Mercury General Corporation MCY
- Market cap
- $5.4B
- P/E
- 5.9×
Follow MCY
Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free account| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.97 | 51.87 | 41.40 | 46.69 | 33.45 | 50.37 | 27.89 | 26.15 | 36.96 | 44.19 |
Analyst estimates 2026–2028 Powerpack |
Low Price
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| 61.19 | 64.52 | 61.83 | 65.22 | 55.71 | 67.88 | 56.94 | 40.32 | 80.72 | 96.50 |
High Price
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| 4,200 | 4,300 | 4,400 | 4,500 | 4,300 | 4,300 | 4,300 | 4,100 | 4,200 | 4,300 |
Employees
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| 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Revenue/Emp
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| 3,228 | 3,416 | 3,380 | 3,973 | 3,785 | 3,993 | 3,643 | 4,630 | 5,476 | 5,992 |
Revenue
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| 9.60% | 12.17% | 6.84% | 16.73% | 20.12% | 15.02% | (10.26%) | 8.71% | 17.04% | 18.13% |
Gross Margin
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| 71 | 167 | (31) | 378 | 459 | 299 | (671) | 99 | 575 | 664 |
EBT
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| 2.19% | 4.89% | (0.91%) | 9.52% | 12.12% | 7.50% | (18.41%) | 2.15% | 10.50% | 11.07% |
EBT Margin
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| 73 | 145 | (6) | 320 | 375 | 248 | (513) | 96 | 468 | 541 |
Net Income
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| 53 | 55 | 59 | 65 | 68 | 79 | 82 | 72 | 73 | 75 |
Depreciation
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| 58.42 | 61.75 | 61.08 | 71.77 | 68.36 | 72.12 | 65.79 | 83.61 | 98.89 | 108.19 |
Revenue/Sh
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| 1.32 | 2.62 | (0.10) | 5.78 | 6.77 | 4.48 | (9.26) | 1.74 | 8.45 | 9.77 |
Earnings/Sh
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| 5.28 | 6.17 | 6.93 | 9.39 | 10.94 | 9.06 | 6.37 | 8.18 | 18.73 | 19.63 |
Cash Flow/Sh
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| (0.31) | (0.24) | (0.51) | (0.72) | (0.72) | (0.75) | (0.64) | (0.13) | (0.60) | (0.44) |
Capex/Sh
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| 4.97 | 5.93 | 6.42 | 8.66 | 10.22 | 8.31 | 5.73 | 8.06 | 18.13 | 19.19 |
Free CF/Sh
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| 31.72 | 31.84 | 29.23 | 32.51 | 36.72 | 38.66 | 27.49 | 27.96 | 35.15 | 43.64 |
Book Value/Sh
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| 55 | 55 | 55 | 55 | 55 | 55 | 55 | 55 | 55 | 55 |
Shares
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| 45.06 | 19.88 | 0.00 | 8.43 | 7.71 | 11.87 | 0.00 | 21.45 | 7.86 | 9.63 |
PE Ratio
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| 1.02 | 0.84 | 0.85 | 0.68 | 0.76 | 0.74 | 0.52 | 0.45 | 0.67 | 0.87 |
PS Ratio
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| 1.88 | 1.64 | 1.77 | 1.50 | 1.42 | 1.37 | 1.25 | 1.33 | 1.89 | 2.16 |
PB Ratio
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| 1.05 | 0.87 | 0.86 | 0.70 | 0.77 | 0.75 | 0.55 | 0.45 | 0.65 | 0.75 |
EV/Sales
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| 12.33 | 9.02 | 8.21 | 5.79 | 5.15 | 6.47 | 6.34 | 4.68 | 3.52 | 4.20 |
EV/FCF
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| 292 | 341 | 383 | 520 | 606 | 502 | 353 | 453 | 1,037 | 1,087 |
Op' Cash Flow
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| (17) | (13) | (28) | (40) | (40) | (41) | (36) | (7) | (33) | (24) |
Capex
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| 275 | 328 | 355 | 480 | 566 | 460 | 317 | 446 | 1,004 | 1,063 |
FCF
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| (1,732) | (1,853) | (2,039) | (2,396) | (2,552) | (2,868) | (3,337) | (3,427) | (4,040) | (4,008) |
Working Cap'
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| 320 | 371 | 372 | 372 | 373 | 373 | 398 | 574 | 574 | 575 |
Total Debt
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| 100 | 80 | 57 | 78 | 24 | 37 | 109 | 23 | (146) | (741) |
Net Debt
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| 1,752 | 1,761 | 1,618 | 1,800 | 2,033 | 2,140 | 1,522 | 1,548 | 1,947 | 2,417 |
Sh' Equity
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| 1.55% | 2.93% | (0.11%) | 5.65% | 6.13% | 3.79% | (7.72%) | 1.41% | 6.07% | 6.06% |
ROA
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| 2.52% | 6.19% | (0.51%) | 13.15% | 14.45% | 9.08% | (25.05%) | 4.92% | 21.03% | 25.81% |
ROIC
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| 4.09% | 8.25% | (0.34%) | 18.73% | 19.55% | 11.88% | (28.00%) | 6.28% | 26.78% | 24.80% |
ROE
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Mercury General Corporation peers in Insurance Property & Casualty
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|
| RLI RLI Corp. | $5.2B | 11.7× | Compare |
| SIGI Selective Insurance Group, Inc. | $5.1B | 10.7× | Compare |
| WTM White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. | $4.8B | 4.6× | Compare |
| HGTY Hagerty, Inc. | $4.7B | 84.8× | Compare |
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|
| THG The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | $7.6B | 10.3× | Compare |
| KNSL Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. | $7.8B | 13.3× | Compare |
| LMND Lemonade, Inc. | $3.5B | 0.0× | Compare |
| PLMR Palomar Holdings, Inc. | $3.3B | 16.2× | Compare |
Mercury General Corporation (MCY) key facts
- Mercury General Corporation (MCY) is an Insurance Property & Casualty company in the Financial sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
- Mercury General Corporation’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $6.0 billion, up 9.44% from fiscal 2024.
