Triumph Financial, Inc. TFIN

61.45 0.60 0.99% as of 25 Sep
Market cap
$1.5B
P/E
41.5×
Insider Buys alert about insiders buying in the last 12 month

Insider Decisions

Total buys 0.97
Total sells 0.92
in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — — — 1 — — 1 — — — —
Sell — — 1 — — 1 — 1 — — 2 —
Insider Ownership 5.80%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap 1,450.00
Revenue 539.25
Net Income 38.65
Free Cash Flow 154.85
Net Debt (853.49)
Current Ratio 1.01
Debt/Equity 0.05
P/E ratio 41.52
P/S ratio 2.72
P/B ratio 1.60
Past 5Y EPS Growth (24.76%)
This Y EPS Growth 111.40%
Next Y EPS Growth 60.22%
Next 5Y EPS Growth 60.64%
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio 0.00
Annual Dividend Rate —
Annual Dividend Yield 0.02%
total individual payouts
2023 Powerpack
2022 Powerpack
2021 Powerpack
2020 Powerpack
2019 Powerpack
2017 Powerpack
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 287 330 248 897
Receivables — — — —
Inventory — — — —
Other — — — —
4,416 4,838 5,204 6,341
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 3,977 4,821 4,950 6,217
ST’ Debt — — — —
Other — — — —
4,341 4,920 5,300 6,287
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales 14.66% 6.29% 1.02%
Cash Flow 10.24% (7.18%) (6.00%)
Earnings (2.44%) (18.69%) (39.31%)
Book Value 13.39% 5.32% 1.94%

Revenue

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 122 146 — — —
’25 119 129 130 140 519
’24 117 124 126 121 488
’23 112 117 121 123 473
’22 115 154 116 118 503
’21 103 109 109 122 442
’20 83 94 93 112 383
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Operating Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 5 46 — — —
’25 (4) 10 24 36 67
’24 (11) 22 27 21 59
’23 1 8 9 42 60
’22 51 (37) 49 17 81
’21 22 36 32 48 137
’20 14 6 40 37 97
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Free Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (1) 43 — — —
’25 (1) 9 13 100 120
’24 (72) 15 20 8 (28)
’23 (17) 5 7 21 16
’22 49 (40) 47 9 64
’21 17 32 31 44 124
’20 10 (4) 40 36 82
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

EPS

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 0.23 0.44 — — —
’25 (0.03) 0.15 0.04 0.77 0.93
’24 0.14 0.08 0.19 0.13 0.54
’23 0.43 0.29 0.51 0.37 1.61
’22 0.93 1.74 0.62 0.67 3.96
’21 1.32 1.08 0.94 1.02 4.35
’20 (0.18) 0.56 0.89 1.25 2.53
fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

2.8
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
12.63 20.50 27.47 27.21 19.03 48.31 45.08 46.37 66.85 42.90

