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The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated CAKE

Consumer Cyclical — Restaurants
Dividend Champion (5y) Cash Flow Champion (3y)
Growth Flags show if company had growth for consecutive years

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Insider Decisions

Total sells
30.15
in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — — — — 4 1 — 1 1 4 5 —
Insider Ownership
1.60%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap
4,790.00
Revenue
3,877.25
Net Income
178.62
Free Cash Flow
205.20
Net Debt
367.73
Current Ratio
0.59
Debt/Equity
1.08
P/E ratio
25.20
P/S ratio
1.16
P/B ratio
8.67
Past 5Y EPS Growth
2.30%
This Y EPS Growth
19.76%
Next Y EPS Growth
10.72%
Next 5Y EPS Growth
14.86%
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio
0.81
Annual Dividend Rate
1.08
Annual Dividend Yield
3.04%
total individual payouts
2028 ‡‡‡‡‡
2027 ‡‡‡‡‡
2026 1.22
—
—
—
2025 1.08
—
—
—
—
2024 1.08
—
—
—
—
2023 1.08
—
—
—
—
2022 0.81
—
—
—
2021 ‡‡‡
2020 0.36
—
2019 1.38
—
—
—
—
2018 1.24
—
—
—
—
2017 1.06
—
—
—
—
2016 0.88
—
—
—
—
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 56.29 84.18 215.73 195.17
Receivables 123.76 129.92 130.42 114.49
Inventory 57.65 64.53 53.97 50.51
Other — — — —
300.80 333.31 454.83 418.79
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 63.15 62.09 62.71 70.67
ST’ Debt — — 68.82 —
Other 222.92 226.81 212.86 183.45
660.67 711.42 777.01 713.58
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Cash Flow ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Book Value ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡

Revenue

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 978.83 1,029.63 — —
—
’25 927.20 955.83 907.23 961.56
3,751.81
’24 891.22 904.04 865.47 920.96
3,581.70
’23 866.11 866.17 830.21 877.01
3,439.50
’22 793.71 832.64 784.00 892.80
3,303.16
’21 627.42 768.96 754.47 776.69
2,927.54
’20 615.11 295.85 517.72 554.55
1,983.23
in millions of $

Operating Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 96.72 92.21 — —
—
’25 78.92 56.84 90.61 74.91
301.28
’24 66.75 27.70 79.88 94.00
268.33
’23 65.04 36.48 49.03 67.86
218.40
’22 33.51 54.01 11.38 63.03
161.93
’21 21.64 108.80 (11.28) 93.85
213.01
’20 (32.98) (2.70) 2.95 35.64
2.91
in millions of $

Free Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 53.03 49.00 — —
—
’25 35.57 15.30 53.56 49.60
154.02
’24 29.41 (1.94) 25.51 53.93
106.91
’23 26.89 11.57 11.59 15.12
65.18
’22 4.28 36.57 (20.50) 28.43
48.78
’21 13.94 85.29 (29.70) 75.94
145.46
’20 (48.88) (16.45) (6.04) 23.37
(48.01)
in millions of $

EPS

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 1.02 1.41 — —
—
’25 0.67 1.14 0.66 0.60
3.06
’24 0.68 1.08 0.61 0.83
3.20
’23 0.56 0.87 0.37 0.26
2.07
’22 0.45 0.50 (0.05) (0.07)
0.86
’21 (0.03) 0.37 0.64 0.04
1.01
’20 (0.09) (1.61) (0.76) (0.85)
(6.32)

Target Price Range

High
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡‡
Average
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡
Low
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡

Recommendation Rating

2.7
1
Buy
2
3
Hold
4
5
Sell
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 26.05 28.58 31.24 42.69 — — —
Low Price
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 44.65 41.28 52.10 69.70 — — —
High Price
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 47,500 47,900 47,900 48,400 — — —
Employees
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 — — —
Revenue/Emp
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 3,303.16 3,439.50 3,581.70 3,751.81 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 12.07% 14.12% 15.41% 16.31% — — —
Gross Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 32.89 100.01 171.05 162.90 ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
EBT
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1.00% 2.91% 4.78% 4.34% ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
EBT Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 43.12 101.35 156.78 148.43 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Net Income
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 92.38 93.14 101.45 109.03 — — —
Depreciation
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 66.31 71.18 74.95 80.19 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue/Sh
‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ 0.87 2.10 3.28 3.17 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 3.25 4.52 5.61 6.44 ‡‡‡‡ — —
Cash Flow/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (2.27) (3.17) (3.38) (3.15) ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Capex/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.98 1.35 2.24 3.29 — — —
Free CF/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 5.86 6.58 9.28 9.33 ‡‡‡‡ — —
Book Value/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 49.82 48.32 47.79 46.79 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Shares
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 38.06 16.36 14.42 15.92 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
PE Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.49 0.48 0.63 0.63 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PS Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 5.52 5.22 5.11 5.41 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PB Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.64 0.64 0.78 0.74 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
EV/Sales
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 43.13 34.03 25.99 18.02 — — —
EV/FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 161.93 218.40 268.33 301.28 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Op' Cash Flow
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (113.14) (153.22) (161.42) (147.26) ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ —
Capex
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 48.78 65.18 106.91 154.02 ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (310.91) (359.87) (378.11) (322.18) — — —
Working Cap'
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 607.03 470.05 452.06 630.07 — — —
Total Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 492.26 413.76 367.89 414.35 — — —
Net Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 292.00 318.06 443.46 436.43 — — —
Sh' Equity
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1.55% 3.61% 5.33% 4.71% ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
ROA
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 3.10% 9.27% 13.74% 13.76% — — —
ROIC
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 13.86% 33.23% 41.18% 33.74% ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

