Lennar Corporation LEN

82.15 0.68 0.83% as of 25 Sep
Market cap
$19.6B
P/E
15.5×
Indexes indicate stock being part of an index,
Growth Flags show if company had growth for consecutive years,
Insider Buys alert about insiders buying in the last 12 month

Insider Decisions

Total buys 212.40
in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — 1
Sell — — — — — — — — — — — —
Insider Ownership 13.09%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap 19,630.00
Revenue 31,973.08
Net Income 497.96
Free Cash Flow 843.14
Net Debt 3,113.04
Current Ratio 4.94
Debt/Equity 0.20
P/E ratio 15.50
P/S ratio 0.61
P/B ratio 0.90
Past 5Y EPS Growth 20.04%
This Y EPS Growth (38.71%)
Next Y EPS Growth 9.84%
Next 5Y EPS Growth (6.13%)
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio 0.11
Annual Dividend Rate 1.50
Annual Dividend Yield 1.04%
total individual payouts
2028 Powerpack
2027 Powerpack
2026 2.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
2025 2.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
2024 1.94
0.48
0.48
0.48
0.48
2023 1.45
0.36
0.36
0.36
0.36
2022 1.45
0.36
0.36
0.36
0.36
2021 0.97
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.24
2020 0.61
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.24
2019 0.15
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
2018 0.15
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
2017 0.15
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
2016 0.15
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 6,287 4,674 3,467 1,184
Receivables 888 1,053 1,003 925
Inventory 18,353 19,720 11,618 12,943
Other — — — —
25,528 25,447 16,088 15,053
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 1,631 1,839 1,812 1,796
ST’ Debt — — — —
Other — — — —
4,172 5,403 3,289 3,046
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales 13.69% 8.74% 0.51%
Cash Flow 0.00% (44.70%) (59.51%)
Earnings 9.99% (3.32%) (23.31%)
Book Value 14.04% 4.11% (2.98%)

Revenue

Feb May Aug Nov Year
’26 6,619 7,940 8,046 — —
’25 7,632 8,378 8,810 9,368 34,187
’24 7,313 8,766 9,416 9,947 35,441
’23 6,490 8,045 8,730 10,968 34,233
’22 6,204 8,359 8,934 10,174 33,671
’21 5,325 6,430 6,941 8,434 27,131
’20 4,505 5,287 5,870 6,826 22,489
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Operating Cash Flow

Feb May Aug Nov Year
’26 (434) (284) — — —
’25 (289) (1,095) (159) 1,759 217
’24 368 242 819 975 2,403
’23 978 660 952 2,589 5,180
’22 (72) 125 499 2,714 3,266
’21 386 333 594 1,220 2,533
’20 383 928 1,586 1,294 4,191
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Free Cash Flow

Feb May Aug Nov Year
’26 (437) (303) — — —
’25 (305) (1,100) (187) 1,770 179
’24 300 217 814 963 2,293
’23 973 642 935 2,543 5,093
’22 (78) 138 464 2,709 3,233
’21 409 317 584 1,200 2,509
’20 378 937 1,572 1,265 4,152
in millions of $ · fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

EPS

Feb May Aug Nov Year
’26 0.93 1.24 1.20 — —
’25 1.96 1.81 2.29 1.93 7.98
’24 2.57 3.45 4.26 4.06 14.31
’23 2.06 3.01 3.87 4.82 13.73
’22 1.69 4.49 5.03 4.55 15.72
’21 3.20 2.65 4.52 3.91 14.27
’20 1.27 1.65 2.12 2.82 7.85
fiscal quarters ending in the months shown

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

3.5
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
35.35 40.20 36.10 37.20 24.61 69.24 60.54 87.84 129.45 98.42