Analyst estimates 2026–2028

Powerpack
Low Price
27.50 35.45 44.70 39.00 51.95 136.02 126.12 81.64 110.58 92.44
High Price
705 821 1,122 1,107 1,126 1,251 1,429 1,468 1,553 1,450
Employees
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Revenue/Emp
145 218 286 343 383 442 503 473 488 519
Revenue
91.66% 90.11% 87.44% 83.88% 90.23% 95.83% 96.28% 88.50% 85.23% 84.61%
Gross Margin
34 61 67 75 85 145 137 53 20 33
EBT
23.04% 28.04% 23.26% 22.01% 22.15% 32.79% 27.22% 11.18% 4.19% 6.36%
EBT Margin
21 36 52 59 64 113 102 41 16 25
Net Income
2 3 6 12 9 13 16 20 25 24
Depreciation
8.15 11.39 11.53 13.21 15.68 17.87 20.63 20.36 20.95 21.97
Revenue/Sh
1.11 1.85 2.06 2.26 2.56 4.44 4.06 1.63 0.55 0.94
Earnings/Sh
1.74 2.47 2.98 2.79 3.99 5.54 3.31 2.59 2.51 2.84
Cash Flow/Sh
(0.06) (0.14) (0.42) (0.72) (0.63) (0.53) (0.69) (1.89) (3.72) 2.26
Capex/Sh
1.68 2.33 2.56 2.08 3.36 5.01 2.62 0.70 (1.20) 5.10
Free CF/Sh
16.20 20.47 25.68 24.54 29.80 34.72 36.44 37.25 38.26 39.87
Book Value/Sh
18 19 25 26 24 25 24 23 23 24
Shares
23.69 17.57 14.35 16.82 19.11 26.88 12.25 48.32 168.30 67.34
PE Ratio
3.23 2.88 2.57 2.88 3.10 6.66 2.41 3.89 4.34 2.85
PS Ratio
1.68 1.65 1.16 1.55 1.74 3.62 1.44 2.24 2.50 1.65
PB Ratio
2.67 2.45 1.89 2.42 2.88 5.95 1.68 3.37 3.75 2.45
EV/Sales
12.94 11.98 8.51 15.37 13.46 21.24 13.22 98.17 (65.31) 10.58
EV/FCF
31 47 74 72 97 137 81 60 59 67
Op' Cash Flow
(1) (3) (10) (19) (15) (13) (17) (44) (87) 53
Capex
30 44 64 54 82 124 64 16 (28) 120
FCF
(178) (120) (16) 57 328 280 182 75 (83) (96)
Working Cap'
33 39 39 40 232 68 41 42 42 43
Total Debt
(82) (96) (196) (158) (82) (315) (367) (245) (288) (205)
Net Debt
289 392 637 637 727 859 889 864 891 942
Sh' Equity
0.91% 1.15% 1.27% 1.22% 1.13% 1.85% 1.76% 0.71% 0.23% 0.36%
ROA
10.09% 12.89% 9.43% 9.86% 8.22% 16.67% 16.41% 5.33% 2.12% 2.80%
ROIC
7.37% 10.71% 10.04% 9.20% 9.45% 14.68% 11.96% 4.55% 1.55% 2.54%
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026

Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) key facts

  • Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) is a Banks Regional company in the Financial sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
  • Triumph Financial, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $518.9 million, up 6.34% from fiscal 2024.
  • As of September 25, 2026, TFIN traded at $61.45, a market capitalization of $1.5 billion.
  • Return on equity was 2.54% and debt-to-equity 0.04.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

26 Sep

3

Post-Q2 revisions trim Triumph Financial's fair value from US$85.80 to US$81.60 as growth assumptions soften. Despite a lower fair value, coverage turns more constructive, with several firms lifting price targets toward about US$82 on stronger Factoring and Payments contributions and continued LoadPay adoption. DA Davidson points to higher average invoice prices in Factoring and Payments; B. Riley cites momentum in payments and factoring amid ongoing LoadPay investment; Raymond James trims its target to US$84 from US$89 but remains Outperform, signaling tempered upside. Long-run assumptions also shift: revenue growth downgrades to 8.35% (from 9.78%), net margin to 17.69% (from 21.95%), and the fair-value multiple to 23.90x (from 19.23x); discount rate stays around 7.24%. Risks include freight cycle exposure, competition, execution risk, and rising compliance/cyber costs. Fair value trimmed while several firms lift targets, signaling mixed near-term sentiment despite monetization progress.

25 Sep

3

Triumph Financial (TFIN) pulled back to $60.85 after a slide that left 30-day and 3-month declines of 17.21% and 20.78%, while 1-year total return stays at 17.43%. The stock is weighed against a group of resilient, low-risk financials, with a wide gap between the current price and bullish targets. Implied fair value of about $89 suggests the pullback may reflect mispricing. The bull case rests on Triumph’s factoring and its broader transportation-technology platform, including cross-sell potential into payments, equipment finance, and intelligence offerings that could lift enterprise revenue. Risks include shrinking invoice sizes or slower-than-expected adoption of LoadPay and Intelligence. A P/E near 41x, well above a ~20x fair multiple and banking peers, signals valuation risk if optimism fades. Valuation gap and adoption risks could moderately influence sentiment and medium-term financial outcomes.

