Green Plains, Inc.
GPRE Basic Materials Chemicals
Green Plains, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $2.1 billion, down 14.9% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue fell 19.3%, EPS grew 189.0%, free cash flow grew 57.2% and total debt rose 16.1%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Dividend growth for five consecutive years; insiders bought in the last twelve months.
Follow GPRE
Green Plains, Inc. (GPRE) Beneish M-score
Green Plains, Inc.'s Beneish M-score for fiscal 2025 is −3.52; values above −1.78 are the model's flag for possible earnings manipulation — a statistical screen, not a finding.
Beneish M-score, annual
Embed this chart
Annual newest first
| Period | Beneish M-score | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | −3.52 | (0.95) |
| FY2024 | −2.58 | 0.51 |
| FY2023 | −3.08 | (0.84) |
| FY2022 | −2.25 | (0.36) |
| FY2021 | −1.88 | 2.39 |
| FY2020 | −4.28 | (10.71) |
| FY2019 | 6.44 | 9.22 |
| FY2018 | −2.78 | (0.80) |
| FY2017 | −1.98 | (0.42) |
| FY2016 | −1.56 | 0.71 |
How fiscal 2025’s score is made up
| Component | This year | Year before | Result | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Days’ sales in receivables index | 0.92 | — | 0.85 | |
| Gross margin index | 0.81 | — | 0.43 | |
| Asset quality index | 0.92 | — | 0.37 | |
| Sales growth index | 0.85 | — | 0.76 | |
| Depreciation index | 0.80 | — | 0.09 | |
| SG&A index | 1.22 | — | −0.21 | |
| Total accruals to total assets | (0.15) | — | −0.69 | |
| Leverage index | 0.87 | — | −0.28 | |
| Beneish M-score | Low — no pattern the model associates with manipulation | −3.52 | ||
How the Beneish M-score works
M = −4.84 + 0.920 × DSRI + 0.528 × GMI + 0.404 × AQI + 0.892 × SGI + 0.115 × DEPI − 0.172 × SGAI + 4.679 × TATA − 0.327 × LVGI (Beneish, 1999): eight changes in the accounts from one fiscal year to the next, which the model weighs for the pattern seen in companies that later restated their earnings. Higher is worse.
| below −2.22 | Low — no pattern the model associates with manipulation |
|---|---|
| −2.22 to −1.78 | Elevated |
| above −1.78 | Flagged by the model |
−1.78 is the cut-off usually quoted from the paper, −2.22 a common conservative one. A statistical screen, not a finding of wrongdoing.
When asset quality, depreciation or SG&A cannot be worked out, that index is set to 1, as Beneish did, and the breakdown says so; with all three missing there is no score. Depreciation includes amortisation, and asset quality leaves out securities. Not worked out for banks, insurers and REITs.
Beneish M-score against peers
| Company | Beneish M-score |
|---|---|
| RYAM Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. compare | −3.9× |
| GPRE Green Plains, Inc. | −3.5× |
| HUN Huntsman Corporation compare | −2.9× |
| REX REX American Resources Corporation compare | −2.8× |
| OLN Olin Corporation compare | −2.7× |
| ASIX AdvanSix compare | −2.6× |
| WLKP Westlake Chemical Partners LP compare | −2.5× |
| TROX Tronox Holdings PLC compare | −2.4× |
| LXU Lsb Industries Inc. compare | −2.3× |
What Beneish M-score is
The Beneish M-Score combines eight year-on-year changes in the accounts into a statistical screen for patterns seen in companies that overstated earnings.
−4.84 + 0.920 × DSRI + 0.528 × GMI + 0.404 × AQI + 0.892 × SGI + 0.115 × DEPI − 0.172 × SGAI + 4.679 × TATA − 0.327 × LVGI