983.18 | 2,591.98 | 2,467.35 | 2,600.89 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 7,667.57 | 9,206.07 | 9,970.92 | 10,447.19 |
| ST’ Debt | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 7,789.57 | 9,327.73 | 10,111.71 | 10,569.37 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 1,358.93 | 1,387.04 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 1,285.19 | 1,326.75 | 1,360.11 | 1,364.89 |
5,336.93
|
| ’24 | 1,164.96 | 1,196.01 | 1,244.31 | 1,256.39 |
4,861.66
|
| ’23 | 999.82 | 1,040.52 | 1,081.08 | 1,110.68 |
4,232.11
|
| ’22 | 846.06 | 864.82 | 895.02 | 952.16 |
3,558.06
|
| ’21 | 803.91 | 840.52 | 865.04 | 869.70 |
3,379.16
|
| ’20 | 664.83 | 682.45 | 776.57 | 798.43 |
2,922.27
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 221.45 | 228.99 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 283.99 | 166.95 | 405.83 | 376.26 |
1,233.02
|
| ’24 | 114.21 | 266.13 | 387.37 | 332.19 |
1,099.89
|
| ’23 | 135.77 | 157.88 | 228.66 | 236.60 |
758.91
|
| ’22 | 92.68 | 150.80 | 241.96 | 316.97 |
802.41
|
| ’21 | 130.26 | 162.20 | 250.85 | 228.12 |
771.42
|
| ’20 | 39.32 | 158.07 | 183.50 | 173.16 |
554.05
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 210.51 | 214.88 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 270.97 | 159.70 | 397.33 | 366.28 |
1,194.28
|
| ’24 | 108.01 | 258.40 | 377.96 | 324.71 |
1,069.08
|
| ’23 | 130.26 | 153.84 | 223.45 | 228.73 |
736.28
|
| ’22 | 85.00 | 144.38 | 234.30 | 312.70 |
776.39
|
| ’21 | 125.70 | 157.27 | 245.22 | 221.08 |
749.26
|
| ’20 | 30.90 | 153.85 | 178.27 | 168.96 |
531.98
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 1.58 | 2.11 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 1.76 | 1.36 | 1.85 | 2.52 |
7.49
|
| ’24 | 1.31 | (1.08) | 1.47 | 1.52 |
3.23
|
| ’23 | 1.48 | 0.92 | 1.42 | 2.01 |
5.84
|
| ’22 | 0.89 | 0.61 | 0.66 | 1.38 |
3.54
|
| ’21 | 1.77 | 1.98 | 1.18 | 1.59 |
6.50
|
| ’20 | 0.25 | 0.57 | 1.16 | 2.10 |
4.09
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 66.81 | 87.66 | 81.00 | 71.75 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 98.80 | 108.18 | 109.58 | 96.49 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,520 | 2,650 | 2,840 | 2,800 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.41 | 1.60 | 1.71 | 1.91 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,558.06 | 4,232.11 | 4,861.66 | 5,336.93 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 40.65% | 41.30% | 34.91% | 40.83% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 280.19 | 458.41 | 258.03 | 589.60 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.87% | 10.83% | 5.31% | 11.05% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 224.89 | 365.24 | 207.01 | 466.41 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 42.34 | 30.04 | 34.80 | 32.67 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 58.90 | 69.80 | 79.87 | 88.04 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 3.54 | 5.84 | 3.23 | 7.49 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 13.28 | 12.52 | 18.07 | 20.34 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.43) | (0.37) | (0.51) | (0.64) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12.85 | 12.14 | 17.56 | 19.70 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 41.84 | 48.73 | 51.26 | 59.53 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 60.41 | 60.63 | 60.87 | 60.62 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 25.33 | 17.17 | 29.04 | 11.17 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.52 | 1.43 | 1.17 | 0.95 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.33 | 2.20 | 1.95 | 1.49 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.70 | 1.59 | 1.30 | 1.15 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.73 | 9.04 | 5.85 | 5.09 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 802.41 | 758.91 | 1,099.89 | 1,233.02 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (26.02) | (22.63) | (30.81) | (38.74) | — | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 776.39 | 736.28 | 1,069.08 | 1,194.28 | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (5,359.08) | (5,806.39) | (6,735.75) | (7,644.36) | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 504.68 | 503.95 | 507.94 | 901.87 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 479.47 | 490.67 | 444.91 | 883.92 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,527.56 | 2,954.38 | 3,120.08 | 3,608.98 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.03% | 3.15% | 1.56% | 3.19% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.42% | 8.84% | 5.03% | 8.89% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8.44% | 14.01% | 6.97% | 14.45% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (SIGI) has carved a resilient path in the cyclical property and casualty insurance landscape, with revenue surging 113% from $2.28 billion in 2016 to $4.86 billion in 2024 at an 11.2% CAGR, fueled by premium growth, acquisitions, and operational efficiencies. This mirrors a tripling of the stock’s trading range from the low-30s to near $110, outpacing the S&P P&C index, while revenue per employee more than doubled to $1.71 million, underscoring superior underwriting discipline. Recent insider activity adds conviction, with net buying at 5.9x sells—including purchases by the CEO and CFO—signaling confidence amid stabilizing shares outstanding.
Profitability reflects industry volatility, with EBT margins contracting to 5.3% in 2024 from 14.9% peaks, yet forecasts herald a rebound: revenue to $5.34 billion in 2025 and $6.16 billion by 2028, EPS rising 21% to $9.05 by 2026, and ROE returning to 14.5%. Free cash flow per share exploded 227% to $17.56, yielding an undervalued 5.9x EV/FCF multiple and ~12% yield, trading at sector discounts on P/E, PS, and PB ratios.
Analysts project 9-11% revenue CAGR through 2028 with ROE-driven book value compounding at 12%, though risks like catastrophe losses, claims inflation, and rising debt loom. A Monte Carlo simulation points to a 65% probability of 15%+ total returns over two years, positioning SIGI as a compelling compounder for patient investors in an insurance cycle poised for normalization.
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