Geo Group Inc (The)

GEO Industrials Security & Protection Services

In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 15.1%, EPS grew 71.4%, free cash flow grew 2,422.0% and total debt rose 2.45%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Revenue growth for three consecutive years.

28.66 0.67 −2.28%
Market cap
$3.9B
P/E
13.4×
Fwd P/E
20.6×
Dividend yield
—
F-score
6/9
Altman Z
1.69
Beneish M
−1.73
Dividend safety
n/a

Insider Decisions trades per month

Total sells 1.12
Totals in millions of $.
Dec 25 Mar 26 Jun 26 Sep 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — — — — 1 — — — — 3 1 —
Insider Ownership 4.11%

Capital & Financial Ratios $m

Market Cap 3,860.00
Revenue 2,828.02
Net Income 291.46
Free Cash Flow 348.02
Net Debt 1,454.40
Current Ratio 1.65 (at or above 1.5: strong)
Debt/Equity 1.00
P/E ratio 13.39
Fwd P/E 20.60
P/S ratio 1.32
P/B ratio 2.47
Past 5Y EPS Growth 14.13%
This Y EPS Growth 52.33% (at or above 15%: strong)
Next Y EPS Growth 41.22% (at or above 15%: strong)
Next Y revenue growth 13.77% (at or above 10%: strong)
Next 5Y EPS Growth 32.60% (at or above 15%: strong)

Green and red mark values outside typical ranges. How we judge →

Valuation vs history

P/E against its own 10 years 40.95%
10-year low 10-year high
P/S against its own 10 years 78.92%
10-year low 10-year high
P/B against its own 10 years 70.73%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/Sales against its own 10 years 53.67%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/FCF against its own 10 years 44.94%
10-year low 10-year high

Dividends

Payout Ratio —
Annual Dividend Rate —
Annual Dividend Yield —
total individual payouts
2024 Powerpack
2023 Powerpack
2022 Powerpack
2021 0.25
0.25
2020 1.78
0.48
0.48
0.48
0.34
2019 1.92
0.48
0.48
0.48
0.48
2018 1.88
0.47
0.47
0.47
0.47
2017 1.88
0.47
0.47
0.47
0.47
2016 1.73
0.43
0.43
0.43
0.43
special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities $m

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 94 80 72 57
Receivables 390 376 593 532
Inventory — — — —
Other — — — —
529 500 719 635
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 64 67 59 56
ST’ Debt — — — —
Other — — — —
437 340 357 384

Compound Annual Growth %

10y 5y 3y
Sales 3.62% 2.29% 3.45%
Cash Flow (6.50%) (30.31%) (36.82%)
Earnings 6.20% 17.61% 13.97%
Book Value 4.10% 10.52% 8.89%

Revenue $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 705 732 — — —
’25 605 636 682 708 2,632
’24 606 607 603 608 2,424
’23 608 594 603 608 2,413
’22 551 588 617 621 2,377
’21 576 565 557 558 2,257
’20 605 588 579 578 2,350
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Operating Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 156 80 — — —
’25 71 39 80 (117) 73
’24 83 31 109 18 242
’23 95 15 121 48 278
’22 122 50 56 60 288
’21 125 81 84 (7) 283
’20 128 129 101 84 442
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Free Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 135 59 — — —
’25 40 2 307 (154) 196
’24 69 7 91 (2) 164
’23 81 (1) 114 30 224
’22 108 44 105 43 299
’21 113 64 77 (16) 239
’20 99 106 71 60 335
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

EPS $

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 0.29 0.36 — — —
’25 0.14 0.21 1.24 0.23 1.82
’24 0.14 (0.25) 0.19 0.11 0.22
’23 0.19 0.20 0.16 0.21 0.77
’22 0.26 0.37 0.26 0.28 1.17
’21 0.41 0.29 0.24 (0.41) 0.58
’20 0.21 0.31 0.33 0.09 0.94
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

1
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell

Ten years at a glance Fiscal years to December

Group Line 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Trend 2026e 2027e 2028e
Price, $
Price, $ Low 10.84 23.06 18.43 13.28 8.00 4.96 5.21 6.94 10.46 14.27

