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Warrior Met Coal HCC

Basic Materials — Coking Coal

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Insider Decisions

Total sells
26.41
in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — 2 — 2 — — — — 1 — 4 —
Insider Ownership
1.92%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap
4,850.00
Revenue
1,680.86
Net Income
219.33
Free Cash Flow
15.57
Net Debt
(84.24)
Current Ratio
3.93
Debt/Equity
0.10
P/E ratio
21.14
P/S ratio
2.76
P/B ratio
2.03
Past 5Y EPS Growth
(3.96%)
This Y EPS Growth
475.96%
Next Y EPS Growth
30.27%
Next 5Y EPS Growth
104.11%
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio
0.03
Annual Dividend Rate
0.28
Annual Dividend Yield
1.92%
total individual payouts
2028 ‡‡‡‡
2027 ‡‡‡‡
2026 0.32
—
—
—
2025 0.32
—
—
—
—
2024 0.32
—
—
—
—
—
2023 0.28
—
—
—
—
—
2022 0.24
—
—
—
—
—
—
2021 0.20
—
—
—
—
2020 0.20
—
—
—
—
2019 4.62
—
—
—
—
—
2018 0.20
—
—
—
—
—
2017 0.15
—
—
—
—
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 747.23 506.17 353.22 322.50
Receivables 110.44 141.60 182.27 263.42
Inventory 183.95 207.59 235.94 264.88
Other — — — —
1,069.17 887.06 820.26 917.64
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 36.25 40.18 66.08 78.77
ST’ Debt — — — —
Other 18.35 31.68 20.55 15.68
147.67 170.43 257.02 233.68
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Cash Flow ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Book Value ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡

Revenue

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 458.59 509.69 — —
—
’25 299.94 297.52 328.59 383.99
1,310.04
’24 503.51 396.52 327.72 297.46
1,525.22
’23 509.67 379.66 423.49 363.80
1,676.63
’22 378.65 625.16 390.18 344.75
1,738.74
’21 213.76 227.44 202.47 415.55
1,059.22
’20 226.72 163.70 180.06 212.25
782.74
in millions of $

Operating Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (11.73) 132.28 — —
—
’25 10.92 37.55 104.69 76.09
229.25
’24 104.06 146.98 62.21 54.21
367.45
’23 192.93 124.51 138.57 245.09
701.11
’22 70.14 329.59 247.18 194.99
841.90
’21 45.22 68.68 62.93 174.71
351.54
’20 21.02 31.96 29.17 30.47
112.63
in millions of $

Free Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (91.85) 103.40 — —
—
’25 (57.59) (37.42) 22.12 (18.09)
(90.98)
’24 4.36 36.01 (53.67) (76.47)
(89.77)
’23 124.76 (11.61) 32.05 64.24
209.43
’22 59.61 261.41 205.86 109.77
636.66
’21 35.76 54.68 52.43 150.99
293.86
’20 (1.75) 5.99 5.86 15.20
25.30
in millions of $

EPS

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 1.37 1.65 — —
—
’25 (0.16) 0.11 0.70 0.44
1.08
’24 2.62 1.35 0.80 0.02
4.79
’23 3.51 1.58 1.64 2.47
9.20
’22 2.83 5.74 1.90 1.93
12.40
’21 (0.42) (0.09) 0.74 2.68
2.93
’20 0.42 (0.18) (0.28) (0.66)
(0.70)

Target Price Range

High
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡‡
Average
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡‡
Low
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡

