Saturday 31 October 2026
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Meritage Homes Corporation
MTH Consumer Cyclical Residential Construction
Meritage Homes Corporation’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $5.9 billion, down 8.40% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue fell 13.8%, EPS fell 33.0%, free cash flow grew 2,517.0% and total debt rose 1.07%, each against the same quarter a year earlier. Dividend growth for three consecutive years.
64.47
0.02
−0.03%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Ten-year view | Analyst estimates Powerpack | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Trend | 10 yrs | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e | Next 3/yr |
| Price, $ | |||||||||||||||||
| Price, $ | Low | 12.74 | 16.70 | 16.01 | 18.02 | 12.62 | 39.00 | 31.26 | 46.15 | 73.89 | 59.27 | +18.6% | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | |
| High | 20.61 | 27.75 | 27.45 | 38.42 | 58.53 | 62.51 | 61.65 | 89.41 | 106.99 | 84.74 | +17.0% | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ||
| People | |||||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | 1,485 | 1,605 | 1,615 | 1,510 | 1,570 | 1,773 | 995 | 910 | 1,898 | 1,860 | +2.5% | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | |
| Revenue/emp, $m | 2.05 | 2.02 | 2.18 | 2.43 | 2.87 | 2.90 | 6.32 | 6.75 | 3.37 | 3.15 | +4.9% | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ||
| Income, $m | |||||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 3,042 | 3,241 | 3,529 | 3,667 | 4,501 | 5,141 | 6,292 | 6,138 | 6,395 | 5,858 | +7.6% | 4,948 | 5,344 | 5,762 | (0.5%) | |
| Gross margin, % | 17.88 | 17.92 | 18.26 | 18.98 | 21.74 | 27.98 | 28.74 | 24.96 | 25.25 | 19.99 | +2.1 pt | ||||||
| EBT | 218 | 248 | 283 | 303 | 534 | 955 | 1,289 | 949 | 1,003 | 585 | +11.6% | ||||||
| EBT margin, % | 7.17 | 7.64 | 8.03 | 8.26 | 11.85 | 18.57 | 20.49 | 15.47 | 15.68 | 9.98 | +2.8 pt | ||||||
| Net income | 150 | 143 | 227 | 250 | 423 | 737 | 992 | 739 | 786 | 453 | +13.1% | ||||||
| Depreciation | 16 | 17 | 27 | 28 | 31 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | +5.2% | ||||||
| Per share, $ | |||||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 38.04 | 40.22 | 43.99 | 48.12 | 59.67 | 68.35 | 85.74 | 83.81 | 88.24 | 82.71 | +9.0% | |||||
| Earnings | 1.87 | 1.78 | 2.84 | 3.28 | 5.62 | 9.81 | 13.52 | 10.09 | 10.85 | 6.40 | +14.6% | ||||||
| Cash flow | (1.29) | (1.08) | 3.27 | 4.55 | 7.03 | (2.02) | 5.52 | 4.86 | (3.14) | 1.67 | n/m | ||||||
| Capex | (0.21) | (0.22) | (0.42) | (0.31) | (0.25) | (0.33) | (0.36) | (0.52) | (0.39) | (0.36) | +6.4% | ||||||
| Free cash flow | (1.50) | (1.30) | 2.85 | 4.24 | 6.78 | (2.36) | 5.16 | 4.34 | (3.53) | 1.31 | n/m | ||||||
| Book value | 17.78 | 19.57 | 21.45 | 25.91 | 31.12 | 40.47 | 53.82 | 62.97 | 70.94 | 73.37 | +17.1% | ||||||
| Shares, m | 80 | 81 | 80 | 76 | 75 | 75 | 73 | 73 | 72 | 71 | (1.3%) | ||||||
| Valuation, × | |||||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 9.48 | 14.75 | 6.48 | 9.37 | 7.37 | 6.22 | 3.45 | 8.46 | 7.09 | 10.31 | 8.3 | |||||
| P/S | 0.47 | 0.65 | 0.42 | 0.64 | 0.69 | 0.89 | 0.54 | 1.02 | 0.87 | 0.80 | 0.7 | ||||||
| P/B | 1.00 | 1.34 | 0.86 | 1.18 | 1.33 | 1.51 | 0.87 | 1.36 | 1.08 | 0.90 | 1.1 | ||||||
| EV/Sales | 0.79 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.76 | 1.00 | 0.59 | 1.03 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 0.9 | ||||||
| EV/FCF | (20.13) | (30.78) | 10.80 | 9.38 | 6.65 | (28.96) | 9.80 | 19.95 | (24.45) | 61.56 | 1.4 | ||||||
| Cash, $m | |||||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | (103) | (87) | 262 | 347 | 530 | (152) | 405 | 356 | (228) | 118 | n/m | |||||
| Capex | (16) | (18) | (33) | (24) | (19) | (25) | (26) | (38) | (28) | (25) | +5.0% | ||||||
| Free cash flow | (120) | (105) | 229 | 323 | 511 | (177) | 379 | 318 | (256) | 93 | n/m | ||||||
| Balance, $m | |||||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | (52) | (46) | 105 | 54 | 407 | 261 | 481 | 567 | 415 | 659 | n/m | |||||
| Total debt | 1,127 | 1,284 | 1,310 | 1,019 | 1,020 | 1,160 | 1,151 | 1,008 | 1,336 | 1,829 | +5.5% | ||||||
| Net debt | 996 | 1,113 | 999 | 700 | 274 | 542 | 289 | 87 | 684 | 1,054 | +0.6% | ||||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 1,421 | 1,577 | 1,721 | 1,974 | 2,348 | 3,044 | 3,950 | 4,612 | 5,142 | 5,196 | +15.5% | ||||||
| Returns, % | |||||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 5.37 | 4.67 | 6.87 | 7.38 | 11.66 | 17.01 | 18.76 | 12.19 | 11.63 | 6.13 | +0.8 pt | |||||
| ROIC | 5.54 | 5.64 | 6.27 | 7.19 | 12.61 | 16.88 | 18.97 | 12.00 | 10.28 | 5.40 | (0.1) pt | ||||||
| ROE | 11.16 | 9.56 | 13.79 | 13.51 | 19.60 | 27.35 | 28.37 | 17.26 | 16.12 | 8.76 | (2.4) pt | ||||||
Negative figures in brackets.
