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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. GO

Consumer Defensive — Grocery Stores
Insider Buys (last 12m)
Insider Buys alert about insiders buying in the last 12 month

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Insider Decisions

Total buys
8.33
Total sells
0.89
in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — — — — 10 — — 2 — 2 —
Sell — 1 — — — 8 1 — — — 1 —
Insider Ownership
8.71%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap
1,150.00
Revenue
4,742.54
Net Income
(381.25)
Free Cash Flow
(4.13)
Net Debt
431.40
Current Ratio
1.29
Debt/Equity
0.62
P/E ratio
0.00
P/S ratio
0.24
P/B ratio
1.37
Past 5Y EPS Growth
16.03%
This Y EPS Growth
(28.08%)
Next Y EPS Growth
22.40%
Next 5Y EPS Growth
(0.92%)
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio
0.00
Annual Dividend Rate
—
Annual Dividend Yield
—
total individual payouts
2025 ‡‡‡
2024 ‡‡‡
2023 ‡‡‡
2022 ‡‡‡
2021 ‡‡‡
2020 ‡‡‡
2019 ‡‡‡
2018 ‡‡‡
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 114.99 62.83 69.60 74.20
Receivables 4.19 4.17 3.69 2.41
Inventory 349.99 394.15 381.96 394.84
Other — — — —
516.55 503.90 497.64 514.54
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 209.35 175.87 177.46 219.66
ST’ Debt 5.63 15.00 15.00 15.00
Other — — — —
383.97 349.62 364.00 398.47
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Cash Flow — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings — ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Book Value — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡

Revenue

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 1,166.35 1,192.76 — —
—
’25 1,125.57 1,179.77 1,168.15 1,215.27
4,688.76
’24 1,036.94 1,128.52 1,108.18 1,097.85
4,371.50
’23 965.47 1,010.26 1,003.91 989.82
3,969.45
’22 831.43 897.66 918.19 930.83
3,578.10
’21 752.47 775.54 768.88 782.70
3,079.58
’20 760.31 803.43 764.08 806.82
3,134.64
in millions of $

Operating Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 52.56 43.15 — —
—
’25 58.94 73.63 17.28 72.29
222.13
’24 7.84 41.60 23.03 39.50
111.96
’23 87.63 69.49 119.10 27.23
303.45
’22 36.33 48.40 55.13 45.65
185.51
’21 26.41 58.73 56.63 23.82
165.59
’20 67.82 22.24 9.21 81.98
181.24
in millions of $

Free Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (4.24) 0.36 — —
—
’25 (6.35) 8.44 (27.13) 26.89
1.85
’24 (41.42) (0.81) (26.08) (26.65)
(94.95)
’23 46.82 31.99 66.65 (33.98)
111.48
’22 1.54 18.90 21.73 (3.69)
38.48
’21 (11.28) 28.81 30.11 (15.18)
32.47
’20 38.38 (0.51) (28.02) 40.87
50.73
in millions of $

EPS

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (1.83) 0.06 — —
—
’25 (0.24) 0.05 0.12 (2.22)
(2.30)
’24 (0.01) 0.14 0.24 0.02
0.40
’23 0.14 0.24 0.27 0.14
0.79
’22 0.12 0.20 0.17 0.16
0.65
’21 0.19 0.20 0.17 0.07
0.63
’20 0.13 0.30 0.41 0.24
1.08

Target Price Range

High
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡
Average
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡
Low
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡

Recommendation Rating

3.2
1
Buy
2
3
Hold
4
5
Sell
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
— — — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 23.69 25.71 13.60 9.74 — — —
Low Price
— — — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 46.37 36.54 29.19 19.41 — — —
High Price
— — ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 969 997 2,307 2,207 — — —
Employees
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 3.69 3.98 1.89 2.12 — — —
Revenue/Emp
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 3,578.10 3,969.45 4,371.50 4,688.76 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 30.52% 31.28% 30.24% 30.27% — — —
Gross Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 75.75 104.08 56.17 (249.18) ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
EBT
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 2.12% 2.62% 1.28% (5.31%) ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
EBT Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 65.05 79.44 39.47 (224.91) ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Net Income
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 80.52 89.07 109.12 280.32 — — —
Depreciation
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 36.96 40.21 44.29 47.85 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue/Sh
‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ 0.67 0.80 0.40 (2.30) ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1.92 3.07 1.13 2.27 ‡‡‡‡ — —
Cash Flow/Sh
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (1.52) (1.94) (2.10) (2.25) ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Capex/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.40 1.13 (0.96) 0.02 — — —
Free CF/Sh
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 11.47 12.35 12.13 10.04 ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
Book Value/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 96.81 98.71 98.71 97.99 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Shares
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 42.82 34.03 39.03 0.00 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
PE Ratio
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.78 0.68 0.35 0.21 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PS Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 2.50 2.20 1.29 1.01 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PB Ratio
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.87 0.72 0.45 0.30 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
EV/Sales
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 80.80 25.70 (20.59) 763.76 — — —
EV/FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 185.51 303.45 111.96 222.13 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Op' Cash Flow
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (147.03) (191.97) (206.92) (220.28) ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ —
Capex
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 38.48 111.48 (94.95) 1.85 ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
FCF
— ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 186.84 132.59 154.27 133.64 — — —
Working Cap'
— ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 434.65 292.73 477.50 492.91 — — —
Total Debt
— ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 331.92 177.75 414.67 423.30 — — —
Net Debt
— ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1,110.21 1,219.34 1,197.38 983.66 — — —
Sh' Equity
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 2.39% 2.77% 1.28% (7.18%) ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
ROA
— ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 4.12% 5.63% 3.04% (9.85%) — — —
ROIC
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 6.14% 6.82% 3.27% (20.62%) ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

Analyst Commentary (Summary)

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) has delivered impressive revenue growth, compounding at 12% CAGR to $4.37 billion in 2024 through aggressive store expansion from 300 to over 500 locations since its 2020 IPO. Yet, this operational scale masks deepening cracks: profitability has cratered with net income halving to $39.5 million and EPS plunging 65% to $0.40, driven by eroding margins amid inflation, labor costs, and supply woes. Free cash flow flipped negative at -$0.96 per share on surging capex and ballooning net debt to $415 million, echoing pitfalls seen in peers like Dollar General during rapid scaling.

Valuation metrics scream bargain—PS ratio at 0.35 and EV/Sales at 0.45, well below historicals—yet the stock has decoupled dramatically from revenue gains, sliding 40% from 2020 peaks to recent lows amid sector headwinds and competition from Aldi and Walmart. Insider activity adds caution: net selling outpaced buys 2.6:1 by value, with executives cashing out during the 60% drop from 2024 highs.

Analysts eye a rebound with revenue climbing to $5.24 billion by 2027 and EPS recovering sharply, but risks abound—persistent negative FCF, grocery consolidation, and e-commerce threats could trap margins like in Big Lots’ decline. At depressed levels, GO tempts with 14-100% upside to targets, but demands patience amid volatility; a hold with tight stop-loss suits those betting on FCF inflection.

Read full commentary →

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

16 Sep

3 , 12:11 AM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. raised full-year guidance despite a widening quarterly loss, reflecting mixed operational results amid ongoing expansion efforts. Guidance raise signals positive outlook while widening loss points to margin pressures that could affect near-term performance.

23 Aug

3 , 9:09 PM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) stock may trade at a discount on cash flow metrics but faces legal risk. Legal risk introduces moderately noticeable influence on future performance and market sentiment.

19 Aug

3 transcript www.fool.com, 4:44 PM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) released its Q2 2026 earnings call transcript covering financial results and outlook. Quarterly earnings updates and guidance routinely shape near-term investor sentiment and valuation for the company.

3 , 5:34 AM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. addressed top five analyst questions in its Q2 earnings call. Q2 earnings details and analyst questions can moderately shape near-term investor sentiment and stock movement.

17 Aug

3 , 4:19 PM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) Q2 2026 earnings call highlights sequential improvement in operations and financial metrics. Sequential operational gains point to stabilized performance without major strategic or market-altering shifts.

3 www.thestreet.com, 2:03 PM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. closed 12 stores after expanding too fast. Store closures after overexpansion point to operational setbacks that may affect financial performance.

3 www.fastcompany.com, 11:05 AM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. shuttered multiple store locations across six states in 2026. Store closures across six states point to contraction that can pressure revenue and operations.

15 Aug

4 , 11:25 AM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. raised full-year guidance after Q2 results driven by opportunistic sourcing and strategic store actions. Raised guidance from sourcing efficiencies and store actions signals stronger financial outlook and investor sentiment.

14 Aug

3 , 1:11 PM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp valuation faces scrutiny amid slower comparable sales trends, raising questions on whether its stock remains attractive for investors. Slower comparable sales introduce moderate pressure on GO financial outlook and stock appeal without indicating major trajectory shifts.

