Monday 2 November 2026
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Timken Company (The)
TKR Industrials Tools & Accessories
Timken Company (The)’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $4.6 billion, roughly unchanged from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +7.46%
- EPS
- −62.8%
- Free cash flow
- +3.19%
- Total debt
- −2.96%
Quarter to June 2026, against a year earlier
113.63
2.73
+2.46%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Ten-year view | Analyst estimates Powerpack | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | TTM Jun ’26 | Trend | 10 yrs | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e | Next 3/yr |
| Income, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 2,670 | 3,004 | 3,581 | 3,790 | 3,513 | 4,133 | 4,497 | 4,769 | 4,573 | 4,582 | 4,760 | +6.2% | 4,848 | 4,999 | 5,188 | +4.2% | |
| Gross margin, % | 26.46 | 27.04 | 29.05 | 30.13 | 28.75 | 27.81 | 29.62 | 31.64 | 31.50 | 30.41 | 30.83 | +3.9 pt | ||||||
| EBT | 202 | 260 | 408 | 472 | 396 | 477 | 551 | 531 | 494 | 416 | 382 | +8.4% | ||||||
| EBT margin, % | 7.55 | 8.65 | 11.40 | 12.46 | 11.28 | 11.53 | 12.25 | 11.12 | 10.81 | 9.08 | 8.03 | +1.5 pt | ||||||
| Net income | 141 | 202 | 306 | 375 | 292 | 382 | 417 | 408 | 375 | 317 | 283 | +9.4% | ||||||
| Per share, $ | ||||||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 34.00 | 38.64 | 46.43 | 50.03 | 46.64 | 54.46 | 61.09 | 66.81 | 65.14 | 65.67 | 68.52 | +7.6% | |||||
| Earnings | 1.94 | 2.62 | 3.93 | 4.78 | 3.78 | 4.86 | 5.54 | 5.52 | 5.02 | 4.13 | 3.72 | +8.8% | ||||||
| Cash flow | 5.14 | 3.05 | 4.31 | 7.26 | 7.67 | 5.10 | 6.30 | 7.64 | 6.78 | 7.95 | 7.64 | +4.9% | ||||||
| Capex | (1.73) | (1.26) | (1.44) | (1.77) | (1.59) | (1.95) | (2.29) | (2.61) | (2.17) | (2.06) | (2.05) | +1.9% | ||||||
| Free cash flow | 3.41 | 1.79 | 2.87 | 5.49 | 6.07 | 3.16 | 4.01 | 5.03 | 4.61 | 5.89 | 5.59 | +6.2% | ||||||
| Book value | 16.70 | 18.97 | 21.30 | 25.80 | 29.54 | 31.33 | 31.97 | 37.86 | 42.51 | 47.96 | 48.41 | +12.4% | ||||||
| Shares, m | 79 | 78 | 77 | 76 | 75 | 76 | 74 | 71 | 70 | 70 | 70 | (1.3%) | ||||||
| Valuation, × | ||||||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 23.81 | 19.58 | 9.52 | 11.76 | 20.52 | 14.26 | 12.58 | 14.32 | 14.19 | 20.32 | 29.81 | 16.1 | |||||
| P/S | 1.20 | 1.33 | 0.80 | 1.13 | 1.66 | 1.27 | 1.14 | 1.18 | 1.10 | 1.28 | 1.62 | 1.2 | ||||||
| P/B | 2.45 | 2.70 | 1.75 | 2.18 | 2.62 | 2.21 | 2.18 | 2.08 | 1.68 | 1.75 | 2.29 | 2.2 | ||||||
| EV/Sales | 1.39 | 1.57 | 1.23 | 1.52 | 2.02 | 1.57 | 1.51 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.62 | 1.97 | 1.6 | ||||||
| EV/FCF | 13.83 | 33.90 | 19.84 | 13.86 | 15.51 | 27.09 | 22.97 | 21.22 | 22.60 | 18.09 | 24.16 | 20.9 | ||||||
| Cash, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | 404 | 237 | 333 | 550 | 578 | 387 | 464 | 545 | 476 | 554 | 531 | +3.6% | |||||
| Capex | (136) | (98) | (111) | (134) | (120) | (148) | (169) | (186) | (152) | (144) | (142) | +0.6% | ||||||
| Free cash flow | 268 | 139 | 221 | 416 | 458 | 240 | 295 | 359 | 323 | 411 | 388 | +4.9% | ||||||
| Balance, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | 759 | 828 | 1,052 | 1,138 | 1,152 | 1,317 | 1,492 | 1,164 | 1,696 | 1,679 | 1,924 | +9.2% | |||||
| Net debt | 489 | 732 | 1,515 | 1,497 | 1,113 | 1,153 | 1,574 | 1,371 | 1,676 | 1,518 | 1,676 | +13.4% | ||||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 1,311 | 1,475 | 1,643 | 1,955 | 2,225 | 2,378 | 2,353 | 2,702 | 2,984 | 3,346 | 3,363 | +11.0% | ||||||
| Returns, % | ||||||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 5.08 | 6.60 | 7.72 | 7.78 | 5.75 | 7.23 | 7.45 | 6.40 | 5.45 | 4.41 | 3.79 | (0.7) pt | |||||
| ROIC | 8.49 | 8.48 | 9.00 | 9.35 | 8.52 | 9.08 | 9.66 | 10.08 | 8.20 | 6.95 | 6.23 | (1.5) pt | ||||||
| ROE | 10.60 | 14.60 | 19.43 | 20.13 | 13.61 | 16.04 | 17.22 | 15.59 | 12.40 | 9.11 | 7.80 | (1.5) pt | ||||||
| People | ||||||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | 14,000 | 15,000 | 17,000 | 18,000 | 17,000 | 18,000 | 19,000 | 19,000 | 19,000 | 19,000 | — | +3.5% | |||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | 0.19 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.24 | — | +2.6% | ||||||
Negative figures in brackets.
