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Warrior Met Coal

HCC Basic Materials Coking Coal

Warrior Met Coal’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $1.3 billion, down 14.1% from fiscal 2024. In the quarter to June 2026, revenue grew 71.3%, EPS grew 1,400.0%, free cash flow grew 376.3% and total debt fell 2.93%, each against the same quarter a year earlier.

93.07 3.27 +3.64%
Market cap
$4.7B
P/E
22.4×
Fwd P/E
15.4×
Dividend yield
0.34%
F-score
3/9
Altman Z
6.05
Beneish M
−2.43
Dividend safety
45/100

Insider Decisions trades per month

Total sells 26.41
Totals in millions of $.
Dec 25 Mar 26 Jun 26 Sep 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell 2 — 2 — — — — 1 — 4 — —
Insider Ownership 1.90%

Capital & Financial Ratios $m

Market Cap 4,740.00
Revenue 1,680.86
Net Income 219.33
Free Cash Flow 15.57
Net Debt (84.24)
Current Ratio 3.93 (at or above 1.5: strong)
Debt/Equity 0.10 (at or below 0.5: strong)
P/E ratio 22.37
Fwd P/E 15.40
P/S ratio 2.93
P/B ratio 2.15
Past 5Y EPS Growth —
This Y EPS Growth 506.29% (at or above 15%: strong)
Next Y EPS Growth 50.37% (at or above 15%: strong)
Next Y revenue growth 55.49% (at or above 10%: strong)
Next 5Y EPS Growth 118.51% (at or above 15%: strong)

Green and red mark values outside typical ranges. How we judge →

Valuation vs history

P/E against its own 10 years 81.32%
10-year low 10-year high
P/S against its own 10 years 92.29%
10-year low 10-year high
P/B against its own 10 years 84.63%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/Sales against its own 10 years 92.25%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/FCF against its own 10 years 98.76%
10-year low 10-year high

Dividends

Payout Ratio 0.08
Annual Dividend Rate 0.32
Annual Dividend Yield 0.34%
total individual payouts
2028 Powerpack
2027 Powerpack
2026 0.32
0.08
0.08
0.08
2025 0.32
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
2024 0.32
0.08
0.50
0.08
0.08
0.08
2023 0.28
0.07
0.88
0.07
0.07
0.07
2022 0.24
0.06
0.06
0.50
0.06
0.80
0.06
2021 0.20
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
2020 0.20
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
2019 4.62
0.05
0.05
4.42
0.05
0.05
2018 0.20
0.05
6.53
0.05
0.05
0.05
2017 0.15
0.05
0.05
0.05
11.21
predictions special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities $m

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 747 506 353 322
Receivables 110 142 182 263
Inventory 184 208 236 265
Other — — — —
1,069 887 820 918
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 36 40 66 79
ST’ Debt — — — —
Other 18 32 21 16
148 170 257 234

Compound Annual Growth %

10y 5y 3y
Sales 9.17% 10.85% (9.01%)
Cash Flow 0.00% 15.27% (35.18%)
Earnings 0.00% 0.00% (55.37%)
Book Value 0.00% 24.18% 13.94%

Revenue $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 459 510 — — —
’25 300 298 329 384 1,310
’24 504 397 328 297 1,525
’23 510 380 423 364 1,677
’22 379 625 390 345 1,739
’21 214 227 202 416 1,059
’20 227 164 180 212 783
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Operating Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (12) 132 — — —
’25 11 38 105 76 229
’24 104 147 62 54 367
’23 193 125 139 245 701
’22 70 330 247 195 842
’21 45 69 63 175 352
’20 21 32 29 30 113
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Free Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (92) 103 — — —
’25 (58) (37) 22 (18) (91)
’24 4 36 (54) (76) (90)
’23 125 (12) 32 64 209
’22 60 261 206 110 637
’21 36 55 52 151 294
’20 (2) 6 6 15 25
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

EPS $

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 1.37 1.65 — — —
’25 (0.16) 0.11 0.70 0.44 1.08
’24 2.62 1.35 0.80 0.02 4.79
’23 3.51 1.58 1.64 2.47 9.20
’22 2.83 5.74 1.90 1.93 12.40
’21 (0.42) (0.09) 0.74 2.68 2.93
’20 0.42 (0.18) (0.28) (0.66) (0.70)
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

1.7
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell

Ten years at a glance Fiscal years to December

Group Line 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Trend 2026e 2027e 2028e
Price, $
Price, $ Low — 15.10 20.88 17.63 9.46 15.07 24.72 31.04 50.60 38.00

