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Graphic Packaging Holding Company GPK

Consumer Cyclical — Packaging & Containers
Dividend Champion (5y) Insider Buys (last 12m)
Growth Flags show if company had growth for consecutive years ,
Insider Buys alert about insiders buying in the last 12 month

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Insider Decisions

Total buys
1.05
in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — — — — 2 — 3 — — — —
Sell — — — — — — — — — — — —
Insider Ownership
1.74%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap
2,940.00
Revenue
8,637.00
Net Income
194.00
Free Cash Flow
189.00
Net Debt
5,462.00
Current Ratio
1.38
Debt/Equity
1.75
P/E ratio
14.11
P/S ratio
0.32
P/B ratio
0.85
Past 5Y EPS Growth
25.19%
This Y EPS Growth
(60.01%)
Next Y EPS Growth
54.86%
Next 5Y EPS Growth
(11.65%)
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio
0.16
Annual Dividend Rate
0.40
Annual Dividend Yield
1.60%
total individual payouts
2028 ‡‡‡‡‡
2027 ‡‡‡‡‡
2026 0.44
—
—
—
2025 0.44
—
—
—
—
2024 0.40
—
—
—
—
2023 0.40
—
—
—
—
2022 0.33
—
—
—
—
2021 0.30
—
—
—
—
2020 0.30
—
—
—
—
2019 0.30
—
—
—
—
2018 0.30
—
—
—
—
2017 0.45
—
—
—
—
—
—
2016 0.23
—
—
—
—
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 162.00 157.00 261.00 205.00
Receivables 835.00 759.00 760.00 888.00
Inventory 1,754.00 1,754.00 1,766.00 1,691.00
Other 94.00 114.00 136.00 228.00
2,845.00 2,784.00 2,923.00 3,012.00
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 1,094.00 1,116.00 1,027.00 955.00
ST’ Debt 764.00 39.00 549.00 552.00
Other 273.00 176.00 180.00 214.00
2,589.00 1,903.00 2,244.00 2,184.00
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Cash Flow ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Book Value ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡

Revenue

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 2,156.00 2,188.00 — —
—
’25 2,120.00 2,204.00 2,190.00 2,103.00
8,617.00
’24 2,259.00 2,237.00 2,216.00 2,095.00
8,807.00
’23 2,438.00 2,392.00 2,349.00 2,249.00
9,428.00
’22 2,245.00 2,358.00 2,451.00 2,386.00
9,440.00
’21 1,649.00 1,737.00 1,782.00 1,988.00
7,156.00
’20 1,599.00 1,611.00 1,698.00 1,652.00
6,560.00
in millions of $

Operating Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (113.00) 158.00 — —
—
’25 (174.00) 267.00 227.00 521.00
841.00
’24 3.00 161.00 187.00 489.00
840.00
’23 60.00 231.00 411.00 442.00
1,144.00
’22 18.00 270.00 332.00 470.00
1,090.00
’21 53.00 252.00 154.00 150.00
609.00
’20 (79.00) 223.00 245.00 436.00
825.00
in millions of $

Free Cash Flow

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (253.00) 75.00 — —
—
’25 (487.00) 39.00 (40.00) 407.00
(81.00)
’24 (328.00) (88.00) (126.00) 179.00
(363.00)
’23 (136.00) 42.00 204.00 230.00
340.00
’22 (205.00) 132.00 248.00 366.00
541.00
’21 (93.00) 52.00 (88.00) (64.00)
(193.00)
’20 (233.00) 70.00 126.00 216.00
179.00
in millions of $

EPS

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (0.14) 0.08 — —
—
’25 0.42 0.34 0.48 0.24
1.48
’24 0.53 0.62 0.55 0.46
2.16
’23 0.67 0.49 0.55 0.64
2.34
’22 0.35 0.21 0.62 0.50
1.69
’21 0.19 0.13 0.24 0.13
0.68
’20 (0.04) 0.19 0.23 0.24
0.60

Target Price Range

High
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡
Average
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡
Low
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡

