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Toll Brothers Inc. TOL

Consumer Cyclical — Residential Construction
Dividend Champion (5y)
Growth Flags show if company had growth for consecutive years

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Insider Decisions

Total sells
25.94
in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — — — 1 2 1 1 — 2 — — —
Insider Ownership
2.69%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap
12,380.00
Revenue
10,759.04
Net Income
1,198.38
Free Cash Flow
1,090.23
Net Debt
1,707.59
Current Ratio
4.53
Debt/Equity
0.32
P/E ratio
10.61
P/S ratio
1.16
P/B ratio
1.46
Past 5Y EPS Growth
30.10%
This Y EPS Growth
(5.39%)
Next Y EPS Growth
10.05%
Next 5Y EPS Growth
6.07%
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio
0.06
Annual Dividend Rate
0.84
Annual Dividend Yield
0.85%
total individual payouts
2028 ‡‡‡‡‡
2027 ‡‡‡‡‡
2026 1.03
—
—
—
—
2025 0.98
—
—
—
—
2024 0.90
—
—
—
—
2023 0.83
—
—
—
—
2022 0.77
—
—
—
—
2021 0.62
—
—
—
—
2020 0.44
—
—
—
—
2019 0.44
—
—
—
—
2018 0.41
—
—
—
—
2017 0.24
—
—
—
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 1,300.07 1,303.04 1,259.00 1,057.89
Receivables 691.26 590.61 554.72 538.72
Inventory 9,057.58 9,712.93 10,678.46 11,645.57
Other — — — —
11,048.90 11,606.57 12,492.18 13,242.17
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 597.58 492.21 615.77 589.37
ST’ Debt 124.00 — — —
Other 1,966.00 — — —
2,312.63 2,359.61 2,854.81 2,920.66
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Cash Flow ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Book Value ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡

Revenue

Jan Apr Jul Oct Year
’26 2,145.63 2,531.23 2,658.78 —
—
’25 1,859.13 2,739.08 2,945.12 3,423.40
10,966.72
’24 1,947.85 2,837.49 2,727.94 3,333.46
10,846.74
’23 1,780.17 2,506.98 2,687.64 3,020.15
9,994.94
’22 1,791.08 2,277.54 2,494.80 3,712.13
10,275.56
’21 1,563.38 1,930.12 2,255.48 3,041.38
8,790.36
’20 1,331.43 1,549.07 1,651.49 2,545.67
7,077.66
in millions of $

Operating Cash Flow

Jan Apr Jul Oct Year
’26 7.27 134.45 250.34 —
—
’25 (420.77) 362.85 370.31 800.03
1,112.41
’24 (306.98) 459.03 175.61 682.51
1,010.17
’23 (357.76) 503.34 529.46 591.40
1,266.43
’22 (280.70) 75.73 (41.66) 1,233.45
986.82
’21 55.32 (28.06) 421.16 854.70
1,303.13
’20 (366.42) 175.28 332.73 866.52
1,008.12
in millions of $

Free Cash Flow

Jan Apr Jul Oct Year
’26 (11.59) 109.98 219.64 —
—
’25 (438.10) 347.26 344.86 772.20
1,026.22
’24 (320.56) 442.91 149.86 665.46
937.66
’23 (368.46) 483.53 514.91 589.54
1,219.52
’22 (299.17) 55.06 (30.69) 1,218.21
943.40
’21 120.18 (42.10) 405.00 833.59
1,316.67
’20 (393.25) 166.98 308.49 831.96
914.17
in millions of $

EPS

Jan Apr Jul Oct Year
’26 2.19 2.72 2.97 —
—
’25 1.75 3.50 3.73 4.58
13.49
’24 2.25 4.55 3.60 4.63
15.01
’23 1.70 2.85 3.73 4.11
12.36
’22 1.24 1.85 2.35 5.63
10.90
’21 0.76 1.01 1.87 3.02
6.63
’20 0.41 0.59 0.90 1.55
3.40

Target Price Range

High
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡‡
Average
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡‡
Low
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡‡

