Warrior Met Coal

HCC Basic Materials Coking Coal

Warrior Met Coal’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $1.3 billion, down 14.1% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
+71.3%
EPS
+1,400.0%
Free cash flow
+376.3%
Total debt
−2.93%

Quarter to June 2026, against a year earlier

81.81 4.16 −4.84%
Market cap
$4.5B
P/E
19.7×
Fwd P/E
13.5×
Dividend yield
0.49%
F-score
3/9
Altman Z
6.05
Beneish M
−2.43
Dividend safety
45/100

Warrior Met Coal (HCC) Altman Z-score

Alert me on Altman Z-score

Warrior Met Coal's Altman Z-score for fiscal 2025 is 6.05, in the safe zone (above 2.99).

Altman Z-score, annual

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Annual newest first

Period Altman Z-score Change (points)
FY2025 6.05 0.40
FY2024 5.64 (1.21)
FY2023 6.86 1.39
FY2022 5.46 1.80
FY2021 3.66 1.40
FY2020 2.26 (1.63)
FY2019 3.89 (0.23)
FY2018 4.12 (0.15)
FY2017 4.27 —

How fiscal 2025’s score is made up

Component This year Year before Result Points
Working capital / total assets 0.20 — 0.24
Retained earnings / total assets 0.68 — 0.95
EBIT / total assets 0.02 — 0.05
Market value of equity / total liabilities 7.21 — 4.33
Sales / total assets 0.47 — 0.47
Altman Z-score Safe zone 6.05
Z″ Variant for non-manufacturing and asset-light companies (drops the sales/assets term, uses book equity) Safe zone 7.15

How the Altman Z-score works

Z = 1.2 × working capital ÷ total assets + 1.4 × retained earnings ÷ total assets + 3.3 × EBIT ÷ total assets + 0.6 × market value of equity ÷ total liabilities + 1.0 × revenue ÷ total assets (Altman, 1968). The market value of equity is the close on the last trading day of the fiscal year times weighted basic shares.

Z″ = 6.56 × working capital ÷ total assets + 3.26 × retained earnings ÷ total assets + 6.72 × EBIT ÷ total assets + 1.05 × book equity ÷ total liabilities (Altman, Hartzell and Peck, 1995), the variant for non-manufacturing and asset-light companies.

Zone Z Z″
Safe zoneabove 2.99above 2.60
Grey zone1.81–2.991.10–2.60
Distress zonebelow 1.81below 1.10

Not worked out for banks, insurers and REITs, whose balance sheets the model does not describe, nor when a figure is missing or there is no share price in the week to the fiscal year end.

Altman Z-score against peers

What Altman Z-score is

The Altman Z-Score weighs working capital, retained earnings, operating profit, market value and sales against assets and debts to gauge the risk of distress.

1.2 × working capital ÷ total assets + 1.4 × retained earnings ÷ total assets + 3.3 × EBIT ÷ total assets + 0.6 × market value of equity ÷ total liabilities + 1.0 × revenue ÷ total assets

The full definition of Altman Z-score →

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