Shake Shack, Inc.

SHAK Consumer Cyclical Restaurants

Shake Shack, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $1.4 billion, up 15.4% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 17.2%, EPS fell 9.30%, free cash flow fell 102.7% and total debt was flat, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Revenue growth for five consecutive years, operating cash flow growth for five; insiders bought in the last twelve months.

69.99 0.62 −0.88%
Market cap
$3.0B
P/E
71.2×
Fwd P/E
45.8×
Dividend yield
—
F-score
7/9
Altman Z
2.50
Beneish M
−2.40
Dividend safety
n/a

Insider Decisions trades per month

Total buys 3.23
Total sells 0.18
Totals in millions of $.
Dec 25 Mar 26 Jun 26 Sep 26
Buy — — — — — — 6 — — — — —
Sell 1 1 1 — 1 1 — — — — — —
Insider Ownership 4.70%

Capital & Financial Ratios $m

Market Cap 3,020.00
Revenue 1,552.30
Net Income 43.30
Free Cash Flow (11.71)
Net Debt (59.71)
Current Ratio 1.67 (at or above 1.5: strong)
Debt/Equity 0.43 (at or below 0.5: strong)
P/E ratio 71.22 (above 35: high)
Fwd P/E 45.80 (above 35: high)
P/S ratio 1.82
P/B ratio 4.94
Past 5Y EPS Growth —
This Y EPS Growth (14.21%) (below 0%: weak)
Next Y EPS Growth 23.66% (at or above 15%: strong)
Next Y revenue growth 14.30% (at or above 10%: strong)
Next 5Y EPS Growth 11.41%

Green and red mark values outside typical ranges. How we judge →

Valuation vs history

P/E against its own 10 years 21.65%
10-year low 10-year high
P/S against its own 10 years 3.50%
10-year low 10-year high
P/B against its own 10 years 32.62%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/Sales against its own 10 years 3.69%
10-year low 10-year high

Dividends

Payout Ratio —
Annual Dividend Rate —
Annual Dividend Yield —
total individual payouts
2028 Powerpack
2027 Powerpack
2026 Powerpack
2025 Powerpack
2024 Powerpack
2023 Powerpack
2022 Powerpack
2021 Powerpack
2020 Powerpack
2019 Powerpack
2017 Powerpack
predictions special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities $m

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 293 321 360 308
Receivables 17 20 33 35
Inventory 5 6 7 7
Other — — — —
334 368 430 394
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 22 24 25 24
ST’ Debt — — — —
Other 17 20 28 30
164 187 245 236

Compound Annual Growth %

10y 5y 3y
Sales 22.46% 22.55% 17.08%
Cash Flow 18.35% 42.87% 42.56%
Earnings 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Book Value 13.43% 4.97% 8.23%

Revenue $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 367 418 — — —
’25 321 356 367 401 1,445
’24 291 316 317 329 1,253
’23 253 272 276 286 1,088
’22 203 231 228 239 900
’21 155 187 194 203 740
’20 143 92 130 158 523
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Operating Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 8 57 — — —
’25 31 65 63 63 222
’24 31 54 42 45 171
’23 20 42 28 42 132
’22 8 27 19 22 77
’21 10 27 7 15 58
’20 7 11 11 9 37
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Free Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (39) (1) — — —
’25 2 27 24 4 57
’24 (2) 21 7 10 36
’23 (15) 2 (10) 8 (14)
’22 (20) 0 (20) (25) (66)
’21 (13) 6 (17) (18) (43)
’20 (12) (8) 1 (13) (32)
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

EPS $

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (0.01) 0.37 — — —
’25 0.10 0.41 0.30 0.28 1.09
’24 0.05 0.23 (0.26) 0.21 0.24
’23 (0.04) 0.16 0.19 0.15 0.47
’22 (0.26) (0.03) (0.05) (0.21) (0.61)
’21 0.01 0.05 (0.06) (0.15) (0.22)
’20 (0.03) (0.43) (0.15) (0.50) (1.14)
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

2.1
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell

Ten years at a glance Fiscal years to December

Group Line 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Trend 2026e 2027e 2028e
Price, $
Price, $ Low 30.00 30.12 36.58 43.18 30.01 66.26 37.72 40.90 64.16 72.93

