| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | 2 | 2 | 3 | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 1.40 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 1.04 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 1.00 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 0.96 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 0.88 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 0.80 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | ‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2019 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2017 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 1,310.00 | 918.00 | 764.00 | 656.00 |
| Receivables | 1,719.00 | 1,656.00 | 1,768.00 | 1,999.00 |
| Inventory | 1,613.00 | 1,440.00 | 1,577.00 | 1,795.00 |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 4,833.00 | 4,211.00 | 4,388.00 | 4,772.00 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 2,459.00 | 2,425.00 | 2,643.00 | 3,072.00 |
| ST’ Debt | 775.00 | 146.00 | 563.00 | 563.00 |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 4,201.00 | 3,465.00 | 4,266.00 | 4,551.00 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 3,259.00 | 3,668.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 2,887.00 | 3,149.00 | 3,202.00 | 3,127.00 |
12,365.00
|
| ’24 | 2,784.00 | 3,040.00 | 3,074.00 | 2,903.00 |
11,801.00
|
| ’23 | 2,974.00 | 3,109.00 | 3,069.00 | 2,858.00 |
12,010.00
|
| ’22 | 3,162.00 | 3,510.00 | 3,259.00 | 3,012.00 |
12,943.00
|
| ’21 | 2,564.00 | 2,856.00 | 2,920.00 | 3,054.00 |
11,394.00
|
| ’20 | 2,757.00 | 2,137.00 | 2,489.00 | 2,009.00 |
9,392.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (54.00) | 713.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 14.00 | 449.00 | 580.00 | 487.00 |
1,530.00
|
| ’24 | (102.00) | 445.00 | 554.00 | 295.00 |
1,192.00
|
| ’23 | (235.00) | 528.00 | 539.00 | 621.00 |
1,453.00
|
| ’22 | (301.00) | 497.00 | (62.00) | 669.00 |
803.00
|
| ’21 | (385.00) | 554.00 | 76.00 | 660.00 |
905.00
|
| ’20 | (607.00) | 369.00 | 547.00 | 1,006.00 |
1,315.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (118.00) | 612.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 2.00 | 401.00 | 491.00 | 259.00 |
1,153.00
|
| ’24 | (196.00) | 383.00 | 477.00 | 153.00 |
817.00
|
| ’23 | (468.00) | 309.00 | 382.00 | 454.00 |
677.00
|
| ’22 | (406.00) | 307.00 | (359.00) | 437.00 |
(21.00)
|
| ’21 | (518.00) | 364.00 | (89.00) | 376.00 |
133.00
|
| ’20 | (717.00) | 280.00 | 421.00 | 760.00 |
744.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 1.56 | 2.23 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 1.65 | 1.56 | 1.85 | 1.31 |
6.38
|
| ’24 | 0.56 | 1.45 | (1.47) | 3.02 |
3.55
|
| ’23 | 0.85 | 1.31 | 1.33 | 0.27 |
3.76
|
| ’22 | 1.74 | 2.43 | 1.06 | 0.74 |
5.99
|
| ’21 | 1.57 | 0.95 | 0.79 | (7.95) |
(4.30)
|
| ’20 | 0.65 | 0.94 | 1.59 | 1.12 |
4.30
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 66.00 | 75.61 | 69.61 | 75.98 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 130.42 | 96.35 | 98.46 | 109.48 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 26,000 | 25,000 | 23,000 | 23,000 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.50 | 0.48 | 0.51 | 0.54 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12,943.00 | 12,010.00 | 11,801.00 | 12,365.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 14.22% | 16.36% | 17.72% | 18.34% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,056.00 | 795.00 | 743.00 | 1,160.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 8.16% | 6.62% | 6.30% | 9.38% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 855.00 | 587.00 | 560.00 | 883.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 460.00 | 499.00 | 448.00 | 456.00 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 107.09 | 100.58 | 99.00 | 107.32 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 6.01 | 3.77 | 3.56 | 6.41 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.64 | 12.17 | 10.00 | 13.28 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (6.82) | (6.50) | (3.15) | (3.27) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.17) | 5.67 | 6.85 | 10.01 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 18.92 | 23.98 | 27.08 | 30.20 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 120.86 | 119.41 | 119.20 | 115.22 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 13.75 | 24.34 | 23.16 | 16.09 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.77 | 0.91 | 0.84 | 0.96 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 4.36 | 3.83 | 3.05 | 3.41 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.27 | 1.43 | 1.28 | 1.38 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (780.80) | 25.29 | 18.53 | 14.80 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 803.00 | 1,453.00 | 1,192.00 | 1,530.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (824.00) | (776.00) | (375.00) | (377.00) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (21.00) | 677.00 | 817.00 | 1,153.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 727.00 | 632.00 | 746.00 | 122.00 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6,977.00 | 7,474.00 | 6,204.00 | 5,964.00 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6,427.00 | 6,164.00 | 5,286.00 | 5,200.00 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,287.00 | 2,864.00 | 3,228.00 | 3,480.00 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.16% | 3.07% | 2.94% | 5.25% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9.58% | 8.79% | 10.42% | 11.18% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 31.49% | 17.47% | 13.92% | 22.00% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROE
|
Crown Holdings (CCK), the powerhouse in metal packaging for beverages and foods, boasts impressive revenue growth from $8.3B in 2016 to a $12.9B peak in 2022, driven by smart acquisitions and buybacks that trimmed shares 13%. Yet, post-pandemic realities hit hard, with revenues sliding 7% in 2023 and 2% in 2024 amid normalizing demand, raising questions about the sustainability of aluminum can dominance amid eco-trends. While analysts project a rebound to $13.2B by 2027 with EPS doubling to $7+, deeper dives reveal volatility: gross margins edging up to 17.7%, but EBT swings wildly, headcount slashed 30% for efficiency, and a 2021 earnings crater from supply snarls and impairments.
Cash flow shines as a bright spot, with FCF per share surging 77% to $10 in 2024, funding debt reduction from $8.7B peaks and a modest 1.5% yield. Balance sheet leverage lingers at 3-4x net debt/EBITDA, and valuations look cheap—forward P/E ~13x, PS 0.84x—versus historical norms, hinting at undervaluation or a trap. Insider selling sprees totaling $13.6M (zero buys) amid revenue softness screams caution to contrarians, especially with capex ramps and risks like aluminum volatility, Chinese overcapacity, and recession threats.
Is CCK a cyclical peak propped by fading tailwinds, or a bargain poised for margin expansion and emerging market beverage booms? Dive into the full analysis for the contrarian take on whether to hold steady or wait for a sub-$100 entry amid macro storms.
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