| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 0.29 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 0.30 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 0.22 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 0.14 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 0.14 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 0.14 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 0.14 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 0.11 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 0.14 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | ‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2016 | 0.22 |
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 129.95 | 204.07 | 108.54 | 28.04 |
| Receivables | 370.20 | 393.51 | 384.91 | 373.04 |
| Inventory | 201.39 | 196.73 | 201.78 | 183.66 |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 1,004.69 | 1,004.92 | 945.55 | 764.36 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 277.20 | 153.54 | 106.98 | 191.62 |
| ST’ Debt | 312.06 | 195.79 | 310.20 | 240.52 |
| Other | — | 32.00 | — | — |
| 1,480.21 | 1,263.78 | 1,012.95 | 1,107.99 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 1,278.53 | 1,312.29 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 1,267.49 | 1,287.04 | 1,297.95 | 1,276.13 |
5,128.61
|
| ’24 | 1,189.67 | 1,204.56 | 1,243.84 | 1,260.38 |
4,898.45
|
| ’23 | 1,277.31 | 1,168.08 | 1,179.87 | 1,027.56 |
4,652.82
|
| ’22 | 1,544.75 | 1,601.03 | 1,289.79 | (53.67) |
4,381.90
|
| ’21 | 1,304.70 | 1,304.42 | 1,317.00 | 276.60 |
4,202.72
|
| ’20 | 1,369.75 | 1,331.39 | 1,298.92 | 1,314.72 |
5,314.79
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 638.09 | 666.36 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 466.63 | 563.90 | 480.06 | 373.58 |
1,884.16
|
| ’24 | 363.80 | 563.20 | 498.22 | 459.68 |
1,884.90
|
| ’23 | 306.64 | 492.80 | 446.26 | 412.03 |
1,657.73
|
| ’22 | 308.07 | 514.56 | 498.43 | 566.85 |
1,887.92
|
| ’21 | 359.33 | 426.33 | 369.69 | 494.37 |
1,649.72
|
| ’20 | 250.23 | 378.78 | 364.26 | 373.48 |
1,366.75
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 498.54 | 541.11 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 315.75 | 422.54 | 339.26 | 234.88 |
1,312.43
|
| ’24 | 182.60 | 373.00 | 332.99 | 309.36 |
1,197.95
|
| ’23 | 87.99 | 301.77 | 244.47 | 216.61 |
850.84
|
| ’22 | 87.61 | 268.83 | 256.35 | 363.82 |
976.62
|
| ’21 | 173.48 | 188.94 | 147.48 | 276.91 |
786.80
|
| ’20 | 150.83 | 264.70 | 192.91 | 182.76 |
791.20
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 0.19 | 0.19 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 0.15 | 0.18 | 0.16 | 0.17 |
0.67
|
| ’24 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.20 |
0.52
|
| ’23 | (0.10) | 0.10 | (0.09) | 0.59 |
0.51
|
| ’22 | 0.06 | 0.10 | (0.13) | 0.16 |
0.19
|
| ’21 | (0.06) | (0.15) | (0.13) | (0.07) |
(0.41)
|
| ’20 | (0.40) | (0.14) | (0.15) | (0.14) |
(0.82)
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 6.00 | 4.89 | 6.02 | 6.79 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 10.10 | 9.84 | 8.25 | 8.94 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 22,000 | 14,300 | 12,800 | 12,200 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.20 | 0.33 | 0.38 | 0.42 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4,381.90 | 4,652.82 | 4,898.45 | 5,128.61 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 84.05% | 83.84% | 82.71% | 80.83% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 404.46 | 604.38 | 815.17 | 833.81 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9.23% | 12.99% | 16.64% | 16.26% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 132.66 | 463.01 | 501.05 | 595.95 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,818.55 | 1,804.42 | 1,247.45 | 1,276.50 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.85 | 5.10 | 5.44 | 6.16 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| — | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.19 | 0.51 | 0.56 | 0.72 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.09 | 1.82 | 2.09 | 2.26 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (1.01) | (0.89) | (0.76) | (0.69) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.08 | 0.93 | 1.33 | 1.58 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.76 | 4.16 | 4.22 | 4.54 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 903.21 | 911.59 | 901.27 | 832.57 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 44.75 | 13.23 | 12.56 | 11.21 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.84 | 1.37 | 1.27 | 1.31 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.38 | 1.69 | 1.64 | 1.78 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 4.00 | 3.03 | 2.80 | 2.79 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 17.93 | 16.56 | 11.46 | 10.90 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,887.92 | 1,657.73 | 1,884.90 | 1,884.16 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (911.30) | (806.89) | (686.95) | (571.73) | — | — | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 976.62 | 850.84 | 1,197.95 | 1,312.43 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (939.11) | (475.51) | (258.86) | (67.40) | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9,804.34 | 7,825.52 | 7,707.07 | 7,689.63 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9,430.76 | 7,695.57 | 7,503.01 | 7,581.09 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,393.15 | 3,788.65 | 3,800.80 | 3,778.61 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.76% | 2.74% | 3.13% | 3.74% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.53% | 6.42% | 6.68% | 7.20% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.99% | 12.89% | 13.20% | 15.73% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
ADT Inc., a leader in North American home security and smart homes, trades at an undervalued level with analyst consensus forecasting about 23% upside (16-34% range) from recent closes. After navigating a 2016 leveraged buyout, a 2021 SPAC IPO, COVID disruptions, and rate hikes that strained its high-debt structure, ADT is executing a strong turnaround. Deleveraging has cut debt 25% to $7.71 billion, while profitability surges—with EBT up 101% to $815 million in 2024, net income at $501 million, and free cash flow per share rising 42% to $1.33—fuel recurring revenue from its sticky subscriber base amid rising urban crime and housing rebounds.
Revenue rebounded robustly to $4.90 billion in 2024 (17% above 2021 lows), with gross margins steady at 83% and revenue per employee jumping 18% to $383,000 despite headcount cuts. Analysts project explosive growth to $7.05 billion in 2025 (44% YoY), driven by smart home partnerships like Google Nest, share buybacks boosting per-share metrics 59%, and sector tailwinds. ROE hit 13% in 2024, matching peers, as efficiency and 85% subscriber retention pad margins.
Attractive valuations—trailing P/E 12.6x, forward P/E under 11x, EV/FCF 11.5x—lag the earnings recovery, with shares range-bound despite macro supports like remote work demand. Insider sells temper sentiment, but the operational moat and 20-30% re-rating potential in a soft-landing economy make ADT compelling for cyclical recovery plays.
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