Saturday 17 October 2026
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The Progressive Corporation
PGR Financial Insurance Property & Casualty
The Progressive Corporation’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $87.7 billion, up 16.3% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to September 2026, revenue fell 3.61%, EPS grew 4.80%, free cash flow fell 12.3% and total debt rose 21.7%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Member of the S&P 500; revenue growth for ten consecutive years, operating cash flow growth for three.
218.49
4.74
+2.22%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Trend | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Price, $ | Low | 29.32 | 35.23 | 50.79 | 58.10 | 62.18 | 84.89 | 100.81 | 111.41 | 159.34 | 199.90 |
Analyst estimates 2026–2028 Powerpack |
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| High | 35.95 | 57.18 | 73.69 | 84.96 | 102.05 | 107.59 | 134.50 | 165.57 | 270.62 | 292.99 | |||||
| People | |||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | 31,721 | 33,656 | 37,346 | 41,571 | 43,326 | 49,000 | 55,100 | 61,400 | 66,308 | 70,053 | ||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | 0.74 | 0.80 | 0.86 | 0.94 | 0.98 | 0.97 | 0.90 | 1.01 | 1.14 | 1.25 | |||||
| Income, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 23,441 | 26,839 | 31,979 | 39,022 | 42,658 | 47,702 | 49,611 | 62,109 | 75,372 | 87,671 | ||||
| Gross margin, % | 7.36 | 9.04 | 10.91 | 14.23 | 17.85 | 9.87 | 3.45 | 8.93 | 15.21 | 17.18 | |||||
| EBT | 1,471 | 2,139 | 3,164 | 5,160 | 7,173 | 4,210 | 922 | 4,904 | 10,713 | 14,223 | |||||
| EBT margin, % | 6.27 | 7.97 | 9.89 | 13.22 | 16.82 | 8.83 | 1.86 | 7.90 | 14.21 | 16.22 | |||||
| Net income | 1,057 | 1,598 | 2,621 | 3,980 | 5,705 | 3,351 | 722 | 3,903 | 8,480 | 11,308 | |||||
| Depreciation | 277 | 322 | 297 | 339 | 433 | 468 | 281 | 326 | 254 | 189 | |||||
| Per share, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 40.30 | 46.21 | 54.91 | 66.84 | 72.93 | 81.61 | 84.89 | 106.19 | 128.73 | 149.53 | ||||
| Earnings | 1.77 | 2.74 | 4.45 | 6.75 | 9.71 | 5.69 | 1.19 | 6.61 | 14.45 | 19.29 | |||||
| Cash flow | 4.70 | 6.47 | 10.79 | 10.73 | 11.81 | 13.28 | 11.72 | 18.20 | 25.82 | 29.93 | |||||
| Capex | (0.36) | (0.24) | (0.44) | (0.53) | (0.34) | (0.30) | (0.44) | (0.35) | (0.36) | (0.46) | |||||
| Free cash flow | 4.34 | 6.23 | 10.35 | 10.19 | 11.46 | 12.98 | 11.28 | 17.85 | 25.47 | 29.47 | |||||
| Book value | 13.68 | 15.99 | 18.58 | 23.42 | 29.13 | 31.19 | 27.19 | 34.67 | 43.71 | 51.72 | |||||
| Shares, m | 582 | 581 | 582 | 584 | 585 | 585 | 584 | 585 | 586 | 586 | |||||
| Valuation, × | |||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 20.07 | 20.35 | 13.56 | 10.72 | 10.19 | 18.04 | 109.36 | 24.49 | 16.59 | 11.81 | ||||
| P/S | 0.88 | 1.20 | 1.10 | 1.08 | 1.36 | 1.26 | 1.53 | 1.52 | 1.86 | 1.52 | |||||
| P/B | 2.60 | 3.46 | 3.40 | 3.21 | 3.50 | 3.38 | 4.94 | 4.78 | 5.48 | 4.40 | |||||
| EV/Sales | 1.01 | 1.31 | 1.23 | 1.19 | 1.48 | 1.36 | 1.66 | 1.63 | 1.95 | 1.60 | |||||
| EV/FCF | 9.35 | 9.73 | 6.55 | 7.80 | 9.42 | 8.53 | 12.47 | 9.71 | 9.86 | 8.12 | |||||
| Cash, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | 2,733 | 3,757 | 6,285 | 6,262 | 6,906 | 7,762 | 6,849 | 10,643 | 15,119 | 17,548 | ||||
| Capex | (209) | (140) | (257) | (310) | (202) | (177) | (257) | (205) | (208) | (268) | |||||
| Free cash flow | 2,524 | 3,616 | 6,028 | 5,951 | 6,704 | 7,584 | 6,592 | 10,438 | 14,911 | 17,280 | |||||
| Balance, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | (15,107) | (17,500) | (21,866) | (25,373) | (29,098) | (33,267) | (36,716) | (44,373) | (53,973) | (66,236) | ||||
| Total debt | 3,148 | 3,306 | 4,405 | 4,407 | 5,396 | 4,899 | 6,388 | 6,889 | 6,893 | 6,897 | |||||
| Net debt | 2,922 | 3,031 | 4,330 | 4,180 | 5,320 | 4,697 | 6,167 | 6,789 | 6,739 | 6,759 | |||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 7,957 | 9,285 | 10,822 | 13,673 | 17,039 | 18,232 | 15,891 | 20,277 | 25,591 | 30,323 | |||||
| Returns, % | |||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 3.26 | 4.41 | 6.08 | 7.77 | 9.54 | 4.92 | 0.95 | 4.71 | 8.71 | 9.89 | ||||
| ROIC | 9.92 | 12.31 | 14.39 | 19.44 | 21.29 | 12.83 | 4.21 | 12.81 | 22.17 | 25.39 | |||||
| ROE | 13.52 | 18.47 | 26.45 | 33.55 | 38.20 | 19.39 | 4.19 | 21.97 | 37.30 | 40.45 | |||||
Negative figures in brackets.
