Geo Group Inc (The) GEO

31.22 (0.74) (2.32%) as of 25 Sep
Market cap
$4.2B
P/E
14.6×
Growth Flags show if company had growth for consecutive years

Insider Decisions

Total sells 1.12
in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — — — — — 1 — — — — 3 1
Insider Ownership 4.11%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap 4,210.00
Revenue 2,828.02
Net Income 291.46
Free Cash Flow 348.02
Net Debt 1,454.40
Current Ratio 1.65
Debt/Equity 1.00
P/E ratio 14.59
P/S ratio 1.44
P/B ratio 2.69
Past 5Y EPS Growth (30.73%)
This Y EPS Growth 47.29%
Next Y EPS Growth 41.32%
Next 5Y EPS Growth 26.27%
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio 0.00
Annual Dividend Rate —
Annual Dividend Yield —
total individual payouts
2024 Powerpack
2023 Powerpack
2022 Powerpack
2021 0.25
0.25
2020 1.78
0.48
0.48
0.48
0.34
2019 1.92
0.48
0.48
0.48
0.48
2018 1.88
0.47
0.47
0.47
0.47
2017 1.88
0.47
0.47
0.47
0.47
2016 1.73
0.43
0.43
0.43
0.43
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 94 80 72 57
Receivables 390 376 593 532
Inventory — — — —
Other — — — —
529 500 719 635
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 64 67 59 56
ST’ Debt — — — —
Other — — — —
437 340 357 384
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales 3.62% 2.29% 3.45%
Cash Flow (6.50%) (30.31%) (36.82%)
Earnings 6.20% 17.61% 13.97%
Book Value 4.10% 10.52% 8.89%

Revenue

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 705 732 — — —
’25 605 636 682 708 2,632
’24 606 607 603 608 2,424
’23 608 594 603 608 2,413
’22 551 588 617 621 2,377
’21 576 565 557 558 2,257
’20 605 588 579 578 2,350
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Operating Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 156 80 — — —
’25 71 39 80 (117) 73
’24 83 31 109 18 242
’23 95 15 121 48 278
’22 122 50 56 60 288
’21 125 81 84 (7) 283
’20 128 129 101 84 442
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Free Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 135 59 — — —
’25 40 2 307 (154) 196
’24 69 7 91 (2) 164
’23 81 (1) 114 30 224
’22 108 44 105 43 299
’21 113 64 77 (16) 239
’20 99 106 71 60 335
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

EPS

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 0.29 0.36 — — —
’25 0.14 0.21 1.24 0.23 1.82
’24 0.14 (0.25) 0.19 0.11 0.22
’23 0.19 0.20 0.16 0.21 0.77
’22 0.26 0.37 0.26 0.28 1.17
’21 0.41 0.29 0.24 (0.41) 0.58
’20 0.21 0.31 0.33 0.09 0.94
fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

1
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
10.84 23.06 18.43 13.28 8.00 4.96 5.21 6.94 10.46 14.27

