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Warrior Met Coal

HCC Basic Materials Coking Coal

Warrior Met Coal’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $1.3 billion, down 14.1% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
+71.3%
EPS
+1,400.0%
Free cash flow
+376.3%
Total debt
−2.93%

Quarter to June 2026, against a year earlier

81.81 4.16 −4.84%
Market cap
$4.5B
P/E
20.7×
Fwd P/E
13.5×
Dividend yield
0.47%
F-score
3/9
Altman Z
6.05
Beneish M
−2.43
Dividend safety
45/100
Overview
Financials
Income Statement Balance Sheet Cash Flow Metrics & Ratios

Insider Decisions last twelve months

Sold, $m 24.82
Trades a month
Jan 26 Apr 26 Jul 26 Oct 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — 2 — — — — 1 — 4 — — —
Insider Ownership 1.90%

Capital & Financial Ratios $m

Size
Market Cap 4,540.00
Revenue ttm 1,680.86
Net income ttm 219.33
Free cash flow ttm 15.57
Net debt Q (84.24)
Valuation
P/E 20.67
Forward P/E 13.50
Price / sales 2.70
Forward P/S Powerpack
Price / FCF 291.68
Price / book 1.98
Financial health
Current ratio Q 3.93 (at or above 1.5: strong)
Debt / equity Q 0.10 (at or below 0.5: strong)
Interest coverage Q 17.10
Growth
Revenue growth Q +71.31% (above 0%: growing)
Operating income growth Q +1,123.89% (above 0%: growing)
EPS, this year +509.02% (at or above 15%: strong)
EPS, next year A +45.27% (at or above 15%: strong)
Revenue, next year A +54.19% (at or above 10%: strong)
EPS, past 5 yrs —
EPS, next 5 yrs A +113.04% (at or above 15%: strong)

Green and red mark values outside typical ranges; (Q) is the latest quarter, (A) analysts’ estimates. How we judge →

Valuation vs history

EV/Sales, ten years
EV/Sales is 2.7×, against a ten-year median of 1.4×; over the ten years it ranged from 0.6× in 2022 to 3.5× in 2026.
P/E against its own 10 years 79.69%
10-year low 10-year high
P/S against its own 10 years 89.80%
10-year low 10-year high
P/B against its own 10 years 78.61%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/Sales against its own 10 years 90.50%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/FCF against its own 10 years 97.44%
10-year low 10-year high

Dividends

Yield
0.47%
Annual rate
0.40
Payout ratio
9.62%
Growth, 2017–26
+8.78%/yr
  1. 0.15 ’17
  2. 0.20 ’18 +33%
  3. 4.62 ’19 +2208%
  4. 0.20 ’20 −96%
  5. 0.20 ’21 +0%
  6. 0.24 ’22 +20%
  7. 0.28 ’23 +17%
  8. 0.32 ’24 +14%
  9. 0.32 ’25 +0%
  10. 0.32 ’26 +0%
paid Powerpack

Assets vs Liabilities $m

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 747 506 353 322
Receivables 110 142 182 263
Inventory 184 208 236 265
Other — — — —
1,069 887 820 918
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 36 40 66 79
ST’ Debt — — — —
Other 18 32 21 16
148 170 257 234

Compound Annual Growth %

10y 5y 3y
Sales 9.17% 10.85% (9.01%)
Cash Flow 0.00% 15.27% (35.18%)
Earnings 0.00% 0.00% (55.37%)
Book Value 0.00% 24.18% 13.94%

Earnings Trends EPS, adjusted, against the consensus

Q2 FY26 Estimate 1.54 Actual 1.65

Earnings per share against the consensus, by quarter
Quarter Estimate Reported Result
Q3 FY25 −0.20 0.70 Beat by 0.90
Q4 FY25 0.62 0.44 Miss by 0.18
Q1 FY26 1.21 1.37 Beat by 0.16
Q2 FY26 1.54 1.65 Beat by 0.11
Q3 FY26 1.71 — Reports 4 November 2026