Analyst estimates 2026–2028

Powerpack
High — 30.49 33.72 33.49 23.73 28.40 42.95 62.88 75.53 90.80
People
People Employees 1,130 1,354 1,395 1,417 1,401 704 854 1,143 1,336 1,485
Revenue/emp, $m 0.33 0.86 0.99 0.90 0.56 1.50 2.04 1.47 1.14 0.88
Income, $m
Income, $m Revenue 369 1,169 1,378 1,268 783 1,059 1,739 1,677 1,525 1,310
Gross margin, % 7.57 46.89 47.26 40.82 15.82 44.94 57.58 43.47 30.98 22.90
EBT (111) 416 471 367 (56) 200 783 551 284 54
EBT margin, % (30.20) 35.62 34.18 28.95 (7.14) 18.88 45.04 32.89 18.60 4.16
Net income (111) 455 697 302 (36) 151 641 479 251 57
Depreciation 92 79 80 91 122 147 120 134 161 192
Per share, $
Per share, $ Revenue 7.01 22.14 26.09 24.69 15.30 20.61 33.68 32.26 29.17 24.92
Earnings (2.12) 8.62 13.19 5.87 (0.70) 2.94 12.42 9.21 4.79 1.08
Cash flow (0.95) 8.23 10.59 10.37 2.20 6.84 16.31 13.49 7.03 4.36
Capex (0.32) (1.75) (1.87) (2.03) (1.71) (1.12) (3.98) (9.46) (8.74) (6.09)
Free cash flow (1.27) 6.48 8.72 8.35 0.49 5.72 12.33 4.03 (1.72) (1.73)
Book value 14.30 7.82 13.49 14.91 14.17 16.97 28.04 36.07 39.99 40.74
Shares, m 53 53 53 51 51 51 52 52 52 53
Valuation, ×
Valuation, × P/E 0.10 3.10 1.83 3.61 0.00 8.77 2.58 6.61 11.30 80.89
P/S 0.02 1.21 0.92 0.86 1.39 1.25 0.95 1.89 1.86 3.54
P/B 0.02 3.42 1.79 1.42 1.50 1.52 1.15 1.69 1.36 2.16
EV/Sales (0.03) 1.48 1.12 1.00 1.67 1.25 0.67 1.56 1.66 3.45
EV/FCF (0.42) 5.07 3.35 2.97 51.78 4.49 1.82 12.45 (28.13) (49.73)
Cash, $m
Cash, $m Operating cash flow (50) 435 559 533 113 352 842 701 367 229
Capex (17) (93) (99) (104) (87) (58) (205) (492) (457) (320)
Free cash flow (67) 342 461 429 25 294 637 209 (90) (91)
Balance, $m
Balance, $m Working capital 226 161 345 315 297 505 1,020 921 717 563
Total debt 34 376 494 395 439 403 339 189 194 243
Net debt (134) 323 271 187 218 (2) (499) (558) (312) (110)
Shareholders’ equity 753 413 713 766 725 872 1,448 1,874 2,091 2,141
Returns, %
Returns, % ROA (12.74) 46.89 58.35 22.03 (2.61) 10.56 36.73 21.83 10.13 2.12
ROIC (10.21) 35.95 32.29 25.16 (1.80) 17.50 52.81 25.71 8.96 1.41
ROE 328.42 78.05 123.80 40.82 (4.80) 18.89 55.30 28.82 12.64 2.69
Negative figures in brackets.

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026

Charts ten years each

Warrior Met Coal vs peers in Coking Coal (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier

Company Market cap P/E Fwd P/E Revenue growth (Q) EPS growth (Q) FCF growth (Q) Gross margin (Q) EBIT margin (Q) Compare
HCC Warrior Met Coal $4.7B 22.4× 15.4× +71.31% (above 0%: growing) +1,400.00% (above 0%: growing) +376.32% (above 0%: growing) 31.90% 18.54%
AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. $2.2B — (loss-making) 56.5× −10.43% (below 0%: shrinking) n/m −128.43% (below 0%: shrinking) 9.98% (2.13%) Compare
SXC SunCoke Energy, Inc. $827.5M — (loss-making) 42.2× +9.49% (above 0%: growing) +650.00% (above 0%: growing) −979.59% (below 0%: shrinking) 21.12% 6.10% Compare
METCB Ramaco Resources, Inc. $682.3M — (loss-making) — −5.33% (below 0%: shrinking) n/m +22.91% (above 0%: growing) 11.48% (12.60%) Compare
METC Ramaco Resources, Inc. $495.0M — (loss-making) — (loss-making) −5.33% (below 0%: shrinking) n/m +22.91% (above 0%: growing) 11.48% (12.60%) Compare
AREC American Resources Corporation $176.5M 2.4× — (loss-making) +84.87% (above 0%: growing) n/m −100.92% (below 0%: shrinking) (341.28%) (10,650.55%) Compare
Median of peers $682.3M — — −5.33% — −100.92% 11.48% (12.60%)

All 6 Coking Coal stocks →

Warrior Met Coal (HCC) key facts

  • Concern: Warrior Met Coal’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $1.3 billion, down 14.1% from fiscal 2024.
  • Concern: Net income was $57.0 million, or $1.08 per share (basic), a net margin of 4.35%.
  • Warrior Met Coal (HCC) is a Coking Coal company in the Basic Materials sector, listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
  • As of October 9, 2026, HCC traded at $93.07, a market capitalization of $4.7 billion.
  • At that price the stock trades at 22.4× trailing-twelve-month earnings and 2.9× sales; its P/E is higher than 81% of its own readings over the past ten years.
  • Warrior Met Coal pays an annual dividend of $0.32 per share, a yield of 0.34%, with a payout ratio of 7.69%.
  • Return on equity was 2.69% and debt-to-equity 0.10.
  • Its Piotroski F-score is 3 out of 9 and its Altman Z-score is 6.05 (safe zone) for fiscal 2025.

Source: company filings (standardised) and stockrow calculations.

Warrior Met Coal (HCC) Latest News

stockrow.com/HCC · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com