| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 1.39 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 2.10 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 2.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 2.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 2.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 2.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 2.10 |
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 1.38 |
—
—
—
|
| 2016 | 1.84 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 2,987.00 | 2,189.00 | 3,816.00 | 3,973.00 |
| Receivables | 6,614.00 | 6,864.00 | 6,638.00 | 8,479.00 |
| Inventory | 6,076.00 | 6,544.00 | 6,595.00 | 7,233.00 |
| Other | 1,937.00 | 993.00 | 1,013.00 | 1,186.00 |
| 17,614.00 | 16,590.00 | 18,062.00 | 20,871.00 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 6,326.00 | 6,541.00 | 5,545.00 | 7,007.00 |
| ST’ Debt | 117.00 | 497.00 | 222.00 | 758.00 |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 9,957.00 | 10,288.00 | 9,183.00 | 11,931.00 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 9,794.00 | 12,092.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 10,431.00 | 10,104.00 | 9,973.00 | 9,460.00 |
39,968.00
|
| ’24 | 10,765.00 | 10,915.00 | 10,879.00 | 10,405.00 |
42,964.00
|
| ’23 | 11,851.00 | 11,420.00 | 10,730.00 | 10,621.00 |
44,622.00
|
| ’22 | 15,264.00 | 15,664.00 | 14,115.00 | 11,859.00 |
56,902.00
|
| ’21 | 11,882.00 | 13,885.00 | 14,837.00 | 14,364.00 |
54,968.00
|
| ’20 | 9,770.00 | 8,354.00 | 9,712.00 | 10,706.00 |
38,542.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 1,124.00 | 1,331.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 91.00 | (470.00) | 1,127.00 | 284.00 |
1,032.00
|
| ’24 | 464.00 | 836.00 | 800.00 | 814.00 |
2,914.00
|
| ’23 | 535.00 | 1,361.00 | 1,644.00 | 1,656.00 |
5,196.00
|
| ’22 | 1,603.00 | 1,890.00 | 1,904.00 | 2,078.00 |
7,475.00
|
| ’21 | (291.00) | 2,004.00 | 2,721.00 | 2,575.00 |
7,009.00
|
| ’20 | 1,239.00 | 1,590.00 | 1,767.00 | 1,630.00 |
6,226.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 647.00 | 726.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (621.00) | (1,042.00) | 657.00 | (354.00) |
(1,360.00)
|
| ’24 | (300.00) | 75.00 | 31.00 | 199.00 |
5.00
|
| ’23 | 95.00 | 732.00 | 1,001.00 | 885.00 |
2,713.00
|
| ’22 | 1,253.00 | 1,390.00 | 1,407.00 | 1,437.00 |
5,487.00
|
| ’21 | (582.00) | 1,656.00 | 2,291.00 | 1,425.00 |
4,790.00
|
| ’20 | 850.00 | 1,318.00 | 1,759.00 | 1,966.00 |
5,893.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (0.74) | 0.99 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (0.44) | (1.18) | 0.08 | (2.15) |
(3.70)
|
| ’24 | 0.73 | 0.62 | 0.30 | (0.08) |
1.57
|
| ’23 | (0.13) | 0.68 | 0.42 | (0.15) |
0.82
|
| ’22 | 2.11 | 2.26 | 1.02 | 0.85 |
6.28
|
| ’21 | 1.32 | 2.51 | 2.23 | 2.32 |
8.38
|
| ’20 | 0.32 | (0.31) | (0.04) | 1.65 |
1.64
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 42.91 | 47.26 | 38.85 | 20.40 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 71.86 | 60.88 | 60.69 | 42.17 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 37,800 | 35,900 | 36,000 | 34,600 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.51 | 1.24 | 1.19 | 1.16 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 56,902.00 | 44,622.00 | 42,964.00 | 39,968.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 15.05% | 10.94% | 10.72% | 6.34% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6,090.00 | 656.00 | 1,600.00 | (2,511.00) | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 10.70% | 1.47% | 3.72% | (6.28%) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4,640.00 | 660.00 | 1,201.00 | (2,444.00) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,758.00 | 2,611.00 | 2,894.00 | 2,834.00 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 78.92 | 63.23 | 61.05 | 56.17 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 6.36 | 0.82 | 1.57 | (3.70) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 10.37 | 7.36 | 4.14 | 1.45 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (2.76) | (3.52) | (4.13) | (3.36) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.61 | 3.84 | 0.01 | (1.91) | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 29.47 | 27.08 | 25.36 | 24.62 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 721.00 | 705.70 | 703.80 | 711.60 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8.11 | 66.66 | 25.56 | 0.00 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.65 | 0.88 | 0.66 | 0.42 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.73 | 2.04 | 1.58 | 0.95 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.84 | 1.14 | 0.98 | 0.77 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8.74 | 18.83 | 8,452.50 | (22.71) | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7,475.00 | 5,196.00 | 2,914.00 | 1,032.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1,988.00) | (2,483.00) | (2,909.00) | (2,392.00) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5,487.00 | 2,713.00 | 5.00 | (1,360.00) | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9,146.00 | 7,657.00 | 6,302.00 | 8,879.00 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 15,060.00 | 15,024.00 | 16,208.00 | 18,071.00 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11,174.00 | 12,037.00 | 14,019.00 | 14,255.00 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 21,247.00 | 19,108.00 | 17,851.00 | 17,522.00 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.38% | 0.99% | 1.94% | (4.53%) | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 10.76% | 3.15% | 3.53% | (3.34%) | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 22.80% | 2.92% | 6.04% | (14.83%) | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Dow Inc. (DOW), the materials science powerhouse spun off from DowDuPont in 2019, is navigating the brutal cycles of the chemicals sector after a post-COVID revenue peak of $56.9 billion in 2022 gave way to a sharp 2024 drop to $43 billion. Margin compression from soaring energy costs—exacerbated by the Ukraine war and volatile feedstocks—has crushed profitability, with gross margins slumping to a projected 6.3% in 2025, EBT turning negative at -$2.5 billion, and EPS diving to -$3.70. Free cash flow per share has evaporated from $7.61 peaks to near-zero, while debt climbs and ROIC goes red, mirroring stock lows around $39 amid softer demand from China, Europe, and U.S. housing.
Yet amid the gloom, analyst forecasts sketch a gritty rebound: revenue stabilizing around $40 billion in 2025-26 before climbing 3-4% annually through 2028, with EPS tripling to $1.80 by then on potential U.S. reshoring tailwinds, Gulf Coast LNG advantages, and Fed rate cuts boosting autos and construction. Valuation looks dirt-cheap—PS at 0.42x, PB at 0.96x—versus peers, though price targets imply 14% downside on near-term weakness, with neutral insiders offering no vote of confidence.
DOW’s story is classic cyclical resilience laced with macro wildcards: OPEC+ oil discipline and PMI recovery could spark a 2026-28 inflection, lifting margins 300-500bps and turning this beaten-down value play into a high-conviction hold for patient investors. Watch Q1 2026 earnings for the pivot—downside risks loom if recession hits, but at these levels, the setup screams opportunity.
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