HCI Group, Inc. HCI

174.94 (1.95) (1.10%) as of 25 Sep
Market cap
$2.2B
P/E
7.3×
Growth Flags show if company had growth for consecutive years

Insider Decisions

in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — — — — — — — — — — — —
Insider Ownership 13.44%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap 2,200.00
Revenue 952.13
Net Income 343.83
Free Cash Flow 409.37
Net Debt (809.25)
Current Ratio 0.69
Debt/Equity 0.06
P/E ratio 7.30
P/S ratio 2.25
P/B ratio 1.83
Past 5Y EPS Growth 21.85%
This Y EPS Growth (15.79%)
Next Y EPS Growth 0.29%
Next 5Y EPS Growth (5.83%)
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio 7.62
Annual Dividend Rate 1.60
Annual Dividend Yield 1.76%
total individual payouts
2028 Powerpack
2027 Powerpack
2026 1.60
0.40
0.40
0.40
2025 1.60
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
2024 1.60
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
2023 1.60
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
2022 1.60
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
2021 1.60
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
2020 1.60
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
2019 1.60
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
2018 1.48
0.35
0.38
0.38
0.38
2017 1.40
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.35
2016 1.20
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 540 536 1,214 877
Receivables 153 51 59 79
Inventory — — — —
Other — — — —
692 587 1,273 956
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 1,099 1,454 1,249 1,257
ST’ Debt — 44 36 36
Other — — — —
1,119 1,549 1,347 1,376
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales 12.16% 23.75% 21.72%
Cash Flow 25.66% 41.88% 0.00%
Earnings 16.47% 61.50% 0.00%
Book Value 16.67% 40.76% 90.30%

Revenue

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 243 247 — — —
’25 216 222 216 246 901
’24 207 206 175 162 750
’23 129 127 132 163 551
’22 127 126 127 120 500
’21 95 102 99 112 408
’20 55 81 104 70 310
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Operating Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 149 125 — — —
’25 162 145 27 111 444
’24 182 (29) 104 75 332
’23 99 (93) 71 153 231
’22 57 (36) (40) 18 0
’21 36 60 (47) 48 97
’20 55 55 (32) 0 77
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Free Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 148 125 — — —
’25 160 144 26 110 441
’24 181 (30) 103 74 328
’23 98 (94) 67 152 222
’22 52 (38) (41) 17 (10)
’21 35 59 (48) 47 93
’20 55 50 (33) (1) 71
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

EPS

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 5.45 5.60 — — —
’25 5.35 5.18 4.90 7.25 22.72
’24 3.81 4.24 0.52 0.23 8.89
’23 1.54 1.28 1.34 3.40 7.62
’22 0.09 (1.04) (5.66) 0.18 (6.24)
’21 0.75 0.24 (0.72) 0.01 0.21
’20 0.07 0.92 1.70 0.26 2.85
fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

1.7
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
24.35 27.11 29.88 36.72 31.61 51.61 27.65 38.49 81.35 106.89

Analyst estimates 2026–2028

Powerpack
Low Price
40.45 50.93 59.32 51.93 62.93 139.80 86.97 90.81 126.50 210.50
High Price
246 334 387 413 436 513 578 547 552 594
Employees
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
Revenue/Emp
264 244 231 242 310 408 500 551 750 901
Revenue
36.73% 16.00% 35.89% 38.13% 31.10% 21.24% 4.63% 37.28% 36.79% 59.57%
Gross Margin
47 (16) 27 36 37 11 (68) 118 173 429
EBT
17.72% (6.39%) 11.63% 14.89% 11.90% 2.75% (13.70%) 21.36% 23.12% 47.65%
EBT Margin
29 (7) 18 27 28 7 (55) 89 128 320
Net Income
6 11 12 9 9 6 7 4 1 9
Depreciation
28.36 28.56 29.36 31.99 42.23 50.41 56.66 65.81 75.03 77.17
Revenue/Sh
2.95 (0.75) 2.34 3.32 3.55 0.23 (6.24) 9.13 10.59 24.58
Earnings/Sh
9.47 1.94 3.63 7.13 10.52 11.93 0.00 27.57 33.19 38.07
Cash Flow/Sh
(0.09) (0.35) (0.33) (0.38) (0.88) (0.41) (1.15) (0.99) (0.40) (0.31)
Capex/Sh
9.37 1.60 3.30 6.75 9.64 11.52 (1.15) 26.58 32.79 37.76
Free CF/Sh
26.14 22.67 23.03 24.48 27.36 40.10 18.29 39.10 46.75 95.19
Book Value/Sh
9 9 8 8 7 8 9 8 10 12
Shares
13.22 0.00 21.71 13.75 14.73 232.06 0.00 9.21 10.87 7.80
PE Ratio
1.38 1.11 1.73 1.43 1.24 1.66 0.70 1.34 1.55 2.48
PS Ratio
1.49 1.39 2.21 1.86 1.91 2.08 2.17 2.26 2.49 2.01
PB Ratio
0.84 1.03 1.77 1.19 0.42 0.26 0.68 0.77 1.14 1.21
EV/Sales
2.54 17.58 16.18 5.78 1.88 1.14 (33.32) 1.91 2.63 2.49
EV/FCF
88 17 29 54 77 97 0 231 332 444
Op' Cash Flow
(1) (3) (3) (3) (6) (3) (10) (8) (4) (4)
Capex
87 14 26 51 71 93 (10) 222 328 441
FCF
46 (77) (112) (163) (18) 46 (995) (427) (962) (74)
Working Cap'
139 238 250 173 180 61 212 208 229 68
Total Debt
(142) (19) 10 (56) (253) (571) (26) (331) (307) (1,146)
Net Debt
244 194 181 186 201 325 161 327 467 1,111
Sh' Equity
4.20% (0.85%) 2.20% 3.07% 3.00% 0.17% (3.69%) 4.37% 5.24% 12.06%
ROA
29.16% (5.55%) 8.78% 17.48% 0.00% 0.00% (31.63%) 0.00% 67.57% 0.00%
ROIC
11.41% (2.93%) 9.82% 13.69% 13.51% 0.70% (22.66%) 32.36% 26.64% 36.36%
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026

HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) key facts

  • HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) is an Insurance Property & Casualty company in the Financial sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
  • HCI Group, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $900.9 million, up 20.1% from fiscal 2024.
  • As of September 25, 2026, HCI traded at $174.94, a market capitalization of $2.2 billion.
  • HCI Group, Inc. pays an annual dividend of $1.60 per share, a yield of 1.76%.
  • Return on equity was 36.4% and debt-to-equity 0.06.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

25 Sep

3

Universal Insurance Holdings (UVE) has rallied about 63% over the past year, trading near a 52-week high of $45.45 and above its 200-day moving average of $40.14, signaling strong momentum. The rally reflects improving underwriting margins, premium and policy growth, and consistent earnings beats, backed by a favorable Florida homeowners market and a stronger reinsurance program that lowers catastrophe risk. In Q2 2026, direct premiums written rose 4.1% year over year, with outside-Florida growth of 14.4% outpacing Florida’s 0.8%. UVE also tightened risk—ceded premium ratio fell to 30.8% on a multi-year reinsurance program of $352 million—and posted a solid capital position, including a book value per share of $22.89 (up 39.7%), ROCE of 33.2%, and a 16-cent quarterly dividend after repurchasing 4.5 million shares. Valuation remains premium to the industry (P/B 1.85x, vs. 1.41x). HCI Group is cited as a peer in a mixed regional-insurer landscape. Florida reforms and stronger underwriting profitability in UVE could modestly influence sentiment and profitability for Florida-based peers like HCI.

22 Sep

3

HCI Group reported Q2 revenue of $246.7 million, up 11.1% year over year, beating consensus on revenue by 2.5% but missing analysts' book value per share estimates. Net premiums earned exceeded expectations while BVPS was below forecasts. The stock rose about 1.8% to $184.16 after the release. The piece notes HCI in a mixed Q2 for property and casualty insurers amid cyclical market dynamics, rising catastrophe costs, and social inflation, alongside other P&C names like Essent, Radian, American Financial, and The Hanover. Q2 results provide moderate positive signal but a BVPS miss limits upside.

21 Sep

3

HCI Group closed at $184.19, down 1.85% as the S&P 500 rose 1.49%. Over the past month, shares gained 2.82%, outperforming the Finance sector’s losses. The property and casualty insurer is set to report next quarter with an expected EPS of $3.55, down about 27.6% year over year, and revenue of $248.59 million, up 14.9%. For the full year, Zacks Consensus calls for $20.08 per share in earnings on $980.44 million in revenue, reflecting roughly -11.6% earnings and +8.8% revenue versus last year. The piece notes that estimate revisions often drive near-term momentum; HCI carries a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy). Valuation sits at a forward P/E of 9.35, below the industry’s 11.27, with the Insurance-P&C industry ranking 71st of 250. EPS is expected to decline year over year while revenue rises, and a Buy rating with a cheaper forward P/E suggests modest near-term impact.

18 Sep

3

HCI Group earnings outpace premium growth and shape investor reactions to the company's results. Earnings growth exceeding premiums signals stronger profitability and may lift near-term stock sentiment.

3 Sep

3

HCI Group's earnings growth exceeds surface-level indications. Reported earnings acceleration supports stronger financial trajectory for HCI.

25 Aug

3

Earnings estimates for HCI Group are rising, potentially indicating stronger future performance and possible stock gains. Rising earnings estimates can moderately lift investor sentiment and influence HCI stock trajectory without major strategic shifts.

17 Aug

3

HCI Group may be undervalued by 25% following share buybacks and second quarter results. Buybacks and quarterly results signal moderate valuation shift with limited long-term trajectory change.

