| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Sell | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 0.92 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 0.92 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 0.88 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 1.03 |
—
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 0.76 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2021 | 0.68 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2020 | 0.60 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2019 | 0.60 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2018 | 0.73 |
—
—
—
|
| 2017 | 2.32 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2016 | 2.12 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 267.00 | 590.00 | 1,044.00 | 1,553.00 |
| Receivables | 1,368.00 | 1,502.00 | 1,671.00 | 2,423.00 |
| Inventory | 1,142.00 | 1,299.00 | 1,733.00 | 3,857.00 |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| 3,375.00 | 3,997.00 | 5,266.00 | 9,461.00 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 3,597.00 | 2,985.00 | 2,996.00 | 6,293.00 |
| ST’ Debt | 3,246.00 | 2,642.00 | — | 8,394.00 |
| Other | 714.00 | 835.00 | 785.00 | 1,604.00 |
| 8,916.00 | 8,087.00 | 8,290.00 | 19,739.00 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 3,976.00 | 7,309.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 3,635.00 | 4,163.00 | 4,306.00 | 4,499.00 |
16,603.00
|
| ’24 | 3,468.00 | 3,922.00 | 3,891.00 | 4,070.00 |
15,351.00
|
| ’23 | 3,353.00 | 3,789.00 | 3,805.00 | 3,867.00 |
14,814.00
|
| ’22 | 3,078.00 | 3,554.00 | 3,622.00 | 3,803.00 |
14,057.00
|
| ’21 | 2,902.00 | 3,140.00 | 3,250.00 | 3,391.00 |
12,683.00
|
| ’20 | 2,613.00 | 2,864.00 | 3,020.00 | 3,121.00 |
11,618.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 281.00 | 895.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 209.00 | 431.00 | 639.00 | 712.00 |
1,991.00
|
| ’24 | 85.00 | 657.00 | 628.00 | 849.00 |
2,219.00
|
| ’23 | 71.00 | 381.00 | 580.00 | 297.00 |
1,329.00
|
| ’22 | 663.00 | 676.00 | 759.00 | 739.00 |
2,837.00
|
| ’21 | 546.00 | 593.00 | 794.00 | 941.00 |
2,874.00
|
| ’20 | 414.00 | 648.00 | 604.00 | 790.00 |
2,456.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 182.00 | 712.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 88.00 | 323.00 | 528.00 | 563.00 |
1,502.00
|
| ’24 | (104.00) | 525.00 | 503.00 | 677.00 |
1,601.00
|
| ’23 | (35.00) | 291.00 | 459.00 | 142.00 |
857.00
|
| ’22 | 622.00 | 599.00 | 677.00 | 728.00 |
2,626.00
|
| ’21 | 446.00 | 492.00 | 657.00 | 946.00 |
2,541.00
|
| ’20 | 449.00 | 524.00 | 514.00 | 655.00 |
2,142.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 0.20 | 0.04 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.49 | 0.26 |
1.53
|
| ’24 | 0.33 | 0.38 | 0.45 | (0.11) |
1.05
|
| ’23 | 0.33 | 0.36 | 0.37 | 0.49 |
1.55
|
| ’22 | 0.41 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.32 |
1.01
|
| ’21 | 0.23 | 0.31 | 0.37 | 0.59 |
1.50
|
| ’20 | 0.11 | 0.21 | 0.31 | 0.30 |
0.93
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 33.35 | 27.66 | 28.62 | 25.03 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 41.31 | 36.56 | 38.28 | 36.12 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 28,000 | 21,700 | 29,400 | 30,600 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.50 | 0.68 | 0.52 | 0.54 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 14,057.00 | 14,814.00 | 15,351.00 | 16,603.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 52.10% | 54.54% | 55.56% | 54.20% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,719.00 | 2,757.00 | 1,914.00 | 2,687.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
EBT
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12.23% | 18.61% | 12.47% | 16.18% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,436.00 | 2,181.00 | 1,441.00 | 2,079.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 709.00 | 720.00 | 1,039.00 | 753.00 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9.92 | 10.59 | 11.27 | 12.23 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 1.01 | 1.56 | 1.06 | 1.53 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.00 | 0.95 | 1.63 | 1.47 | ‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.15) | (0.34) | (0.45) | (0.36) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.85 | 0.61 | 1.18 | 1.11 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 17.73 | 18.35 | 17.80 | 18.79 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1,416.80 | 1,399.30 | 1,362.20 | 1,358.10 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 35.20 | 21.39 | 30.59 | 18.31 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.58 | 3.15 | 2.85 | 2.29 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.00 | 1.82 | 1.80 | 1.49 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.42 | 4.02 | 3.83 | 3.17 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 23.66 | 69.57 | 36.68 | 35.07 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,837.00 | 1,329.00 | 2,219.00 | 1,991.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (211.00) | (472.00) | (618.00) | (489.00) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Capex
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2,626.00 | 857.00 | 1,601.00 | 1,502.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (4,272.00) | (5,541.00) | (4,090.00) | (3,024.00) | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 12,299.00 | 13,191.00 | 15,554.00 | 13,036.00 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11,764.00 | 12,924.00 | 14,964.00 | 11,992.00 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 25,125.00 | 25,676.00 | 24,243.00 | 25,516.00 | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 2.80% | 4.20% | 2.73% | 3.82% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROA
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.41% | 5.17% | 4.13% | 5.96% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.73% | 8.59% | 5.77% | 8.36% | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
ROE
|
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) boasts impressive revenue growth—138% from $6.44 billion in 2016 to $15.35 billion in 2024, at 13% CAGR—fueled by the 2018 $19 billion merger and bolt-ons, yet shadows loom: revenue per employee plunged 24% to $522k in 2024 amid a 47% headcount surge, signaling inefficiencies. Profitability is erratic, with EBT margins halving from 22.1% in 2021 to 12.5% in 2024, EPS dropping 30% to $1.06, and FCF per share recovering modestly to $1.18 after a 67% crash. Gross margins hold steady at 52-56%, but ROE averages a lackluster 6% versus peers like Coca-Cola’s 40%.
The balance sheet raises alarms: net debt at $15 billion (97% of equity, ~5x EBITDA) in a high-rate world, ROIC at a dismal 4.1%, and insiders flooding sells (70x buys by dollar value in 2025). Stock trades near lows, with PS at 2.9x and EV/FCF at 37x—cheap historically, but decoupled from doubled revenue since 2018 amid pod sales softening and macro pressures.
Analysts project 18% upside to mean targets, EPS surging 66% to $1.76 in 2025 on margin repair and sticky brands, but contrarians flag debt squeezes, health trends eroding sodas, and insider exodus as harbingers of stalls. Far from a defensive staple, KDP’s merger glow fades—dive deeper for the full quant teardown.
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