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Graphic Packaging Holding Company

GPK Consumer Cyclical Packaging & Containers

Graphic Packaging Holding Company’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $8.6 billion, down 2.16% from fiscal 2024.

Revenue
+0.09%
EPS
−84.6%
Free cash flow
+565.0%
Total debt
−7.08%

Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier

11.53 0.22 −1.87%
Market cap
$3.4B
P/E
45.4×
Fwd P/E
25.5×
Dividend yield
3.82%
F-score
5/9
Altman Z
1.54
Beneish M
−2.51
Dividend safety
47/100
Overview
Financials
Income Statement Balance Sheet Cash Flow Metrics & Ratios

Insider Decisions last twelve months

Bought, $m 1.05
Trades a month
Jan 26 Apr 26 Jul 26 Oct 26
Buy — — — 2 — 3 — — — — — —
Sell — — — — — — — — — — — —
Insider Ownership 1.76%

Capital & Financial Ratios $m

Size
Market Cap 3,420.00
Revenue ttm 8,639.00
Net income ttm 74.00
Free cash flow ttm 415.00
Net debt Q 5,162.00
Valuation
P/E 45.38 (above 35: high)
Forward P/E 25.50
Price / sales 0.40
Forward P/S Powerpack
Price / FCF 8.24
Price / book 1.07
Financial health
Current ratio Q 1.19
Debt / equity Q 1.71
Interest coverage Q 1.46
Growth
Revenue growth Q +0.09% (above 0%: growing)
Operating income growth Q −56.84% (below 0%: shrinking)
EPS, this year −63.47% (below 0%: weak)
EPS, next year A +44.14% (at or above 15%: strong)
Revenue, next year A +0.19%
EPS, past 5 yrs +19.79% (at or above 15%: strong)
EPS, next 5 yrs A −14.25% (below 0%: weak)

Green and red mark values outside typical ranges; (Q) is the latest quarter, (A) analysts’ estimates. How we judge →

Valuation vs history

EV/Sales, ten years
EV/Sales is 1.0×, against a ten-year median of 1.4×; over the ten years it ranged from 0.9× in 2026 to 1.6× in 2018.
P/E against its own 10 years 99.96%
10-year low 10-year high
P/S against its own 10 years 5.87%
10-year low 10-year high
P/B against its own 10 years 5.98%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/Sales against its own 10 years 3.85%
10-year low 10-year high
EV/FCF against its own 10 years 19.49%
10-year low 10-year high

Dividends

Yield
3.82%
Annual rate
0.44
Payout ratio
173.2%
Growth, 2017–25
−0.28%/yr
  1. 0.45 ’17
  2. 0.30 ’18 −33
  3. 0.30 ’19 +0
  4. 0.30 ’20 +0
  5. 0.30 ’21 +0
  6. 0.33 ’22 +8
  7. 0.40 ’23 +23
  8. 0.40 ’24 +0
  9. 0.44 ’25 +10
  10. 0.44 ’26e +0
paid forecast change on the year, % Powerpack

Assets vs Liabilities $m

2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Cash 162 157 261 337
Receivables 835 759 760 794
Inventory 1,754 1,754 1,766 1,693
Other 94 114 136 162
2,845 2,784 2,923 2,986
2023 2024 2025 Q'26
Payables 1,094 1,116 1,027 976
ST’ Debt 764 39 549 854
Other 273 176 180 215
2,589 1,903 2,244 2,506

Compound Annual Growth %

10y 5y 3y
Sales 7.55% 5.61% (2.99%)
Cash Flow 3.62% 0.38% (8.28%)
Earnings 6.79% 21.60% (5.25%)
Book Value 11.72% 12.64% 15.78%

Earnings Trends EPS, adjusted, against the consensus

Q3 FY26 Estimate 0.23 Actual 0.23

Earnings per share against the consensus, by quarter
Quarter Estimate Reported Result
Q4 FY25 0.34 0.29 Miss by 0.05
Q1 FY26 0.06 0.09 Beat by 0.03
Q2 FY26 0.11 0.14 Beat by 0.03
Q3 FY26 0.23 0.23 Met by 0.00
Q4 FY26 0.21 — Reports 2 February 2027