Recommendation Rating

1.7
1
Buy
2
3
Hold
4
5
Sell
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 39.53 49.87 95.46 86.67 — — —
Low Price
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 72.75 105.91 169.52 149.79 — — —
High Price
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 5,200 4,800 4,900 4,900 — — —
Employees
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1.98 2.08 2.21 2.24 — — —
Revenue/Emp
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 10,275.56 9,994.94 10,846.74 10,966.72 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 24.20% 26.36% 27.87% 25.11% — — —
Gross Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1,703.73 1,842.37 2,085.64 1,791.37 ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
EBT
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 16.58% 18.43% 19.23% 16.33% ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
EBT Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1,286.50 1,372.07 1,571.20 1,346.49 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Net Income
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 76.82 76.47 81.20 82.09 — — —
Depreciation
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 88.00 90.85 104.64 110.80 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue/Sh
‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ 11.02 12.47 15.16 13.60 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 8.45 11.51 9.75 11.24 ‡‡‡‡ — —
Cash Flow/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (0.37) (0.43) (0.70) (0.87) ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Capex/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 8.08 11.08 9.05 10.37 — — —
Free CF/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 51.57 61.93 74.16 83.72 ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
Book Value/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 116.77 110.02 103.65 98.98 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Shares
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 3.86 5.65 9.64 9.87 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PE Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.49 0.78 1.40 1.22 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PS Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.84 1.14 1.97 1.61 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PB Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.70 0.95 1.55 1.37 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
EV/Sales
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 7.58 7.76 17.95 14.63 — — —
EV/FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 986.82 1,266.43 1,010.17 1,112.41 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Op' Cash Flow
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (43.42) (46.91) (72.50) (86.19) ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ —
Capex
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 943.40 1,219.52 937.66 1,026.22 ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 8,570.43 8,736.27 9,246.96 9,637.37 — — —
Working Cap'
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 3,469.41 2,984.47 2,832.92 2,787.91 — — —
Total Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 2,122.66 1,684.40 1,529.88 1,528.92 — — —
Net Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 6,021.84 6,813.20 7,686.72 8,286.06 — — —
Sh' Equity
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 10.80% 11.06% 12.14% 9.66% ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
ROA
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 11.58% 12.69% 13.84% 10.96% — — —
ROIC
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 22.65% 21.38% 21.67% 16.86% ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

Analyst Commentary (Summary)

Toll Brothers Inc. (TOL), a leading luxury homebuilder, has demonstrated remarkable resilience in the cyclical housing market, capitalizing on millennial demand, low inventory, and pricing power to drive revenue from $5.17 billion in 2016 to a peak of $10.85 billion in 2024—a 110% surge. Gross margins expanded 40% to a record 27.9%, EPS skyrocketed 568% to $15.16 through aggressive share repurchases (38% reduction in shares), and ROE hit 21.7%, underpinned by a fortress balance sheet with deleveraging and robust free cash flow generation.

The stock has mirrored this operational leverage, appreciating ~500% since 2016 and trading near recent highs, even buffering 2022-2023 rate hikes better than peers due to affluent buyers. However, insider selling—led by executives offloading tens of thousands of shares—signals caution amid rising order cancellations and affordability pressures.

Analysts forecast near-term moderation, with revenue dipping -5% in 2026 before resuming growth, EPS declining to $12.85 then rebounding, and a consensus price target implying modest downside risk. Yet, TOL’s $10+ billion backlog, strategic expansion, and potential rate relief position it for a multi-year upcycle—explore the full analysis for valuation insights and cycle inflection signals.

Read full commentary →

Toll Brothers Inc. (TOL) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

19 Sep

3 , 3:10 PM
Toll Brothers reports mixed profit signals, prompting questions on whether its shares remain undervalued. Mixed profit signals point to noticeable effects on Toll Brothers valuation and near-term market view.

17 Sep

3 , 11:30 AM
Toll Brothers (TOL) shares fell 10.7% since the latest earnings report as investors reacted to results and market conditions. Post-earnings decline signals short-term negative sentiment but does not indicate fundamental long-term shifts for the company.

7 Sep

3 , 3:57 AM
Toll Brothers maintains building contracts but reports lower profits. Profit decline affects financial results while contract stability supports ongoing operations.

28 Aug

4 , 3:09 AM
Toll Brothers expands luxury communities and reports Q3 results that may alter its investment narrative. Luxury expansion constitutes a major strategic move paired with quarterly results that can shift performance trajectory and sentiment.

27 Aug

3 , 6:17 PM
Toll Brothers Inc. held its Q2 earnings call covering financial results and strategic updates, with focus on the top five analyst questions regarding performance drivers, market conditions, and future guidance. Q2 earnings call details provide operational and outlook updates that moderately shape near-term investor views without indicating major strategic shifts.

25 Aug

3 transcript www.fool.com, 6:58 PM
Toll Brothers Inc. released its Q3 2026 earnings call transcript covering financial results and forward outlook. Earnings details and guidance can shift near-term investor views on operations and results.

21 Aug

3 , 6:51 PM
Toll Brothers beat earnings estimates but home deliveries fell, raising questions if affluent buyers can offset the decline and sustain results. Mixed earnings beat and delivery drop create moderate effects on near-term performance without shifting long-term trajectory.

20 Aug

3 , 7:14 AM
Toll Brothers beat earnings expectations and reaffirmed guidance, indicating the stock could be 7% undervalued. Earnings beat and reaffirmed guidance signal steady results with limited long-term trajectory shift.

