Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

GO Consumer Defensive Grocery Stores

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $4.7 billion, up 7.26% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 1.10%, EPS grew 20.0%, free cash flow fell 95.8% and total debt rose 6.68%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Revenue growth for three consecutive years; insiders bought in the last twelve months.

12.89 0.17 −1.30%
Market cap
$1.3B
P/E
0.0×
Fwd P/E
−5.2×
Dividend yield
—
F-score
5/9
Altman Z
1.68
Beneish M
−3.34
Dividend safety
n/a

Insider Decisions trades per month

Total buys 8.33
Total sells 0.89
Totals in millions of $.
Dec 25 Mar 26 Jun 26 Sep 26
Buy — — — — 10 — — 2 — 2 — —
Sell 1 — — — 8 1 — — — 1 — —
Insider Ownership 8.71%

Capital & Financial Ratios $m

Market Cap 1,290.00
Revenue 4,742.54
Net Income (381.25)
Free Cash Flow (4.13)
Net Debt 431.40
Current Ratio 1.29
Debt/Equity 0.62
P/E ratio 0.00
Fwd P/E (5.24) (negative: loss-making)
P/S ratio 0.27
P/B ratio 1.56
Past 5Y EPS Growth —
This Y EPS Growth (28.08%) (below 0%: weak)
Next Y EPS Growth 23.18% (at or above 15%: strong)
Next Y revenue growth 0.26%
Next 5Y EPS Growth (0.92%) (below 0%: weak)

Green and red mark values outside typical ranges. How we judge →

Valuation vs history

P/S against its own 10 years 13.24%
10-year low 10-year high
P/B against its own 10 years 29.32%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/Sales against its own 10 years 13.13%
10-year low 10-year high

Dividends

Payout Ratio —
Annual Dividend Rate —
Annual Dividend Yield —
total individual payouts
2025 Powerpack
2024 Powerpack
2023 Powerpack
2022 Powerpack
2021 Powerpack
2020 Powerpack
2019 Powerpack
2018 Powerpack
predictions special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities $m

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 115 63 70 74
Receivables 4 4 4 2
Inventory 350 394 382 395
Other — — — —
517 504 498 515
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 209 176 177 220
ST’ Debt 6 15 15 15
Other — — — —
384 350 364 398

Compound Annual Growth %

10y 5y 3y
Sales — 8.39% 9.43%
Cash Flow — 4.15% 6.19%
Earnings — 0.00% 0.00%
Book Value — 1.30% (3.95%)

Revenue $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 1,166 1,193 — — —
’25 1,126 1,180 1,168 1,215 4,689
’24 1,037 1,129 1,108 1,098 4,372
’23 965 1,010 1,004 990 3,969
’22 831 898 918 931 3,578
’21 752 776 769 783 3,080
’20 760 803 764 807 3,135
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Operating Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 53 43 — — —
’25 59 74 17 72 222
’24 8 42 23 39 112
’23 88 69 119 27 303
’22 36 48 55 46 186
’21 26 59 57 24 166
’20 68 22 9 82 181
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Free Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (4) 0 — — —
’25 (6) 8 (27) 27 2
’24 (41) (1) (26) (27) (95)
’23 47 32 67 (34) 111
’22 2 19 22 (4) 38
’21 (11) 29 30 (15) 32
’20 38 (1) (28) 41 51
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

EPS $

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (1.83) 0.06 — — —
’25 (0.24) 0.05 0.12 (2.22) (2.30)
’24 (0.01) 0.14 0.24 0.02 0.40
’23 0.14 0.24 0.27 0.14 0.79
’22 0.12 0.20 0.17 0.16 0.65
’21 0.19 0.20 0.17 0.07 0.63
’20 0.13 0.30 0.41 0.24 1.08
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

3.1
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell

Ten years at a glance Fiscal years to December

Group Line 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Trend 2026e 2027e 2028e
Price, $
Price, $ Low — — — 27.75 28.11 21.01 23.69 25.71 13.60 9.74