Analyst estimates 2026–2028

Powerpack
Low Price
47.21 62.36 69.86 60.63 84.03 113.79 112.64 151.03 187.61 144.24
High Price
8,335 9,111 11,626 10,106 9,495 10,753 12,012 12,284 13,265 12,532
Employees
1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
Revenue/Emp
10,950 12,646 20,572 22,260 22,489 27,131 33,671 34,233 35,441 34,187
Revenue
13.65% 12.85% 11.35% 12.59% 15.45% 20.41% 21.39% 17.35% 15.52% 9.91%
Gross Margin
1,330 1,190 2,263 2,434 3,124 5,819 6,015 5,202 5,185 2,814
EBT
12.15% 9.41% 11.00% 10.94% 13.89% 21.45% 17.86% 15.20% 14.63% 8.23%
EBT Margin
913 772 1,718 1,842 2,468 4,457 4,649 3,961 3,968 2,108
Net Income
65 78 68 66 70 79 85 109 116 134
Depreciation
49.09 53.33 66.80 69.91 72.68 88.49 116.18 120.83 130.29 132.64
Revenue/Sh
4.13 3.38 5.46 5.76 7.88 14.28 15.74 13.73 14.31 7.98
Earnings/Sh
2.28 4.14 5.49 4.66 13.54 8.26 11.27 18.28 8.84 0.84
Cash Flow/Sh
(0.23) (0.47) (0.42) (0.02) (0.13) (0.08) (0.11) (0.31) (0.40) (0.15)
Capex/Sh
2.05 3.67 5.07 4.63 13.42 8.18 11.16 17.98 8.43 0.69
Free CF/Sh
32.33 33.67 47.68 50.35 58.50 68.48 83.64 94.25 103.01 85.90
Book Value/Sh
223 237 308 318 309 307 290 283 272 258
Shares
9.88 17.77 7.85 9.86 9.32 7.12 5.38 9.00 11.71 16.30
PE Ratio
0.82 1.14 0.62 0.82 1.01 1.15 0.73 1.02 1.29 0.98
PS Ratio
1.25 1.80 0.87 1.13 1.26 1.49 1.02 1.31 1.63 1.52
PB Ratio
1.13 1.44 0.97 1.11 1.15 1.22 0.71 0.92 1.22 1.00
EV/Sales
27.14 20.98 12.75 16.75 6.25 13.18 7.44 6.21 18.87 190.96
EV/FCF
508 982 1,692 1,482 4,191 2,533 3,266 5,180 2,403 217
Op' Cash Flow
(51) (112) (130) (7) (39) (24) (33) (87) (110) (38)
Capex
457 871 1,561 1,475 4,152 2,509 3,233 5,093 2,293 179
FCF
9,606 11,944 17,342 17,975 18,199 19,665 21,428 21,356 20,044 12,799
Working Cap'
4,576 6,410 8,544 7,777 5,956 4,652 4,047 2,816 2,258 4,085
Total Debt
3,361 3,854 7,162 6,563 3,237 1,895 (592) (3,471) (2,416) 617
Net Debt
7,212 7,986 14,683 16,034 18,099 20,996 24,240 26,702 28,021 22,141
Sh' Equity
6.06% 4.71% 7.11% 6.33% 8.22% 13.86% 12.82% 10.08% 9.67% 5.43%
ROA
7.46% 7.07% 5.26% 6.86% 9.20% 14.03% 17.94% 14.63% 11.84% 7.55%
ROIC
13.72% 10.56% 14.83% 11.93% 14.28% 22.39% 20.17% 15.27% 14.23% 8.21%
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Nov 2025 · latest quarter Aug 2026

Lennar Corporation peers in Residential Construction

All 19 Residential Construction stocks →

LEN metrics, ten years each

Lennar Corporation (LEN) key facts

  • Lennar Corporation (LEN) is a Residential Construction company in the Consumer Cyclical sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
  • Lennar Corporation’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended November 2025) was $34.2 billion, down 3.54% from fiscal 2024.
  • Net income was $2.1 billion, or $7.98 per share (basic), a net margin of 6.02%.
  • As of September 25, 2026, LEN traded at $82.15, a market capitalization of $19.6 billion.
  • At that price the stock trades at 15.5× trailing-twelve-month earnings and 0.6× sales.
  • Lennar Corporation pays an annual dividend of $1.50 per share, a yield of 1.04%, with a payout ratio of 11.1%.
  • Return on equity was 8.21% and debt-to-equity 0.20.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

