Triumph Financial, Inc. TFIN
- Market cap
- $1.5B
- P/E
- 41.5×
Follow TFIN
Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free account| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.63 | 20.50 | 27.47 | 27.21 | 19.03 | 48.31 | 45.08 | 46.37 | 66.85 | 42.90 |
Analyst estimates 2026–2028 Powerpack |
Low Price
|
||
| 27.50 | 35.45 | 44.70 | 39.00 | 51.95 | 136.02 | 126.12 | 81.64 | 110.58 | 92.44 |
High Price
|
|||
| 705 | 821 | 1,122 | 1,107 | 1,126 | 1,251 | 1,429 | 1,468 | 1,553 | 1,450 |
Employees
|
|||
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Revenue/Emp
|
|||
| 145 | 218 | 286 | 343 | 383 | 442 | 503 | 473 | 488 | 519 |
Revenue
|
|||
| 91.66% | 90.11% | 87.44% | 83.88% | 90.23% | 95.83% | 96.28% | 88.50% | 85.23% | 84.61% |
Gross Margin
|
|||
| 34 | 61 | 67 | 75 | 85 | 145 | 137 | 53 | 20 | 33 |
EBT
|
|||
| 23.04% | 28.04% | 23.26% | 22.01% | 22.15% | 32.79% | 27.22% | 11.18% | 4.19% | 6.36% |
EBT Margin
|
|||
| 21 | 36 | 52 | 59 | 64 | 113 | 102 | 41 | 16 | 25 |
Net Income
|
|||
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 20 | 25 | 24 |
Depreciation
|
|||
| 8.15 | 11.39 | 11.53 | 13.21 | 15.68 | 17.87 | 20.63 | 20.36 | 20.95 | 21.97 |
Revenue/Sh
|
|||
| 1.11 | 1.85 | 2.06 | 2.26 | 2.56 | 4.44 | 4.06 | 1.63 | 0.55 | 0.94 |
Earnings/Sh
|
|||
| 1.74 | 2.47 | 2.98 | 2.79 | 3.99 | 5.54 | 3.31 | 2.59 | 2.51 | 2.84 |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
|||
| (0.06) | (0.14) | (0.42) | (0.72) | (0.63) | (0.53) | (0.69) | (1.89) | (3.72) | 2.26 |
Capex/Sh
|
|||
| 1.68 | 2.33 | 2.56 | 2.08 | 3.36 | 5.01 | 2.62 | 0.70 | (1.20) | 5.10 |
Free CF/Sh
|
|||
| 16.20 | 20.47 | 25.68 | 24.54 | 29.80 | 34.72 | 36.44 | 37.25 | 38.26 | 39.87 |
Book Value/Sh
|
|||
| 18 | 19 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 24 |
Shares
|
|||
| 23.69 | 17.57 | 14.35 | 16.82 | 19.11 | 26.88 | 12.25 | 48.32 | 168.30 | 67.34 |
PE Ratio
|
|||
| 3.23 | 2.88 | 2.57 | 2.88 | 3.10 | 6.66 | 2.41 | 3.89 | 4.34 | 2.85 |
PS Ratio
|
|||
| 1.68 | 1.65 | 1.16 | 1.55 | 1.74 | 3.62 | 1.44 | 2.24 | 2.50 | 1.65 |
PB Ratio
|
|||
| 2.67 | 2.45 | 1.89 | 2.42 | 2.88 | 5.95 | 1.68 | 3.37 | 3.75 | 2.45 |
EV/Sales
|
|||
| 12.94 | 11.98 | 8.51 | 15.37 | 13.46 | 21.24 | 13.22 | 98.17 | (65.31) | 10.58 |
EV/FCF
|
|||
| 31 | 47 | 74 | 72 | 97 | 137 | 81 | 60 | 59 | 67 |
Op' Cash Flow
|
|||
| (1) | (3) | (10) | (19) | (15) | (13) | (17) | (44) | (87) | 53 |
Capex
|
|||
| 30 | 44 | 64 | 54 | 82 | 124 | 64 | 16 | (28) | 120 |
FCF
|
|||
| (178) | (120) | (16) | 57 | 328 | 280 | 182 | 75 | (83) | (96) |
Working Cap'
|
|||
| 33 | 39 | 39 | 40 | 232 | 68 | 41 | 42 | 42 | 43 |
Total Debt
|
|||
| (82) | (96) | (196) | (158) | (82) | (315) | (367) | (245) | (288) | (205) |
Net Debt
|
|||
| 289 | 392 | 637 | 637 | 727 | 859 | 889 | 864 | 891 | 942 |
Sh' Equity
|
|||
| 0.91% | 1.15% | 1.27% | 1.22% | 1.13% | 1.85% | 1.76% | 0.71% | 0.23% | 0.36% |
ROA
|
|||
| 10.09% | 12.89% | 9.43% | 9.86% | 8.22% | 16.67% | 16.41% | 5.33% | 2.12% | 2.80% |
ROIC
|
|||
| 7.37% | 10.71% | 10.04% | 9.20% | 9.45% | 14.68% | 11.96% | 4.55% | 1.55% | 2.54% |
ROE
|
|||
Triumph Financial, Inc. peers in Banks Regional