22 Sep

3

Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) was upgraded to Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) after rising earnings estimates, signaling a stronger near-term earnings outlook. The upgrade hinges on a changing earnings picture, a key driver of near-term stock moves according to Zacks. The firm notes revisions to the Zacks Consensus EPS, with about a 1.5% rise over the last three months. For the year ending December 2026, analysts expect EPS of $1.93, unchanged from the prior year. The piece emphasizes that Zacks’ rating system tracks earnings revisions to gauge performance, with Triumph placed in the top tier of covered stocks, implying possible near-term upside driven by sentiment and valuation changes tied to earnings expectations. Rising earnings estimates driving the Buy upgrade signal potential near-term upside for Triumph Financial.

3

Triumph released the inaugural Triumph Mile Marker report, based on transaction-level data from its Triumph Network, arguing the freight market is moving from \"availability of capacity\" to \"defensible capacity\"—capacity that can be deployed with confidence. Regulatory oversight, carrier vetting and risk-management requirements are increasingly shaping who can participate, potentially making the lowest bid less important. Four trends emerge: (1) broker performance varies by business model and customer mix; (2) per-load margins may tighten even as total transaction volumes rise; (3) scale creates both advantages and vulnerabilities; (4) enforcement and regulatory developments influence capacity and market dynamics before headlines reflect them. The analysis suggests buyers and sellers should evaluate capacity through compliance and readiness, not just price. Triumph Intelligence compiles insights from data covering about 65% of brokered freight and over $40B in annual carrier payments. Full report at Triumph.io. Regulatory-driven demand for compliant, risk-aware freight data could boost Triumph's analytics offerings, but actual financial impact depends on market uptake and contract dynamics.

3 Aug

3

Triumph Financial faces three key risks that undermine its outlook, leading to a direct recommendation for one alternative stock instead. Negative risk assessment can pressure TFIN stock price and investor sentiment in the near term.

22 Jul

3 transcript

Triumph Financial Inc (TFIN) Q2 2026 earnings call highlights strong core initiatives. Strong core initiatives from earnings call may moderately affect TFIN financial performance and market position.

3 transcript

Triumph Financial held its Q2 earnings call, covering financial results, operational performance, and management commentary on business outlook. Q2 earnings call provides updated financial metrics and outlook that moderately influence near-term investor sentiment and valuation.

3

Triumph Financial reported stronger earnings, prompting questions on whether its stock is now overvalued. Stronger earnings reports moderately affect investor sentiment and short-term valuation views.

21 Jul

3

Triumph Financial reported Q2 CY2026 revenue above expectations. Quarterly revenue beat offers moderate positive signal for near-term results without shifting long-term outlook.

8 Jul

3

Triumph Financial earnings are projected to grow, raising the question of whether investors should buy the stock. Expected earnings growth may moderately lift investor sentiment and near-term stock performance for Triumph Financial.

30 Jun

3

Triumph Financial launches RFP Manager tool that applies real freight transaction data to refine contract pricing. Product launch improves pricing tools in core freight finance operations and may lift competitive positioning.

30 Apr

3

GoodShip and Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) partner to deliver real-time rate data to brokers, enhancing efficiency in freight brokerage operations. Partnership introduces real-time data capabilities that strengthen TFIN's position in transportation finance and broker services.

28 Apr

4

Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) delivered a strong first-quarter earnings turnaround, prompting a reassessment of its valuation amid improved financial performance. Strong Q1 earnings turnaround enhances TFIN's financial outlook and investor sentiment, likely driving significant positive market performance.

24 Apr

4

Triumph Financial's Q1 earnings call highlights key financial results, strategic updates, and forward guidance for the quarter. Q1 earnings call highlights disclose financial performance and outlook, significantly influencing investor sentiment and stock trajectory.