EPS $

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 1.37 1.65 — — —
’25 (0.16) 0.11 0.70 0.44 1.08
’24 2.62 1.35 0.80 0.02 4.79
’23 3.51 1.58 1.64 2.47 9.20
’22 2.83 5.74 1.90 1.93 12.40
’21 (0.42) (0.09) 0.74 2.68 2.93
’20 0.42 (0.18) (0.28) (0.66) (0.70)
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Revenue $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 459 510 — — —
’25 300 298 329 384 1,310
’24 504 397 328 297 1,525
’23 510 380 423 364 1,677
’22 379 625 390 345 1,739
’21 214 227 202 416 1,059
’20 227 164 180 212 783
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Operating Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (12) 132 — — —
’25 11 38 105 76 229
’24 104 147 62 54 367
’23 193 125 139 245 701
’22 70 330 247 195 842
’21 45 69 63 175 352
’20 21 32 29 30 113
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Free Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (92) 103 — — —
’25 (58) (37) 22 (18) (91)
’24 4 36 (54) (76) (90)
’23 125 (12) 32 64 209
’22 60 261 206 110 637
’21 36 55 52 151 294
’20 (2) 6 6 15 25
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

1.8
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell

Ten years at a glance Fiscal years to December

Ten-year view Analyst estimates Powerpack
Group Line 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 TTM Jun ’26 Trend 10 yrs 2026e 2027e 2028e Next 3/yr
Income, $m
Income, $m Revenue 369 1,169 1,378 1,268 783 1,059 1,739 1,677 1,525 1,310 1,681 +15.1% 2,020 2,233 2,239 +19.6%
Gross margin, % 7.57 46.89 47.26 40.82 15.82 44.94 57.58 43.47 30.98 22.90 30.53 +15.3 pt
EBT (111) 416 471 367 (56) 200 783 551 284 54 229 n/m
EBT margin, % (30.20) 35.62 34.18 28.95 (7.14) 18.88 45.04 32.89 18.60 4.16 13.60 +34.4 pt
Net income (111) 455 697 302 (36) 151 641 479 251 57 219 n/m
Per share, $
Per share, $ Revenue 7.01 22.14 26.09 24.69 15.30 20.61 33.68 32.26 29.17 24.92 31.82 +15.1%
Earnings (2.12) 8.62 13.19 5.87 (0.70) 2.94 12.42 9.21 4.79 1.08 4.16 n/m
Cash flow (0.95) 8.23 10.59 10.37 2.20 6.84 16.31 13.49 7.03 4.36 5.70 n/m
Capex (0.32) (1.75) (1.87) (2.03) (1.71) (1.12) (3.98) (9.46) (8.74) (6.09) (5.41) +38.7%
Free cash flow (1.27) 6.48 8.72 8.35 0.49 5.72 12.33 4.03 (1.72) (1.73) 0.29 +3.5%
Book value 14.30 7.82 13.49 14.91 14.17 16.97 28.04 36.07 39.99 40.74 43.35 +12.3%
Shares, m 53 53 53 51 51 51 52 52 52 53 53 0.0%
Valuation, ×
Valuation, × P/E 0.10 3.10 1.83 3.61 0.00 8.77 2.58 6.61 11.30 80.89 20.67 11.9
P/S 0.02 1.21 0.92 0.86 1.39 1.25 0.95 1.89 1.86 3.54 2.70 1.4
P/B 0.02 3.42 1.79 1.42 1.50 1.52 1.15 1.69 1.36 2.16 1.98 1.6
EV/Sales (0.03) 1.48 1.12 1.00 1.67 1.25 0.67 1.56 1.66 3.45 2.65 1.4
EV/FCF (0.42) 5.07 3.35 2.97 51.78 4.49 1.82 12.45 (28.13) (49.73) 286.31 0.4
Cash, $m
Cash, $m Operating cash flow (50) 435 559 533 113 352 842 701 367 229 301 n/m
Capex (17) (93) (99) (104) (87) (58) (205) (492) (457) (320) (286) +38.6%
Free cash flow (67) 342 461 429 25 294 637 209 (90) (91) 16 +3.5%
Balance, $m
Balance, $m Working capital 226 161 345 315 297 505 1,020 921 717 563 684 +10.7%
Net debt (134) 323 271 187 218 (2) (499) (558) (312) (110) (84) (2.1%)
Shareholders’ equity 753 413 713 766 725 872 1,448 1,874 2,091 2,141 2,290 +12.3%
Returns, %
Returns, % ROA (12.74) 46.89 58.35 22.03 (2.61) 10.56 36.73 21.83 10.13 2.12 7.91 +14.9 pt
ROIC (10.21) 35.95 32.29 25.16 (1.80) 17.50 52.81 25.71 8.96 1.41 6.50 +11.6 pt
ROE 328.42 78.05 123.80 40.82 (4.80) 18.89 55.30 28.82 12.64 2.69 10.04 (325.7) pt
People
People Employees 1,130 1,354 1,395 1,417 1,401 704 854 1,143 1,336 1,485 — +3.1%
Revenue/emp, $m 0.33 0.86 0.99 0.90 0.56 1.50 2.04 1.47 1.14 0.88 — +11.7%
Negative figures in brackets.
estimates

