Sunday 11 October 2026
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Blue Bird Corporation
BLBD Industrials Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Blue Bird Corporation’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended September 2025) was $1.5 billion, up 9.87% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 29.9%, EPS grew 366.4%, free cash flow fell 58.6% and total debt rose 25.4%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Revenue growth for five consecutive years; insiders bought in the last twelve months.
56.29
0.10
+0.18%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to September
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Trend | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Price, $ | Low | 7.61 | 15.35 | 15.67 | 16.37 | 8.40 | 14.31 | 7.14 | 10.84 | 24.09 | 30.04 |
Analyst estimates 2026–2028 Powerpack |
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| High | 18.05 | 21.90 | 26.95 | 23.29 | 23.99 | 28.90 | 22.10 | 28.80 | 59.40 | 61.95 | |||||
| People | |||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | 2,160 | 2,311 | 2,237 | 2,300 | 1,736 | 1,790 | 1,596 | 1,830 | 1,948 | 2,012 | ||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | 0.43 | 0.43 | 0.46 | 0.44 | 0.51 | 0.38 | 0.50 | 0.62 | 0.69 | 0.74 | |||||
| Income, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 932 | 991 | 1,025 | 1,019 | 879 | 684 | 801 | 1,133 | 1,347 | 1,480 | ||||
| Gross margin, % | 13.88 | 12.86 | 11.90 | 13.10 | 10.94 | 10.55 | 4.56 | 12.26 | 19.01 | 20.51 | |||||
| EBT | 10 | 37 | 27 | 30 | 10 | (2) | (53) | 26 | 127 | 170 | |||||
| EBT margin, % | 1.05 | 3.77 | 2.62 | 2.91 | 1.19 | (0.29) | (6.63) | 2.28 | 9.42 | 11.46 | |||||
| Net income | 7 | 29 | 31 | 24 | 12 | 0 | (46) | 24 | 106 | 128 | |||||
| Depreciation | 16 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 16 | |||||
| Per share, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 43.85 | 42.44 | 40.58 | 38.51 | 32.74 | 25.20 | 25.81 | 35.32 | 41.75 | 46.45 | ||||
| Earnings | 0.14 | 0.79 | 1.15 | 0.92 | 0.45 | (0.01) | (1.48) | 0.74 | 3.27 | 4.01 | |||||
| Cash flow | 1.18 | 2.04 | 1.91 | 2.11 | 0.13 | (2.00) | (0.79) | 3.74 | 3.44 | 5.53 | |||||
| Capex | (0.45) | (0.39) | (1.27) | (1.34) | (0.70) | (0.42) | (0.21) | (0.27) | (0.47) | (0.72) | |||||
| Free cash flow | 0.73 | 1.65 | 0.64 | 0.77 | (0.57) | (2.42) | (1.00) | 3.47 | 2.97 | 4.81 | |||||
| Book value | (4.09) | (2.51) | (1.12) | (2.56) | (1.98) | (1.20) | 0.04 | 1.25 | 4.94 | 8.02 | |||||
| Shares, m | 21 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 | |||||
| Valuation, × | |||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 81.17 | 27.01 | 22.88 | 20.92 | 26.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.49 | 14.67 | 14.32 | ||||
| P/S | 0.33 | 0.49 | 0.60 | 0.49 | 0.37 | 0.83 | 0.32 | 0.60 | 1.15 | 1.24 | |||||
| P/B | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 187.42 | 16.90 | 9.70 | 7.18 | |||||
| EV/Sales | 0.44 | 0.58 | 0.68 | 0.61 | 0.53 | 1.12 | 0.53 | 0.64 | 1.12 | 1.14 | |||||
| EV/FCF | 26.43 | 14.94 | 42.74 | 30.62 | (30.11) | (11.72) | (13.61) | 6.54 | 15.81 | 11.05 | |||||
| Cash, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | 25 | 48 | 48 | 56 | 3 | (54) | (24) | 120 | 111 | 176 | ||||
| Capex | (10) | (9) | (32) | (35) | (19) | (11) | (6) | (9) | (15) | (23) | |||||