- As of September 25, 2026, MCY traded at $99.41, a market capitalization of $5.4 billion.
- Mercury General Corporation pays an annual dividend of $1.27 per share, a yield of 3.17%, with a payout ratio of 56.5%.
- Return on equity was 24.8% and debt-to-equity 0.33.
Mercury General Corporation (MCY) Latest News
25 Sep
Mercury General Corporation's MCY stock has risen 18.1% over the past year, outpacing the Finance sector, broader market indices, and peers like Cincinnati Financial (CINF), Axis Capital (AXS) and W.R. Berkley (WRB). It trades at $98.29, near its 52-week high of $113.06 and above its 200-day SMA of $97.32, signaling upward momentum. Zacks projects a 2026 EPS up 61.4% on revenue of $6.43 billion (up 9.5%), with 2027 revenues rising 7.4%. The firm notes a 31.9% trailing ROE, well above the industry average, and a 22.1% ROIC, also superior to peers. Cash stands at $1.70 billion; the debt-to-capital ratio is ~16.9% post July debt redemption. A large catastrophe reinsurance program (about $2.79 billion per occurrence) and growing in-force policies support earnings. Zacks ranks MCY #2 Buy with a $120 target, implying ~22.6% upside. Premium growth, stronger underwriting, rising investment income, and enhanced catastrophe protection underpin earnings upside and investor confidence.
Q2 recap for property & casualty stocks shows Mercury General (MCY) delivering a strong quarter but facing investor disappointment. MCY revenue reached $1.68 billion, up 13.8% year over year and beating estimates by about 10.3%, with EPS also ahead of consensus. MCY operates auto insurance through roughly 6,300 independent agents in 11 states, with California remaining a core strength. The broader P&C group beat revenue expectations by 2.3% and projected above-consensus revenue guidance by about 0.9%. Despite the positive results, MCY’s stock fell about 7.8% since reporting, trading around $98.30, suggesting expectations were higher than delivered. The piece notes secular headwinds from catastrophe losses tied to climate change and rising social inflation, even as a hard market could support margins. Lofty expectations eclipsed a solid beat, signaling a modest near-term impact rather than a transformative change.
22 Sep
Mercury Insurance urges homeowners to integrate insurance planning with major remodeling, noting renovations can change replacement costs, liability exposure and how a home is used. Before signing contracts, confirm scope (square footage, pools, ADUs, high-value materials); before construction, verify contractors’ licensing and insurance and clarify responsibilities; if the project changes, update coverage accordingly; when using high-end materials or adding features, reassess replacement cost and potential discounts. After completion, verify replacement-cost estimates, update inventories and records, and discuss any new discounts or liability needs. The guidance comes as Harvard projects about $518 billion in annual homeowner improvements through 2026, highlighting insurance as a ongoing planning consideration, not an afterthought. Mercury stresses talking to an agent early and keeping coverage aligned with the remodeled home. Updates to replacement-cost and liability considerations could broaden coverage and drive higher premiums, but near-term earnings impact is limited.
15 Sep
Mercury General Corporation highlights overlooked opportunities for home insurance savings through adjusted coverage and policy options that remain underutilized by customers. Potential customer acquisition from promoted savings could moderately boost MCY policy volumes without altering core operations.
11 Sep
Mercury General Corporation has two favorable aspects for investors while one factor warrants caution regarding its future performance. Two supporting factors offset by one concern point to moderate effects on MCY trajectory and sentiment.
Mercury General Corporation faces challenges sustaining policy growth amid intensifying auto insurance competition. Competition in auto segment may pressure MCY policy growth and competitive position without fundamentally shifting long-term trajectory.
26 Aug
MCY implements year-round wildfire preparedness initiatives to reduce risks in high-exposure regions, with direct implications for operational resilience and shareholder value. Wildfire preparedness push improves MCY risk controls in core markets but remains incremental rather than transformative for overall trajectory.
