Pricing Log in Create free account
Friday 6 November 2026 Export GEO’s income statement to Excel — free account

Geo Group Inc (The)

GEO Industrials Security & Protection Services

Geo Group Inc (The)’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $2.6 billion, up 8.58% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
+15.1%
EPS
+71.4%
Free cash flow
+2,422.0%
Total debt
+2.45%

Quarter to June 2026, against a year earlier

25.35 2.18 −7.92%
Market cap
$3.3B
P/E
11.8×
Fwd P/E
21.7×
Dividend yield
—
F-score
6/9
Altman Z
1.69
Beneish M
−1.73
Dividend safety
n/a
Overview
Financials
Income Statement Balance Sheet Cash Flow Metrics & Ratios

Insider Decisions last twelve months

Sold, $m 1.12
Trades a month
Jan 26 Apr 26 Jul 26 Oct 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — — — 1 — — — — 3 1 — —
Insider Ownership 4.11%

Capital & Financial Ratios $m

Size
Market Cap 3,310.00
Revenue ttm 2,828.02
Net income ttm 291.46
Free cash flow ttm 348.02
Net debt Q 1,454.40
Valuation
P/E 11.85
Forward P/E 21.70
Price / sales 1.17
Forward P/S Powerpack
Price / FCF 9.51
Price / book 2.19
Financial health
Current ratio Q 1.65 (at or above 1.5: strong)
Debt / equity Q 1.00
Interest coverage Q 2.64
Growth
Revenue growth Q +15.08% (above 0%: growing)
Operating income growth Q +41.31% (above 0%: growing)
EPS, this year +61.63% (at or above 15%: strong)
EPS, next year A +50.12% (at or above 15%: strong)
Revenue, next year A +13.77% (at or above 10%: strong)
EPS, past 5 yrs +14.13%
EPS, next 5 yrs A +32.60% (at or above 15%: strong)

Green and red mark values outside typical ranges; (Q) is the latest quarter, (A) analysts’ estimates. How we judge →

Valuation vs history

EV/Sales, ten years
EV/Sales is 1.7×, against a ten-year median of 1.7×; over the ten years it ranged from 1.1× in 2023 to 2.6× in 2017.
P/E against its own 10 years 35.86%
10-year low 10-year high
P/S against its own 10 years 66.19%
10-year low 10-year high
P/B against its own 10 years 61.61%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/Sales against its own 10 years 48.59%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/FCF against its own 10 years 33.99%
10-year low 10-year high

Dividends

Yield
—
Annual rate
—
Payout ratio
—
Growth, 2016–24
−100.0%/yr
  1. 1.73 ’16
  2. 1.88 ’17 +8
  3. 1.88 ’18 +0
  4. 1.92 ’19 +2
  5. 1.78 ’20 −7
  6. 0.25 ’21 −86
  7. 0.00 ’22 −100
  8. 0.00 ’23
  9. 0.00 ’24
paid change on the year, %

Assets vs Liabilities $m

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 94 80 72 57
Receivables 390 376 593 532
Inventory — — — —
Other — — — —
529 500 719 635
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 64 67 59 56
ST’ Debt — — — —
Other — — — —
437 340 357 384

Compound Annual Growth %

10y 5y 3y
Sales 3.62% 2.29% 3.45%
Cash Flow (6.50%) (30.31%) (36.82%)
Earnings 6.20% 17.61% 13.97%
Book Value 4.10% 10.52% 8.89%

Earnings Trends EPS, adjusted, against the consensus

Q4 FY22 Estimate 0.55 Actual 0.58

Earnings per share against the consensus, by quarter
Quarter Estimate Reported Result
Q1 FY22 0.50 0.64 Beat by 0.14
Q2 FY22 0.58 0.69 Beat by 0.11
Q3 FY22 0.56 0.60 Beat by 0.04
Q4 FY22 0.55 0.58 Beat by 0.03
Q3 FY26 0.35 — Reports 5 November 2026