Analyst Commentary (Summary)

The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) has emerged as a resilient leader in casual dining, rebounding spectacularly from the 2020 pandemic lows—where revenue plunged 20% to $1.98 billion and net losses hit $253 million—to achieve $3.58 billion in 2024 revenue, a 5.5% CAGR since 2016. Pivots to off-premise sales and digital innovation drove a 48% revenue surge in 2021, with gross margins expanding from 6.6% to 15.4%, net income tripling to $157 million, EPS reaching $3.28, and ROE soaring to an elite 41.2%. Free cash flow per share doubled to $2.24, funding unit expansions while trimming net debt 25%.

A fortress balance sheet, with shareholders’ equity up 52% to $443 million and operating cash flow at $268 million, supports aggressive growth, including 40+ new openings in high-margin concepts like North Italia and Flower Child. Analysts forecast revenue climbing to $4.17 billion by 2027 (6% YoY growth) and EPS to $4.46 (36% total rise), with forward P/E tightening to 13x and EV/FCF at 26x—attractive versus peers amid decade-low valuations.

Insider profit-taking amid stock highs signals confidence, not distress, as digital sales hit 15%+ of mix and productivity metrics like revenue per employee surge 55%. While capex risks loom if spending softens, CAKE’s innovation edge and margin tailwinds position it for 20%+ annualized returns, making it a compelling bet in a recovering experiential dining landscape.

Read full commentary →

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

2 Sep

4 , 10:32 AM
CAKE has expanded restaurant margins to the highest level in a decade, pointing to further potential upside in performance. Decade-high margins improve CAKE profitability and signal stronger operational results likely to lift future performance.

31 Aug

3 , 2:52 PM
CAKE stock nearly doubled this summer and is positioned to extend its rally. Stock rally signals moderate positive shift in CAKE market trajectory.

30 Aug

3 , 2:20 PM
Cheesecake Factory posted a Q2 earnings beat with margin upside, prompting positive investor reactions and potential short-term stock gains. Quarterly earnings beat and margin gains typically produce moderate short-term effects on financial sentiment without altering long-term trajectory.

21 Aug

3 , 10:09 AM
BJRI is gaining customer traffic, with questions on whether menu innovation can sustain the momentum amid competition from chains like CAKE. BJRI traffic gains signal competitive pressure that could moderately affect CAKE positioning and sentiment.

3 , 7:00 AM
The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) is named Bull of the Day, marking it as a top stock pick with bullish analyst coverage expected to lift investor sentiment and shares. Bull of the Day label typically generates short-term positive sentiment and trading interest without altering long-term fundamentals.

16 Aug

3 , 1:08 PM
Cheesecake Factory’s momentum status may hint at a deeper shift in its earnings power. Momentum analysis raises possibility of changes to core earnings trajectory.

3 www.fool.com, 4:25 AM
The Cheesecake Factory has achieved notable success through effective strategies that competing restaurant chains can learn from to enhance their own performance. Positive focus on Cheesecake Factory achievements can moderately lift market sentiment and reinforce its competitive standing.

13 Aug

3 www.fastcompany.com, 5:30 PM
Cheesecake Factory stock ranks among top food performers after sales recovery and cost controls lifted results. Stock momentum can lift near-term sentiment and trading volume without altering core operations.

3 , 6:00 AM
Cheesecake Factory outperforms Chipotle in restaurant sector rotation unseen in a decade. Outperformance versus Chipotle may lift short-term sentiment but leaves core operations and trajectory unchanged.

3 Aug

3 , 12:45 PM
Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) is positioned as a solid growth stock based on three supporting reasons. Positive growth assessment can moderately lift near-term investor sentiment for CAKE.

31 Jul

3 , 12:20 PM
Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) shows positioning for a potential surge based on operational and market factors. Bullish positioning signals moderate effects on CAKE performance and sentiment without confirmed major shifts.

3 , 12:20 PM
CAKE positioned for potential surge due to favorable market conditions and operational strengths. Bullish positioning analysis implies moderate influence on stock trajectory and sentiment.