| Free cash flow | 16 | 38 | 16 | 20 | (15) | (66) | (31) | 111 | 96 | 153 | |||||
| Balance, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | 2 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 10 | 6 | 87 | 175 | ||||
| Total debt | 152 | 151 | 142 | 187 | 180 | 214 | 172 | 131 | 95 | 90 | |||||
| Net debt | 100 | 89 | 82 | 116 | 135 | 202 | 161 | 52 | (33) | (139) | |||||
| Shareholders’ equity | (87) | (59) | (28) | (68) | (53) | (33) | 1 | 40 | 160 | 255 | |||||
| Returns, % | |||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 1.11 | 6.43 | 9.59 | 7.22 | 3.57 | (0.09) | (12.67) | 6.08 | 22.39 | 22.21 | ||||
| ROIC | 129.77 | 123.62 | 40.94 | 56.75 | 16.71 | 2.40 | (15.64) | 34.96 | 68.63 | 89.74 | |||||
| ROE | (1.96) | (15.67) | (42.49) | (46.09) | (20.13) | 0.67 | 292.63 | 115.09 | 105.78 | 61.55 | |||||
Negative figures in brackets.
Fiscal years to Sep 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026
Charts ten years each
Blue Bird Corporation vs peers in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX Terex Corporation | $6.0B | 25.5× | 17.6× | +50.50% (above 0%: growing) | −11.82% (below 0%: shrinking) | +21.79% (above 0%: growing) | 19.84% | 8.36% | Compare |
| ALG Alamo Group, Inc. | $1.9B | 18.2× | 14.3× | +7.55% (above 0%: growing) | −0.77% (below 0%: shrinking) | +147.74% (above 0%: growing) | 24.59% | 10.15% | Compare |
| BLBD Blue Bird Corporation | $1.8B | 6.7× | 14.9× | +29.94% (above 0%: growing) | +366.38% (above 0%: growing) | −58.60% (below 0%: shrinking) | 19.99% | 12.12% | |
| LNN Lindsay Corporation | $1.2B | 21.4× | 22.2× | −5.13% (below 0%: shrinking) | −14.44% (below 0%: shrinking) | −105.43% (below 0%: shrinking) | 29.75% | 11.52% | Compare |
| ASTE Astec Industries, Inc. | $892.9M | 45.0× | 21.3× | +23.55% (above 0%: growing) | −36.99% (below 0%: shrinking) | −44.57% (below 0%: shrinking) | 26.17% | 5.00% | Compare |
| AEBI Aebi Schmidt Holding AG | $856.0M | 34.9× | 16.6× | +78.73% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +19.42% (above 0%: growing) | 19.60% | 5.45% | Compare |
| MTW The Manitowoc Company, Inc. | $783.3M | 38.7× | 31.2× | +10.27% (above 0%: growing) | +875.00% (above 0%: growing) | +94.02% (above 0%: growing) | 20.69% | 5.23% | Compare |
| HY Hyster-Yale, Inc. | $582.6M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | −15.02% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | −84.57% (below 0%: shrinking) | 15.70% | (2.26%) | Compare |
| WNC Wabash National Corporation | $546.3M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | −9.06% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | +174.99% (above 0%: growing) | 3.67% | (6.06%) | Compare |
| Median of peers | $874.4M | 30.2× | 19.5× | +8.91% | −11.82% | +20.61% | 20.27% | 5.34% |
Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) key facts
- Strength: Blue Bird Corporation’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended September 2025) was $1.5 billion, up 9.87% from fiscal 2024.
- Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) is a Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery company in the Industrials sector, listed on Nasdaq.
- As of October 9, 2026, BLBD traded at $56.29, a market capitalization of $1.8 billion.
- Return on equity was 61.6% and debt-to-equity 0.18.
- Its Piotroski F-score is 7 out of 9 and its Altman Z-score is 6.76 (safe zone) for fiscal 2025.