Geo Group Inc (The) GEO
- Market cap
- $4.2B
- P/E
- 14.6×
Follow GEO
Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free account| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.84 | 23.06 | 18.43 | 13.28 | 8.00 | 4.96 | 5.21 | 6.94 | 10.46 | 14.27 |
Analyst estimates 2026–2028 Powerpack |
Low Price
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| 24.00 | 34.32 | 28.06 | 24.03 | 18.42 | 11.00 | 12.44 | 12.42 | 29.86 | 36.46 |
High Price
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| 19,370 | 18,512 | 22,000 | 22,000 | 20,000 | 15,800 | 15,800 | 16,400 | 16,500 | 18,000 |
Employees
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| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Revenue/Emp
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| 2,179 | 2,263 | 2,331 | 2,478 | 2,350 | 2,257 | 2,377 | 2,413 | 2,424 | 2,632 |
Revenue
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| 24.28% | 24.87% | 24.69% | 25.02% | 24.62% | 27.81% | 30.03% | 27.72% | 26.79% | 25.20% |
Gross Margin
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| 149 | 152 | 149 | 174 | 124 | 193 | 230 | 138 | 39 | 335 |
EBT
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| 6.86% | 6.71% | 6.40% | 7.00% | 5.28% | 8.54% | 9.67% | 5.72% | 1.59% | 12.75% |
EBT Margin
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| 148 | 146 | 145 | 166 | 113 | 77 | 172 | 107 | 32 | 254 |
Net Income
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| 127 | 141 | 135 | 139 | 163 | 143 | 142 | 138 | 134 | 138 |
Depreciation
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| 19.62 | 18.85 | 19.39 | 20.81 | 19.63 | 18.75 | 19.64 | 19.80 | 18.46 | 19.14 |
Revenue/Sh
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| 1.34 | 1.22 | 1.21 | 1.40 | 0.94 | 0.59 | 1.18 | 0.78 | 0.23 | 1.85 |
Earnings/Sh
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| (0.25) | 3.17 | 2.28 | 2.84 | 3.69 | 2.35 | 2.38 | 2.28 | 1.84 | 0.53 |
Cash Flow/Sh
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| (0.72) | (1.21) | (1.58) | (0.97) | (0.89) | (0.37) | 0.09 | (0.44) | (0.60) | 0.90 |
Capex/Sh
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| (0.97) | 1.97 | 0.70 | 1.87 | 2.80 | 1.98 | 2.47 | 1.84 | 1.25 | 1.43 |
Free CF/Sh
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| 8.78 | 9.98 | 8.65 | 8.36 | 7.62 | 8.10 | 9.63 | 10.58 | 10.15 | 10.94 |
Book Value/Sh
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| 111 | 120 | 120 | 119 | 120 | 120 | 121 | 122 | 131 | 137 |
Shares
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| 18.13 | 19.73 | 16.28 | 11.86 | 9.43 | 14.62 | 9.08 | 13.79 | 139.90 | 8.76 |
PE Ratio
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| 1.24 | 1.28 | 1.02 | 0.80 | 0.45 | 0.41 | 0.55 | 0.54 | 1.52 | 0.84 |
PS Ratio
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| 2.77 | 2.41 | 2.28 | 1.99 | 1.16 | 0.96 | 1.11 | 1.02 | 2.76 | 1.47 |
PB Ratio
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| 2.20 | 2.35 | 2.02 | 1.87 | 1.55 | 1.48 | 1.32 | 1.22 | 2.19 | 1.44 |
EV/Sales
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| (44.57) | 22.52 | 55.53 | 20.86 | 10.85 | 13.96 | 10.47 | 13.12 | 32.44 | 19.34 |
EV/FCF
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| (28) | 381 | 274 | 338 | 442 | 283 | 288 | 278 | 242 | 73 |
Op' Cash Flow
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| (80) | (145) | (190) | (116) | (106) | (44) | 11 | (53) | (79) | 124 |
Capex
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| (108) | 236 | 85 | 222 | 335 | 239 | 299 | 224 | 164 | 196 |
FCF
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| 194 | 210 | (103) | 146 | 300 | 565 | 118 | 91 | 160 | 362 |
Working Cap'
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| 2,182 | 2,553 | 2,417 | 2,720 | 2,889 | 2,926 | 1,933 | 1,726 | 1,711 | 1,649 |
Total Debt
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| 2,097 | 2,427 | 2,334 | 2,656 | 2,579 | 2,399 | 1,838 | 1,632 | 1,632 | 1,577 |
Net Debt
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| 975 | 1,199 | 1,040 | 996 | 912 | 975 | 1,165 | 1,290 | 1,333 | 1,504 |
Sh' Equity
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| 4.12% | 3.67% | 3.42% | 3.89% | 2.58% | 1.72% | 4.14% | 2.88% | 0.87% | 6.81% |