25 Aug
Shifting wildfire seasons are altering risk profiles and insurance needs in regions served by Mercury General Corporation. Altered wildfire timing directly raises claims exposure and pricing pressure on Mercury General's property book.
13 Aug
MCY has outperformed industry peers over the past year, raising the possibility of adding the stock for improved returns. Yearly outperformance may lift investor sentiment and share price without altering core operations or long-term trajectory.
5 Aug
Mercury General Corporation's Q2 earnings beat expectations driven by improved underwriting results and premium growth. Q2 earnings beat on underwriting gains and premium growth signals stronger operations likely to lift stock performance and investor outlook.
4 Aug
Mercury General reported impressive Q2 CY2026 results. Strong quarterly earnings directly improve financial outlook and investor sentiment for the insurer.
Mercury General Corporation reported second quarter results and declared a quarterly dividend. Quarterly results and dividend declarations moderately influence short-term financial performance and investor sentiment.
27 Jul
Mercury General Corporation (MCY) qualifies as an incredible growth stock for three reasons. Positive growth stock label may lift investor sentiment and support near-term share performance.
2 Jul
Mercury General gains Russell Growth index inclusions and a new credit facility, potentially bolstering investor interest and liquidity for MCY shares. Index inclusions and added credit access may lift near-term sentiment and flexibility without reshaping core operations.
18 Jun
Fire hazards linked to garage charging equipment raise risks of increased insurance claims and losses for auto and home policies underwritten by Mercury General Corporation. Elevated fire risks from charging devices may increase claims frequency and loss ratios for Mercury General's core insurance lines.
13 Jun
Mercury General posts profit rebound and raises $525M via bond sale, potentially altering MCY investment narrative. Profit rebound and $525M bond issuance may moderately affect MCY financial positioning and investor views without transforming core trajectory.
11 Jun
Mercury General Corporation faces three significant risks that undermine its investment appeal, prompting a recommendation to buy an alternative stock instead. Negative risk analysis on MCY could weigh on short-term investor sentiment and share price without altering core operations.
25 May
Mercury General Corporation (MCY) outperformed its industry over the past year, positioning the stock as a potential addition for improved portfolio returns. MCY's year-long industry outperformance can moderately lift investor sentiment and near-term valuation without altering core operations.
20 May
Mercury General shows improving loss ratios and pricing power that position the insurer for stronger profitability and potential stock gains ahead. Better underwriting margins and rate increases point to meaningful gains in earnings trajectory and investor sentiment.
19 May
Mercury General reports a profit rebound but files a new debt shelf registration, potentially altering its bullish investment case and future financial positioning. Profit rebound and debt shelf registration may moderately shift financial strategies and market perceptions.
14 May
Mercury General Corporation expands wildfire mitigation efforts by deploying BurnBot, an autonomous machine for prescribed burns in high-risk California areas, to proactively reduce wildfire threats, lower insurance claims, and enhance property protection. BurnBot deployment represents a major strategic advancement in wildfire risk management for Mercury General, potentially reducing claims costs and bolstering long-term financial stability in fire-prone markets.
12 May
Mercury Insurance announces strategic investment in BurnBot to advance wildfire mitigation technologies, aiming to reduce risks and make insurance more affordable and available in fire-prone areas. Strategic investment in wildfire mitigation tech directly tackles core insurance risks from climate events, potentially lowering claims costs and enhancing market position in high-risk regions.
7 May
Mercury Insurance and Olympus Insurance partner to expand auto and home bundling in Florida, unlocking new savings for customers. Strategic partnership expands bundled auto-home offerings in key Florida market, boosting MCY's growth and competitiveness.
6 May
Mercury General Q1 earnings and revenues topped estimates, with premiums rising year-over-year. Q1 earnings beat and premium growth signal strong financial performance likely enhancing stock trajectory and investor sentiment.
Embers from wildfires travel miles and cause most home ignitions, driving the evolution of defensible space practices. Evolving defensible space amid ember-driven ignitions affects wildfire risk assessment and property insurance operations for MCY.
5 May
Mercury General (MCY) beat Q1 earnings and revenue estimates. Beating Q1 earnings and revenue estimates signals robust financial performance, likely driving positive investor sentiment and stock price gains.
Mercury General (NYSE:MCY) delivered impressive Q1 CY2026 results. Impressive quarterly earnings indicate strong financial performance boosting future outlook and investor sentiment.
Mercury General Corporation announced first quarter results and declared a quarterly dividend. Quarterly earnings results and dividend declaration directly affect financial performance, stock price, and investor sentiment.
4 May
Slowing revenue forecasts for Mercury General Corporation (MCY) prompt questions on whether they will disrupt the company's capital efficiency narrative amid ongoing performance scrutiny. Slowing revenue forecasts pose a moderately noticeable risk to MCY's financial trajectory and investor perception of capital efficiency.
Mercury General Corporation (MCY) nears Q1 earnings release, with investors focusing on net premiums earned, catastrophe losses, combined ratio, expense ratio, investment income, and EPS amid competitive insurance pressures. Q1 earnings preview shapes expectations for MCY's financial results and short-term stock sentiment.