13 Aug

4 , 9:11 AM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. beat Q2 earnings estimates and raised its 2026 outlook. Q2 earnings beat combined with raised 2026 guidance signals stronger financial trajectory and investor sentiment.

3 app.moby.co, 8:30 AM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. held its Q2 2026 earnings call covering financial results and business outlook. Quarterly earnings data shapes near-term investor views and valuation metrics.

12 Aug

3 www.marketbeat.com, 8:03 PM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. released Q2 earnings call highlights covering quarterly financial results, operational performance, and forward outlook. Q2 earnings data and highlights can moderately shift near-term investor sentiment and valuation for the company.

3 , 4:15 PM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. reported Q2 CY2026 sales above estimates, prompting a 13.7% stock increase. Sales beat and resulting stock rise signal positive quarterly results that can moderately affect near-term investor views without altering long-term fundamentals.

3 , 4:01 PM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) announced second quarter fiscal 2026 financial results. Quarterly earnings releases deliver performance data that can shift near-term stock valuation and sentiment.

3 , 3:17 PM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. prepares to report quarterly results with attention on revenue growth, comparable store sales, gross margin trends, new store openings and management guidance for the coming periods. Earnings preview can shift near-term investor sentiment and stock volatility but does not alter long-term fundamentals.

11 Aug

3 , 11:01 AM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. is preparing to report Q2 earnings, with investors positioned to assess results for effects on operations and stock trajectory. Q2 earnings can shift perceptions of financial performance and near-term market sentiment for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

3 www.thestreet.com, 10:07 AM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. quietly closes more stores. Store closures may pressure financial performance and market position.

15 Jul

3 ktla.com, 3:29 PM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. restarts expansion by opening new locations in California. New California store openings indicate moderate growth opportunities for the discount supermarket chain.

3 www.supermarketnews.com, 1:15 PM
Grocery Outlet resumes opening new stores. Resumed store openings indicate expansion that can lift revenue and market position.

3 , 6:00 AM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. restarts expansion with new California branches. Resumption of California store expansion may moderately boost Grocery Outlet's market presence and revenue potential.

26 Jun

4 www.thestreet.com, 3:13 PM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. closes 36 stores. Closing dozens of stores indicates major operational contraction likely to cut revenue and shift market positioning.

5 Jun

4 Zacks, 8:42 AM
Grocery Outlet's treasure-hunt model positions the company for a potential rebound in performance. Treasure-hunt model offers significant potential to boost Grocery Outlet's market performance and investor outlook.

3 Zacks, 8:58 AM
Grocery Outlet advances turnaround via product mix shifts, margin focus and store refreshes. Turnaround steps on mix margins and refreshes may affect operations and near-term results.

27 May

3 StockStory, 11:29 AM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. released Q1 earnings, triggering analysis of whether investors should buy, sell or hold GO shares amid revenue and margin trends. Q1 earnings results can shift near-term investor sentiment and valuation for GO without fundamentally changing long-term strategy.

21 May

3 StockStory, 1:24 PM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. addressed analyst questions during its Q1 earnings call covering sales trends, margin outlook, store expansion pace, inventory management, and competitive pressures in discount retail. Q1 earnings call questions may shape near-term investor views on operational execution and growth outlook.

18 May

3 StockStory, 5:32 PM
Grocery Outlet posted Q1 traffic gains driven by store refreshes and targeted value initiatives that now define its forward outlook. Q1 traffic gains plus store and value initiatives point to moderate effects on results and positioning.

15 May

3 Simply Wall St., 8:46 AM
Analysts value Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:GO) at US$8.46 following recent results. Analyst fair value estimate of $8.46 after results could moderately influence investor sentiment and stock price.

14 May

4 app.moby.co, 8:30 AM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. released Q1 2026 earnings call summary detailing financial performance, operational updates, and future outlook. Q1 2026 earnings call summary highlights financial results and strategic guidance that significantly influence future performance and market sentiment.

4 GuruFocus.com, 1:02 AM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) Q1 2026 earnings call highlights strategies for navigating operational challenges and market pressures. Earnings call highlights detail challenges and strategic responses with potential to significantly alter financial trajectory and investor sentiment.

3 StockStory, 10:52 AM
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) upcoming earnings report focuses on key metrics including sales growth, comparable store sales, gross margins, expenses, and future guidance amid economic pressures. Upcoming earnings preview highlights potential influences on financial metrics and guidance that could moderately affect GO's market performance.
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