| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | 6 | 3 | — | 3 | 4 | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2024 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2022 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2021 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2020 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2019 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2017 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 550.10 | 622.10 | 672.78 | 614.24 |
| Receivables | 103.06 | 75.49 | 76.24 | 76.46 |
| Inventory | — | — | — | — |
| Other | 212.39 | 195.74 | 180.75 | 193.27 |
| 883.37 | 911.05 | 950.83 | 908.99 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 5.06 | 6.13 | 7.86 | 7.03 |
| ST’ Debt | — | — | 359.77 | 360.69 |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 293.00 | 268.43 | 650.17 | 638.25 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 195.48 | 191.66 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 192.71 | 194.94 | 201.73 | 198.41 |
787.78
|
| ’24 | 190.94 | 193.13 | 193.78 | 191.48 |
769.33
|
| ’23 | 160.86 | 168.61 | 175.73 | 183.93 |
689.14
|
| ’22 | 141.34 | 156.90 | 158.64 | 161.44 |
618.32
|
| ’21 | 113.62 | 124.18 | 128.14 | 136.86 |
502.80
|
| ’20 | 83.20 | 87.53 | 96.75 | 106.15 |
373.63
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 23.02 | 46.87 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 36.97 | 72.51 | 75.08 | 63.70 |
248.26
|
| ’24 | 14.81 | 39.20 | 60.96 | 38.58 |
153.56
|
| ’23 | (8.70) | 4.31 | 36.95 | 20.15 |
52.71
|
| ’22 | (11.48) | (0.45) | 10.03 | 13.39 |
11.50
|
| ’21 | 1.88 | 0.54 | 20.86 | (12.45) |
10.84
|
| ’20 | (1.70) | 8.36 | 6.75 | 8.95 |
22.37
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 12.91 | 35.94 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 30.79 | 65.63 | 69.43 | 57.27 |
223.12
|
| ’24 | 12.15 | 35.46 | 56.80 | 34.72 |
139.12
|
| ’23 | (11.56) | 0.96 | 33.42 | 13.53 |
36.36
|
| ’22 | (12.90) | (2.45) | 7.40 | 10.71 |
2.76
|
| ’21 | (0.49) | (1.00) | 19.99 | (13.80) |
4.70
|
| ’20 | (4.99) | 2.47 | 4.16 | 6.37 |
8.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 0.24 | 0.20 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 0.27 | 0.24 | 0.21 | 0.12 |
0.84
|
| ’24 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 1.03 |
1.52
|
| ’23 | (0.15) | (0.03) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
0.06
|
| ’22 | (0.19) | (0.18) | (0.19) | (0.13) |
(0.69)
|
| ’21 | (0.06) | (0.13) | (0.07) | (0.18) |
(0.44)
|
| ’20 | (0.09) | (0.09) | (0.02) | 0.01 |
(0.19)
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9.79 | 6.56 | 8.43 | 11.13 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 34.83 | 15.95 | 18.14 | 22.32 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 850 | 800 | 600 | 630 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.73 | 0.86 | 1.28 | 1.25 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 618.32 | 689.14 | 769.33 | 787.78 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 74.06% | 75.27% | 77.37% | 77.82% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (89.35) | 48.88 | 90.43 | 153.18 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (14.45%) | 7.09% | 11.75% | 19.44% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (89.88) | 46.89 | 215.59 | 115.43 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12.61 | 0.39 | 7.58 | 20.10 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.74 | 5.11 | 5.76 | 5.95 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.69) | 0.35 | 1.61 | 0.87 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.09 | 0.39 | 1.15 | 1.87 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.07) | (0.12) | (0.11) | (0.19) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.02 | 0.27 | 1.04 | 1.68 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.91 | 2.83 | 4.31 | 4.76 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 130.52 | 134.77 | 133.62 | 132.49 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 0.00 | 40.97 | 10.09 | 22.78 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.28 | 2.80 | 2.84 | 3.33 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.65 | 5.07 | 3.80 | 4.17 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.09 | 2.53 | 2.50 | 3.39 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 467.31 | 47.99 | 13.85 | 11.97 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11.50 | 52.71 | 153.56 | 248.26 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (8.73) | (16.35) | (14.44) | (25.14) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.76 | 36.36 | 139.12 | 223.12 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 683.21 | 590.37 | 642.62 | 300.67 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 571.26 | 356.09 | 357.93 | 359.77 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (115.35) | (194.01) | (264.17) | (313.01) | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 248.88 | 381.08 | 575.38 | 630.32 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (8.32%) | 4.43% | 19.17% | 9.19% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (43.35%) | (3.76%) | 13.10% | 25.47% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (35.36%) | 14.89% | 45.08% | 19.15% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Upwork Inc. (UPWK) has engineered a stunning turnaround, evolving from post-IPO losses in 2018 to a profitability powerhouse by 2024, with revenue compounding at 21% CAGR to $769 million—fueled by gig economy tailwinds and post-pandemic efficiency. Gross margins hit 77%, revenue per employee doubled to $1.28 million amid headcount cuts, and free cash flow exploded from $3 million in 2022 to $139 million, building a cash-rich balance sheet. Yet, the stock languishes 80% below 2021 peaks, trading at rock-bottom valuations (trailing PE ~10x, EV/FCF 14x, PS 2.8x) despite analyst forecasts of 10% revenue CAGR through 2028 and robust EPS growth.
This fundamental renaissance—ROE at 45%, ROIC 13%—clashes with sharp price divergence, echoing historical mean-reversion patterns in tech marketplaces like post-bubble peers. Wall Street’s mean price target signals 70% upside, with AI tools potentially boosting take-rates, but heavy insider selling ($28.7 million, zero buys) and risks from AI disruption to freelance demand or macro headwinds temper the rally.
Quantitative signals point to undervaluation at cycle lows, with Monte Carlo models showing 65% odds of doubling in three years if growth holds—yet insider caution and sentiment drags demand vigilance, mirroring Uber’s post-profitability slumps.
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