Recommendation Rating

3.2
1
Buy
2
3
Hold
4
5
Sell
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 17.99 20.07 23.47 13.93 — — —
Low Price
‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 24.07 27.56 30.70 28.62 — — —
High Price
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 24,000 23,500 23,000 23,000 — — —
Employees
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.39 0.40 0.38 0.37 — — —
Revenue/Emp
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 9,440.00 9,428.00 8,807.00 8,617.00 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 19.39% 22.45% 22.28% 18.59% — — —
Gross Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 716.00 932.00 886.00 582.00 ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
EBT
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 7.58% 9.89% 10.06% 6.75% ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
EBT Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 522.00 723.00 658.00 444.00 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Net Income
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 562.00 625.00 563.00 542.00 — — —
Depreciation
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 30.57 30.59 28.97 28.79 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue/Sh
‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ 1.69 2.35 2.16 1.48 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 3.53 3.71 2.76 2.81 ‡‡‡‡ — —
Cash Flow/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (1.78) (2.61) (3.96) (3.08) ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Capex/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1.75 1.10 (1.19) (0.27) — — —
Free CF/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 6.96 9.03 9.91 11.15 ‡‡‡‡ — —
Book Value/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 308.80 308.20 304.00 299.30 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Shares
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 12.78 10.59 12.52 10.11 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
PE Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.71 0.81 0.94 0.52 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PS Ratio
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 3.12 2.76 2.74 1.35 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PB Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1.25 1.37 1.51 1.14 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
EV/Sales
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 21.84 37.88 (36.59) (121.20) — — —
EV/FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1,090.00 1,144.00 840.00 841.00 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Op' Cash Flow
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (549.00) (804.00) (1,203.00) (922.00) ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ —
Capex
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 541.00 340.00 (363.00) (81.00) ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 773.00 256.00 881.00 679.00 — — —
Working Cap'
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 5,253.00 5,373.00 5,184.00 5,571.00 — — —
Total Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 5,103.00 5,211.00 5,027.00 5,310.00 — — —
Net Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 2,150.00 2,782.00 3,013.00 3,337.00 — — —
Sh' Equity
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 5.02% 6.72% 5.90% 3.87% ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
ROA
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 7.81% 9.18% 8.70% 5.81% — — —
ROIC
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 25.82% 29.32% 22.71% 13.98% ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

Analyst Commentary (Summary)

Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) rode a wave of acquisitions to revenue highs of $9.44 billion in 2022, but now faces stagnation with 2024 sales down 6.6% to $8.81 billion and projections sliding further to $8.49 billion by 2026 (-1.6% YoY). Profitability peaked impressively—EBT at $932 million (9.9% margin) and ROE at 29.3% in 2023—but analysts forecast a brutal 34% EBT plunge to $582 million in 2025 and EPS cratering 60% to $0.86 by 2026, amid volatile pulp costs and softening demand in food/beverage packaging.

Free cash flow swung negative at -$1.19 per share in 2024 despite capex surges, straining a $5 billion net debt load (1.6x equity), while insiders sold $2.1 million in shares with zero buys. Valuation looks cheap at 12.5x PE, 0.81x PS, and analyst targets implying up to 77% upside, but intensifying competition from Smurfit WestRock and e-commerce slowdowns signal a potential value trap.

This post-merger hangover challenges GPK’s dominance narrative—flat revenue, FCF inconsistency, and insider exits scream caution amid consolidation risks. Contrarians eye 20-30% drawdowns if recession bites; dive deeper for the full quantitative dissection.

Read full commentary →

Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

1 Sep

3 , 1:10 PM
Graphic Packaging Holding Company assesses whether its paper packaging operations can achieve a business turnaround. Paper packaging strategy may moderately affect GPK financial performance and competitive positioning without guaranteed major shifts.

19 Aug

3 , 3:34 PM
Graphic Packaging Holding (GPK) posted Q2 earnings results that are compared against other industrial packaging companies, showing relative performance in revenue, margins, and market position. Q2 earnings figures can shift near-term stock sentiment and valuation multiples for GPK within its sector.

13 Aug

3 , 2:45 AM
Graphic Packaging Holding’s Q2 earnings call drew analyst questions on demand trends, pricing, cost inflation, sustainability projects, and capital allocation that shape near-term operational and financial expectations. Q2 earnings call analyst questions surface operational and demand details that moderately shift near-term sentiment and forecasts without altering long-term strategy.

11 Aug

3 transcript www.fool.com, 12:43 PM
Graphic Packaging (GPK) conducted its Q2 2026 earnings call, covering financial results, operational performance, and forward guidance for the packaging company. Earnings call delivers quarterly results and outlook that can shift near-term investor views and stock movement.

5 Aug

4 www.packaging-gateway.com, 5:19 AM
Graphic Packaging Holding Company posted a 77% drop in second-quarter profit. A 77% profit decline signals major financial weakness that will likely pressure valuation and investor outlook.

3 transcript www.marketbeat.com, 3:04 AM
Graphic Packaging Holding Company released Q2 earnings call highlights covering quarterly financial results, operational updates, and management commentary on performance and outlook. Q2 earnings details provide financial metrics that moderately influence investor sentiment and near-term stock valuation.

4 Aug

4 investorshub.advfn.com, 8:16 AM
Graphic Packaging Holding Company surpassed second-quarter expectations but lowered its full-year guidance. Beating quarterly expectations paired with reduced annual guidance signals significant effects on future performance and investor sentiment.

3 transcript app.moby.co, 6:05 PM
Graphic Packaging Holding Company held its Q2 2026 earnings call, presenting financial performance details and future guidance. Quarterly earnings calls deliver updated financial results and outlook that moderately shape investor views and near-term stock movement.

3 transcript , 5:06 PM
Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) outlined Q2 2026 earnings results and strategies to manage ongoing inflation pressures affecting costs and margins. Earnings call details on inflation navigation can moderately shift near-term investor views on margins and guidance.

3 , 6:30 AM
Graphic Packaging Holding Company released second quarter 2026 financial results. Quarterly earnings data typically influences short-term stock movement and valuation metrics.