Analyst estimates 2026–2028

Powerpack
Low Price
24.00 34.32 28.06 24.03 18.42 11.00 12.44 12.42 29.86 36.46
High Price
19,370 18,512 22,000 22,000 20,000 15,800 15,800 16,400 16,500 18,000
Employees
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Revenue/Emp
2,179 2,263 2,331 2,478 2,350 2,257 2,377 2,413 2,424 2,632
Revenue
24.28% 24.87% 24.69% 25.02% 24.62% 27.81% 30.03% 27.72% 26.79% 25.20%
Gross Margin
149 152 149 174 124 193 230 138 39 335
EBT
6.86% 6.71% 6.40% 7.00% 5.28% 8.54% 9.67% 5.72% 1.59% 12.75%
EBT Margin
148 146 145 166 113 77 172 107 32 254
Net Income
127 141 135 139 163 143 142 138 134 138
Depreciation
19.62 18.85 19.39 20.81 19.63 18.75 19.64 19.80 18.46 19.14
Revenue/Sh
1.34 1.22 1.21 1.40 0.94 0.59 1.18 0.78 0.23 1.85
Earnings/Sh
(0.25) 3.17 2.28 2.84 3.69 2.35 2.38 2.28 1.84 0.53
Cash Flow/Sh
(0.72) (1.21) (1.58) (0.97) (0.89) (0.37) 0.09 (0.44) (0.60) 0.90
Capex/Sh
(0.97) 1.97 0.70 1.87 2.80 1.98 2.47 1.84 1.25 1.43
Free CF/Sh
8.78 9.98 8.65 8.36 7.62 8.10 9.63 10.58 10.15 10.94
Book Value/Sh
111 120 120 119 120 120 121 122 131 137
Shares
18.13 19.73 16.28 11.86 9.43 14.62 9.08 13.79 139.90 8.76
PE Ratio
1.24 1.28 1.02 0.80 0.45 0.41 0.55 0.54 1.52 0.84
PS Ratio
2.77 2.41 2.28 1.99 1.16 0.96 1.11 1.02 2.76 1.47
PB Ratio
2.20 2.35 2.02 1.87 1.55 1.48 1.32 1.22 2.19 1.44
EV/Sales
(44.57) 22.52 55.53 20.86 10.85 13.96 10.47 13.12 32.44 19.34
EV/FCF
(28) 381 274 338 442 283 288 278 242 73
Op' Cash Flow
(80) (145) (190) (116) (106) (44) 11 (53) (79) 124
Capex
(108) 236 85 222 335 239 299 224 164 196
FCF
194 210 (103) 146 300 565 118 91 160 362
Working Cap'
2,182 2,553 2,417 2,720 2,889 2,926 1,933 1,726 1,711 1,649
Total Debt
2,097 2,427 2,334 2,656 2,579 2,399 1,838 1,632 1,632 1,577
Net Debt
975 1,199 1,040 996 912 975 1,165 1,290 1,333 1,504
Sh' Equity
4.12% 3.67% 3.42% 3.89% 2.58% 1.72% 4.14% 2.88% 0.87% 6.81%
ROA
5.40% 4.28% 4.90% 5.19% 4.11% 5.34% 7.99% 7.54% 6.53% 5.22%
ROIC
15.01% 13.45% 12.96% 16.37% 11.85% 8.20% 16.06% 8.74% 2.44% 17.93%
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026

Geo Group Inc (The) peers in Security & Protection Services

All 22 Security & Protection Services stocks →

Geo Group Inc (The) (GEO) key facts

  • Geo Group Inc (The) (GEO) is a Security & Protection Services company in the Industrials sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
  • Geo Group Inc (The)’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $2.6 billion, up 8.58% from fiscal 2024.
  • As of September 25, 2026, GEO traded at $31.22, a market capitalization of $4.2 billion.
  • Return on equity was 17.9% and debt-to-equity 1.00.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

Geo Group Inc (The) (GEO) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

23 Sep

3

GEO Group shares rose about 3% to 4% in afternoon trading after Georgia Public Broadcasting reported DHS signed more than $7 billion in construction contracts to expand immigration detention in New York, Texas, Arizona, Florida, and California, with further expansion planned in Colorado, Washington, and Pennsylvania. A planning document allegedly shows ICE seeking 'mobile detention facilities' run by GEO's GPB subsidiary. On an August earnings call, GEO CEO George Zoley said ICE has about 68,000 beds and could add roughly 30,000 more if a 100,000 target is kept; ICE and GEO did not comment. The Philadelphia Inquirer said GEO's contract to operate the Moshannon Valley center extended to March 2027, and ICE bought four CoreCivic centers this summer. The contracts are for construction and not new operating awards. Expansion plans signal growth potential but lack of guaranteed operating awards limits long-term impact.

9 Sep

3

Strong engagement and contract value strengthen Geo Group Inc (The) (GEO) prospects. Positive contract developments may moderately influence the company's financial performance.

24 Aug

3

Geo Group (GEO) maintains positive momentum expected to continue based on current trends and factors supporting the stock. Ongoing momentum in GEO can lift short-term investor sentiment and share price without altering core operations.

15 Aug

3

GEO Group's Q2 earnings call featured five analyst questions on company performance, operations and outlook. Q2 earnings call details may moderately sway investor views on GEO Group's results and strategy.

12 Aug

3

Earnings estimates for Geo Group (GEO) are rising, which may signal potential stock gains ahead. Rising earnings estimates can lift near-term investor sentiment and share price for Geo Group.

11 Aug

4

GEO Group launched a share buyback and secured a new ICE contract, developments that may improve its earnings outlook and investor positioning. Buyback and new ICE contract constitute major strategic moves that could significantly alter earnings trajectory and investor sentiment.

3

GEO Group (GEO) returns to market focus amid developments that could influence its operations and stock trajectory. Renewed attention points to moderately noticeable effects on financial performance and positioning without fundamental overhaul.

9 Aug

4

GEO advances contract expansions amid evolving ICE policies while progressing asset sales in Q2 2026. Contract expansions and ICE policy developments signal major operational and strategic shifts for GEO.