Recommendation Rating

1.7
1
Buy
2
3
Hold
4
5
Sell
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
— ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 24.72 31.04 50.60 38.00 — — —
Low Price
— ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ 42.95 62.88 75.53 90.80 — — —
High Price
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 854 1,143 1,336 1,485 — — —
Employees
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 2.04 1.47 1.14 0.88 — — —
Revenue/Emp
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1,738.74 1,676.63 1,525.22 1,310.04 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 57.58% 43.47% 30.98% 22.90% — — —
Gross Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 783.10 551.42 283.67 54.44 — — —
EBT
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 45.04% 32.89% 18.60% 4.16% ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
EBT Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 641.30 478.63 250.60 57.00 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Net Income
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 120.39 133.99 161.01 191.90 — — —
Depreciation
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 33.68 32.26 29.17 24.92 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ 12.42 9.21 4.79 1.08 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 16.31 13.49 7.03 4.36 ‡‡‡‡ — —
Cash Flow/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (3.98) (9.46) (8.74) (6.09) ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Capex/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 12.33 4.03 (1.72) (1.73) — — —
Free CF/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 28.04 36.07 39.99 40.74 ‡‡‡‡ — —
Book Value/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 51.62 51.97 52.29 52.56 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Shares
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 2.58 6.61 11.30 80.89 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
PE Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.95 1.89 1.86 3.54 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PS Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1.15 1.69 1.36 2.16 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PB Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.68 1.56 1.66 3.46 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
EV/Sales
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1.86 12.52 (28.27) (49.87) — — —
EV/FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 841.90 701.11 367.45 229.25 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Op' Cash Flow
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (205.24) (491.67) (457.22) (320.23) ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ —
Capex
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 636.66 209.43 (89.77) (90.98) ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1,019.99 921.50 716.63 563.23 — — —
Working Cap'
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 363.00 188.75 194.30 242.78 — — —
Total Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (475.09) (558.48) (311.87) (110.43) — — —
Net Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1,447.52 1,874.45 2,090.82 2,141.39 — — —
Sh' Equity
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 36.73% 21.83% 10.13% 2.12% — — —
ROA
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 51.51% 25.71% 8.96% 1.41% — — —
ROIC
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 55.30% 28.82% 12.64% 2.69% — — —
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

Analyst Commentary (Summary)

Warrior Met Coal (HCC), a U.S. met coal powerhouse fueling steel production, has ridden wild commodity waves—from post-bankruptcy booms and the 2022 Ukraine war premium to COVID slumps and China’s slowdowns—leaving shares at levels hinting at 24% mean upside (39% to highs). Revenues peaked at $1.74 billion in 2022 amid supply shocks, then eased to $1.53 billion in 2024, with forecasts eyeing a 14% dip to $1.31 billion in 2025 before a stunning 55% rebound to $2.03 billion in 2026. Profit margins showcase cyclical muscle (58% gross in 2022), compressing to 31% now but still yielding positive EPS, while a fortress balance sheet boasts negative net debt and ballooning equity—yet aggressive capex has flipped FCF negative, fueling expansions like Mine No. 7.

Valuation looks tasty on trailing metrics (11x PE, 1.9x PS) and screams bargain forward (11x 2026 PE post-EPS trough), outshining historical peaks relative to fundamentals. But here’s the rub: insiders are dumping shares ($12.6 million sold vs. a paltry $84k buy), profit-taking at recent highs that screams caution amid capex overhangs and V-shaped bets reliant on steel resurgence. Tailwinds like U.S. infrastructure and export bans tempt, yet underappreciated risks—China stimulus flops, EU carbon taxes backfiring, or “green steel” eroding demand for HCC’s premium coking coal—could derail the rebound narrative.

Dive deeper: With spot prices hovering and Q1 2026 guidance looming, is HCC primed for dividends and gains, or just another cyclical trap? The data teases patience, but contrarians smell profit-taking traps in this volatile beast.

Read full commentary →

Warrior Met Coal (HCC) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

12 Aug

3 transcript www.fool.com, 6:43 PM
Warrior Met Coal held Q2 2026 earnings call covering financial results, operations and outlook. Quarterly earnings call delivers results and guidance that can shift near-term valuation and sentiment.

9 Aug

4 , 3:15 AM
Warrior Met Coal raised its 2026 sales outlook on Blue Creek demand, sending shares up 15.8% as investors assess if the bull case has shifted. Raising 2026 sales outlook on Blue Creek demand signals major positive shift in trajectory and market position.

8 Aug

3 transcript www.marketbeat.com, 8:03 AM
Warrior Met Coal's Q2 earnings call covered financial results, production levels, coal pricing trends, cost management, and outlook for metallurgical coal demand. Earnings call updates on results and outlook can influence near-term sentiment but seldom alter long-term company trajectory.

6 Aug

4 transcript , 1:09 AM
Warrior Met Coal posted record sales and margins in its Q2 2026 earnings call. Record sales and margins demonstrate strong results that can materially lift future performance and investor outlook.

3 app.moby.co, 8:30 AM
Warrior Met Coal held its Q2 2026 earnings call to review financial results and operations. Quarterly earnings updates provide financial details that can shift near-term investor sentiment but rarely alter long-term company trajectory.