ROA
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| 5.40% | 4.28% | 4.90% | 5.19% | 4.11% | 5.34% | 7.99% | 7.54% | 6.53% | 5.22% |
ROIC
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| 15.01% | 13.45% | 12.96% | 16.37% | 11.85% | 8.20% | 16.06% | 8.74% | 2.44% | 17.93% |
ROE
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Geo Group Inc (The) peers in Security & Protection Services
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|
| BCO Brink's Company (The) | $4.4B | 24.8× | Compare |
| BRC Brady Corporation | $3.9B | 19.3× | Compare |
| ADT ADT Inc. | $4.7B | 8.3× | Compare |
| CXW CoreCivic, Inc. | $3.4B | 25.3× | Compare |
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSA MSA Safety Incorporporated | $7.0B | 22.6× | Compare |
| ALLE Allegion PLC | $13.0B | 20.2× | Compare |
| NSSC NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. | $1.3B | 29.5× | Compare |
| EVLV Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. | $887.5M | 0.0× | Compare |
Geo Group Inc (The) (GEO) key facts
- Geo Group Inc (The) (GEO) is a Security & Protection Services company in the Industrials sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
- Geo Group Inc (The)’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $2.6 billion, up 8.58% from fiscal 2024.
- As of September 25, 2026, GEO traded at $31.22, a market capitalization of $4.2 billion.
- Return on equity was 17.9% and debt-to-equity 1.00.
Geo Group Inc (The) (GEO) Latest News
23 Sep
GEO Group shares rose about 3% to 4% in afternoon trading after Georgia Public Broadcasting reported DHS signed more than $7 billion in construction contracts to expand immigration detention in New York, Texas, Arizona, Florida, and California, with further expansion planned in Colorado, Washington, and Pennsylvania. A planning document allegedly shows ICE seeking 'mobile detention facilities' run by GEO's GPB subsidiary. On an August earnings call, GEO CEO George Zoley said ICE has about 68,000 beds and could add roughly 30,000 more if a 100,000 target is kept; ICE and GEO did not comment. The Philadelphia Inquirer said GEO's contract to operate the Moshannon Valley center extended to March 2027, and ICE bought four CoreCivic centers this summer. The contracts are for construction and not new operating awards. Expansion plans signal growth potential but lack of guaranteed operating awards limits long-term impact.
9 Sep
Strong engagement and contract value strengthen Geo Group Inc (The) (GEO) prospects. Positive contract developments may moderately influence the company's financial performance.
24 Aug
Geo Group (GEO) maintains positive momentum expected to continue based on current trends and factors supporting the stock. Ongoing momentum in GEO can lift short-term investor sentiment and share price without altering core operations.
15 Aug
GEO Group's Q2 earnings call featured five analyst questions on company performance, operations and outlook. Q2 earnings call details may moderately sway investor views on GEO Group's results and strategy.
12 Aug
Earnings estimates for Geo Group (GEO) are rising, which may signal potential stock gains ahead. Rising earnings estimates can lift near-term investor sentiment and share price for Geo Group.
11 Aug
GEO Group launched a share buyback and secured a new ICE contract, developments that may improve its earnings outlook and investor positioning. Buyback and new ICE contract constitute major strategic moves that could significantly alter earnings trajectory and investor sentiment.
GEO Group (GEO) returns to market focus amid developments that could influence its operations and stock trajectory. Renewed attention points to moderately noticeable effects on financial performance and positioning without fundamental overhaul.
9 Aug
GEO advances contract expansions amid evolving ICE policies while progressing asset sales in Q2 2026. Contract expansions and ICE policy developments signal major operational and strategic shifts for GEO.
8 Aug
Geo Group Q2 earnings call highlights financial results, revenue figures, operational updates and strategic outlook for the company. Q2 earnings details offer moderate updates on financial performance likely to sway short-term market views without major strategic shifts.