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|
| LKFN Lakeland Financial Corporation | $1.5B | 13.6× | Compare |
| ESQ Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc. | $1.5B | 19.0× | Compare |
| AMAL Amalgamated Financial Corp. | $1.4B | 12.6× | Compare |
| TMP Tompkins Financial Corporation | $1.4B | 8.1× | Compare |
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHRB Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. | $1.4B | 11.1× | Compare |
| PEBO Peoples Bancorp Inc. | $1.4B | 11.7× | Compare |
| WABC Westamerica Bancorporation | $1.4B | 13.4× | Compare |
| CASH Pathward Financial, Inc. | $1.5B | 9.2× | Compare |
Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) key facts
- Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) is a Banks Regional company in the Financial sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
- Triumph Financial, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $518.9 million, up 6.34% from fiscal 2024.
- As of September 25, 2026, TFIN traded at $61.45, a market capitalization of $1.5 billion.
- Return on equity was 2.54% and debt-to-equity 0.04.
Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) Latest News
26 Sep
Post-Q2 revisions trim Triumph Financial's fair value from US$85.80 to US$81.60 as growth assumptions soften. Despite a lower fair value, coverage turns more constructive, with several firms lifting price targets toward about US$82 on stronger Factoring and Payments contributions and continued LoadPay adoption. DA Davidson points to higher average invoice prices in Factoring and Payments; B. Riley cites momentum in payments and factoring amid ongoing LoadPay investment; Raymond James trims its target to US$84 from US$89 but remains Outperform, signaling tempered upside. Long-run assumptions also shift: revenue growth downgrades to 8.35% (from 9.78%), net margin to 17.69% (from 21.95%), and the fair-value multiple to 23.90x (from 19.23x); discount rate stays around 7.24%. Risks include freight cycle exposure, competition, execution risk, and rising compliance/cyber costs. Fair value trimmed while several firms lift targets, signaling mixed near-term sentiment despite monetization progress.
25 Sep
Triumph Financial (TFIN) pulled back to $60.85 after a slide that left 30-day and 3-month declines of 17.21% and 20.78%, while 1-year total return stays at 17.43%. The stock is weighed against a group of resilient, low-risk financials, with a wide gap between the current price and bullish targets. Implied fair value of about $89 suggests the pullback may reflect mispricing. The bull case rests on Triumph’s factoring and its broader transportation-technology platform, including cross-sell potential into payments, equipment finance, and intelligence offerings that could lift enterprise revenue. Risks include shrinking invoice sizes or slower-than-expected adoption of LoadPay and Intelligence. A P/E near 41x, well above a ~20x fair multiple and banking peers, signals valuation risk if optimism fades. Valuation gap and adoption risks could moderately influence sentiment and medium-term financial outcomes.
