Saturday 17 October 2026
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Octave Specialty Group, Inc.
OSG Financial Insurance Specialty
In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 51.0%, EPS grew 78.6%, free cash flow fell 576.1% and total debt rose 3.64%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Revenue growth for three consecutive years; insiders bought in the last twelve months.
4.66
0.06
+1.30%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Trend | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Price, $ | Low | 11.92 | 13.17 | 13.96 | 14.44 | 8.74 | 13.09 | 7.24 | 11.26 | 10.12 | 5.99 |
Analyst estimates 2026–2028 Powerpack |
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| High | 27.25 | 23.55 | 23.34 | 21.95 | 22.90 | 18.63 | 17.59 | 17.75 | 18.45 | 12.84 | |||||
| People | |||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | 154 | 124 | 113 | 93 | 125 | 132 | 155 | 178 | 380 | 275 | ||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | 3.29 | 5.02 | 4.52 | 5.33 | 1.25 | 2.14 | 0.35 | 0.70 | 0.62 | 0.91 | |||||
| Income, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 507 | 622 | 511 | 496 | 156 | 282 | 54 | 125 | 236 | 251 | ||||
| Gross margin, % | 79.72 | (2.09) | 143.84 | 97.38 | (44.23) | 131.21 | 78.35 | 62.10 | 59.17 | 74.93 | |||||
| EBT | 105 | (284) | 273 | (183) | (440) | 2 | (36) | (24) | (60) | (101) | |||||
| EBT margin, % | 20.72 | (45.66) | 53.42 | (36.90) | (282.05) | 0.71 | (66.60) | (19.42) | (25.38) | (40.21) | |||||
| Net income | 74 | (329) | 186 | (216) | (437) | (16) | (35) | (23) | (59) | (96) | |||||
| Depreciation | 26 | (31) | (29) | 232 | 43 | 44 | (3) | 5 | 20 | 42 | |||||
| Per share, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 11.21 | 13.71 | 11.19 | 10.79 | 3.38 | 6.06 | 1.17 | 2.73 | 5.02 | 5.32 | ||||
| Earnings | 1.66 | (7.25) | 4.07 | (4.69) | (9.47) | (0.34) | 11.48 | 0.18 | (10.71) | (5.93) | |||||
| Cash flow | 18.36 | (4.87) | (33.79) | (6.77) | (3.79) | (2.82) | 1.54 | 0.81 | 0.02 | (1.11) | |||||
| Capex | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |||||
| Free cash flow | 18.36 | (4.87) | (33.79) | (6.77) | (3.79) | (2.82) | 1.54 | 0.81 | 0.02 | (1.11) | |||||
| Book value | 43.75 | 36.26 | 35.76 | 33.42 | 24.70 | 23.60 | 28.54 | 31.00 | 21.21 | 17.66 | |||||
| Shares, m | 45 | 45 | 46 | 46 | 46 | 47 | 46 | 46 | 47 | 47 | |||||
| Valuation, × | |||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 13.74 | 0.00 | 4.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.45 | 177.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||
| P/S | 2.01 | 1.16 | 1.54 | 2.00 | 4.55 | 2.65 | 14.29 | 5.89 | 2.52 | 1.46 | |||||
| P/B | 0.52 | 0.44 | 0.48 | 0.64 | 0.62 | 0.68 | 0.59 | 0.52 | 0.60 | 0.44 | |||||
| EV/Sales | 26.03 | 21.30 | 17.42 | 16.71 | 50.68 | 25.43 | 83.03 | 33.60 | 17.86 | 2.25 | |||||
| EV/FCF | 15.89 | (59.95) | (5.77) | (26.64) | (45.18) | (54.73) | 63.26 | 113.42 | 5,526.10 | (10.83) | |||||
| Cash, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | 830 | (221) | (1,543) | (311) | (175) | (131) | 70 | 37 | 1 | (52) | ||||
| Capex | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||||
| Free cash flow | 830 | (221) | (1,543) | (311) | (175) | (131) | 70 | 37 | 1 | (52) | |||||
| Balance, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | (4,422) | (4,111) | (299) | 15 | (138) | (48) | (927) | (119) | (289) | (98) | ||||
| Total debt | 12,270 | 13,152 | 8,198 | 7,376 | 7,232 | 6,446 | 3,746 | 3,475 | 150 | 118 | |||||
| Net debt | 12,174 | 12,528 | 8,115 | 7,295 | 7,197 | 6,423 | 3,685 | 3,456 | 103 | 49 | |||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 1,978 | 1,645 | 1,633 | 1,536 | 1,140 | 1,098 | 1,305 | 1,415 | 996 | 833 | |||||
| Returns, % | |||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 0.32 | (1.44) | 0.98 | (1.55) | (3.29) | (0.13) | 5.15 | 0.04 | (6.75) | (5.09) | ||||
| ROIC | 1.01 | (0.72) | 3.31 | 0.60 | (1.63) | 1.69 | (0.23) | 0.07 | (0.55) | (3.21) | |||||
| ROE | 3.80 | (18.16) | 11.35 | (13.63) | (32.66) | (1.52) | 43.50 | 0.27 | (46.16) | (28.61) | |||||
Negative figures in brackets.