Lennar Corporation (LEN) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

26 Sep

3

Lennar opened Venue at Leaf Creek, a 55+ active-adult community in Hatfield, PA; Cherokee Bend near Huntsville, AL; and The Farm in San Juan Capistrano, CA, expanding its multi-market, volume-first approach across price points and life stages. The launches illustrate Lennar’s asset-light model aimed at sustaining sales through cycles by mixing communities and demand channels. However, higher mortgage rates and incentives remain a margin headwind, potentially testing pricing power and cash generation versus peers such as D.R. Horton and PulteGroup. The coverage notes a single warning sign and assigns a fair value around $83.69, with longer-term projections suggesting a different end state than today. Analysts also suggest broadening exposure to other housing names with steady income as a defensive posture. Diversified new communities support Lennar's volume-led model and broaden demand channels, modestly boosting near-term outlook but not altering long-term trajectory.

25 Sep

3

LEN shares rose about 6% after Berkshire Hathaway disclosed an additional $212.38 million Lennar purchase, expanding its stake to above 10% which required SEC reporting. The move followed Berkshire's prior 2026 stake growth to roughly $1.2 billion and underscores long-term confidence, yet Lennar remains challenged by a tough 2026 housing market: mortgage rates near 7%, weaker demand, lower selling prices, and greater buyer incentives squeezing margins. Q3 revenue fell 9% to $8.05 billion, net income dropped to $284 million ($1.19 per share) from year-ago levels, deliveries declined 3%, and new orders fell 9%. Gross margin slipped to 15.8% from 17.5%. Full-year deliveries guidance was cut to 80,000–81,000. Lennar’s lean land strategy and cost improvements offer potential upside if demand recovers, but Wall Street remains cautious and Berkshire’s stake does not solve near-term pressures. Berkshire's stake boost signals long-term confidence but leaves short-term headwinds intact.

3

Jim Cramer warned Lennar could be crushed by higher interest rates as the Fed tightens, arguing housing remains highly rate-sensitive. Lennar’s Q3 net income was $283 million, down from $591 million a year earlier, with revenue dropping 8% to $8.0 billion as mortgage rates cooled demand. Gross margin fell to 15.8% from 17.5%; new orders declined 9% to 20,879. Core construction costs fell 6% to $80 per square foot and cycle time hit a record low of 116 days, indicating strong execution. Hedge funds held about 65 Lennar positions in Q2, while Toll Brothers drew 49 funds. LEN trades at forward P/E 11.3, above Toll’s 9.8, with very low short interest (0.24% vs. 5.25% for Toll). Overall, results and sentiment hinge on rate trajectories and housing demand. Rising rates and weaker demand press Lennar's earnings and margins, likely shaping near-term trajectory despite cost cuts and cycle-time gains.

24 Sep

4

Buffett crossed 10% ownership of Lennar (LEN) at about $81, a day after Lennar cut its 2026 delivery guidance to 80,000–81,000 homes and warned gross margins would stay under pressure. Lennar, the second-largest U.S. homebuilder, runs a land-light model and owns a small share of its homesites. In Q3, adjusted EPS was $1.23 on $8.05 billion revenue; new orders fell about 9%, and management trimmed full-year deliveries. With housing starts around 1.27–1.5 million and mortgage rates near 7%, roughly half of visitors cannot qualify for mortgages. Buffett’s 10% stake underscores a long-term scarcity thesis that demand may outlast near-term margin squeezes, helping support a view of margin normalization toward the low- to mid-20s. At about $81.50, Lennar is seen as compelling on a research basis; Buffett’s move triggers faster disclosure, amplifying the signal for investors. Buffett’s 10% stake after a guidance cut could meaningfully shift sentiment and investor perception of Lennar’s long-term scarcity thesis, potentially impacting its trajectory despite near-term margin pressures.

4

Lennar announces its entry into the Des Moines market with Start of Sales at five Central Iowa communities: Cross Creek, Deer Run, Southbridge, Spring Creek Ridge North and Woodbury. This marks Lennar's first homebuilding operation in Iowa, offering three new designs priced from the $300,000s to the low $400,000s. Model homes open October 2026. The communities span Des Moines metro, forming the foundation of Lennar's Iowa division, which will expand in the region. Each design features open-concept layouts and exterior variety, with homes ranging 1,592 to 2,262 sq ft, 3-4 bedrooms and 2-2.5 baths. Everything's Included standard features. Lennar Mortgage also enters Des Moines-area market, providing in-house financing. Lennar emphasizes move-in ready homes focused on affordability. Contact information provided. Expansion into Des Moines with five communities and in-house lending creates a new regional growth platform for Lennar.