estimates
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026
Where the money comes from and where it goes Fiscal 2025
| Engineered Bearings | 3,018 | 65.87% |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Motion | 1,564 | 34.13% |
| Gross margin | 30.41% | |
| Operating margin | 11.80% | |
| Pre-tax margin | 9.08% |
Timken Company (The) vs peers in Tools & Accessories (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNA Snap-On Incorporated | $18.4B | 17.9× | 18.6× | +4.72% (above 0%: growing) | +5.00% (above 0%: growing) | +14.13% (above 0%: growing) | 51.43% | 27.24% | Compare |
| SWK Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. | $15.6B | 25.2× | 18.1× | +0.39% (above 0%: growing) | +249.25% (above 0%: growing) | +418.34% (above 0%: growing) | 32.97% | 14.10% | Compare |
| LECO Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. | $15.0B | 27.4× | 24.8× | +12.03% (above 0%: growing) | +12.40% (above 0%: growing) | +87.67% (above 0%: growing) | 36.81% | 18.09% | Compare |
| RBC RBC Bearings Incorporated | $14.6B | 45.4× | 37.7× | +19.15% (above 0%: growing) | +47.71% (above 0%: growing) | +40.84% (above 0%: growing) | 47.70% | 27.10% | Compare |
| TTC Toro Company (The) | $10.2B | 28.8× | 27.3× | +8.35% (above 0%: growing) | +50.00% (above 0%: growing) | −22.43% (below 0%: shrinking) | 34.11% | 9.40% | Compare |
| TKR Timken Company (The) | $7.7B | 29.8× | 26.7× | +7.46% (above 0%: growing) | −62.83% (below 0%: shrinking) | +3.19% (above 0%: growing) | 31.67% | 6.73% | |
| KMT Kennametal Inc. | $2.2B | 6.5× | 5.9× | +42.63% (above 0%: growing) | +964.29% (above 0%: growing) | −265.44% (below 0%: shrinking) | 58.86% | 41.12% | Compare |
| HLMN Hillman Solutions Corp. | $1.5B | 35.5× | 29.8× | +9.79% (above 0%: growing) | +37.50% (above 0%: growing) | +125.12% (above 0%: growing) | 47.05% | 9.26% | Compare |
| EML Eastern Company (The) | $168.3M | 20.9× | 12.9× | −11.89% (below 0%: shrinking) | +67.86% (above 0%: growing) | +164.03% (above 0%: growing) | 20.63% | 2.68% | Compare |
| Median of peers | $12.4B | 26.3× | 21.7× | +9.07% | +48.86% | +64.26% | 41.93% | 16.09% |
Largest institutional holders 13F, quarter to 30 June 2026
Held by institutions
93.92%
Held by the ten largest
39.38%
| Holder | Shares | Stake | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vanguard | 6.67m | 9.63% | +60.01k |
| BlackRock | 5.99m | 8.64% | +188.72k |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors | 3.08m | 4.44% | +191.72k |
| State Street | 2.03m | 2.94% | +63.45k |
| Fidelity (FMR) | 1.99m | 2.87% | +66.91k |
| Geode Capital Management | 1.82m | 2.62% | +620.40k |
| BROWN ADVISORY INC | 1.70m | 2.46% | −9.48k |
| JPMorgan Chase | 1.52m | 2.20% | +1.30m |
| Victory Capital | 1.35m | 1.94% | −481.44k |
| EARNEST PARTNERS LLC | 1.14m | 1.64% | −33.36k |
13F filings for the quarter to 30 June 2026: long positions in US-listed shares reported by managers with $100m or more, ~45 days after the quarter.
Pay and ownership Proxy statement filed 17 March 2026
Ownership
Directors and executive officers, together
8.10%
The Vanguard Group
8.87%
BlackRock, Inc.
8.08%
Ward J. Timken, Jr.
5.30%
FMR LLC
5.10%
Ownership is the proxy’s own table: the directors and officers as a group, and every holder of 5% or more.
Read the proxy statement
From the latest earnings call
Updated