4

Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) delivered Q1 results with margin expansion and transportation lending outperformance, navigating banking sector headwinds successfully. Margin expansion and transportation strength amid headwinds highlight financial resilience, likely driving positive investor sentiment and performance trajectory.

23 Apr

4

Triumph Financial Inc reported strong transportation revenue growth in its Q1 2026 earnings call, alongside key financial highlights. Strong transportation revenue growth indicates significant positive impact on financial performance and investor sentiment.

22 Apr

4

Triumph Financial, Inc. released Q1 2026 earnings call summary covering financial results, operational updates, and future outlook. Q1 2026 earnings summary discloses financial performance and guidance that significantly influences stock trajectory and investor sentiment.

21 Apr

4

Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) sets new metrics and reports a strong quarter in factoring. Strong factoring quarter and new metrics represent major positive financial developments boosting TFIN's trajectory and investor sentiment.

4

Triumph Financial (TFIN) Q1 earnings beat estimates. Q1 earnings beat signals strong financial performance, likely driving positive investor sentiment and stock price gains.

4

Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) released its first quarter 2026 financial results. Quarterly earnings releases provide critical financial data that significantly influences stock performance and investor sentiment.

3

Triumph Financial (NYSE:TFIN) reported Q1 CY2026 revenues below analyst estimates, raising concerns about growth and profitability. Revenue miss highlights weaker-than-expected financial results, likely affecting short-term market sentiment and stock performance.

20 Apr

4

Triumph Financial (TFIN) reports earnings tomorrow, with key expectations for financial performance, revenue growth, and strategic updates highlighted. Upcoming earnings report carries potential for significant stock volatility and shifts in investor sentiment based on results versus expectations.

13 Apr

4

Triumph Financial (TFIN)'s evolving investment story is reframing fair value expectations. Evolving investment narrative significantly reframes TFIN's fair value expectations, altering investor sentiment and market trajectory.

8 Apr

3

Triumph Financial (TFIN) earnings are expected to grow significantly year-over-year, driven by revenue increases and positive analyst revisions, prompting buy recommendations ahead of the report. Expected earnings growth forecasts moderately influence investor sentiment and near-term stock performance.

31 Mar

3

Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) emerges as the top small-cap stock with impressive fundamentals, while two others are dismissed. Spotlighting TFIN's strong fundamentals amid small-caps moderately lifts investor sentiment and potential short-term performance.

30 Mar

3

Triumph Financial (TFIN) analysts debate buy, sell, or hold recommendation following Q4 earnings release, evaluating financial performance and future outlook. Q4 earnings results and analyst recommendations moderately influence TFIN's financial performance and investor sentiment without fundamental trajectory changes.

2 Mar

3

Triumph Financial (TFIN) valuation assessed as mixed returns contrast sharply with robust growth in its freight platform. Mixed returns versus freight platform growth create moderately noticeable valuation and sentiment pressures for TFIN.

17 Feb

4

Triumph Financial launches a ‘white label’ Financial-as-a-Service (FaaS) offering to expand its factoring business footprint. The white-label FaaS offering represents a major strategic expansion in factoring, potentially boosting revenue and market position.

10 Feb

4

HOPTEK has appointed Marc Held as CEO to lead the company through its next phase of growth. Held's leadership is expected to drive innovation and expansion in the freight technology sector, positioning HOPTEK for significant advancements in its operations and market presence. The appointment of a new CEO with a focus on growth and innovation is likely to significantly impact the company's future performance and market positioning.

7 Feb

3

Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) reported earnings that fell short of expectations, raising concerns about its ambitions in the trucking payments sector. The company's performance has led to questions regarding its strategic direction and market positioning, particularly in light of its efforts to expand in the trucking industry. Analysts are now reassessing the implications of this earnings miss on TFIN's future growth and operational strategies. The earnings miss is expected to moderately influence TFIN's financial performance and market sentiment, but other factors may balance the overall effect.

stockrow.com/TFIN · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com