| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 3.18 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 3.04 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 2.88 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2.63 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 2.32 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 2.09 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 1.98 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 1.90 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 1.64 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 1.44 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2016 | 1.31 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 393.79 | 377.26 | 308.79 | 242.44 |
| Receivables | 538.83 | 481.98 | 538.79 | 586.35 |
| Inventory | 562.86 | 544.04 | 633.36 | 690.54 |
| Other | 197.63 | 242.00 | 258.57 | 241.22 |
| 1,693.11 | 1,645.28 | 1,739.51 | 1,760.55 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 325.44 | 296.59 | 364.93 | 447.44 |
| ST’ Debt | 0.00 | 100.00 | 143.78 | — |
| Other | 273.91 | 325.16 | 288.49 | 284.17 |
| 754.61 | 878.80 | 956.69 | 888.08 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 1,121.43 | 1,219.66 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 1,004.39 | 1,088.67 | 1,061.23 | 1,078.72 |
4,233.00
|
| ’24 | 981.20 | 1,021.68 | 983.76 | 1,022.03 |
4,008.67
|
| ’23 | 1,039.34 | 1,060.57 | 1,033.21 | 1,058.51 |
4,191.64
|
| ’22 | 925.45 | 969.59 | 935.24 | 930.93 |
3,761.21
|
| ’21 | 757.02 | 826.45 | 806.45 | 844.25 |
3,234.18
|
| ’20 | 701.99 | 590.73 | 668.89 | 693.79 |
2,655.40
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 102.17 | 253.76 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 185.69 | 143.83 | 236.69 | 94.97 |
661.17
|
| ’24 | 133.29 | 170.69 | 199.20 | 95.80 |
598.98
|
| ’23 | 123.93 | 198.85 | 223.10 | 121.66 |
667.54
|
| ’22 | 43.09 | 98.21 | 130.28 | 111.80 |
383.39
|
| ’21 | 45.26 | 99.97 | 109.89 | 109.94 |
365.06
|
| ’20 | 21.97 | 104.04 | 89.55 | 135.80 |
351.36
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 63.32 | 223.28 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 163.39 | 118.97 | 206.23 | 52.79 |
541.38
|
| ’24 | 107.35 | 148.54 | 164.68 | 69.60 |
490.17
|
| ’23 | 108.46 | 177.66 | 197.90 | 142.03 |
626.05
|
| ’22 | 24.99 | 83.40 | 113.23 | 93.21 |
314.83
|
| ’21 | 35.91 | 84.11 | 92.51 | 96.78 |
309.31
|
| ’20 | 16.24 | 90.98 | 78.18 | 114.43 |
299.83
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 2.47 | 2.88 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 2.10 | 2.56 | 2.21 | 2.45 |
9.32
|
| ’24 | 2.14 | 1.77 | 1.77 | 2.47 |
8.15
|
| ’23 | 2.09 | 2.36 | 2.22 | 2.70 |
9.37
|
| ’22 | 2.13 | 2.18 | 1.87 | 1.87 |
8.04
|
| ’21 | 1.23 | 1.60 | 0.53 | 1.25 |
4.60
|
| ’20 | 0.91 | 0.45 | 0.97 | 1.08 |
3.42
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 118.17 | 143.76 | 169.51 | 161.11 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 150.68 | 221.14 | 261.13 | 252.00 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12,000 | 12,000 | 12,000 | 12,000 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.35 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,761.21 | 4,191.64 | 4,008.67 | 4,233.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 34.05% | 34.96% | 36.74% | 36.25% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 592.83 | 686.87 | 594.15 | 675.45 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 15.76% | 16.39% | 14.82% | 15.96% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 472.22 | 545.25 | 466.11 | 520.53 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 78.06 | 86.67 | 88.24 | 98.55 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 64.81 | 73.07 | 70.78 | 76.39 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 8.14 | 9.50 | 8.23 | 9.39 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.61 | 11.64 | 10.58 | 11.93 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1.18) | (0.72) | (1.92) | (2.16) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.43 | 10.91 | 8.65 | 9.77 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 17.82 | 22.82 | 23.44 | 26.53 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 58.03 | 57.36 | 56.64 | 55.41 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 17.98 | 22.45 | 22.78 | 25.49 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.26 | 2.92 | 2.65 | 3.14 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8.20 | 9.37 | 8.00 | 9.03 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.50 | 3.09 | 2.87 | 3.37 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 29.88 | 20.72 | 23.44 | 26.35 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 383.39 | 667.54 | 598.98 | 661.17 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (68.55) | (41.49) | (108.80) | (119.80) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 314.83 | 626.05 | 490.17 | 541.38 | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 704.89 | 938.50 | 766.48 | 782.82 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,121.44 | 1,102.78 | 1,250.56 | 1,294.01 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 924.29 | 708.99 | 873.29 | 985.22 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,034.04 | 1,308.85 | 1,327.43 | 1,469.79 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 16.36% | 16.63% | 13.52% | 14.27% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 19.54% | 22.23% | 18.08% | 18.28% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 49.76% | 46.54% | 35.36% | 37.22% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Lincoln Electric Holdings (LECO), the dominant force in arc welding equipment, delivered explosive revenue growth from $2.27 billion in 2016 to a 2023 peak of $4.19 billion—an 84% surge driven by acquisitions like Air Liquide’s welding ops and post-pandemic infrastructure demand. Productivity soared with revenue per employee hitting $349,000 in 2023, gross margins climbing to 36.7%, and EBT margins reaching 16.4%, fueling EPS from $2.94 to $9.50 and elite ROE above 46%. Yet, 2024 exposed vulnerabilities: revenue dipped 4.5% to $4.01 billion, capex spiked 162% to $109 million, net income fell 14.5%, and FCF per share eased to $8.65 amid manufacturing slowdowns.
Insider activity raises red flags—a $9.66 million selling spree over 12 months with zero buys, including CEO and CFO dumps—while debt climbed to $1.25 billion and valuations stretch with P/E at 23x trailing and EV/FCF at 23-26x. Projections bet on a rebound to $4.76 billion revenue and $12+ EPS by 2027, banking on U.S. infrastructure and automation tailwinds, but contrarians spotlight cyclical risks from autos, steel volatility, trade wars, and potential recessions that crushed sales 20% in 2020.
LECO’s 500%+ stock gain from 2016 lows commands respect as a compounding machine with 70% U.S. market share, but premium multiples embed perpetual growth without pricing slowdowns or overcapacity from capex binges. Is it a high-yield momentum play or a trap? Dive deeper for the full risk-reward dissection.
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