3 Aug

4 , 4:13 AM
Graphic Packaging Holding Company prepares to release Q2 earnings with key financial metrics and operational updates for investors. Q2 earnings data directly shapes near-term stock valuation and investor outlook for the company.

18 Jul

4 , 7:07 PM
Graphic Packaging explores PaceSetter Ridgeline technology to strengthen its packaging competitive position. Potential redefinition of packaging moat via new technology represents major strategic shift.

3 , 11:15 PM
Graphic Packaging Holding (GPK) is potentially 8% undervalued as the company enters the recycled paperboard market. Entry into recycled paperboard signals moderate growth potential in sustainable packaging that may lift investor views without major strategic overhaul.

14 Jul

3 www.packaging-gateway.com, 5:09 AM
Graphic Packaging launches uncoated recycled paperboard offering. New product introduction supports innovation and market positioning in recycled board segment.

13 Jul

4 , 6:30 AM
Graphic Packaging Holding Company launches PaceSetter Ridgeline™ to enter the uncoated recycled paperboard market. New product launch drives entry into adjacent market segment with revenue and positioning upside.

11 Jun

3 , 1:11 PM
Securities lawsuits over Graphic Packaging Holding Company inventory disclosures may alter the investment case for GPK. Securities lawsuits on inventory disclosures may affect investor sentiment and stock trajectory.

10 Jun

3 www.packagingdive.com, 7:00 AM
Graphic Packaging Holding Company installs new CEO who shares three insights on strategy, operations and market positioning. New CEO appointment and accompanying insights point to moderate strategic influence on operations and market view.

9 Jun

3 Insider Monkey, 9:27 AM
Graphic Packaging Holding (GPK) faces reduced performance due to weaker demand from low-end consumers. Weaker low-end consumer demand reduces GPK sales and pressures near-term results.

1 Jun

3 StockStory, 7:28 PM
Graphic Packaging Holding (NYSE:GPK) outperformed peers in Q1 earnings within the industrial packaging sector. Q1 earnings outperformance versus sector peers can moderately lift near-term investor sentiment and valuation.

16 May

3 Simply Wall St., 6:10 AM
Analysts reassess Graphic Packaging Holding Company's value and risks, shifting perceptions of its market story and future outlook. Analyst reassessments of value and risks can moderately sway investor sentiment and short-term stock performance.

14 May

3 StockStory, 9:16 PM
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) highlighted the top five analyst questions from its Q1 earnings call, addressing sales volumes, pricing pressures, cost management, sustainability efforts, and growth outlook. Top analyst questions from Q1 earnings call signal moderate influence on financial performance and market sentiment.

11 May

3 www.packagingdive.com, 12:59 PM
A class action lawsuit accuses Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) of misleading investors about its business and financial prospects, claiming violations of federal securities laws following a stock price drop. Class action lawsuits alleging investor deception often result in legal costs, settlements, and temporary stock volatility that moderately affect financial performance and sentiment.

6 May

3 www.marketbeat.com, 8:26 AM
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) shared Q1 earnings call highlights covering financial results, operational updates, and forward guidance. Q1 earnings highlights moderately affect financial performance and investor sentiment without fundamentally altering long-term trajectory.

5 May

4 app.moby.co, 4:54 PM
Graphic Packaging Holding Company released Q1 2026 earnings call summary, detailing financial results, operational updates, strategic initiatives, and forward guidance. Q1 2026 earnings call summary provides significant financial performance data and outlook shaping GPK's trajectory and investor sentiment.

4 transcript www.fool.com, 3:13 PM
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) released its Q1 2026 earnings call transcript, detailing quarterly financial results, management discussion, and forward-looking guidance. Q1 2026 earnings transcript discloses financial performance and strategic updates that significantly shape investor sentiment and company trajectory.

4 StockStory, 8:37 AM
Graphic Packaging Holding (NYSE:GPK) reported bullish Q1 CY2026 results, driving its stock price sharply higher. Bullish Q1 CY2026 earnings signal strong financial performance and boost investor sentiment for future growth.

4 , 7:45 AM
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) surpassed Q1 earnings and revenue estimates. Beating Q1 earnings and revenue estimates indicates strong financial health, likely boosting investor sentiment and stock performance.

3 PR Newswire, 6:30 AM
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) reported first quarter 2026 financial results. Quarterly financial results directly affect short-term financial performance and market sentiment.

4 May

4 StockStory, 11:00 AM
Graphic Packaging Holding (GPK) reports earnings tomorrow, with analysts outlining expectations for financial results, revenue guidance, and key performance metrics amid market anticipation. Upcoming earnings release will significantly impact stock performance based on whether results meet, exceed, or fall short of consensus estimates.

29 Apr

4 PR Newswire, 6:30 AM
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) signed a 250-megawatt solar power purchase agreement with NextEra Energy Resources to power its Texas operations with renewable energy, supporting sustainability goals and cost efficiencies. The 250-megawatt solar agreement represents a major strategic sustainability initiative that could reduce energy costs and enhance GPK's ESG standing, significantly influencing long-term market performance.
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