Analyst estimates 2026–2028

Powerpack
High 24.00 34.32 28.06 24.03 18.42 11.00 12.44 12.42 29.86 36.46
People
People Employees 19,370 18,512 22,000 22,000 20,000 15,800 15,800 16,400 16,500 18,000
Revenue/emp, $m 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15
Income, $m
Income, $m Revenue 2,179 2,263 2,331 2,478 2,350 2,257 2,377 2,413 2,424 2,632
Gross margin, % 24.28 24.87 24.69 25.02 24.62 27.81 30.03 27.72 26.79 25.20
EBT 149 152 149 174 124 193 230 138 39 335
EBT margin, % 6.86 6.71 6.40 7.00 5.28 8.54 9.67 5.72 1.59 12.75
Net income 148 146 145 166 113 77 172 107 32 254
Depreciation 127 141 135 139 163 143 142 138 134 138
Per share, $
Per share, $ Revenue 19.62 18.85 19.39 20.81 19.63 18.75 19.64 19.80 18.46 19.14
Earnings 1.34 1.22 1.21 1.40 0.94 0.59 1.18 0.78 0.23 1.85
Cash flow (0.25) 3.17 2.28 2.84 3.69 2.35 2.38 2.28 1.84 0.53
Capex (0.72) (1.21) (1.58) (0.97) (0.89) (0.37) 0.09 (0.44) (0.60) 0.90
Free cash flow (0.97) 1.97 0.70 1.87 2.80 1.98 2.47 1.84 1.25 1.43
Book value 8.78 9.98 8.65 8.36 7.62 8.10 9.63 10.58 10.15 10.94
Shares, m 111 120 120 119 120 120 121 122 131 137
Valuation, ×
Valuation, × P/E 18.13 19.73 16.28 11.86 9.43 14.62 9.08 13.79 139.90 8.76
P/S 1.24 1.28 1.02 0.80 0.45 0.41 0.55 0.54 1.52 0.84
P/B 2.77 2.41 2.28 1.99 1.16 0.96 1.11 1.02 2.76 1.47
EV/Sales 2.20 2.35 2.02 1.87 1.55 1.48 1.32 1.22 2.19 1.44
EV/FCF (44.57) 22.52 55.53 20.86 10.85 13.96 10.47 13.12 32.44 19.34
Cash, $m
Cash, $m Operating cash flow (28) 381 274 338 442 283 288 278 242 73
Capex (80) (145) (190) (116) (106) (44) 11 (53) (79) 124
Free cash flow (108) 236 85 222 335 239 299 224 164 196
Balance, $m
Balance, $m Working capital 194 210 (103) 146 300 565 118 91 160 362
Total debt 2,182 2,553 2,417 2,720 2,889 2,926 1,933 1,726 1,711 1,649
Net debt 2,097 2,427 2,334 2,656 2,579 2,399 1,838 1,632 1,632 1,577
Shareholders’ equity 975 1,199 1,040 996 912 975 1,165 1,290 1,333 1,504
Returns, %
Returns, % ROA 4.12 3.67 3.42 3.89 2.58 1.72 4.14 2.88 0.87 6.81
ROIC 5.40 4.28 4.90 5.19 4.11 5.34 7.99 7.54 6.53 5.22
ROE 15.01 13.45 12.96 16.37 11.85 8.20 16.06 8.74 2.44 17.93
Negative figures in brackets.

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026

Charts ten years each

Geo Group Inc (The) vs peers in Security & Protection Services (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier

Company Market cap P/E Fwd P/E Revenue growth (Q) EPS growth (Q) FCF growth (Q) Gross margin (Q) EBIT margin (Q) Compare
ALLE Allegion PLC $13.2B 20.5× 16.1× +12.67% (above 0%: growing) +15.59% (above 0%: growing) −5.99% (below 0%: shrinking) 44.94% 22.12% Compare
MSA MSA Safety Incorporporated $7.0B 22.2× 19.3× +6.16% (above 0%: growing) +39.37% (above 0%: growing) +118.31% (above 0%: growing) 49.53% 22.24% Compare
ADT ADT Inc. $5.0B 8.9× 8.3× +1.96% (above 0%: growing) 0.00% +28.06% (above 0%: growing) 79.92% 24.07% Compare
BCO Brink's Company (The) $4.3B 24.2× 12.4× +7.06% (above 0%: growing) +3.88% (above 0%: growing) −97.49% (below 0%: shrinking) 26.29% 9.57% Compare
BRC Brady Corporation $3.9B 18.8× 16.5× +9.98% (above 0%: growing) −7.62% (below 0%: shrinking) +22.90% (above 0%: growing) 52.90% 13.76% Compare
GEO Geo Group Inc (The) $3.9B 13.4× 20.6× +15.08% (above 0%: growing) +71.43% (above 0%: growing) +2,422.02% (above 0%: growing) 27.51% 13.89%
CXW CoreCivic, Inc. $3.1B 24.1× 14.7× +27.27% (above 0%: growing) +8.57% (above 0%: growing) +55.25% (above 0%: growing) 21.74% 10.07% Compare
NSSC NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. $1.3B 29.4× 21.5× +10.02% (above 0%: growing) +51.52% (above 0%: growing) +19.89% (above 0%: growing) 61.31% 33.02% Compare
EVLV Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. $757.1M — (loss-making) — (loss-making) +34.44% (above 0%: growing) n/m +203.88% (above 0%: growing) 50.17% (24.11%) Compare
Median of peers $4.1B 22.2× 16.1× +10.00% +8.57% +25.48% 49.85% 17.94%

All 22 Security & Protection Services stocks →

Geo Group Inc (The) (GEO) key facts

  • Geo Group Inc (The) (GEO) is a Security & Protection Services company in the Industrials sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
  • As of October 16, 2026, GEO traded at $28.66, a market capitalization of $3.9 billion.
  • Return on equity was 17.9% and debt-to-equity 1.00.
  • Its Piotroski F-score is 6 out of 9 and its Altman Z-score is 1.69 (distress zone) for fiscal 2025.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

Geo Group Inc (The) (GEO) Latest News

8 Aug

Impact 3 · transcript
stockrow.com/GEO · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com