| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 2 |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2029 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 0.80 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 0.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 0.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 0.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 0.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 0.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 0.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 0.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 0.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 0.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2016 | 0.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 106.02 | 127.97 | 140.54 | 95.79 |
| Receivables | 307.31 | 302.81 | 295.40 | 408.44 |
| Inventory | 557.63 | 514.63 | 538.24 | 1,108.45 |
| Other | 55.83 | 57.18 | 65.09 | 159.09 |
| 1,026.79 | 1,002.59 | 1,039.27 | 1,771.77 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 203.34 | 191.54 | 195.93 | 369.84 |
| ST’ Debt | 0.69 | 1.38 | 0.98 | 32.17 |
| Other | 137.79 | 144.11 | 149.11 | 179.09 |
| 433.98 | 415.96 | 422.33 | 676.71 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Sep | Dec | Mar | Jun | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | — | — | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | 497.97 | 529.53 | 592.59 | 736.61 |
2,356.70
|
| ’25 | 481.95 | 482.05 | 486.40 | 516.45 |
1,966.85
|
| ’24 | 492.48 | 495.32 | 515.79 | 543.31 |
2,046.90
|
| ’23 | 494.79 | 497.12 | 536.04 | 550.24 |
2,078.18
|
| ’22 | 483.51 | 486.67 | 512.26 | 530.02 |
2,012.46
|
| ’21 | 400.31 | 440.51 | 484.66 | 515.97 |
1,841.44
|
| Sep | Dec | Mar | Jun | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | — | — | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | 17.49 | 55.12 | (2.92) | (73.69) |
(4.01)
|
| ’25 | 45.75 | 55.15 | 28.83 | 78.59 |
208.32
|
| ’24 | 25.71 | 62.60 | 75.15 | 113.65 |
277.11
|
| ’23 | (10.75) | 63.26 | 73.67 | 131.76 |
257.95
|
| ’22 | 15.80 | 42.00 | 35.22 | 88.42 |
181.44
|
| ’21 | 9.62 | 57.73 | 71.85 | 96.49 |
235.68
|
| Sep | Dec | Mar | Jun | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | — | — | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | (5.48) | 43.96 | (20.82) | (96.80) |
(79.14)
|
| ’25 | 21.09 | 36.25 | 5.35 | 58.51 |
121.19
|
| ’24 | (3.04) | 39.07 | 48.46 | 90.48 |
174.97
|
| ’23 | (40.03) | 44.38 | 55.52 | 108.72 |
168.59
|
| ’22 | (1.65) | 22.31 | 12.97 | 51.81 |
85.44
|
| ’21 | (29.39) | 29.03 | 46.71 | 66.41 |
112.75
|
| Sep | Dec | Mar | Jun | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | — | — | — | — |
—
|
| ’26 | 0.30 | 0.44 | 0.75 | 2.91 |
4.42
|
| ’25 | 0.28 | 0.23 | 0.41 | 0.28 |
1.20
|
| ’24 | 0.37 | 0.29 | 0.24 | 0.47 |
1.37
|
| ’23 | 0.34 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.45 |
1.46
|
| ’22 | 0.43 | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.50 |
1.72
|
| ’21 | (0.26) | 0.23 | 0.26 | 0.41 |
0.65
|
| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 20.21 | 22.08 | 22.50 | 17.30 | 28.25 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 38.36 | 30.60 | 32.18 | 29.89 | 43.81 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8,600 | 8,739 | 8,447 | 8,124 | 8,073 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.29 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,012.46 | 2,078.18 | 2,046.90 | 1,966.85 | 2,356.70 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 32.20% | 31.11% | 30.64% | 30.41% | 41.16% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 206.73 | 159.62 | 144.45 | 132.00 | 461.33 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 10.27% | 7.68% | 7.06% | 6.71% | 19.58% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 150.20 | 123.37 | 113.64 | 98.71 | 350.41 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 131.68 | 134.03 | 134.69 | 136.50 | 143.16 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 24.17 | 25.72 | 25.78 | 25.46 | 30.92 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 1.74 | 1.47 | 1.38 | 1.21 | 4.49 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.18 | 3.19 | 3.49 | 2.70 | (0.05) | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1.15) | (1.11) | (1.29) | (1.13) | (0.99) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.03 | 2.09 | 2.20 | 1.57 | (1.04) | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 15.51 | 16.26 | 16.23 | 17.14 | 21.17 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 83.25 | 80.80 | 79.39 | 77.26 | 76.22 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 13.35 | 19.31 | 16.65 | 19.13 | 7.81 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | — |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.96 | 1.10 | 0.89 | 0.90 | 1.13 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.50 | 1.75 | 1.42 | 1.34 | 1.66 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.22 | 1.34 | 1.12 | 1.13 | 1.40 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 28.84 | 16.51 | 13.11 | 18.41 | (41.61) | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 181.44 | 257.95 | 277.11 | 208.32 | (4.01) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (96.00) | (89.36) | (102.14) | (87.13) | (75.13) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 85.44 | 168.59 | 174.97 | 121.19 | (79.14) | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 539.06 | 592.81 | 586.63 | 616.94 | 1,095.06 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 615.55 | 595.86 | 597.36 | 597.77 | 717.45 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 529.96 | 489.84 | 469.39 | 457.23 | 621.66 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,291.25 | 1,314.17 | 1,288.60 | 1,324.65 | 1,613.44 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.52% | 4.63% | 4.33% | 3.69% | 11.99% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.49% | 6.67% | 6.05% | 5.02% | 13.21% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 10.88% | 9.09% | 8.40% | 7.13% | 23.31% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Kennametal Inc. (KMT), a key player in precision tooling for aerospace, automotive, and energy markets, has shown resilient fundamentals through industrial cycles, much like during the 2008-09 crisis and COVID downturns. Revenue has swung from a 2019 peak of $2.375 billion to a 21% plunge in 2020, with a partial recovery to $2.047 billion in 2024 amid softening demand—yet standout productivity gains lifted revenue per employee 29% as headcount dropped 25%. Trading 7% above the average analyst target (with 20% upside to the high end), KMT’s attractive multiples—like 0.89x price-to-sales and 13x EV/FCF—signal undervaluation, though recent insider selling without buys raises a caution flag.
Profitability has rebounded strongly, with free cash flow per share doubling to $2.20 and a fortress-like balance sheet featuring net debt down 14% and shares reduced 14% via buybacks. Analysts forecast a near-term revenue dip of 4% in 2025 before a sharp 13% rebound in 2026 and 10% CAGR to 2028, potentially doubling EPS to $2.75 amid aerospace and energy tailwinds. Gross margins have slipped to 30.6% from raw material spikes, but capex discipline and efficiency position KMT for mean reversion.
While risks like automotive slowdowns, China exposure, and input cost inflation loom, KMT’s pivot to high-productivity tools and Industry 4.0 trends echoes past recoveries. For patient investors, it’s a compelling hold or accumulate play on dips below analyst lows, with history favoring upside if forecasts pan out.
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