Saturday 17 October 2026
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Bay Commercial Bank
BCML Financial Banks Regional
Bay Commercial Bank’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $141.5 million, up 2.45% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue fell 3.52%, EPS fell 210.3%, free cash flow fell 19.5% and total debt fell 57.4%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Dividend growth for five consecutive years, revenue growth for three; insiders bought in the last twelve months.
31.15
0.19
+0.61%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Trend | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Price, $ | Low | 11.56 | 14.80 | 17.19 | 19.74 | 9.67 | 14.38 | 17.52 | 15.02 | 18.54 | 22.22 |
Analyst estimates 2026–2028 Powerpack |
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| High | 15.00 | 19.75 | 26.94 | 25.00 | 23.50 | 19.68 | 23.54 | 24.31 | 30.13 | 33.15 | |||||
| People | |||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | — | — | — | — | 315 | 307 | 374 | 358 | 324 | 327 | ||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.37 | 0.43 | 0.43 | |||||
| Income, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 31 | 49 | 64 | 86 | 96 | 93 | 113 | 133 | 138 | 141 | ||||
| Gross margin, % | 100.00 | 100.00 | 92.27 | 89.86 | 90.73 | 90.52 | 90.85 | 78.65 | 70.62 | 71.07 | |||||
| EBT | 31 | 49 | 20 | 24 | 18 | 28 | 32 | 38 | 32 | 33 | |||||
| EBT margin, % | 100.00 | 100.00 | 32.04 | 27.51 | 19.00 | 30.66 | 28.66 | 28.62 | 23.26 | 23.05 | |||||
| Net income | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 21 | 24 | 27 | 24 | 24 | |||||
| Depreciation | — | — | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | |||||
| Per share, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 5.75 | 7.61 | 6.60 | 7.32 | 8.02 | 8.53 | 8.62 | 11.04 | 12.26 | 12.87 | ||||
| Earnings | 1.10 | 0.82 | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.15 | 1.90 | 2.06 | 2.27 | 2.10 | 2.18 | |||||
| Cash flow | 1.17 | 1.57 | 0.64 | 0.59 | 0.84 | 0.96 | 3.02 | 2.55 | 2.70 | 2.90 | |||||
| Capex | 0.00 | 0.00 | (0.10) | 0.30 | (0.21) | (0.12) | (0.06) | (0.18) | (0.15) | (0.16) | |||||
| Free cash flow | 1.17 | 1.57 | 0.54 | 0.89 | 0.62 | 0.84 | 2.95 | 2.38 | 2.54 | 2.74 | |||||
| Book value | 14.46 | 18.46 | 0.00 | 21.62 | 21.11 | 24.13 | 24.17 | 25.91 | 28.80 | 30.80 | |||||
| Shares, m | 5 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | |||||
| Valuation, × | |||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 13.69 | 20.05 | 14.99 | 15.36 | 13.19 | 9.82 | 9.69 | 10.36 | 12.78 | 13.49 | ||||
| P/S | 2.60 | 2.84 | 3.92 | 3.26 | 1.89 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 2.11 | 2.19 | 2.28 | |||||
| P/B | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.11 | 0.72 | 0.78 | 0.79 | 0.90 | 0.93 | 0.95 | |||||
| EV/Sales | 2.60 | 2.84 | 3.92 | (0.09) | (0.51) | (1.15) | 1.26 | 0.34 | 0.08 | 0.89 | |||||
| EV/FCF | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.04 | (0.49) | (6.56) | (11.69) | 3.67 | 1.57 | 0.36 | 4.17 | |||||
| Cash, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | 6 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 31 | 30 | 32 | ||||
| Capex | 0 | (4) | (1) | 4 | (3) | (1) | (1) | (2) | (2) | (2) | |||||
| Free cash flow | 6 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 39 | 29 | 29 | 30 | |||||
| Balance, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | — | — | — | 57 | 119 | 68 | 127 | 115 | 97 | 64 | ||||
| Total debt | — | 11 | 8 | 8 | 77 | 72 | 72 | 72 | 72 | 9 | |||||
| Net debt | — | 11 | 8 | (289) | (230) | (311) | (107) | (236) | (292) | (198) | |||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 78 | 119 | — | 254 | 253 | 263 | 317 | 313 | 324 | 339 | |||||
| Returns, % | |||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.74 | 0.66 | 0.91 | 0.98 | 1.08 | 0.91 | 0.91 | ||||
| ROIC | 24.83 | 23.58 | 160.07 | 0.00 | 51.23 | 0.00 | 9.64 | 31.16 | 61.83 | 14.48 | |||||
| ROE | 6.00 | 5.34 | 9.06 | 7.61 | 5.42 | 8.03 | 8.19 | 8.71 | 7.41 | 7.22 | |||||
Negative figures in brackets.