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026
Charts ten years each
Octave Specialty Group, Inc. vs peers in Insurance Specialty (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGO Assured Guaranty Ltd. | $3.1B | 9.5× | 11.8× | −30.60% (below 0%: shrinking) | −57.89% (below 0%: shrinking) | −48.72% (below 0%: shrinking) | 97.95% | 42.05% | Compare |
| NMIH NMI Holdings Inc | $3.0B | 7.9× | 7.1× | +8.12% (above 0%: growing) | +13.82% (above 0%: growing) | +10.69% (above 0%: growing) | 93.00% | 76.67% | Compare |
| EIG Employers Holdings Inc | $906.1M | 73.2× | 18.2× | −10.60% (below 0%: shrinking) | +29.03% (above 0%: growing) | −1,111.11% (below 0%: shrinking) | 16.35% | 16.35% | Compare |
| TIPT Tiptree Financial Inc. | $618.6M | 1.5× | — (loss-making) | +64.86% (above 0%: growing) | +1,976.00% (above 0%: growing) | +179.79% (above 0%: growing) | 100.00% | 0.00% | Compare |
| ITIC Investors Title Company | $544.0M | 13.5× | 5.6× | +17.45% (above 0%: growing) | +19.05% (above 0%: growing) | −18.47% (below 0%: shrinking) | 55.58% | 22.48% | Compare |
| AMSF AMERISAFE, Inc. | $464.1M | 10.1× | 16.0× | +13.42% (above 0%: growing) | +8.22% (above 0%: growing) | +118.79% (above 0%: growing) | 29.93% | 19.86% | Compare |
| MBI MBIA, Inc. | $224.0M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | +17.39% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | −500.00% (below 0%: shrinking) | 66.67% | 22.22% | Compare |
| OSG Octave Specialty Group, Inc. | $207.2M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | +51.02% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | −576.08% (below 0%: shrinking) | 76.26% | (0.47%) | |
| JRVR James River Group Holdings, Ltd. | $171.6M | 7.5× | 5.5× | −7.72% (below 0%: shrinking) | +66.67% (above 0%: growing) | −124.07% (below 0%: shrinking) | 38.58% | 9.26% | Compare |
| Median of peers | $581.3M | 9.5× | 9.4× | +10.77% | +19.05% | −33.59% | 61.13% | 21.04% |
Octave Specialty Group, Inc. (OSG) key facts
- Octave Specialty Group, Inc. (OSG) is an Insurance Specialty company in the Financial sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
- As of October 16, 2026, OSG traded at $4.66, a market capitalization of $207.2 million.
- Octave Specialty Group, Inc. does not currently pay a dividend.
- Return on equity was −28.6% and debt-to-equity 0.19.
- Its Piotroski F-score is 5 out of 9 for fiscal 2025.
Octave Specialty Group, Inc. (OSG) Latest News
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