Shake Shack, Inc.
SHAK Consumer Cyclical Restaurants
Shake Shack, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $1.4 billion, up 15.4% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 17.2%, EPS fell 9.30%, free cash flow fell 102.7% and total debt was flat, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Revenue growth for five consecutive years, operating cash flow growth for five; insiders bought in the last twelve months.
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Shake Shack, Inc. (SHAK) Altman Z-score
Shake Shack, Inc.'s Altman Z-score for fiscal 2025 is 2.50, in the grey zone (1.81–2.99).
Altman Z-score, annual
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Annual newest first
| Period | Altman Z-score | Change (points) |
|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2.50 | (0.97) |
| FY2024 | 3.47 | 1.10 |
| FY2023 | 2.37 | 0.78 |
| FY2022 | 1.60 | (0.77) |
| FY2021 | 2.37 | (0.73) |
| FY2020 | 3.10 | 0.60 |
| FY2019 | 2.50 | (0.86) |
| FY2018 | 3.36 | (0.56) |
| FY2017 | 3.92 | 1.63 |
| FY2016 | 2.29 | 0.09 |
How fiscal 2025’s score is made up
| Component | This year | Year before | Result | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Working capital / total assets | 0.10 | — | 0.12 | |
| Retained earnings / total assets | 0.04 | — | 0.05 | |
| EBIT / total assets | 0.03 | — | 0.11 | |
| Market value of equity / total liabilities | 2.43 | — | 1.46 | |
| Sales / total assets | 0.76 | — | 0.76 | |
| Altman Z-score | Grey zone | 2.50 | ||
| Z″ Variant for non-manufacturing and asset-light companies (drops the sales/assets term, uses book equity) | Grey zone | 1.42 | ||
How the Altman Z-score works
Z = 1.2 × working capital ÷ total assets + 1.4 × retained earnings ÷ total assets + 3.3 × EBIT ÷ total assets + 0.6 × market value of equity ÷ total liabilities + 1.0 × revenue ÷ total assets (Altman, 1968). The market value of equity is the close on the last trading day of the fiscal year times weighted basic shares.
Z″ = 6.56 × working capital ÷ total assets + 3.26 × retained earnings ÷ total assets + 6.72 × EBIT ÷ total assets + 1.05 × book equity ÷ total liabilities (Altman, Hartzell and Peck, 1995), the variant for non-manufacturing and asset-light companies.
| Zone | Z | Z″ |
|---|---|---|
| Safe zone | above 2.99 | above 2.60 |
| Grey zone | 1.81–2.99 | 1.10–2.60 |
| Distress zone | below 1.81 | below 1.10 |
Not worked out for banks, insurers and REITs, whose balance sheets the model does not describe, nor when a figure is missing or there is no share price in the week to the fiscal year end.
Altman Z-score against peers
| Company | Altman Z-score |
|---|---|
| CAVA CAVA Group, Inc. compare | 8.0× |
| CHA Chagee Holdings Limited - Sponsored ADR compare | 4.7× |
| WING Wingstop Inc. compare | 3.5× |
| BJRI BJ's Restaurants, Inc. compare | 2.6× |
| SHAK Shake Shack, Inc. | 2.5× |
| CAKE The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated compare | 2.3× |
| CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. compare | 2.3× |
| ARCO Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. compare | 2.1× |
| BH Biglari Holdings Inc. compare | 1.7× |
What Altman Z-score is
The Altman Z-Score weighs working capital, retained earnings, operating profit, market value and sales against assets and debts to gauge the risk of distress.
1.2 × working capital ÷ total assets + 1.4 × retained earnings ÷ total assets + 3.3 × EBIT ÷ total assets + 0.6 × market value of equity ÷ total liabilities + 1.0 × revenue ÷ total assets