EPS $

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 0.29 0.36 — — —
’25 0.14 0.21 1.24 0.23 1.82
’24 0.14 (0.25) 0.19 0.11 0.22
’23 0.19 0.20 0.16 0.21 0.72
’22 0.26 0.37 0.26 0.28 1.17
’21 0.41 0.29 0.24 (0.41) 0.58
’20 0.21 0.31 0.33 0.09 0.94
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Revenue $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 705 732 — — —
’25 605 636 682 708 2,632
’24 606 607 603 608 2,424
’23 608 594 603 608 2,413
’22 551 588 617 621 2,377
’21 576 565 557 558 2,257
’20 605 588 579 578 2,350
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Operating Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 156 80 — — —
’25 71 39 80 (117) 73
’24 83 31 109 18 242
’23 95 15 121 48 278
’22 122 50 56 60 288
’21 125 81 84 (7) 283
’20 128 129 101 84 442
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Free Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 135 59 — — —
’25 40 2 307 (154) 196
’24 69 7 91 (2) 164
’23 81 (1) 114 30 224
’22 108 44 105 43 299
’21 113 64 77 (16) 239
’20 99 106 71 60 335
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

1
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell

Ten years at a glance Fiscal years to December

Ten-year view Analyst estimates Powerpack
Group Line 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 TTM Jun ’26 Trend 10 yrs 2026e 2027e 2028e Next 3/yr
Income, $m
Income, $m Revenue 2,179 2,263 2,331 2,478 2,350 2,257 2,377 2,413 2,424 2,632 2,828 +2.1% 2,994 3,256 3,474 +9.7%
Gross margin, % 24.28 24.87 24.69 25.02 24.62 27.81 30.03 27.72 26.79 25.20 26.04 +0.9 pt
EBT 149 152 149 174 124 193 230 138 39 335 396 +9.4%
EBT margin, % 6.86 6.71 6.40 7.00 5.28 8.54 9.67 5.72 1.59 12.75 14.00 +5.9 pt
Net income 148 146 145 166 113 77 172 107 32 254 291 +6.2%
Per share, $
Per share, $ Revenue 19.62 18.85 19.39 20.81 19.63 18.75 19.64 19.80 18.46 19.14 21.65 (0.3%)
Earnings 1.34 1.22 1.21 1.40 0.94 0.59 1.18 0.73 0.23 1.85 2.14 +3.6%
Cash flow (0.25) 3.17 2.28 2.84 3.69 2.35 2.38 2.28 1.84 0.53 1.52 n/m
Capex (0.72) (1.21) (1.58) (0.97) (0.89) (0.37) 0.09 (0.44) (0.60) 0.90 1.14 n/m
Free cash flow (0.97) 1.97 0.70 1.87 2.80 1.98 2.47 1.84 1.25 1.43 2.66 n/m
Book value 8.78 9.98 8.65 8.36 7.62 8.10 9.63 10.58 10.15 10.94 11.60 +2.5%
Shares, m 111 120 120 119 120 120 121 122 131 137 135 +2.4%
Valuation, ×
Valuation, × P/E 18.13 19.73 16.28 11.86 9.43 14.62 9.08 13.79 139.90 8.76 11.85 26.2
P/S 1.24 1.28 1.02 0.80 0.45 0.41 0.55 0.54 1.52 0.84 1.17 0.9
P/B 2.77 2.41 2.28 1.99 1.16 0.96 1.11 1.02 2.76 1.47 2.19 1.8
EV/Sales 2.20 2.35 2.02 1.87 1.55 1.48 1.32 1.22 2.19 1.44 1.69 1.8
EV/FCF (44.57) 22.52 55.53 20.86 10.85 13.96 10.47 13.12 32.44 19.34 13.69 15.5
Cash, $m
Cash, $m Operating cash flow (28) 381 274 338 442 283 288 278 242 73 199 n/m
Capex (80) (145) (190) (116) (106) (44) 11 (53) (79) 124 149 n/m
Free cash flow (108) 236 85 222 335 239 299 224 164 196 348 n/m
Balance, $m
Balance, $m Working capital 194 210 (103) 146 300 565 118 91 160 362 251 +7.2%
Net debt 2,097 2,427 2,334 2,656 2,579 2,399 1,838 1,632 1,632 1,577 1,454 (3.1%)
Shareholders’ equity 975 1,199 1,040 996 912 975 1,165 1,290 1,333 1,504 1,515 +4.9%
Returns, %
Returns, % ROA 4.12 3.67 3.42 3.89 2.58 1.72 4.14 2.39 0.87 6.81 7.88 +2.7 pt
ROIC 5.40 4.28 4.90 5.19 4.11 5.34 7.99 7.54 6.53 5.22 6.64 (0.2) pt
ROE 15.01 13.45 12.96 16.37 11.85 8.20 16.06 7.26 2.44 17.93 20.13 +2.9 pt
People
People Employees 19,370 18,512 22,000 22,000 20,000 15,800 15,800 16,400 16,500 18,000 — (0.8%)
Revenue/emp, $m 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 — +3.0%
Negative figures in brackets.
estimates