8 Aug

3 transcript

Geo Group Q2 earnings call highlights financial results, revenue figures, operational updates and strategic outlook for the company. Q2 earnings details offer moderate updates on financial performance likely to sway short-term market views without major strategic shifts.

6 Aug

4

Geo Group Inc reported second quarter results and updated full year 2026 guidance. Quarterly results with 2026 guidance update directly shape earnings expectations and valuation.

4

GEO Group beat revenue estimates in Q2 CY2026 and guided for strong sales next quarter. Revenue beat combined with upbeat next-quarter sales guidance points to stronger near-term financial results and investor sentiment.

3 transcript

GEO Group Inc held its Q2 2026 earnings call, releasing financial results and operational updates for the quarter. Quarterly earnings releases provide updated financial metrics that can shift short-term market views on performance.

29 Jul

3

Geo Group Inc secures contract for its company-owned 1,320-bed Rivers Facility in North Carolina. Contract win for owned facility increases operational capacity and revenue potential.

13 Jul

3

GEO Group secures contract to operate company-leased 1,188-bed Big Horn facility in Colorado. Contract expands GEO operational capacity and revenue in Colorado at moderate scale.

24 May

3

GEO Group raised its guidance amid improving sentiment, though valuation signals show divergence. Guidance upgrade can moderately shift investor expectations and near-term stock trajectory for GEO.

23 May

4

GEO Group and Benchmark shares surge sharply higher on market momentum. Sharp share price surge signals major positive shift in investor sentiment and valuation trajectory for GEO.

16 May

3

GEO Group’s Q1 earnings call drew five key analyst questions on operational performance, contract renewals, revenue outlook, cost management, and strategic growth initiatives for the private prison and detention operator. Earnings call questions spotlight analyst focus areas that can shape near-term investor views and company execution priorities.

14 May

3

GEO Group posted healthy earnings, but other factors require investor attention. Healthy earnings provide a positive signal tempered by unspecified risk factors, yielding moderate impact on future performance.

10 May

4

GEO Group Inc. (GEO) delivered Q1 outperformance fueled by new ICE contracts and facility activations. New ICE contracts and facility activations boost GEO's revenue and operational momentum significantly.

3

Geo Group released Q1 earnings call highlights detailing financial results, operational performance, revenue guidance, and strategic initiatives. Q1 earnings highlights influence GEO's financial metrics and investor outlook but are balanced by market factors.

8 May

4

The GEO Group beat earnings expectations. Analysts now predict the company's next moves and performance outlook. Beating earnings expectations signals strong financial health and influences investor sentiment and future stock trajectory.

6 May

4

Geo Group Inc. (GEO) shares surged 21% after profits nearly doubled, with the company expressing an optimistic outlook. Profits nearly doubling triggered a 21% stock surge and optimistic outlook, signaling significant positive impact on future performance.

4

The GEO Group, Inc. released Q1 2026 earnings call summary detailing financial results, operational updates, and forward outlook. Q1 2026 earnings call summary discloses financial performance and guidance, significantly influencing investor sentiment and stock trajectory.

4 transcript

Geo Group Inc. (GEO) released Q1 2026 earnings call transcript detailing financial results, operational performance, management discussion, and forward-looking guidance. Q1 2026 earnings transcript discloses financial metrics, strategic updates, and guidance that significantly shape GEO's market performance and investor outlook.

4

GEO Group's stock surged 20% after reporting earnings that beat expectations and issuing a stronger full-year forecast. Earnings beat and raised full-year guidance triggered 20% stock jump, boosting investor sentiment and financial outlook.

4

GEO Group beat revenue expectations in Q1 CY2026, driving a 14.3% surge in its stock price. Revenue beat and 14.3% stock jump indicate strong financial performance boosting investor sentiment and short-to-medium term trajectory.

4

The GEO Group reported first quarter results and increased its full-year 2026 guidance. Raising full-year 2026 guidance post-Q1 results signals strong financial momentum and boosts investor confidence.

3

Geo Group Inc. (GEO) reported Q1 earnings and revenues that exceeded analyst estimates. Beating Q1 earnings and revenue estimates positively affects Geo Group's financial performance and short-term market sentiment.

3 May

4

GEO Group secures record contracts and reduces debt, prompting a valuation check amid improved financial outlook. Record contracts drive revenue growth while debt reduction strengthens balance sheet, significantly boosting GEO's trajectory and investor sentiment.

4

GEO Group secures record contracts and announces share buybacks, prompting debate on whether these moves lower its risk profile for investors. Record contracts boost revenue visibility while buybacks signal confidence, likely enhancing financial stability and investor sentiment.

stockrow.com/GEO · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com