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Sep 2026 · fundamentals updated 15 Oct 2026
Charts ten years each
The Progressive Corporation vs peers in Insurance Property & Casualty (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB Chubb Limited | $136.1B | 12.6× | 12.5× | +6.61% (above 0%: growing) | −0.67% (below 0%: shrinking) | +5.04% (above 0%: growing) | 30.84% | 24.23% | Compare |
| PGR The Progressive Corporation | $124.2B | 10.9× | 12.6× | −3.61% (below 0%: shrinking) | +4.80% (above 0%: growing) | −12.25% (below 0%: shrinking) | 100.00% | 100.00% | |
| TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. | $80.1B | 10.3× | 10.8× | +0.31% (above 0%: growing) | +57.01% (above 0%: growing) | −18.13% (below 0%: shrinking) | 51.27% | 23.70% | Compare |
| ALL The Allstate Corporation | $60.6B | 4.9× | 8.0× | +11.80% (above 0%: growing) | +61.07% (above 0%: growing) | +38.26% (above 0%: growing) | 46.58% | 22.83% | Compare |
| WRB W.R. Berkley Corporation | $27.5B | 15.3× | 14.2× | +1.23% (above 0%: growing) | +14.85% (above 0%: growing) | +6.14% (above 0%: growing) | 47.24% | 16.33% | Compare |
| CINF Cincinnati Financial Corporation | $25.7B | 8.0× | 19.7× | +31.59% (above 0%: growing) | +85.84% (above 0%: growing) | −5.29% (below 0%: shrinking) | 37.46% | 37.20% | Compare |
| MKL Markel Group Inc. | $22.6B | 10.1× | 12.8× | +12.67% (above 0%: growing) | +86.91% (above 0%: growing) | −15.25% (below 0%: shrinking) | 62.92% | 30.09% | Compare |
| L Loews Corporation | $22.2B | 13.5× | 16.0× | +3.93% (above 0%: growing) | +15.51% (above 0%: growing) | −18.81% (below 0%: shrinking) | 54.18% | 15.10% | Compare |
| AIZ Assurant, Inc. | $13.9B | 13.4× | 12.9× | +9.37% (above 0%: growing) | +30.00% (above 0%: growing) | +99.03% (above 0%: growing) | 78.34% | 11.73% | Compare |
| Median of peers | $26.6B | 11.4× | 12.9× | +7.99% | +43.51% | −0.13% | 49.26% | 23.27% |
PGR metrics, ten years each
- Revenue
- Net income
- EPS (diluted)
- EBITDA
- Free cash flow
- Operating cash flow
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
- Free cash flow margin
- P/E ratio
- P/S ratio
- P/B ratio
- Price to free cash flow
- Return on equity
- Return on assets
- Return on invested capital
- Debt to equity
- Current ratio
- Total debt
- Shares outstanding
- Book value per share
- Revenue growth
- Piotroski F-score
The Progressive Corporation (PGR) key facts
- Strength: The Progressive Corporation’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $87.7 billion, up 16.3% from fiscal 2024.
- Strength: Net income was $11.3 billion, or $19.29 per share (basic), a net margin of 12.9%.
- The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is an Insurance Property & Casualty company in the Financial sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
- As of October 16, 2026, PGR traded at $218.49, a market capitalization of $124.2 billion.
- At that price the stock trades at 10.9× trailing-twelve-month earnings and 1.4× sales; its P/E is higher than 15% of its own readings over the past ten years.
- The Progressive Corporation pays an annual dividend of $13.90 per share, a yield of 6.36%, with a payout ratio of 70.0%.
- Return on equity was 40.5% and debt-to-equity 0.24.
- Its Piotroski F-score is 6 out of 9 for fiscal 2025.