EPS $

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (0.14) 0.08 0.07 — —
’25 0.42 0.34 0.48 0.24 1.48
’24 0.53 0.62 0.55 0.46 2.16
’23 0.67 0.49 0.55 0.64 2.34
’22 0.35 0.21 0.62 0.50 1.69
’21 0.19 0.13 0.24 0.13 0.68
’20 (0.04) 0.19 0.23 0.24 0.60
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Revenue $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 2,156 2,188 2,192 — —
’25 2,120 2,204 2,190 2,103 8,617
’24 2,259 2,237 2,216 2,095 8,807
’23 2,438 2,392 2,349 2,249 9,428
’22 2,245 2,358 2,451 2,386 9,440
’21 1,649 1,737 1,782 1,988 7,156
’20 1,599 1,611 1,698 1,652 6,560
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Operating Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (113) 158 250 — —
’25 (174) 267 227 521 841
’24 3 161 187 489 840
’23 60 231 411 442 1,144
’22 18 270 332 470 1,090
’21 53 252 154 150 609
’20 (79) 223 245 436 825
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Free Cash Flow $m

Mar Jun Sep Dec Year
’26 (253) 75 186 — —
’25 (487) 39 (40) 407 (81)
’24 (328) (88) (126) 179 (363)
’23 (136) 42 204 230 340
’22 (205) 132 248 366 541
’21 (93) 52 (88) (64) (193)
’20 (233) 70 126 216 179
Fiscal quarters ending in the months shown.

Target Price Range

Analyst price targets

Recommendation Rating

2.9
1Buy 2 3Hold 4 5Sell

Ten years at a glance Fiscal years to December

Ten-year view Analyst estimates Powerpack
Group Line 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 TTM Sep ’26 Trend 10 yrs 2026e 2027e 2028e Next 3/yr
Income, $m
Income, $m Revenue 4,298 4,406 6,029 6,160 6,560 7,156 9,440 9,428 8,807 8,617 8,639 +8.0% 8,633 8,801 8,948 +1.3%
Gross margin, % 18.64 16.10 15.80 17.73 16.77 14.97 19.39 22.45 22.28 18.59 13.98 (0.1) pt
EBT 319 253 348 354 244 289 716 932 886 582 105 +6.9%
EBT margin, % 7.43 5.74 5.76 5.75 3.72 4.04 7.58 9.89 10.06 6.75 1.22 (0.7) pt
Net income 228 300 294 278 203 216 522 723 658 444 74 +7.7%
Per share, $
Per share, $ Revenue 13.39 14.16 19.48 20.95 23.53 24.09 30.57 30.59 28.97 28.79 29.12 +8.9%
Earnings 0.71 0.97 0.71 0.70 0.60 0.69 1.69 2.35 2.16 1.48 0.25 +8.5%
Cash flow 0.23 (0.62) (1.21) 2.26 2.96 2.05 3.53 3.71 2.76 2.81 2.75 +32.0%
Capex (0.92) (0.81) (1.12) (1.20) (2.32) (2.70) (1.78) (2.61) (3.96) (3.08) (1.35) +14.4%
Free cash flow (0.69) (1.43) (2.32) 1.06 0.64 (0.65) 1.75 1.10 (1.19) (0.27) 1.40 (9.8%)
Book value 3.29 4.15 6.52 7.00 6.60 6.37 6.96 9.03 9.91 11.15 10.81 +14.5%
Shares, m 321 311 310 294 279 297 309 308 304 299 297 (0.8%)
Valuation, ×
Valuation, × P/E 18.08 16.24 14.78 23.79 27.32 27.86 12.78 10.59 12.52 10.11 45.38 17.4
P/S 0.96 1.11 0.55 0.79 0.72 0.81 0.71 0.81 0.94 0.52 0.40 0.8
P/B 3.90 3.79 1.63 2.38 2.57 3.06 3.12 2.76 2.74 1.35 1.07 2.7
EV/Sales 1.45 1.61 1.02 1.23 1.25 1.60 1.25 1.37 1.51 1.14 0.99 1.3
EV/FCF (28.16) (15.98) (8.59) 24.29 45.74 (59.15) 21.84 37.88 (36.59) (121.20) 20.68 (14.0)
Cash, $m
Cash, $m Operating cash flow 74 (192) (374) 666 825 609 1,090 1,144 840 841 816 +31.0%
Capex (295) (252) (346) (353) (646) (802) (549) (804) (1,203) (922) (401) +13.5%
Free cash flow (221) (445) (720) 313 179 (193) 541 340 (363) (81) 415 (10.5%)
Balance, $m
Balance, $m Working capital 335 319 592 607 164 453 773 256 881 679 480 +8.2%
Net debt 2,093 2,207 2,887 2,707 3,465 5,622 5,103 5,211 5,027 5,310 5,162 +10.9%
Shareholders’ equity 1,057 1,292 2,019 2,058 1,840 1,893 2,150 2,782 3,013 3,337 3,207 +13.6%
Returns, %
Returns, % ROA 5.15 6.34 3.71 2.89 2.21 2.23 5.02 6.72 5.90 3.87 0.63 (1.3) pt
ROIC 8.09 5.86 5.84 7.00 6.17 3.38 7.81 9.18 8.70 5.81 2.77 (2.3) pt
ROE 21.13 25.57 13.36 10.16 8.57 10.93 25.82 29.32 22.71 13.98 2.28 (7.1) pt
People
People Employees 13,000 13,000 18,000 18,000 18,775 25,000 24,000 23,500 23,000 23,000 — +6.5%
Revenue/emp, $m 0.33 0.34 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.29 0.39 0.40 0.38 0.37 — +1.4%
Negative figures in brackets.
estimates

