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Valero Energy Corporation VLO

Energy — Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
S&P 500 Member Dividend Champion (5y)
Indexes indicate stock being part of an index ,
Growth Flags show if company had growth for consecutive years

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Insider Decisions

Total sells
9.39
in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — 1 — — — 1 — 1 2 — — —
Insider Ownership
2.47%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap
119,140.00
Revenue
139,397.00
Net Income
7,630.00
Free Cash Flow
9,377.00
Net Debt
3,475.00
Current Ratio
1.64
Debt/Equity
0.40
P/E ratio
17.14
P/S ratio
0.87
P/B ratio
4.30
Past 5Y EPS Growth
7.96%
This Y EPS Growth
342.44%
Next Y EPS Growth
(18.75%)
Next 5Y EPS Growth
35.59%
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio
0.14
Annual Dividend Rate
4.04
Annual Dividend Yield
2.99%
total individual payouts
2028 ‡‡‡‡‡
2027 ‡‡‡‡‡
2026 4.84
—
—
—
2025 4.52
—
—
—
—
2024 4.28
—
—
—
—
2023 4.08
—
—
—
—
2022 3.92
—
—
—
—
2021 3.92
—
—
—
—
2020 3.92
—
—
—
—
2019 3.60
—
—
—
—
2018 3.20
—
—
—
—
2017 2.80
—
—
—
—
2016 2.40
—
—
—
—
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 5,424.00 4,657.00 4,688.00 7,874.00
Receivables 12,525.00 10,708.00 9,877.00 13,928.00
Inventory 7,583.00 7,761.00 7,591.00 7,625.00
Other — — — —
26,221.00 23,737.00 23,210.00 30,670.00
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 12,567.00 12,092.00 10,139.00 14,423.00
ST’ Debt 1,406.00 743.00 949.00 927.00
Other — — — —
16,802.00 15,495.00 14,109.00 18,742.00
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Cash Flow ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Book Value ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡

Revenue

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 32,381.00 44,476.00 — —
—
’25 30,258.00 29,889.00 32,168.00 30,372.00
122,687.00
’24 31,759.00 34,490.00 32,876.00 30,756.00
129,881.00
’23 36,439.00 34,509.00 38,404.00 35,414.00
144,766.00
’22 38,542.00 51,641.00 44,454.00 41,746.00
176,383.00
’21 20,806.00 27,748.00 29,520.00 35,903.00
113,977.00
’20 22,102.00 10,397.00 15,809.00 16,604.00
64,912.00
in millions of $

Operating Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 1,390.00 5,580.00 — —
—
’25 952.00 936.00 1,881.00 2,057.00
5,826.00
’24 1,846.00 2,472.00 1,295.00 1,070.00
6,683.00
’23 3,170.00 1,512.00 3,308.00 1,239.00
9,229.00
’22 588.00 5,845.00 2,045.00 4,096.00
12,574.00
’21 (52.00) 2,008.00 1,449.00 2,454.00
5,859.00
’20 (49.00) 736.00 165.00 96.00
948.00
in millions of $

Free Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 971.00 5,234.00 — —
—
’25 329.00 539.00 2,325.00 847.00
4,040.00
’24 1,646.00 1,642.00 1,721.00 (312.00)
4,697.00
’23 2,905.00 834.00 3,596.00 37.00
7,372.00
’22 204.00 4,747.00 2,263.00 2,681.00
9,895.00
’21 (391.00) 1,227.00 1,412.00 1,429.00
3,677.00
’20 (488.00) (137.00) 195.00 (1,033.00)
(1,463.00)
in millions of $

EPS

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 4.22 12.62 — —
—
’25 (1.90) 2.28 3.53 3.73
7.57
’24 3.75 2.71 1.14 0.88
8.58
’23 8.29 5.40 7.49 3.55
24.92
’22 2.21 11.57 7.19 8.15
29.04
’21 (1.73) 0.39 1.13 2.46
2.27
’20 (4.54) 3.07 (1.14) (0.88)
(3.50)

Target Price Range

High
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡‡
Average
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡‡
Low
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡‡

Recommendation Rating

2.3
1
Buy
2
3
Hold
4
5
Sell
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 75.04 104.18 116.84 99.00 — — —
Low Price
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 146.81 152.20 184.79 185.62 — — —
High Price
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 9,743 9,908 9,922 9,811 — — —
Employees
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 18.10 14.61 13.09 12.51 — — —
Revenue/Emp
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 176,383.00 144,766.00 129,881.00 122,687.00 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 9.52% 8.93% 3.70% 4.43% — — —
Gross Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 15,307.00 11,768.00 3,698.00 3,005.00 — — —
EBT
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 8.68% 8.13% 2.85% 2.45% ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
EBT Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 11,879.00 9,149.00 3,006.00 2,246.00 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Net Income
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 2,473.00 2,701.00 2,774.00 3,158.00 — — —
Depreciation
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 446.54 410.10 403.36 397.05 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue/Sh
‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ 29.05 24.93 8.58 7.57 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 31.83 26.14 20.75 18.85 — — —
Cash Flow/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (6.78) (5.26) (6.17) (5.78) ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Capex/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 25.05 20.88 14.59 13.07 — — —
Free CF/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 64.48 80.80 85.47 86.10 — — —
Book Value/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 395.00 353.00 322.00 309.00 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Shares
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 4.12 5.28 14.44 21.28 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
PE Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.27 0.32 0.30 0.41 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PS Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1.86 1.62 1.43 1.89 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PB Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.31 0.36 0.35 0.46 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
EV/Sales
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 5.48 7.08 9.64 13.92 — — —
EV/FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 12,574.00 9,229.00 6,683.00 5,826.00 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Op' Cash Flow
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (2,679.00) (1,857.00) (1,986.00) (1,786.00) ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ —
Capex
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 9,895.00 7,372.00 4,697.00 4,040.00 — — —
FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 6,672.00 9,419.00 8,242.00 9,101.00 — — —
Working Cap'
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 11,635.00 11,524.00 10,463.00 10,619.00 — — —
Total Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 6,773.00 6,100.00 5,806.00 5,931.00 — — —
Net Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 25,468.00 28,524.00 27,521.00 26,605.00 — — —
Sh' Equity
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 19.32% 14.20% 4.48% 3.96% — — —
ROA
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 30.42% 21.40% 7.04% 6.11% — — —
ROIC
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 50.72% 32.63% 9.86% 8.65% — — —
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

Analyst Commentary (Summary)

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) has surfed the volatile waves of global energy markets, delivering blockbuster profits in 2022’s post-Ukraine oil frenzy with revenue peaking at $176 billion and EPS soaring to $29, but now faces a stark reversal: 2024 revenue down 10% to $130 billion, gross margins cratering from 9.5% to 3.7%, and EPS halved to $8.58 amid compressing crack spreads and softening demand. Yet shares trade near highs, up 277% from 2020 lows, revealing a glaring disconnect fueled by buybacks and dividends despite eroding free cash flow and ballooning forward P/E ratios to 34x.

Wall Street’s optimism projects a modest EPS rebound to $12+ by 2026-2027 on stabilizing $3.5 billion net income, but contrarians warn of a classic refining trap—echoing past gluts like 2014-2016—with revenue forecasts sliding further to $108 billion in 2026. A resilient balance sheet shines with $8.2 billion working capital and trimmed debt, yet insider silence (zero buys in 12 months) and metrics like 14x trailing earnings amid ROE’s 70% plunge signal froth.

As ESG pressures and the green energy shift loom—threatening refining’s dominance despite renewables forays—VLO’s valuation tempts value hunters at 0.3x P/S but risks FCF evaporation and obsolescence. Is this rally a cash cow’s last hurrah or a reversion waiting to happen? Dive into the full analysis for the charts, peers, and contrarian playbook.

Read full commentary →

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

17 Sep

3 , 12:20 PM
Rising earnings estimates for Valero Energy signal potential stock upside. Surging earnings estimates can lift near-term investor sentiment and support Valero stock performance.

16 Sep

3 , 11:48 AM
Valero Energy's crude flexibility and Gulf Coast exposure could support its refining margins and future outlook amid shifting market conditions. Crude flexibility and Gulf Coast location provide operational advantages that can moderately affect refining performance and competitiveness.

15 Sep

4 , 11:47 AM
Valero Energy's refining business faces potential headwinds from shifting energy demand, regulatory pressures and competition in renewables, which may pressure margins and require strategic shifts toward sustainable fuels to maintain competitiveness. Refining is Valero's core operation and outlook changes here can materially alter financial trajectory and investor views.

14 Sep

3 stocktwits.com, 4:57 AM
Valero Energy stock heads for its best year since 1982. Michael Burry discloses it as a huge position. Michael Burry's large stake may lift short-term investor sentiment around VLO.

11 Sep

3 , 12:27 PM
Tight refined product markets may support Valero Energy Corporation profitability via higher refining margins on gasoline and distillates amid constrained supply. Market tightness in refined products directly affects Valero refining margins and earnings outlook.

4 Sep

4 , 1:39 PM
REX posts record 2Q EPS and advances CCS project per quarterly update. Record EPS signals strong earnings while CCS progress marks major strategic environmental move likely to shift Valero trajectory.

1 Sep

4 , 2:07 PM
Canadian oil stock edges into buy zone after 200% earnings growth at Valero Energy Corporation. 200% earnings growth drives stock into buy zone and can significantly lift VLO trajectory and sentiment.

28 Aug

4 , 10:15 PM
Valero Energy posted strong Q2 2026 earnings amid refining tailwinds that may alter its investment narrative. Strong earnings and refining tailwinds signal major shifts in company trajectory and investor sentiment.

3 , 8:15 PM
Valero Energy stands advantageously positioned in the constrained global refining market. Favorable positioning amid tight refining conditions can lift profitability and investor sentiment for Valero.