3

Berkshire Hathaway bought about 2.74 million more Lennar shares, taking its holdings to roughly 23.72 million Class A and 528,217 Class B shares and crossing the 10% ownership threshold. The purchases occurred Sept. 17–21 at weighted-average prices totaling about $212.4 million. Crossing 10% boosts reporting visibility and underscores confidence in Lennar after weaker earnings. The move is small relative to Berkshire’s overall market value (about 0.03%), so it isn’t a major stake change, but it raises questions whether Berkshire plans further accumulation or a larger investment. Lennar's stock performance and fundamentals will influence how this stake affects investor perception and Lennar’s trajectory. Crossing 10% signals confidence and could boost Lennar's sentiment, but the stake remains non-controlling and is a relatively small portion of Berkshire's capital, limiting direct impact.

23 Sep

4

Several notable moves among major stocks: AutoZone rose 6.1% after fourth-quarter earnings beat, aided by margin expansion. Natera gained 5.2% on regulatory approval in Japan for its Signatera test as a companion diagnostic in muscle-invasive bladder cancer. Shopify climbed 7.5% following a partnership enabling Meta's Muse AI agents to complete checkouts on its platform. Twilio rose 5.8% after Rosenblatt and TD Cowen raised their price targets. Lennar jumped about 6% after Berkshire Hathaway disclosed a $212.38 million purchase, expanding its existing roughly $1.2 billion stake in the homebuilder. Berkshire Hathaway's sizable Lennar stake signals strong long-term confidence and may lift investor sentiment.

4

Berkshire Hathaway bought about $212.4 million of Lennar shares across three September trading days, acquiring 2.74 million shares and lifting its Lennar stake to roughly $1.4 billion. Lennar posted a weak Q3 with net earnings of $284 million (down from $591 million), revenue of $8.05 billion (−8.6%), and adjusted EPS of $1.23 vs. consensus $1.28. New-home orders fell 9% to 20,879; gross margin dropped to 15.8% from 17.5%. Lennar also cut its full-year 2026 delivery outlook to 80,000–81,000 homes. Barclays and RBC reduced targets; Bank of America had an Underperform rating beforehand. Lennar trades around the high $70s, down more than 22% YTD. Berkshire’s bold stake implies confidence in a housing-cycle recovery and expands its exposure to housing alongside Taylor Morrison and D.R. Horton, supported by a large cash pile. Sizable Berkshire investment signals confidence in Lennar amid a housing downturn and could meaningfully influence investor sentiment and stock trajectory.

3

Berkshire Hathaway is boosting its bet on the U.S. housing market even as homebuilders warn affordability headwinds could restrain demand. Berkshire has raised its stake in Lennar (LEN) and earlier this year acquired Taylor Morrison, signaling confidence in the sector under new CEO Greg Abel. Lennar shares surged after the stake move, though the stock has fallen about a third from its January highs. Broad housing ETFs ITB and XHB have slid roughly 20% from February peaks amid concerns about sluggish demand and higher costs. Lennar and other builders say rising borrowing costs and persistent inflation are making potential buyers more cautious. Lennar CEO Stuart Miller noted that higher energy and fuel costs can dampen the willingness to make the largest financial commitment, even if the desire to own remains intact. Berkshire's bigger stake signals support and could lift sentiment, but affordability headwinds limit Lennar's upside.

3

Berkshire Hathaway crossed 10% ownership in Lennar after the homebuilder missed Q3 earnings and trimmed full-year deliveries to 80k–81k. LEN rose about 6% on the disclosure, despite being down roughly 31% over the year. Analysts largely rate LEN a Sell with targets below $83, underscoring a valuation gap with Berkshire's patient capital. Lennar Q3 adjusted EPS $1.23 on $8.05B revenue; deliveries trimmed to 80k–81k; new orders -9% to 20,879; gross margin 15.8%. The 30-year mortgage rate near 6.8% left roughly half of visitors unable to qualify, and management does not expect rate cuts soon. The market is watching whether Berkshire’s stake provides longer-term support amid a tougher housing backdrop. Berkshire’s large stake could influence sentiment and governance while near-term results remain weak amid higher rates and slowing demand.