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026
Charts ten years each
Bay Commercial Bank vs peers in Banks Regional (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSBK Timberland Bancorp, Inc. | $352.9M | 11.4× | — | +4.36% (above 0%: growing) | +10.00% (above 0%: growing) | −24.92% (below 0%: shrinking) | 73.48% | 0.00% | Compare |
| FSBW FS Bancorp, Inc. | $350.9M | 10.1× | 9.4× | +3.60% (above 0%: growing) | +6.00% (above 0%: growing) | +778.44% (above 0%: growing) | 69.52% | 0.00% | Compare |
| BRBS Blue Ridge Bankshares, Inc. | $349.1M | 37.9× | — | −19.39% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | −84.87% (below 0%: shrinking) | 59.82% | 0.00% | Compare |
| BCML Bay Commercial Bank | $338.1M | 26.0× | 13.8× | −3.52% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | −19.47% (below 0%: shrinking) | 74.74% | 0.00% | |
| AVBH Avidbank Holdings Inc. | $337.8M | — (loss-making) | 9.1× | +15.59% (above 0%: growing) | −6.49% (below 0%: shrinking) | +148.71% (above 0%: growing) | 69.18% | 0.00% | Compare |
| FDBC Fidelity D&D Bancorp Inc. | $336.0M | 11.0× | 22.8× | +5.91% (above 0%: growing) | +11.67% (above 0%: growing) | +157.33% (above 0%: growing) | 70.54% | 0.00% | Compare |
| CFFI C&F Financial Corporation | $334.0M | 11.4× | — | +10.31% (above 0%: growing) | +10.97% (above 0%: growing) | +549.86% (above 0%: growing) | 78.40% | 0.00% | Compare |
| CBNA Chain Bridge Bancorp, Inc. | $324.9M | 12.1× | 7.7× | +51.95% (above 0%: growing) | +107.14% (above 0%: growing) | +147.51% (above 0%: growing) | 96.81% | 0.00% | Compare |
| JMSB John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. | $321.6M | 13.2× | 11.7× | +10.02% (above 0%: growing) | +38.89% (above 0%: growing) | −31.74% (below 0%: shrinking) | 60.20% | 0.00% | Compare |
| Median of peers | $336.9M | 11.4× | 9.4× | +7.97% | +10.97% | +148.11% | 70.03% | 0.00% |
Bay Commercial Bank (BCML) key facts
- Strength: Bay Commercial Bank’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $141.5 million, up 2.45% from fiscal 2024.
- Bay Commercial Bank (BCML) is a Banks Regional company in the Financial sector, listed on Nasdaq.
- As of October 16, 2026, BCML traded at $31.15, a market capitalization of $338.1 million.
- Bay Commercial Bank pays an annual dividend of $1.20 per share, a yield of 3.85%, with a payout ratio of 100.0%.
- Return on equity was 7.22% and debt-to-equity 0.09.
- Its Piotroski F-score is 8 out of 9 for fiscal 2025.