5 Aug

3 , 8:35 PM
Warrior Met Coal (HCC) beat Q2 earnings and revenue estimates. Earnings beat signals stronger quarterly results and may lift near-term stock sentiment.

29 Jul

3 , 10:00 AM
Warrior Met Coal (HCC) earnings are projected to grow, prompting questions on whether the stock merits purchase. Projected earnings growth may moderately affect HCC financial outlook and near-term investor sentiment.

28 Jul

3 , 10:57 AM
Warrior Met Coal (HCC) shares show high volatility yet carry notable upside potential for investors focused on the coal sector. Stock volatility and upside outlook point to moderate short-term sentiment shifts without altering core operations.

16 May

4 , 10:12 AM
Warrior Met Coal finishes Blue Creek project ahead of schedule. Investor repositioning follows. HCC investment narrative faces potential shift due to accelerated development and capital flows. Early Blue Creek completion plus investor repositioning signals major strategic acceleration likely to reshape HCC growth path and sentiment.

1 May

4 Simply Wall St., 9:16 PM
Warrior Met Coal ramps up Blue Creek mine development, spotlighting its production growth trajectory amid rising met coal demand. Blue Creek ramp-up enables major production increases, strengthening Warrior Met Coal's output and long-term market position.

4 app.moby.co, 8:30 AM
Warrior Met Coal Inc. summarized its Q1 2026 earnings call, detailing quarterly financial results, production updates, and forward guidance amid coal market conditions. Quarterly earnings summaries reveal financial performance and guidance that significantly sway investor sentiment and stock trajectory.

4 GuruFocus.com, 3:18 AM
Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) reported record sales and production in Q1 2026 earnings call, driving strong financial performance and positive outlook. Record sales and production demonstrate exceptional operational strength, likely boosting investor confidence and future market performance.

3 www.marketbeat.com, 6:14 PM
Warrior Met Coal reported Q1 earnings call highlights, detailing financial results, production updates, and future outlook. Q1 earnings call highlights provide key insights into financial performance and guidance with moderate impact on market sentiment.

30 Apr

5 transcript www.fool.com, 5:46 PM
Warrior Met Coal (HCC) released Q1 2026 earnings call transcript detailing quarterly financial results, operational updates, and forward guidance. Q1 2026 earnings transcript reveals financial performance and guidance that fundamentally shape HCC's competitive position and long-term market trajectory.

4 Zacks, 6:25 PM
Warrior Met Coal (HCC) beat Q1 earnings and revenue estimates. Beating Q1 earnings and revenue estimates signals robust financial performance and enhances investor sentiment.

4 Business Wire, 4:05 PM
Warrior Met Coal reported first quarter 2026 results. Quarterly earnings results reveal financial performance, production levels, and market outlook, significantly affecting stock price and investor sentiment.

22 Apr

4 Simply Wall St., 11:09 PM
Warrior Met Coal (HCC) valuation draws scrutiny as the Blue Creek Project advances and strong earnings metrics highlight growth potential in met coal production. Blue Creek Project expansion promises to significantly boost production capacity and strengthen HCC's competitive position in met coal markets.

10 Mar

4 Insider Monkey, 8:30 AM
Warrior Met Coal (HCC) shares surged in Q4 due to robust metallurgical coal prices, record production volumes, strong adjusted EBITDA, and dividend declaration amid favorable market conditions. Q4 share surge from strong production, pricing, and financials signals significant positive momentum for HCC's future performance.

6 Mar

4 Insider Monkey, 9:36 AM
Warrior Met Coal's Blue Creek project advances, positioning the company for robust coal production growth. Blue Creek project expansion significantly boosts Warrior Met Coal's production capacity and long-term revenue prospects.

2 Mar

4 Simply Wall St., 1:10 AM
Warrior Met Coal advances Blue Creek project ramp-up, shifting strategic focus to cash generation amid met coal operations. Blue Creek ramp-up drives cash generation shift, enhancing production capacity and long-term financial trajectory.