3

Lennar unveiled Venue at Leaf Creek, an active-adult community in Amity Township, Douglassville, PA, with more than 300 single-family homes and resort-style amenities. Opening this fall, it offers 10 floorplans from 1,570 to 3,700 sq ft, two to four bedrooms, two to four baths, with pricing starting in the $400,000s. All homes include Lennar’s Everything's Included features, such as gourmet kitchens, luxury baths, premium flooring, and smart-home elements. A private clubhouse will host social and wellness activities, with amenities like a pool, fitness center, pickleball courts, and walking trails. The community sits near parks and the Schuylkill River corridor, with easy access to Route 422 and Route 100, about 30 minutes from King of Prussia and an hour from Philadelphia. For more information, contact Lennar. New active-adult development diversifies Lennar's portfolio and revenue opportunities, but its impact depends on demand for 55+ housing and broader market conditions.

22 Sep

4

Berkshire Hathaway bought more than $200 million of Lennar stock over three days, raising its stake to just over 10% of Lennar. It purchased about 2.6 million Class A shares on Thursday, Friday, and Monday, and already holds over 500,000 shares of Lennar’s Class B stock. The move signals strong confidence in the homebuilder amid depressed shares. A Berkshire stake above 10% can meaningfully influence investor sentiment and governance dynamics, potentially altering Lennar's strategic trajectory.

4

Berkshire Hathaway disclosed a $212.4 million purchase of Lennar shares, lifting its stake to more than 10% after buying about 2.7 million Class A and B shares at $74.80–$79.41. Lennar’s fiscal Q3 earnings fell to $1.19 per share on $8.05 billion in revenue, with orders down 9% to 20,879 and deliveries down 3% to 20,840; gross margin slipped to 15.8%. The company also cut its 2026 delivery outlook to 80,000–81,000 homes. Berkshire’s buy reinforces a broader housing bet alongside D.R. Horton and Taylor Morrison, even as affordability and high mortgage rates constrain demand. Berkshire’s move signals confidence, but Lennar faces near-term execution risk and must stabilize margins and orders for a durable recovery. Berkshire’s additional multi-million stake signals strong long-term conviction and could meaningfully influence sentiment and funding, even as Lennar’s near-term margin and demand pressures persist.

4

Berkshire Hathaway bought roughly $200 million worth of Lennar stock over Thursday, Friday and Monday, increasing its stake from about 6% to more than 10%. The purchases were disclosed via SEC filings. The move triggered a rally in Lennar and other beaten-down homebuilders, signaling strong confidence from Buffett’s firm and potentially altering sentiment around Lennar’s stock and the housing market. Huge stake by a marquee investor could materially lift Lennar’s stock sentiment and influence its financing dynamics going forward.

4

Berkshire Hathaway bought more than $200 million of Lennar stock over three trading days, lifting its stake to just over 10% of Lennar’s Class A shares. The purchases total about 2.6 million Class A shares traded on Thursday, Friday and Monday. Berkshire also owns more than 500,000 shares of Lennar’s supervoting Class B stock, boosting its voting power. Lennar, the country’s second-largest home builder, has a depressed stock price, which Berkshire appears to be exploiting as a long-term opportunity. The move could give Berkshire meaningful influence over Lennar’s governance and strategic decisions, depending on future actions by Berkshire and Lennar’s board. No price per share details were provided. The combination of a double-digit stake and supervoting rights gives Berkshire meaningful influence over Lennar's governance and strategic direction.