30 Jul

4 stocktwits.com, 2:07 AM
Cheesecake Factory posts first $1B quarterly revenue. CAKE stock targets best month in five years as shares hit $100, spurring retail investor enthusiasm. First $1B quarter signals major revenue growth that strengthens financial position and lifts stock trajectory.

3 , 11:30 AM
Cheesecake Factory identifies multiple growth drivers for 2026 including expansion plans, operational improvements and market opportunities expected to support revenue and earnings. Outlined growth drivers point to moderate effects on financial performance and positioning without indicating transformative shifts.

29 Jul

4 www.nrn.com, 11:50 AM
Cheesecake Factory quarterly revenues exceed $1B for the first time. Quarterly revenues topping $1B for the first time marks a major growth milestone likely to boost investor sentiment and stock performance.

4 www.fsrmagazine.com, 8:36 AM
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated reports accelerating sales growth as its operational flywheel gains momentum and drives stronger performance. Accelerating sales growth signals major operational gains that can lift revenue trajectory and investor outlook for The Cheesecake Factory.

4 transcript , 1:00 AM
The Cheesecake Factory achieved record revenue in Q2 2026. Record Q2 2026 revenue signals stronger financial performance and positive market momentum.

3 www.fool.com, 3:12 PM
Cheesecake Factory stock rose after the company posted better-than-expected same-store sales and revenue growth, lifting investor sentiment on improved consumer traffic and pricing power. Sales beat and revenue growth can support near-term margins and sentiment but are unlikely to reshape long-term competitive position.

28 Jul

3 transcript www.marketbeat.com, 7:04 PM
Cheesecake Factory Q2 earnings call covered financial results, operational performance, and forward outlook for the company. Q2 earnings updates typically affect short-term sentiment and specific metrics without fundamentally shifting long-term trajectory.

3 , 6:00 PM
Cheesecake Factory reported Q2 earnings and revenues that beat estimates. Quarterly earnings beat offers moderate positive signal for near-term stock sentiment but does not shift core operations or long-term outlook.

3 , 5:14 PM
The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) reported sales exceeding analyst expectations for Q2 CY2026. Better-than-expected quarterly sales can lift short-term investor sentiment and share price without altering long-term company trajectory.

3 , 4:15 PM
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) reported its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2026. Quarterly results deliver updated financial metrics that can shift near-term investor views and stock price.

27 Jul

3 , 12:53 AM
The Cheesecake Factory prepares to report Q2 earnings with focus on expected revenue, EPS, and comparable sales trends amid post-pandemic dining recovery. Q2 earnings expectations can sway short-term investor sentiment on sales recovery and margins.

10 Jul

3 stocktwits.com, 1:01 PM
CAKE stock reaches record high as Citi cites rewards program and app momentum restoring positive traffic. Rewards program and app momentum signal potential traffic recovery with moderate effect on performance.

14 Jun

4 , 6:10 AM
Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) shares rose 13.8% after Q1 earnings beat and JPMorgan upgrade, with discussion of future outlook. Q1 earnings beat and JPMorgan upgrade triggered 13.8% CAKE stock surge indicating significant near-term impact.

19 May

3 Zacks, 9:45 AM
Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) exhibits strong growth potential through expanding locations, rising same-store sales, and margin improvements that position it favorably for future performance. Growth stock analysis can moderately lift investor sentiment and share price without major operational changes.

10 May

4 Simply Wall St., 5:17 PM
Cheesecake Factory's expansion plans test its growth narrative and ability to balance capital returns amid operational and financial pressures. Expansion challenges growth sustainability and capital allocation, likely shifting strategic trajectory and investor sentiment.

30 Apr

4 app.moby.co, 8:30 AM
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated released its Q1 2026 earnings call summary, detailing quarterly financial performance, operational updates, and future outlook. Quarterly earnings summaries reveal financial results and guidance that significantly impact stock price and investor perceptions.

4 GuruFocus.com, 3:17 AM
The Cheesecake Factory Inc (CAKE) delivered record revenue in Q1 2026 earnings call, alongside key operational highlights signaling strong financial performance. Record Q1 2026 revenue reflects significant financial strength, poised to boost investor sentiment and future market performance.

29 Apr

4 www.marketbeat.com, 7:23 PM
Cheesecake Factory reported Q1 revenue of $3.05 billion, up 7% year-over-year, with net income of $36.5 million or $0.73 per diluted share. Comparable sales rose 2.5% at Cheesecake Factory and 1.9% at North Italia. Guest traffic increased 1.7%. Management raised full-year EPS guidance to $3.00-$3.50, plans 25-30 new restaurants, and highlighted menu innovation and cost controls amid inflationary pressures. Q1 earnings beat, raised guidance, and expansion plans indicate significant positive impact on future financial performance and investor sentiment.
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