16 Aug

4

HCI Group reported strong Q2 earnings and completed a buyback, potentially shifting its bull case. Strong Q2 results plus completed buyback improve financial standing and shareholder returns.

8 Aug

3 transcript

HCI Group held its Q2 earnings call, reporting revenue and net income figures along with operational updates and forward guidance for its insurance and real estate businesses. Q2 earnings call delivers financial results and outlook that moderately shape near-term investor sentiment and valuation.

7 Aug

4

HCI Group Inc posted strong pre-tax income in Q2 2026 with strategic initiatives supporting operational gains and market positioning. Strong pre-tax income and strategic moves signal major positive shifts in financial trajectory and investor outlook.

6 Aug

4

HCI Group reported second quarter 2026 financial results. Quarterly earnings directly shape investor views and stock price for HCI.

3

HCI Group reported Q2 earnings with key metrics compared to estimates. Q2 earnings metrics versus estimates provide insight into financial performance.

3

HCI Group's Q2 CY2026 sales beat estimates. Quarterly sales exceeding estimates signals stronger revenue performance than projected.

3

HCI Group reported its second quarter 2026 financial results. Quarterly results update financial metrics that can shift near-term investor sentiment without guaranteeing major strategic shifts.

1 Aug

3

Earnings optimism reframes HCI Group's technology-led insurance investment narrative and may shift focus to the company's tech-driven strategies. Earnings optimism can influence market sentiment toward HCI's insurance technology investments without fundamentally changing company trajectory.

27 Jul

3

HCI Group exhibits operational strengths and favorable trends that position it to surpass earnings estimates in the next quarter, supporting continued positive momentum for the insurer. Anticipated earnings beat for HCI Group may lift near-term stock sentiment without altering long-term fundamentals.

24 Jul

4

HCI Group (HCI) upgraded to Strong Buy rating. Strong Buy upgrade signals major positive shift in analyst view likely to boost HCI stock performance and sentiment.

14 Jul

3

HCI Group stock remains undervalued due to strong earnings performance. Earnings strength points to moderate effects on valuation and near-term investor sentiment for HCI.

7 Jul

3

SurancePlus closed five RWA securities offerings on Solana, raising $7.1 million and expanding its tokenized RWA platform. Raising $7.1 million via five Solana-based RWA offerings expands SurancePlus platform reach and adds capital.

27 Jun

4

HCI Group explores tokenized reinsurance as a means to advance its technology-driven insurance operations. Tokenized reinsurance adoption signals major strategic tech innovation capable of significantly altering HCI competitive positioning.

15 Jun

3

HCI Group stands out as a top Wall Street pick for long-term investors while two other stocks are flagged to avoid. Analyst stock picks on HCI can shift near-term sentiment and trading without altering core operations.

10 Jun

4

SurancePlus will launch tokenized reinsurance RWA securities on Solana through HCI Group's Fortex Re Program, enabling on-chain reinsurance risk. Tokenized reinsurance launch via Fortex Re represents major strategic expansion into blockchain for HCI Group.

7 Jun

4

HCI Group boosts catastrophe reinsurance limits while cutting net costs. Reinsurance expansion with lower net costs materially strengthens risk management and earnings outlook.

2 Jun

4

HCI Group boosted catastrophe coverage to $4.06 billion while lowering costs. Higher reinsurance limits cut tail risk exposure and lower costs lift margins for the Florida-focused insurer.

1 Jun

3

HCI Group completes its 2026-2027 catastrophe reinsurance programs. Securing multi-year catastrophe reinsurance reduces HCI's future loss exposure and supports earnings stability.

16 May

3 transcript

HCI Group reported Q1 results during its earnings call, where analysts raised five key questions on financial performance, loss ratios, investment strategy, reinsurance costs and growth outlook. Q1 earnings call supplies updated financial metrics and management commentary that can move near-term sentiment but does not signal major strategic shifts.

11 May

3

Wall Street analysts forecast a 52.17% upside for HCI Group (HCI) stock, questioning whether it can realistically achieve this target. Analyst projections of 52.17% upside could moderately boost investor sentiment and influence HCI's short-term market performance.

10 May

4

HCI Group Q1 earnings call highlights financial performance, including revenue growth, profitability metrics, catastrophe losses, premium writings, and forward guidance on reinsurance and strategic initiatives. Q1 earnings highlights detail financial results and guidance that significantly influence stock valuation and investor expectations.

8 May

4

Tampa-based Safepoint Insurance, a subsidiary of HCI Group, files for NYSE IPO amid surging Gulf Coast property insurance premiums. Safepoint's IPO filing as HCI's key subsidiary signals a major strategic divestiture that could unlock significant value and reshape HCI's financial structure.

7 May

4

HCI Group achieved record Q1 results and announced a US$80 million share buyback program, prompting a valuation reassessment amid strong financial performance and shareholder value enhancement. Record Q1 results combined with an $80 million buyback demonstrate robust financial health and management confidence, poised to significantly enhance investor sentiment and stock trajectory.

stockrow.com/HCI · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com