4

Berkshire Hathaway disclosed a roughly $1.2 billion stake in Lennar Corp (LEN), buying $212.4 million worth across three September sessions and accumulating 2.74 million shares of class A and B stock. LEN shares rose about 2% on Monday and 1% in after-hours trading as the stake news circulated. The purchase comes as Lennar faces a housing market under pressure from higher mortgage rates and affordability gaps. In the third quarter, Lennar posted net earnings of $284 million, down from $591 million a year earlier. New orders declined 9% to 20,879 and deliveries fell 3% to 20,840. Gross margin slipped to 15.8% from 17.5%, and the company trimmed its full-year 2026 delivery outlook to 80,000–81,000 homes from 82,000–83,000. Berkshire has been expanding its exposure to U.S. housing, adding stakes in other builders and completing the Taylor Morrison deal; LEN sentiment remains weak. A large, high‑profile stake from Berkshire signals meaningful investor confidence and could shift sentiment and valuation, particularly amid Lennar’s deteriorating housing market and earnings trajectory.

3

KB Home is set to report Q3 2026 earnings, following Lennar's disappointing results amid a tough, rate-sensitive housing market. A recent Federal Reserve rate hike and signals of further increases could complicate demand for homebuilders. Analysts polled by LSEG expect KB Home to post revenue of about $1.294 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $0.89. Live updates will flow as the results are released. Higher rates and a weak housing environment reduce Lennar’s earnings trajectory.

3

Berkshire Hathaway disclosed a $212.38 million purchase of Lennar stock, expanding its existing $1.2 billion stake, triggering about a 6% intraday gain. The disclosure under SEC rules confirms Berkshire owns more than 10% of Lennar. The move comes as Lennar has shown volatility and as the housing market faces macro headwinds; investors view the stake as a long-term vote of confidence, with the longer-term narrative centered on housing-supply legislation and a multi-year volume story rather than immediate demand. Berkshire's larger stake signals long-term confidence and could bolster investor sentiment, potentially supporting the stock.

3

Berkshire Hathaway bought more than $200 million of Lennar stock over three trading days, lifting its stake to just over 10% of Lennar Corp, the country’s second-largest home builder. The purchases cover about 2.6 million Lennar Class A shares bought on Thursday, Friday and Monday, and Berkshire already holds more than 500,000 Lennar Class B supervoting shares. The move gives Berkshire meaningful influence through voting power without full control, while Lennar’s stock was described as depressed. The article notes questions about Berkshire’s rationale and potential intent, including whether the investor could pressure governance or strategy; no immediate changes to Lennar’s operations were disclosed. 10% stake with supervoting Class B shares provides meaningful influence without control.

21 Sep

4

LEN trades near $76, a 52-week low, down about 39% over the past year while the S&P 500 rose. It sits below book value (~$91 a share) as of Q3 2026. CEO says the stock is on sale, but the big risk is Lennar’s land bill: land costs rose while revenue per square foot and construction costs fell, widening the margin gap. Lennar owns ~2% of homesites; the rest are tied up in land banks with ongoing fees as growth slows and deals lengthen. The operating margin is 6.8% (three-year avg 11.9%). Finished homes sit on books at roughly 74% of average sale price, up from ~60% a year ago; pausing a land-bank deal for six months could shave 100–150 basis points of margin. Lennar cut 2026 deliveries to about 80,500; Q4 deliveries guided to 22,000–23,000 with better cash flow, but volume will decide. Core risk remains the land cycle. Land-cost pressures and extended land-bank cycles could materially depress margins and deliveries, signaling a meaningful impact on Lennar's profitability trajectory.

4

Lennar missed earnings last week, but the shortfall stemmed from land holdings rather than inflation in materials, tariffs, wages, or other usual culprits. As the third-largest U.S. home builder, Lennar was hit harder in a weak housing market than peers like D.R. Horton due to its land inventory and valuations. The miss highlights how land assets can erode margins when demand softens, potentially forcing write-downs or slower development. The piece frames land management as the main drag on Lennar's results, signaling a key risk for its future profitability in a down market. Earnings miss attributed to land holdings, signaling near-term earnings risk tied to land management.

4

Lennar (LEN) stock has fallen about 41% over the past year, closing near the bottom of its 52-week range as demand slows. The company’s plan to rebuild profits relies on selling homes at a steady pace, but its own numbers show that pace slipping. Lennar is sacrificing margin to keep volumes moving, with third-quarter gross margin at 15.8%. Land costs are rising and production costs per square foot have fallen, leaving land as the main margin headwind. Lennar owns about 2% of its sites and funds the rest through land-banking partnerships, but option maintenance fees are piling up as growth slows. Buyers are harder to come by with mortgage rates around 7%, and many visitors cannot qualify for loans; prices are softening in Texas and Florida. Q3 orders fell ~9% YoY; revenue down 13.3%. For Q4, guidance implies continued pressure, with stock buybacks offering some support while the earnings outlook remains uncertain. Land-cost headwinds and slower demand threaten margins and earnings trajectory.

