| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 2.12 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 2.00 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 1.84 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 1.70 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 1.70 |
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 1.04 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 1.00 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 0.96 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 0.75 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 0.62 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2016 | 0.56 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 2,122.10 | 737.28 | 769.88 | 567.71 |
| Receivables | 1,608.31 | 1,417.20 | 1,682.66 | 2,442.94 |
| Inventory | 2,894.63 | 3,113.73 | 3,738.52 | 3,955.62 |
| Other | 162.79 | 163.13 | 293.12 | 314.77 |
| 6,787.83 | 5,431.34 | 6,484.17 | 7,281.04 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 1,088.33 | 979.91 | 1,231.36 | 1,483.57 |
| ST’ Debt | 459.99 | 426.99 | 34.66 | 1.33 |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 2,332.30 | 2,150.58 | 2,122.25 | 2,287.31 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 5,204.86 | 6,091.56 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 4,369.20 | 4,565.12 | 4,828.22 | 4,414.05 |
18,176.58
|
| ’24 | 4,694.00 | 4,632.63 | 4,341.62 | 3,872.14 |
17,540.39
|
| ’23 | 4,893.21 | 5,081.63 | 4,587.06 | 4,233.42 |
18,795.32
|
| ’22 | 5,569.90 | 6,212.88 | 5,651.71 | 4,826.29 |
22,260.77
|
| ’21 | 3,544.60 | 4,465.31 | 5,088.29 | 5,310.66 |
18,408.85
|
| ’20 | 2,575.10 | 2,094.31 | 2,330.83 | 2,601.25 |
9,601.48
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 148.32 | 427.94 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 152.60 | 301.61 | 722.61 | 272.71 |
1,449.53
|
| ’24 | 355.22 | 382.56 | 759.85 | 346.87 |
1,844.50
|
| ’23 | 733.78 | 807.81 | 1,113.70 | 864.64 |
3,519.93
|
| ’22 | 818.97 | 1,001.85 | 1,496.16 | 1,143.43 |
4,460.40
|
| ’21 | 262.19 | 587.23 | 630.82 | 723.90 |
2,204.14
|
| ’20 | 211.28 | 486.01 | 151.79 | 137.95 |
987.03
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 10.34 | 304.09 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (152.90) | 13.28 | 556.92 | 84.22 |
501.51
|
| ’24 | (19.09) | (36.60) | 138.50 | (106.30) |
(23.50)
|
| ’23 | 507.46 | 449.53 | 555.34 | 349.70 |
1,862.02
|
| ’22 | 659.64 | 837.71 | 1,254.93 | 799.23 |
3,551.50
|
| ’21 | (47.67) | 310.02 | 416.19 | 519.36 |
1,197.90
|
| ’20 | (6.25) | 176.29 | (175.86) | (205.21) |
(211.02)
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 2.78 | 3.69 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 1.44 | 2.01 | 2.74 | 1.82 |
7.99
|
| ’24 | 3.67 | 2.72 | 2.05 | 1.36 |
9.84
|
| ’23 | 3.70 | 4.81 | 3.47 | 2.61 |
14.64
|
| ’22 | 5.71 | 6.44 | 5.03 | 3.61 |
20.92
|
| ’21 | 2.03 | 3.32 | 4.85 | 5.49 |
15.56
|
| ’20 | 0.88 | 0.36 | 0.47 | 0.89 |
2.59
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 50.54 | 90.55 | 104.60 | 103.17 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 113.12 | 136.46 | 155.56 | 178.36 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12,060 | 12,600 | 13,000 | 14,400 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.85 | 1.49 | 1.35 | 1.26 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 22,260.77 | 18,795.32 | 17,540.39 | 18,176.58 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 27.48% | 21.53% | 15.98% | 13.16% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5,021.07 | 3,218.94 | 1,982.88 | 1,492.97 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 22.56% | 17.13% | 11.30% | 8.21% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,879.49 | 2,467.33 | 1,549.96 | 1,187.31 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 384.20 | 437.80 | 478.91 | 551.39 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 121.38 | 112.85 | 112.86 | 122.98 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 21.06 | 14.72 | 9.89 | 8.02 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 24.32 | 21.13 | 11.87 | 9.81 | — | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (4.96) | (9.95) | (12.02) | (6.41) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 19.37 | 11.18 | (0.15) | 3.39 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 43.15 | 52.05 | 56.45 | 59.46 | — | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 183.39 | 166.55 | 155.42 | 147.81 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.55 | 8.11 | 11.60 | 21.08 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.78 | 1.05 | 1.01 | 1.38 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.21 | 2.28 | 2.02 | 2.85 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.82 | 1.10 | 1.15 | 1.57 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.14 | 11.15 | (860.42) | 56.80 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4,460.40 | 3,519.93 | 1,844.50 | 1,449.53 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (908.90) | (1,657.90) | (1,868.01) | (948.02) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,551.50 | 1,862.02 | (23.50) | 501.51 | — | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5,605.72 | 4,455.53 | 3,280.76 | 4,361.92 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,070.58 | 3,071.06 | 3,231.01 | 4,211.16 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 813.94 | 948.96 | 2,493.73 | 3,441.29 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7,914.30 | 8,668.32 | 8,774.03 | 8,789.19 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 28.94% | 16.86% | 10.30% | 7.56% | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 36.46% | 20.48% | 10.78% | 7.54% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 55.09% | 29.56% | 17.63% | 13.50% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Steel Dynamics (STLD) has evolved into an efficiency powerhouse in the cyclical steel industry, dominating with low-cost electric arc mini-mills that outshine traditional rivals. It rode a post-pandemic supercycle to glory in 2021-2022, with revenue surging 92% to $18.4 billion, EBT exploding 497%, and ROE hitting 62% amid sky-high prices and infrastructure demand. But normalization hit hard in 2023-2024—revenue fell 21% to $17.5 billion, margins shrank from 27% to 16%, and net income halved—yet a rock-solid balance sheet, hefty expansions like the Sinton mill, and productivity gains kept it resilient, with shares holding near all-time highs.
Valuation looks reasonable for a rebound play: forward PE of 14-22, PB at 2.0, and shares trading near analyst targets (1% upside to mean, 4% to high). Analysts forecast revenue climbing 4% in 2025 and 14% in 2026, EPS jumping 37% to $13.51, fueled by capex moderation, FCF revival, and tailwinds like U.S. infrastructure, onshoring, and ESG-friendly operations. Risks like Chinese dumping and recession linger, but insider sells are modest, and STLD’s lean model positions it for the next upcycle.
This mini-mill maestro’s story of boom, bust, and comeback begs the question: Is it a dip worth buying? Dive into the full analysis for charts, peer comps, and the catalysts that could forge real gains.
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