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026 · fundamentals updated 26 Oct 2026

Geo Group Inc (The) vs peers in Security & Protection Services (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier

Company Market cap P/E Fwd P/E Revenue growth (Q) EPS growth (Q) FCF growth (Q) Gross margin (Q) EBIT margin (Q) Compare
ALLE Allegion PLC $15.8B 23.2× 22.0× +9.57% (above 0%: growing) +18.72% (above 0%: growing) +32.79% (above 0%: growing) 46.75% 24.27% Compare
ADT ADT Inc. $7.2B 12.4× 12.5× +3.93% (above 0%: growing) +14.44% (above 0%: growing) −2.72% (below 0%: shrinking) 78.30% 23.02% Compare
MSA MSA Safety Incorporporated $6.6B 21.8× 21.0× +14.51% (above 0%: growing) −14.93% (below 0%: shrinking) −32.14% (below 0%: shrinking) 45.53% 16.45% Compare
BCO Brink's Company (The) $4.5B 28.9× 16.6× +2.97% (above 0%: growing) −59.30% (below 0%: shrinking) −41.39% (below 0%: shrinking) 24.32% 9.53% Compare
BRC Brady Corporation $3.7B 18.3× 13.7× +9.98% (above 0%: growing) −7.62% (below 0%: shrinking) +22.90% (above 0%: growing) 52.90% 13.76% Compare
GEO Geo Group Inc (The) $3.3B 11.8× 21.7× +15.08% (above 0%: growing) +71.43% (above 0%: growing) +2,422.02% (above 0%: growing) 27.51% 13.89%
CXW CoreCivic, Inc. $2.8B 1.8× 2.0× +28.20% (above 0%: growing) +5,748.00% (above 0%: growing) −2,376.81% (below 0%: shrinking) 21.12% 8.98% Compare
NSSC NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. $1.1B 24.4× 24.1× +1.65% (above 0%: growing) +6.97% (above 0%: growing) −79.75% (below 0%: shrinking) 58.73% 28.25% Compare
EVLV Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. $820.5M — (loss-making) — (loss-making) +34.44% (above 0%: growing) n/m +203.88% (above 0%: growing) 50.17% (24.11%) Compare
Median of peers $4.1B 21.8× 16.6× +9.78% +6.97% −17.43% 48.46% 15.11%

All 22 Security & Protection Services stocks →

Pay and ownership Proxy statement filed 19 March 2026

Ownership

Directors and executive officers, together 4.98%
BlackRock, Inc. 14.97%
The Vanguard Group, Inc. 10.23%
Ownership is the proxy’s own table: the directors and officers as a group, and every holder of 5% or more. Read the proxy statement

Geo Group Inc (The) (GEO) Latest News

5 Nov

Impact 4 · · Simply Wall St.
Impact 4 · · The Motley Fool transcript
Impact 4 · · Moby
Impact 4 · · Business Wire
Impact 3 · · StockStory

2 Nov

Impact 4 · · Business Wire

29 Oct

Impact 4 · · Business Wire

20 Oct

Impact 4 · · Simply Wall St.
Impact 3 · · StockStory

19 Oct

Impact 4 · · Business Wire

9 Oct

Impact 4 · · Zacks
Impact 3 · · Zacks

6 Oct

Impact 4 · · Business Wire

5 Oct

Impact 4 · · StockStory
Impact 4 · · Business Wire

30 Sep

Impact 3 · · Zacks

29 Sep

Impact 3 ·

23 Sep

Impact 3 · · StockStory

9 Sep

Impact 3 ·

24 Aug

Impact 3 ·

15 Aug

Impact 3 ·

12 Aug

Impact 3 ·

11 Aug

Impact 4 ·
Impact 3 ·

9 Aug

Impact 4 ·

8 Aug

Impact 3 · · MarketBeat transcript

6 Aug

Impact 4 ·
Impact 4 ·
Impact 3 · · Moby transcript

29 Jul

Impact 3 ·

GEO metrics, ten years each

stockrow.com/GEO · Data as of Oct 26, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com