Analyst estimates 2026–2028

Powerpack
High 43.99 46.90 70.12 105.84 91.99 138.38 79.62 80.58 139.89 144.65
People
People Employees 3,521 4,440 6,101 7,603 7,429 9,695 11,704 12,196 12,826 13,873
Revenue/emp, $m 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.10
Income, $m
Income, $m Revenue 268 359 459 595 523 740 900 1,088 1,253 1,445
Gross margin, % 30.70 29.19 27.57 24.88 16.81 19.63 20.37 22.89 24.15 25.50
EBT 28 160 31 28 (45) (17) (24) 17 14 73
EBT margin, % 10.61 44.67 6.71 4.63 (8.70) (2.34) (2.70) 1.56 1.14 5.02
Net income 22 9 22 24 (46) (6) (23) 21 11 50
Depreciation 15 22 29 41 50 61 75 92 105 110
Per share, $
Per share, $ Revenue 11.70 13.87 16.23 18.95 14.08 18.93 22.95 27.59 31.45 35.94
Earnings 0.54 (0.09) 0.54 0.63 (1.14) (0.22) (0.61) 0.50 0.26 1.14
Cash flow 2.36 2.74 3.02 2.86 1.01 1.49 1.96 3.35 4.30 5.53
Capex (2.37) (2.38) (3.09) (3.39) (1.86) (2.60) (3.63) (3.71) (3.40) (4.12)
Free cash flow (0.01) 0.36 (0.08) (0.53) (0.85) (1.10) (1.68) (0.36) 0.90 1.41
Book value 8.77 8.68 9.66 10.26 11.70 11.14 11.13 11.91 12.39 13.77
Shares, m 23 26 28 31 37 39 39 39 40 40
Valuation, ×
Valuation, × P/E 66.91 0.00 84.11 91.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 146.62 519.20 71.20
P/S 3.09 3.15 2.80 3.14 6.02 3.81 1.82 2.66 4.13 2.26
P/B 4.12 5.04 4.70 5.81 7.24 6.47 3.74 6.16 10.47 5.89
EV/Sales 2.82 2.92 2.61 3.54 6.33 3.62 1.74 2.61 4.07 2.18
EV/FCF (5,108.56) 111.94 (562.81) (126.41) (104.49) (62.23) (23.84) (202.61) 142.92 55.77
Cash, $m
Cash, $m Operating cash flow 54 71 85 90 37 58 77 132 171 222
Capex (54) (62) (88) (107) (69) (101) (143) (146) (135) (166)
Free cash flow 0 9 (2) (17) (32) (43) (66) (14) 36 57
Balance, $m
Balance, $m Working capital 52 59 41 (12) 93 288 196 170 181 185
Total debt 2 15 21 309 347 244 245 246 247 248
Net debt (72) (70) (66) 235 163 (139) (67) (48) (74) (112)
Shareholders’ equity 201 224 273 322 434 436 437 469 494 554
Returns, %
Returns, % ROA 2.71 (0.06) 2.81 2.51 (3.99) (0.35) (1.43) 1.30 0.62 2.55
ROIC 13.40 13.64 9.55 2.88 (4.59) (3.34) (4.54) 0.88 0.45 8.85
ROE 6.95 (0.15) 6.10 6.66 (11.15) (1.05) (4.87) 4.47 2.12 8.73
Negative figures in brackets.

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026

Charts ten years each

Shake Shack, Inc. vs peers in Restaurants (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier

Company Market cap P/E Fwd P/E Revenue growth (Q) EPS growth (Q) FCF growth (Q) Gross margin (Q) EBIT margin (Q) Compare
CAVA CAVA Group, Inc. $6.5B 101× 131× +31.30% (above 0%: growing) +25.00% (above 0%: growing) +52.60% (above 0%: growing) 44.93% 7.29% Compare
CAKE The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated $5.8B 30.0× 16.3× +7.72% (above 0%: growing) +24.58% (above 0%: growing) +220.39% (above 0%: growing) 17.64% 7.63% Compare
WING Wingstop Inc. $3.6B 31.2× 31.6× +6.44% (above 0%: growing) +19.79% (above 0%: growing) −45.18% (below 0%: shrinking) 86.49% 29.44% Compare
SHAK Shake Shack, Inc. $3.0B 71.2× 45.8× +17.16% (above 0%: growing) −9.30% (below 0%: shrinking) −102.73% (below 0%: shrinking) 25.58% 4.97%
ARCO Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. $1.7B 6.5× 10.7× +14.30% (above 0%: growing) +100.00% (above 0%: growing) +254.29% (above 0%: growing) 11.81% 5.56% Compare
CHA Chagee Holdings Limited - Sponsored ADR $1.6B 12.2× 8.9× +8.20% (above 0%: growing) +620.00% (above 0%: growing) +49.31% (above 0%: growing) 53.99% 15.37% Compare
CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. $1.5B 48.2× 84.6× −2.15% (below 0%: shrinking) +83.33% (above 0%: growing) +191.55% (above 0%: growing) 71.25% 1.55% Compare
BH Biglari Holdings Inc. $1.3B — (loss-making) 24.0× +7.86% (above 0%: growing) −18.71% (below 0%: shrinking) −66.30% (below 0%: shrinking) 41.26% 12.17% Compare
BJRI BJ's Restaurants, Inc. $1.3B 30.6× 20.0× +6.37% (above 0%: growing) −11.00% (below 0%: shrinking) −84.81% (below 0%: shrinking) 74.52% 4.74% Compare
Median of peers $1.6B 30.6× 22.0× +7.79% +24.79% +50.96% 49.46% 7.46%

All 56 Restaurants stocks →

Shake Shack, Inc. (SHAK) key facts

  • Strength: Shake Shack, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $1.4 billion, up 15.4% from fiscal 2024.
  • Shake Shack, Inc. (SHAK) is a Restaurants company in the Consumer Cyclical sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
  • As of October 16, 2026, SHAK traded at $69.99, a market capitalization of $3.0 billion.
  • Return on equity was 8.73% and debt-to-equity 0.43.
  • Its Piotroski F-score is 7 out of 9 and its Altman Z-score is 2.50 (grey zone) for fiscal 2025.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

Shake Shack, Inc. (SHAK) Latest News

18 Sep

Impact 3 ·

9 Aug

stockrow.com/SHAK · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com