3

Jim Cramer predicts KB Home will report a weak quarter like Lennar as rates bite demand. Lennar posted roughly $8B in Q3 revenue, with orders down 9% to 20,879 and deliveries down 3% to 20,840. ASP fell 3% to $372,000; home-sale margins slipped to 15.8% from 17.5%. CEO Miller said the environment deteriorated with mortgage rates around 6.8% at quarter-end. Lennar cut full-year 2026 deliveries to about 80,000–81,000; Q4 guided for 19,500–20,500 orders and margins around 15.5%–16%. KB Home’s Q2 revenue fell 27% to $1.11B; EPS $0.43 vs $1.50; deliveries down 23% to 2,395; net orders down 4% to 3,317; ASP $461,900 vs $488,700; backlog down 7% to $2.14B and 5% to 4,526 homes. For Q3, KBH guided to 2,600–2,800 deliveries, $1.2B–$1.35B housing revenue, and margins 16%–16.6%. Bear case: higher rates and affordability pressures keep demand weak; margins in mid-teens. Demand and margins deteriorate with lower deliveries and tight housing market, signaling ongoing headwinds for LEN.

3

Resale sellers are increasingly aggressive on price, heightening competition for Lennar as active listings rise above historic levels—Texas and Florida are especially affected. Lennar notes resale pricing is very competitive and that price cuts by resellers prompt the company to respond with incentives in its South Central and Southeast markets. While this pressure can hurt homeowners, it could improve affordability for first-time buyers amid higher mortgage rates. Market pricing for rate moves remains volatile, with the bond market driving moves and the Fed acting as a follower. Rising resale competition in Lennar's core markets could squeeze margins and volumes, but affordability gains for first-time buyers may offset some impact.

20 Sep

3

Lennar cut its full-year delivery forecast to 80,000–81,000 homes from 82,000–83,000 as affordability pressures persist. Q3 gross margin on home sales was 15.8%; construction costs per square foot fell 6% YoY while incentives remained about 12% of home value. The company delivered 20,840 homes (−3% YoY) and booked 20,879 new orders (−9%). Fourth-quarter guidance calls for 22,000–23,000 deliveries and 15.5%–16.0% gross margin, with SG&A at 9.2% of home-sales revenue. Construction efficiency improved—costs down roughly 14% since late 2023 and cycle times shortened—yet land costs and pricing power limit profitability. UBS/JPMorgan lowered price targets amid softer housing demand. The piece notes potential margin uplift if concessions ease, but near-term profitability remains constrained by incentives and land costs; hedge funds remain cautiously positioned. Construction savings improve margins, but softer demand and higher land costs keep near-term profitability constrained.

19 Sep

4

Lennar missed earnings expectations in a sign of potential wider weakness across the U.S. housing market. Earnings shortfall flags housing-market headwinds likely to weigh on Lennar's sales, margins and stock trajectory.

3

Analysts trimmed Lennar fair value estimates as rising interest rates and margin pressures weigh on the homebuilder's outlook and stock performance. Analyst fair value cuts signal moderate pressure on valuation from rates and margins that may shift short-term sentiment without altering core trajectory.

18 Sep

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Lennar (LEN) stock may be 17% overvalued despite weaker earnings guidance. Weaker earnings guidance combined with overvaluation assessment points to moderate effects on financial outlook and investor sentiment.

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Lennar's Q3 results faced pressure from elevated interest rates, sales incentives and higher land costs that weighed on margins and performance. Interest rates, incentives and land costs are pressuring Lennar's quarterly margins and may influence near-term profitability.

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Lennar missed Q3 earnings expectations yet posted stronger operating results amid ongoing housing market weakness. Q3 earnings shortfall offset by operating resilience points to moderate near-term effects on performance and sentiment.

stockrow.com/LEN · Data as of Aug 31, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com