Saturday 17 October 2026
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Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.
NGVC Consumer Defensive Grocery Stores
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended September 2025) was $1.3 billion, up 7.19% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 1.84%, EPS fell 5.88%, free cash flow grew 130.2% and total debt was flat, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Revenue growth for ten consecutive years.
30.61
0.01
+0.03%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to September
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Trend | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Price, $ | Low | 10.46 | 4.79 | 6.18 | 8.19 | 5.41 | 9.88 | 8.88 | 8.00 | 14.31 | 24.00 |
Analyst estimates 2026–2028 Powerpack |
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| High | 22.43 | 13.79 | 24.50 | 16.40 | 17.39 | 18.75 | 24.25 | 17.49 | 47.57 | 61.22 | |||||
| People | |||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | 3,074 | 3,270 | 3,598 | 3,681 | 4,272 | 4,192 | 4,173 | 4,173 | 4,145 | 4,250 | ||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.27 | 0.30 | 0.31 | |||||
| Income, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 705 | 769 | 849 | 904 | 1,037 | 1,056 | 1,090 | 1,141 | 1,242 | 1,331 | ||||
| Gross margin, % | 28.60 | 27.61 | 26.57 | 26.42 | 27.31 | 27.68 | 27.98 | 28.66 | 29.38 | 29.90 | |||||
| EBT | 17 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 26 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 43 | 59 | |||||
| EBT margin, % | 2.46 | 1.34 | 1.24 | 1.31 | 2.48 | 2.47 | 2.55 | 2.49 | 3.45 | 4.43 | |||||
| Net income | 11 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 23 | 34 | 46 | |||||
| Depreciation | 26 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 31 | 32 | |||||
| Per share, $ | |||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 31.37 | 34.25 | 37.97 | 40.29 | 46.08 | 46.72 | 48.07 | 50.19 | 54.52 | 58.02 | ||||
| Earnings | 0.51 | 0.31 | 0.57 | 0.42 | 0.89 | 0.91 | 0.94 | 1.02 | 1.49 | 2.02 | |||||
| Cash flow | 1.28 | 1.82 | 1.92 | 1.67 | 2.96 | 2.38 | 1.75 | 2.84 | 3.24 | 2.41 | |||||
| Capex | (2.39) | (1.71) | (1.06) | (1.42) | (1.31) | (1.25) | (1.39) | (1.67) | (1.70) | (1.36) | |||||
| Free cash flow | (1.11) | 0.10 | 0.86 | 0.24 | 1.64 | 1.14 | 0.36 | 1.17 | 1.54 | 1.05 | |||||
| Book value | 5.63 | 5.96 | 6.56 | 7.00 | 7.69 | 6.32 | 6.87 | 7.52 | 7.65 | 9.26 | |||||
| Shares, m | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | |||||
| Valuation, × | |||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 21.46 | 17.74 | 28.40 | 23.79 | 11.08 | 12.33 | 11.48 | 12.76 | 19.93 | 19.80 | ||||
| P/S | 0.36 | 0.16 | 0.43 | 0.25 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.26 | 0.54 | 0.69 | |||||
| P/B | 1.98 | 0.92 | 2.47 | 1.43 | 1.28 | 1.78 | 1.57 | 1.73 | 3.88 | 4.32 | |||||
| EV/Sales | 0.44 | 0.24 | 0.48 | 0.31 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.29 | 0.57 | 0.71 | |||||
| EV/FCF | (12.40) | 74.25 | 21.34 | 50.69 | 7.25 | 11.41 | 35.42 | 12.49 | 20.28 | 39.46 | |||||
| Cash, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | 29 | 41 | 43 | 37 | 67 | 54 | 40 | 65 | 74 | 55 | ||||
| Capex | (54) | (38) | (24) | (32) | (30) | (28) | (31) | (38) | (39) | (31) | |||||
| Free cash flow | (25) | 2 | 19 | 5 | 37 | 26 | 8 | 27 | 35 | 24 | |||||
| Balance, $m | |||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | 31 | 37 | 31 | 32 | 14 | 2 | 3 | (1) | (17) | 9 | ||||
| Total debt | 59 | 62 | 54 | 58 | 74 | 63 | 60 | 55 | 43 | 46 | |||||
| Net debt | 55 | 55 | 45 | 52 | 46 | 39 | 48 | 36 | 34 | 29 | |||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 127 | 134 | 147 | 157 | 173 | 143 | 156 | 171 | 174 | 212 | |||||
| Returns, % | |||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 4.44 | 2.37 | 4.17 | 2.97 | 3.97 | 3.08 | 3.24 | 3.49 | 5.12 | 7.01 | ||||
| ROIC | 7.00 | 4.66 | 4.91 | 5.02 | 7.92 | 9.72 | 9.23 | 9.55 | 14.08 | 16.08 | |||||
| ROE | 9.47 | 5.29 | 9.02 | 6.20 | 12.13 | 13.03 | 14.31 | 14.23 | 19.67 | 24.02 | |||||
Negative figures in brackets.