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026

Warrior Met Coal vs peers in Coking Coal (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier

Company Market cap P/E Fwd P/E Revenue growth (Q) EPS growth (Q) FCF growth (Q) Gross margin (Q) EBIT margin (Q) Compare
HCC Warrior Met Coal $4.5B 20.7× 13.5× +71.31% (above 0%: growing) +1,400.00% (above 0%: growing) +376.32% (above 0%: growing) 31.90% 18.54%
AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. $2.0B — (loss-making) — (loss-making) −10.43% (below 0%: shrinking) n/m −128.43% (below 0%: shrinking) 9.98% (2.13%) Compare
SXC SunCoke Energy, Inc. $961.6M — (loss-making) 27.3× +9.49% (above 0%: growing) +650.00% (above 0%: growing) −979.59% (below 0%: shrinking) 21.12% 6.10% Compare
METCB Ramaco Resources, Inc. $682.3M — (loss-making) — −5.33% (below 0%: shrinking) n/m +22.91% (above 0%: growing) 11.48% (12.60%) Compare
METC Ramaco Resources, Inc. $415.7M — (loss-making) — (loss-making) −5.33% (below 0%: shrinking) n/m +22.91% (above 0%: growing) 11.48% (12.60%) Compare
Median of peers $822.0M — — −5.33% — −52.76% 11.48% (7.36%)

All 5 Coking Coal stocks →

Pay and ownership Proxy statement filed 10 March 2026

Chief executive’s pay

Year Total pay Actually paid $100 invested
2025 7.34m 15.08m 459.66
2024 7.91m 10.61m 281.19
2023 6.67m 13.93m 311.74
2022 6.51m 11.16m 171.85
2021 5.68m 5.19m 121.86

Ownership

Directors and executive officers, together 2.10%
BlackRock, Inc. 13.80%
The Vanguard Group 11.30%
State Street Corporation 6.50%
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. 5.10%
Total pay is as the Summary Compensation Table states it; actually paid revalues the year’s share awards at its end, as the SEC’s pay-versus-performance rule asks. $100 invested is what $100 in the company’s shares at the start of the earliest year shown was worth at each year’s end. Ownership is the proxy’s own table: the directors and officers as a group, and every holder of 5% or more. Read the proxy statement

Warrior Met Coal (HCC) Latest News

29 Oct

Impact 3 · · Zacks

28 Oct

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14 Oct

Impact 4 · · Insider Monkey

12 Aug

Impact 3 · · The Motley Fool transcript

9 Aug

Impact 4 ·

8 Aug

Impact 3 · · MarketBeat transcript

6 Aug

Impact 4 · transcript
Impact 3 · · Moby

5 Aug

Impact 3 ·

29 Jul

Impact 3 ·

28 Jul

Impact 3 ·

16 May

Impact 4 ·

1 May

Impact 4 · · Simply Wall St.
Impact 4 · · Moby
Impact 4 · · GuruFocus.com
Impact 3 · · MarketBeat

30 Apr

Impact 5 · · The Motley Fool transcript
Impact 4 · · Zacks
Impact 4 · · Business Wire

22 Apr

Impact 4 · · Simply Wall St.

10 Mar

Impact 4 · · Insider Monkey

6 Mar

Impact 4 · · Insider Monkey

2 Mar

Impact 4 · · Simply Wall St.

16 Feb

Impact 4 · · Simply Wall St.
Impact 4 · · Simply Wall St.

13 Feb

Impact 4 · · Moby
Impact 4 · · GuruFocus.com

12 Feb

Impact 4 · · MarketBeat transcript
Impact 4 · · GuruFocus.com
Impact 3 · · The Motley Fool transcript
stockrow.com/HCC · Data as of Jun 30, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com