19 Aug

4 , 6:38 PM
Toll Brothers Inc. posted strong Q2 2026 results fueled by its luxury-home focus, tighter operational efficiency, and rising market share. Luxury emphasis, efficiency gains, and market-share growth represent major strategic moves that can materially shift Toll Brothers' trajectory and investor outlook.

4 , 5:02 PM
Toll Brothers Inc. reported strong Q3 2026 deliveries and raised guidance. Strong deliveries and raised guidance improve Toll Brothers financial outlook and market position.

4 , 10:24 AM
Toll Brothers stock rose after the company beat earnings expectations in a tough housing market. Earnings beat triggers immediate stock price rise despite housing market headwinds.

4 transcript app.moby.co, 8:30 AM
Toll Brothers Inc. released Q3 2026 earnings call details covering revenue, home orders, margins, backlog and forward guidance. Quarterly earnings and guidance directly shape revenue expectations, margins and investor sentiment for the homebuilder.

3 www.marketbeat.com, 10:04 AM
Toll Brothers Inc. (TOL) released Q3 earnings call highlights covering revenue, home deliveries, margins, backlog, and updated guidance amid ongoing housing market conditions. Q3 earnings metrics and guidance offer moderate short-term influence on financial outlook and investor views without major strategic shifts.

18 Aug

4 , 4:30 PM
Toll Brothers Inc. reported its financial results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026. Quarterly earnings releases often drive major shifts in valuation and investor outlook for homebuilders.

3 , 6:30 PM
Toll Brothers reported Q3 earnings with key metrics compared to estimates. Q3 earnings metrics versus estimates can moderately affect Toll Brothers stock performance and investor sentiment.

3 , 5:45 PM
Toll Brothers (TOL) beat analyst estimates for both earnings and revenue in its third quarter. Earnings beat can lift near-term sentiment and stock price but leaves core operations and strategy unchanged.

3 , 4:39 PM
Toll Brothers surpassed earnings estimates while revenue exceeded forecasts. Earnings beat and revenue outperformance boost Toll Brothers near-term financial results and investor sentiment.

3 , 3:00 AM
Toll Brothers earnings will provide a read on luxury home demand. Earnings data will moderately shape views on luxury demand and company performance.

13 Aug

3 , 4:09 AM
Toll Brothers Inc. opens new luxury communities in four states. Expansion through new luxury community openings supports revenue growth and geographic reach for Toll Brothers.

4 Aug

3 , 7:15 PM
Toll Brothers (TOL) could trade 10% below fair value as new luxury communities open. Luxury community openings support Toll Brothers growth and valuation upside.

25 Jul

4 , 12:21 AM
Toll Brothers expands luxury communities and design studios, positioning these initiatives to influence investor perceptions and company trajectory. Luxury community and design studio expansions constitute major strategic moves likely to alter company trajectory and investor sentiment.

16 Jul

4 , 10:53 AM
Toll Brothers faces 5.4% drop in future home sales, worsened by elevated mortgage rates pressuring demand. Sales decline and high mortgage rates directly threaten Toll Brothers revenue and market position.

11 Jul

3 , 2:15 AM
Toll Brothers launches multiple new communities, prompting assessment of whether its shares remain undervalued after the expansion. New community launches may moderately improve Toll Brothers revenue outlook and market position without fundamentally altering its long-term trajectory.

10 Jul

3 , 5:11 PM
Citigroup upgraded Toll Brothers (TOL), potentially signaling a stronger role for the company in luxury U.S. housing. Analyst upgrade from major bank may lift near-term sentiment and valuation for TOL.

3 , 4:09 PM
Toll Brothers launches new luxury home communities across California and Colorado. New community launches expand Toll Brothers' geographic footprint and revenue potential in key housing markets.

1 Jul

3 , 9:13 AM
Toll Brothers posts Q1 earnings, prompting buy, sell or hold analysis on TOL stock. Q1 earnings drive moderate shifts in TOL investor sentiment and near-term performance.

28 Jun

3 , 6:06 PM
Toll Brothers launches luxury home communities across nine states. Multi-state community launches expand operations and may lift revenue without fundamentally shifting company trajectory.

24 Jun

3 Insider Monkey, 8:16 AM
Keefe Bruyette upgrades Toll Brothers (TOL) to Outperform. Analyst upgrade to Outperform may lift short-term investor sentiment and stock price for Toll Brothers.

19 Jun

4 , 8:16 PM
Toll Brothers raised 2026 guidance citing resilient luxury demand, driving a 5.7% stock increase. Raising 2026 guidance signals stronger financial outlook and sustained demand that can materially shift investor views on performance.

3 , 5:12 PM
Toll Brothers Inc. is launching new luxury residential communities across multiple key US housing markets. Announced expansions into new luxury communities support moderate operational growth and market positioning for Toll Brothers.
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