estimates
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026 · fundamentals updated 26 Oct 2026
Meritage Homes Corporation vs peers in Residential Construction (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVR NVR, Inc. | $16.0B | 14.7× | 17.6× | −10.48% (below 0%: shrinking) | −23.46% (below 0%: shrinking) | −682.68% (below 0%: shrinking) | 20.85% | 14.17% | Compare |
| TOL Toll Brothers Inc. | $13.3B | 11.7× | 11.5× | −9.72% (below 0%: shrinking) | −20.74% (below 0%: shrinking) | −36.31% (below 0%: shrinking) | 23.52% | 13.51% | Compare |
| IBP Installed Building Products, Inc. | $5.6B | 22.9× | 24.3× | +2.30% (above 0%: growing) | −3.56% (below 0%: shrinking) | −30.95% (below 0%: shrinking) | 33.29% | 12.16% | Compare |
| SKY Champion Homes, Inc. | $4.4B | 24.8× | 24.4× | +1.27% (above 0%: growing) | −21.24% (below 0%: shrinking) | −4.47% (below 0%: shrinking) | 25.24% | 8.49% | Compare |
| CVCO Cavco Industries, Inc. | $4.2B | 26.8× | 27.5× | +9.54% (above 0%: growing) | −15.56% (below 0%: shrinking) | +5.65% (above 0%: growing) | 22.07% | 8.65% | Compare |
| MTH Meritage Homes Corporation | $4.2B | 13.4× | 14.9× | −13.77% (below 0%: shrinking) | −33.01% (below 0%: shrinking) | +2,516.98% (above 0%: growing) | 18.60% | 8.19% | |
| MHO M/I Homes, Inc. | $3.2B | 10.6× | 12.0× | −8.54% (below 0%: shrinking) | −31.86% (below 0%: shrinking) | −11.50% (below 0%: shrinking) | 22.15% | 9.53% | Compare |
| KBH KB Home | $2.9B | 13.2× | 14.9× | −19.96% (below 0%: shrinking) | −35.34% (below 0%: shrinking) | −178.04% (below 0%: shrinking) | 5.54% | 5.54% | Compare |
| GRBK Green Brick Partners, Inc. | $2.7B | 9.2× | 10.6× | −8.70% (below 0%: shrinking) | −8.06% (below 0%: shrinking) | −113.25% (below 0%: shrinking) | 31.90% | 19.54% | Compare |
| Median of peers | $4.3B | 14.0× | 16.3× | −8.62% | −20.99% | −33.63% | 22.84% | 10.84% |
Pay and ownership Proxy statement filed 7 April 2026
Chief executive’s pay
| Year | Total pay | Actually paid | $100 invested |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8.11m | 4.22m | 163.05 |
| 2024 | 11.97m | 10.22m | 256.62 |
| 2023 | 10.84m | 21.89m | 286.83 |
| 2022 | 8.02m | 5.12m | 150.88 |
| 2021 | 7.92m | 13.52m | 199.74 |
Ownership
Directors and executive officers, together
2.50%
BlackRock, Inc.
16.30%
The Vanguard Group
12.40%
FMR LLC
5.70%
State Street Corporation
5.60%
Total pay is as the Summary Compensation Table states it; actually paid revalues the year’s share awards
at its end, as the SEC’s pay-versus-performance rule asks. $100 invested is what $100 in the company’s
shares at the start of the earliest year shown was worth at each year’s end.
Ownership is the proxy’s own table: the directors and officers as a group, and every holder of 5% or more.
Read the proxy statement