6 Aug
Geo Group Inc reported second quarter results and updated full year 2026 guidance. Quarterly results with 2026 guidance update directly shape earnings expectations and valuation.
GEO Group beat revenue estimates in Q2 CY2026 and guided for strong sales next quarter. Revenue beat combined with upbeat next-quarter sales guidance points to stronger near-term financial results and investor sentiment.
GEO Group Inc held its Q2 2026 earnings call, releasing financial results and operational updates for the quarter. Quarterly earnings releases provide updated financial metrics that can shift short-term market views on performance.
29 Jul
Geo Group Inc secures contract for its company-owned 1,320-bed Rivers Facility in North Carolina. Contract win for owned facility increases operational capacity and revenue potential.
13 Jul
GEO Group secures contract to operate company-leased 1,188-bed Big Horn facility in Colorado. Contract expands GEO operational capacity and revenue in Colorado at moderate scale.
24 May
GEO Group raised its guidance amid improving sentiment, though valuation signals show divergence. Guidance upgrade can moderately shift investor expectations and near-term stock trajectory for GEO.
23 May
GEO Group and Benchmark shares surge sharply higher on market momentum. Sharp share price surge signals major positive shift in investor sentiment and valuation trajectory for GEO.
16 May
GEO Group’s Q1 earnings call drew five key analyst questions on operational performance, contract renewals, revenue outlook, cost management, and strategic growth initiatives for the private prison and detention operator. Earnings call questions spotlight analyst focus areas that can shape near-term investor views and company execution priorities.
14 May
GEO Group posted healthy earnings, but other factors require investor attention. Healthy earnings provide a positive signal tempered by unspecified risk factors, yielding moderate impact on future performance.
10 May
GEO Group Inc. (GEO) delivered Q1 outperformance fueled by new ICE contracts and facility activations. New ICE contracts and facility activations boost GEO's revenue and operational momentum significantly.
Geo Group released Q1 earnings call highlights detailing financial results, operational performance, revenue guidance, and strategic initiatives. Q1 earnings highlights influence GEO's financial metrics and investor outlook but are balanced by market factors.
8 May
The GEO Group beat earnings expectations. Analysts now predict the company's next moves and performance outlook. Beating earnings expectations signals strong financial health and influences investor sentiment and future stock trajectory.
6 May
Geo Group Inc. (GEO) shares surged 21% after profits nearly doubled, with the company expressing an optimistic outlook. Profits nearly doubling triggered a 21% stock surge and optimistic outlook, signaling significant positive impact on future performance.
The GEO Group, Inc. released Q1 2026 earnings call summary detailing financial results, operational updates, and forward outlook. Q1 2026 earnings call summary discloses financial performance and guidance, significantly influencing investor sentiment and stock trajectory.
Geo Group Inc. (GEO) released Q1 2026 earnings call transcript detailing financial results, operational performance, management discussion, and forward-looking guidance. Q1 2026 earnings transcript discloses financial metrics, strategic updates, and guidance that significantly shape GEO's market performance and investor outlook.
GEO Group's stock surged 20% after reporting earnings that beat expectations and issuing a stronger full-year forecast. Earnings beat and raised full-year guidance triggered 20% stock jump, boosting investor sentiment and financial outlook.
GEO Group beat revenue expectations in Q1 CY2026, driving a 14.3% surge in its stock price. Revenue beat and 14.3% stock jump indicate strong financial performance boosting investor sentiment and short-to-medium term trajectory.
The GEO Group reported first quarter results and increased its full-year 2026 guidance. Raising full-year 2026 guidance post-Q1 results signals strong financial momentum and boosts investor confidence.
Geo Group Inc. (GEO) reported Q1 earnings and revenues that exceeded analyst estimates. Beating Q1 earnings and revenue estimates positively affects Geo Group's financial performance and short-term market sentiment.
3 May
GEO Group secures record contracts and reduces debt, prompting a valuation check amid improved financial outlook. Record contracts drive revenue growth while debt reduction strengthens balance sheet, significantly boosting GEO's trajectory and investor sentiment.
GEO Group secures record contracts and announces share buybacks, prompting debate on whether these moves lower its risk profile for investors. Record contracts boost revenue visibility while buybacks signal confidence, likely enhancing financial stability and investor sentiment.