27 Aug

4 , 12:49 PM
Valero Energy stands to gain from a tight refining market driven by reduced capacity and strong fuel demand, supporting higher crack spreads and improved profitability. Tight refining conditions directly boost Valero margins and earnings trajectory as a core refiner.

26 Aug

3 , 8:42 AM
Valero Energy holds excess cash, prompting questions over whether it will drive increased shareholder returns via dividends, buybacks or other capital returns. Valero's decisions on deploying excess cash may moderately affect dividend policy and near-term stock performance.

21 Aug

4 www.trefis.com, 3:55 PM
ExxonMobil issued pre-shock statements signaling oil market disruptions that could reshape refining margins and supply dynamics for Valero Energy. Oil price shocks directly drive major changes in Valero's refining profitability and competitive positioning.

3 , 12:34 PM
Trump's gasoline policy may lower prices but raise smog levels, affecting refining operations and environmental rules for Valero Energy. Policy shift on gasoline prices and emissions could moderately alter refining margins and compliance costs for Valero.

3 , 8:11 AM
Tight global fuel supply conditions raise questions about sustaining Valero Energy Corporation's export opportunities. Global fuel supply constraints may boost Valero export revenues.

20 Aug

4 , 7:14 AM
Valero Energy posts record profits prompting assessment of effects on investor returns, stock valuation and future outlook. Record profit signals strong financial results likely to drive major gains in market performance and investor sentiment.

3 , 2:01 PM
Valero Energy earnings surge but cost and capacity risks are building, raising questions on whether DAR represents a buy. Earnings growth is offset by cost and capacity risks that may moderately influence operations and market performance.

3 , 1:58 PM
Valero Energy Corporation core earnings are strengthening, supporting potential continuation of DAR's 12.8% weekly rally. Strengthening core earnings may moderately support VLO stock performance and related asset gains.

3 , 1:56 PM
Renewable fuel policies may sustain Valero's DGD earnings strength through 2027. Renewable fuel policy support directly shapes Valero's DGD earnings outlook and market performance.

19 Aug

4 , 4:00 AM
Valero Energy (VLO) is named Bull of the Day on strong refining margins, robust cash flow and attractive valuation relative to peers. Bullish analyst coverage signals major positive shift in investor perception and potential stock re-rating.

18 Aug

4 , 1:07 PM
Diesel margins hit record highs, boosting Valero Energy Corporation and Marathon Petroleum stocks. Record diesel margins directly enhance Valero's refining profitability and stock performance.

17 Aug

3 , 12:20 PM
Valero Energy (VLO) earnings estimates are rising, prompting questions on whether the stock is a buy. Higher earnings estimates can moderately lift investor sentiment and near-term stock performance for Valero Energy.

12 Aug

4 , 8:16 PM
Valero Energy (VLO) shares rose 9.2% after reporting robust Q2 earnings and completing an $8.4 billion share buyback program. Strong earnings and $8.4 billion buyback completion indicate solid financial results and capital return that can lift stock trajectory and investor confidence.

3 , 9:20 AM
Valero Energy Corporation posts strong earnings that coincide with richer stock valuation, raising questions on whether DINO now represents an attractive buy. Strong earnings support near-term performance while richer valuation caps potential upside for VLO.

10 Aug

3 , 10:23 AM
MPC shares rise 18.1% over three months as refining operations gain strength and build momentum. Sector-wide refining gains support performance for peers such as Valero.

7 Aug

3 , 10:10 PM
Valero Energy executed a share buyback alongside posting financial results that leave its valuation appearing finely balanced. Buybacks paired with earnings results typically produce moderate effects on stock sentiment and near-term valuation without fundamentally shifting company trajectory.

3 , 9:55 AM
Valero Energy Corporation beat Q2 earnings estimates driven by strong oil pricing and cost control measures. Q2 earnings beat from oil pricing strength and cost control indicates moderately positive effects on financial performance.

5 Aug

4 247wallst.com, 9:30 AM
Valero Energy Corporation posted a 975% earnings jump as oil refiners benefit from favorable margins and market conditions. Valero's 975% earnings surge signals major profitability gains that can lift stock performance and investor outlook.

4 Aug

4 , 8:15 AM
Valero Energy reports Q2 surge in refining and renewable diesel segments that revises its 2026 outlook upward with stronger operational and financial projections. Q2 operational gains in core refining and renewable diesel directly revise 2026 forecasts and trajectory.

1 Aug

3 transcript www.marketbeat.com, 1:03 AM
Valero Energy Q2 earnings call highlighted stronger refining margins, higher throughput volumes and continued renewable diesel expansion plans amid favorable market conditions. Q2 results and forward guidance directly shape near-term revenue outlook and investor sentiment for Valero.

31 Jul

3 , 10:54 AM
VLO Q2 earnings call underscored strength in refining operations. Q2 earnings details on refining can shift near-term investor sentiment and valuation for VLO.
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