16 Feb

4 Simply Wall St., 9:14 AM
Catalysts rewriting Warrior Met Coal (HCC) narrative include sustained high metallurgical coal prices from Australian supply disruptions, advancement of Blue Creek Phase 1 mine toward production in 2026, strong U.S. export demand to Europe and Asia, robust Q2 results with raised guidance, and insider buying signaling confidence. Key catalysts like Blue Creek project progress and favorable met coal market dynamics promise significant uplift to HCC's production capacity and revenue trajectory.

4 Simply Wall St., 7:09 AM
Warrior Met Coal's Blue Creek mine startup prompts reevaluation of company valuation and profitability amid expanded met coal production capacity and rising market demand. Blue Creek startup enables major production increase, potentially doubling output and transforming long-term financial trajectory.

13 Feb

4 app.moby.co, 8:30 AM
Warrior Met Coal Inc. summarized its Q4 2025 earnings call, highlighting financial results, production updates, met coal market conditions, and 2026 guidance amid strong demand and operational efficiency. Q4 earnings summaries provide critical financial metrics, sales volumes, and future outlook that significantly shape investor sentiment and stock trajectory.

4 GuruFocus.com, 12:03 AM
Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) reported record production and sales in Q4 2025, highlighting strong operational performance amid favorable market conditions. The company achieved significant milestones in output and revenue, reflecting its strategic initiatives and robust demand for metallurgical coal. Management expressed optimism about future growth prospects, driven by ongoing investments and market dynamics. Record production and sales indicate a significant positive shift in operational performance and market positioning.

12 Feb

4 transcript www.marketbeat.com, 11:08 PM
Warrior Met Coal reported its Q4 earnings, highlighting a strong performance driven by increased demand for metallurgical coal. The company noted improvements in production efficiency and cost management, which contributed to higher profit margins. Management discussed strategic initiatives aimed at expanding market share and enhancing operational capabilities. Future outlook remains positive, with expectations for continued demand in the steel industry and potential growth opportunities in international markets. Significant strategic initiatives and positive market demand are likely to influence future performance.

4 GuruFocus.com, 5:02 PM
Third Avenue Management has made strategic moves involving Warrior Met Coal, with Deutsche Bank AG playing a significant role in these developments. The actions taken by Third Avenue are expected to influence the company's market positioning and investor sentiment, reflecting a shift in focus towards optimizing operations and enhancing financial performance. This strategic realignment may have implications for Warrior Met Coal's future trajectory in the coal industry. Strategic moves by Third Avenue Management and Deutsche Bank AG are likely to significantly impact Warrior Met Coal's market positioning and investor sentiment.

4 Business Wire, 4:05 PM
Warrior Met Coal reported its fourth quarter and full year 2025 results, highlighting significant financial performance improvements and operational achievements. The company experienced increased revenues and production levels, driven by strong demand for metallurgical coal. Additionally, Warrior Met Coal outlined its strategic initiatives aimed at enhancing operational efficiency and sustainability, positioning itself favorably in the competitive landscape. The results reflect the company's commitment to delivering value to shareholders while navigating market challenges. Significant financial improvements and strategic initiatives are likely to influence future performance and investor sentiment.

3 transcript www.fool.com, 6:08 PM
Warrior Met Coal reported its Q4 2025 earnings, highlighting key financial metrics and operational updates. The company experienced fluctuations in coal prices and demand, impacting revenue and profit margins. Management provided insights into future strategies, including potential expansions and cost management initiatives aimed at enhancing operational efficiency. The earnings call also addressed market conditions and competitive positioning within the coal industry, emphasizing the importance of adapting to changing energy demands. Fluctuations in coal prices and demand may moderately influence financial performance and competitive positioning.

3 Zacks, 12:16 PM
Warrior Met Coal (HCC) has seen its stock price increase by 19.5% over the past three months, prompting discussions about whether investors should maintain their positions. Analysts are evaluating the company's performance and market conditions to determine future prospects. The stock price increase indicates moderate investor interest, but broader market factors may limit its long-term impact.

10 Feb

3 Business WireInsider MonkeyMT NewswiresMotley FoolMT NewswiresMT NewswiresMT NewswiresMarketBeat, 4:45 PM
Warrior Met Coal has announced a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.05 per share, payable on December 15, 2023, to shareholders of record as of December 1, 2023. This decision reflects the company's commitment to returning value to its shareholders while maintaining a strong financial position. The dividend announcement indicates a stable financial position but does not significantly alter the company's overall trajectory.
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