Analyst estimates 2026–2028

Powerpack
High — — — 47.58 48.87 46.58 46.37 36.54 29.19 19.41
People
People Employees — — 906 847 946 946 969 997 2,307 2,207
Revenue/emp, $m 0.00 0.00 2.53 3.02 3.31 3.26 3.69 3.98 1.89 2.12
Income, $m
Income, $m Revenue 1,832 2,075 2,288 2,560 3,135 3,080 3,578 3,969 4,372 4,689
Gross margin, % 28.60 30.45 30.40 30.75 31.05 30.81 30.52 31.28 30.24 30.27
EBT 17 26 22 17 87 78 76 104 56 (249)
EBT margin, % 0.93 1.24 0.96 0.66 2.78 2.52 2.12 2.62 1.28 (5.31)
Net income 10 21 16 15 107 62 65 79 39 (225)
Depreciation 37 48 51 53 61 74 81 89 109 280
Per share, $
Per share, $ Revenue 20.82 30.42 33.41 32.38 34.14 32.17 36.96 40.21 44.29 47.85
Earnings 0.12 0.30 0.23 0.20 1.16 0.65 0.67 0.80 0.40 (2.30)
Cash flow 0.81 1.24 1.55 1.68 1.97 1.73 1.92 3.07 1.13 2.27
Capex 0.00 (1.07) (0.98) (1.26) (1.42) (1.39) (1.52) (1.94) (2.10) (2.25)
Free cash flow 0.81 0.17 0.57 0.42 0.55 0.34 0.40 1.13 (0.96) 0.02
Book value 0.00 0.00 4.38 9.43 10.04 10.54 11.47 12.35 12.13 10.04
Shares, m 88 68 68 79 92 96 97 99 99 98
Valuation, ×
Valuation, × P/E 53.79 53.79 53.79 209.22 33.84 42.85 42.82 34.03 39.03 0.00
P/S 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.15 0.88 0.78 0.68 0.35 0.21
P/B 6.51 6.51 6.51 3.44 3.91 2.68 2.50 2.20 1.29 1.01
EV/Sales 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.17 1.28 1.00 0.87 0.72 0.45 0.30
EV/FCF 60.14 60.14 60.14 90.03 78.79 94.54 80.80 25.70 (20.59) 763.76
Cash, $m
Cash, $m Operating cash flow 71 85 106 133 181 166 186 303 112 222
Capex (59) (73) (67) (100) (131) (133) (147) (192) (207) (220)
Free cash flow 71 12 39 33 51 32 38 111 (95) 2
Balance, $m
Balance, $m Working capital — 77 89 62 149 205 187 133 154 134
Total debt — 711 857 448 498 502 435 293 478 493
Net debt — 705 836 420 393 362 332 178 415 423
Shareholders’ equity — — 300 745 922 1,009 1,110 1,219 1,197 984
Returns, %
Returns, % ROA 0.00 1.47 2.30 0.87 4.57 2.42 2.39 2.77 1.28 (7.18)
ROIC — 6.82 4.54 3.67 5.10 4.06 4.12 5.63 3.04 (9.85)
ROE 0.00 5.67 4.37 2.95 12.80 6.45 6.14 6.82 3.27 (20.62)
Negative figures in brackets.

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026

Charts ten years each

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. vs peers in Grocery Stores (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier

Company Market cap P/E Fwd P/E Revenue growth (Q) EPS growth (Q) FCF growth (Q) Gross margin (Q) EBIT margin (Q) Compare
SFM Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. $6.2B 12.4× 14.9× +4.74% (above 0%: growing) 0.00% −10.82% (below 0%: shrinking) 38.72% 7.49% Compare
WMK Weis Markets, Inc. $1.9B 18.7× 16.0× +4.64% (above 0%: growing) −8.91% (below 0%: shrinking) +16,012.87% (above 0%: growing) 25.75% 2.28% Compare
IMKTA Ingles Markets, Incorporated $1.6B 15.4× — (loss-making) +1.64% (above 0%: growing) −1.42% (below 0%: shrinking) −4.33% (below 0%: shrinking) 24.30% 2.52% Compare
GO Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. $1.3B — (loss-making) — (loss-making) +1.10% (above 0%: growing) +20.00% (above 0%: growing) −95.75% (below 0%: shrinking) 30.24% 1.32%
ASAIY Sendas Distribuidora S.A. Sponsored ADR $1.3B 17.9× 9.6× +13.15% (above 0%: growing) +157.14% (above 0%: growing) +90.96% (above 0%: growing) 19.21% 7.24% Compare
NGVC Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. $705.2M 14.9× 14.2× +1.84% (above 0%: growing) −5.88% (below 0%: shrinking) +130.15% (above 0%: growing) 29.28% 4.48% Compare
VLGEA Village Super Market, Inc. $592.1M 11.3× 12.3× +1.65% (above 0%: growing) −20.17% (below 0%: shrinking) −11.05% (below 0%: shrinking) 28.24% 2.85% Compare
DNUT Krispy Kreme, Inc. $537.8M — (loss-making) — (loss-making) −12.84% (below 0%: shrinking) n/m +71.54% (above 0%: growing) 74.01% (3.32%) Compare
DDL Dingdong (Cayman) Limited Sponsored ADR $390.1M 5.7× 10.6× −98.71% (below 0%: shrinking) +200.00% (above 0%: growing) −81.43% (below 0%: shrinking) 15.27% (96.20%) Compare
Median of peers $982.6M 14.9× 13.3× +1.75% −1.42% +33.61% 27.00% 2.69%

All 12 Grocery Stores stocks →

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) key facts

  • Concern: Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. reported a net loss of $224.9 million, or a loss of $2.30 per share, for fiscal 2025.
  • Strength: Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $4.7 billion, up 7.26% from fiscal 2024.
  • Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) is a Grocery Stores company in the Consumer Defensive sector, listed on Nasdaq.
  • As of October 16, 2026, GO traded at $12.89, a market capitalization of $1.3 billion.
  • Trailing earnings are negative, so a P/E ratio is not meaningful; the stock trades at 0.3× sales.
  • Return on equity was −20.6% and debt-to-equity 0.62.
  • Its Piotroski F-score is 5 out of 9 and its Altman Z-score is 1.68 (distress zone) for fiscal 2025.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) Latest News

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stockrow.com/GO · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com