22 Sep
Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) was upgraded to Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) after rising earnings estimates, signaling a stronger near-term earnings outlook. The upgrade hinges on a changing earnings picture, a key driver of near-term stock moves according to Zacks. The firm notes revisions to the Zacks Consensus EPS, with about a 1.5% rise over the last three months. For the year ending December 2026, analysts expect EPS of $1.93, unchanged from the prior year. The piece emphasizes that Zacks’ rating system tracks earnings revisions to gauge performance, with Triumph placed in the top tier of covered stocks, implying possible near-term upside driven by sentiment and valuation changes tied to earnings expectations. Rising earnings estimates driving the Buy upgrade signal potential near-term upside for Triumph Financial.
Triumph released the inaugural Triumph Mile Marker report, based on transaction-level data from its Triumph Network, arguing the freight market is moving from \"availability of capacity\" to \"defensible capacity\"—capacity that can be deployed with confidence. Regulatory oversight, carrier vetting and risk-management requirements are increasingly shaping who can participate, potentially making the lowest bid less important. Four trends emerge: (1) broker performance varies by business model and customer mix; (2) per-load margins may tighten even as total transaction volumes rise; (3) scale creates both advantages and vulnerabilities; (4) enforcement and regulatory developments influence capacity and market dynamics before headlines reflect them. The analysis suggests buyers and sellers should evaluate capacity through compliance and readiness, not just price. Triumph Intelligence compiles insights from data covering about 65% of brokered freight and over $40B in annual carrier payments. Full report at Triumph.io. Regulatory-driven demand for compliant, risk-aware freight data could boost Triumph's analytics offerings, but actual financial impact depends on market uptake and contract dynamics.
3 Aug
Triumph Financial faces three key risks that undermine its outlook, leading to a direct recommendation for one alternative stock instead. Negative risk assessment can pressure TFIN stock price and investor sentiment in the near term.
22 Jul
Triumph Financial Inc (TFIN) Q2 2026 earnings call highlights strong core initiatives. Strong core initiatives from earnings call may moderately affect TFIN financial performance and market position.
Triumph Financial held its Q2 earnings call, covering financial results, operational performance, and management commentary on business outlook. Q2 earnings call provides updated financial metrics and outlook that moderately influence near-term investor sentiment and valuation.
Triumph Financial reported stronger earnings, prompting questions on whether its stock is now overvalued. Stronger earnings reports moderately affect investor sentiment and short-term valuation views.
21 Jul
Triumph Financial reported Q2 CY2026 revenue above expectations. Quarterly revenue beat offers moderate positive signal for near-term results without shifting long-term outlook.
8 Jul
Triumph Financial earnings are projected to grow, raising the question of whether investors should buy the stock. Expected earnings growth may moderately lift investor sentiment and near-term stock performance for Triumph Financial.
30 Jun
Triumph Financial launches RFP Manager tool that applies real freight transaction data to refine contract pricing. Product launch improves pricing tools in core freight finance operations and may lift competitive positioning.
30 Apr
GoodShip and Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) partner to deliver real-time rate data to brokers, enhancing efficiency in freight brokerage operations. Partnership introduces real-time data capabilities that strengthen TFIN's position in transportation finance and broker services.
28 Apr
Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) delivered a strong first-quarter earnings turnaround, prompting a reassessment of its valuation amid improved financial performance. Strong Q1 earnings turnaround enhances TFIN's financial outlook and investor sentiment, likely driving significant positive market performance.
24 Apr
Triumph Financial's Q1 earnings call highlights key financial results, strategic updates, and forward guidance for the quarter. Q1 earnings call highlights disclose financial performance and outlook, significantly influencing investor sentiment and stock trajectory.
Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) delivered Q1 results with margin expansion and transportation lending outperformance, navigating banking sector headwinds successfully. Margin expansion and transportation strength amid headwinds highlight financial resilience, likely driving positive investor sentiment and performance trajectory.
23 Apr
Triumph Financial Inc reported strong transportation revenue growth in its Q1 2026 earnings call, alongside key financial highlights. Strong transportation revenue growth indicates significant positive impact on financial performance and investor sentiment.
22 Apr
Triumph Financial, Inc. released Q1 2026 earnings call summary covering financial results, operational updates, and future outlook. Q1 2026 earnings summary discloses financial performance and guidance that significantly influences stock trajectory and investor sentiment.
21 Apr
Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) sets new metrics and reports a strong quarter in factoring. Strong factoring quarter and new metrics represent major positive financial developments boosting TFIN's trajectory and investor sentiment.
Triumph Financial (TFIN) Q1 earnings beat estimates. Q1 earnings beat signals strong financial performance, likely driving positive investor sentiment and stock price gains.
Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) released its first quarter 2026 financial results. Quarterly earnings releases provide critical financial data that significantly influences stock performance and investor sentiment.
Triumph Financial (NYSE:TFIN) reported Q1 CY2026 revenues below analyst estimates, raising concerns about growth and profitability. Revenue miss highlights weaker-than-expected financial results, likely affecting short-term market sentiment and stock performance.
20 Apr
Triumph Financial (TFIN) reports earnings tomorrow, with key expectations for financial performance, revenue growth, and strategic updates highlighted. Upcoming earnings report carries potential for significant stock volatility and shifts in investor sentiment based on results versus expectations.
13 Apr
Triumph Financial (TFIN)'s evolving investment story is reframing fair value expectations. Evolving investment narrative significantly reframes TFIN's fair value expectations, altering investor sentiment and market trajectory.
8 Apr
Triumph Financial (TFIN) earnings are expected to grow significantly year-over-year, driven by revenue increases and positive analyst revisions, prompting buy recommendations ahead of the report. Expected earnings growth forecasts moderately influence investor sentiment and near-term stock performance.
31 Mar
Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) emerges as the top small-cap stock with impressive fundamentals, while two others are dismissed. Spotlighting TFIN's strong fundamentals amid small-caps moderately lifts investor sentiment and potential short-term performance.
30 Mar
Triumph Financial (TFIN) analysts debate buy, sell, or hold recommendation following Q4 earnings release, evaluating financial performance and future outlook. Q4 earnings results and analyst recommendations moderately influence TFIN's financial performance and investor sentiment without fundamental trajectory changes.
2 Mar
Triumph Financial (TFIN) valuation assessed as mixed returns contrast sharply with robust growth in its freight platform. Mixed returns versus freight platform growth create moderately noticeable valuation and sentiment pressures for TFIN.
17 Feb
Triumph Financial launches a ‘white label’ Financial-as-a-Service (FaaS) offering to expand its factoring business footprint. The white-label FaaS offering represents a major strategic expansion in factoring, potentially boosting revenue and market position.
10 Feb
HOPTEK has appointed Marc Held as CEO to lead the company through its next phase of growth. Held's leadership is expected to drive innovation and expansion in the freight technology sector, positioning HOPTEK for significant advancements in its operations and market presence. The appointment of a new CEO with a focus on growth and innovation is likely to significantly impact the company's future performance and market positioning.
7 Feb
Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) reported earnings that fell short of expectations, raising concerns about its ambitions in the trucking payments sector. The company's performance has led to questions regarding its strategic direction and market positioning, particularly in light of its efforts to expand in the trucking industry. Analysts are now reassessing the implications of this earnings miss on TFIN's future growth and operational strategies. The earnings miss is expected to moderately influence TFIN's financial performance and market sentiment, but other factors may balance the overall effect.