Fiscal years to Sep 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026
Charts ten years each
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. vs peers in Grocery Stores (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFM Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. | $6.2B | 12.4× | 14.9× | +4.74% (above 0%: growing) | 0.00% | −10.82% (below 0%: shrinking) | 38.72% | 7.49% | Compare |
| WMK Weis Markets, Inc. | $1.9B | 18.7× | 16.0× | +4.64% (above 0%: growing) | −8.91% (below 0%: shrinking) | +16,012.87% (above 0%: growing) | 25.75% | 2.28% | Compare |
| IMKTA Ingles Markets, Incorporated | $1.6B | 15.4× | — (loss-making) | +1.64% (above 0%: growing) | −1.42% (below 0%: shrinking) | −4.33% (below 0%: shrinking) | 24.30% | 2.52% | Compare |
| GO Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. | $1.3B | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | +1.10% (above 0%: growing) | +20.00% (above 0%: growing) | −95.75% (below 0%: shrinking) | 30.24% | 1.32% | Compare |
| ASAIY Sendas Distribuidora S.A. Sponsored ADR | $1.3B | 17.9× | 9.6× | +13.15% (above 0%: growing) | +157.14% (above 0%: growing) | +90.96% (above 0%: growing) | 19.21% | 7.24% | Compare |
| NGVC Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. | $705.2M | 14.9× | 14.2× | +1.84% (above 0%: growing) | −5.88% (below 0%: shrinking) | +130.15% (above 0%: growing) | 29.28% | 4.48% | |
| VLGEA Village Super Market, Inc. | $592.1M | 11.3× | 12.3× | +1.65% (above 0%: growing) | −20.17% (below 0%: shrinking) | −11.05% (below 0%: shrinking) | 28.24% | 2.85% | Compare |
| DNUT Krispy Kreme, Inc. | $537.8M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | −12.84% (below 0%: shrinking) | n/m | +71.54% (above 0%: growing) | 74.01% | (3.32%) | Compare |
| DDL Dingdong (Cayman) Limited Sponsored ADR | $390.1M | 5.7× | 10.6× | −98.71% (below 0%: shrinking) | +200.00% (above 0%: growing) | −81.43% (below 0%: shrinking) | 15.27% | (96.20%) | Compare |
| Median of peers | $1.3B | 13.9× | 12.3× | +1.65% | 0.00% | −7.57% | 27.00% | 2.40% |
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) key facts
- Strength: Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended September 2025) was $1.3 billion, up 7.19% from fiscal 2024.
- Strength: Net income was $46.4 million, or $2.02 per share (basic), a net margin of 3.49%.
- Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) is a Grocery Stores company in the Consumer Defensive sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
- As of October 16, 2026, NGVC traded at $30.61, a market capitalization of $705.2 million.
- At that price the stock trades at 14.9× trailing-twelve-month earnings and 0.5× sales; its P/E is higher than 28% of its own readings over the past ten years.
- Return on equity was 24.0% and debt-to-equity 0.18.
- Its Piotroski F-score is 7 out of 9 and its Altman Z-score is 3.82 (safe zone) for fiscal 2025.