All 10 years →

Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Sep 2026 · fundamentals updated 5 Nov 2026

Graphic Packaging Holding Company vs peers in Packaging & Containers (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier

Company Market cap P/E Fwd P/E Revenue growth (Q) EPS growth (Q) FCF growth (Q) Gross margin (Q) EBIT margin (Q) Compare
REYN Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. $5.2B 16.0× 14.6× +1.40% (above 0%: growing) −27.61% (below 0%: shrinking) −81.25% (below 0%: shrinking) 25.00% 10.38% Compare
SON Sonoco Products Company $5.1B — (loss-making) — (loss-making) −4.20% (below 0%: shrinking) n/m +1.80% (above 0%: growing) 19.85% (31.25%) Compare
SLGN Silgan Holdings Inc. $4.4B 16.8× 12.3× +1.57% (above 0%: growing) −6.38% (below 0%: shrinking) +3.28% (above 0%: growing) 16.11% 9.40% Compare
GEF Greif, Inc. $4.0B 16.1× 23.5× +0.78% (above 0%: growing) n/m −54.85% (below 0%: shrinking) 22.26% 3.18% Compare
GEF.B Greif Inc. $3.7B 13.0× — +3.53% (above 0%: growing) +86.36% (above 0%: growing) −82.57% (below 0%: shrinking) 23.39% 9.26% Compare
GPK Graphic Packaging Holding Company $3.4B 45.4× 25.5× +0.09% (above 0%: growing) −84.56% (below 0%: shrinking) +565.00% (above 0%: growing) 14.01% 4.61%
AMBP Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. $2.9B 52.8× 37.0× +18.63% (above 0%: growing) +75.00% (above 0%: growing) +3.82% (above 0%: growing) 11.57% 6.73% Compare
TRS TriMas Corporation $1.4B 1.6× — (loss-making) +1.65% (above 0%: growing) −9.76% (below 0%: shrinking) −451.48% (below 0%: shrinking) 20.24% 6.22% Compare
MYE Myers Industries, Inc. $1.0B 35.7× 35.2× +8.12% (above 0%: growing) n/m −48.52% (below 0%: shrinking) 27.30% 8.66% Compare
Median of peers $3.9B 16.1× 23.5× +1.61% −6.38% −51.68% 21.25% 7.69%

All 23 Packaging & Containers stocks →

Pay and ownership Proxy statement filed 28 April 2026

Chief executive’s pay

Year Total pay Actually paid $100 invested
2025 9.10m (6.31m) 96.66
2024 9.41m 17.90m 177.28
2023 11.94m 19.42m 158.66
2022 11.64m 19.75m 140.89
2021 7.31m 11.86m 121.60
2020 8.01m 10.06m 103.95
Total pay is as the Summary Compensation Table states it; actually paid revalues the year’s share awards at its end, as the SEC’s pay-versus-performance rule asks. $100 invested is what $100 in the company’s shares at the start of the earliest year shown was worth at each year’s end. Read the proxy statement

Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) Latest News

4 Nov

Impact 3 · · GuruFocus.com
Impact 3 · · packaging-gateway.com

3 Nov

Impact 3 · · MarketBeat transcript
Impact 3 · · The Motley Fool transcript
Impact 3 · · packagingdive.com
Impact 3 · · StockStory
Impact 3 · · PR Newswire

29 Oct

Impact 3 · · Trefis

27 Oct

Impact 3 · · packagingdive.com
Impact 3 · · Zacks

14 Oct

Impact 3 · · Simply Wall St.

29 Sep

Impact 3 · · packaging-gateway.com

28 Sep

Impact 3 · · PR Newswire

22 Sep

Impact 3 ·

1 Sep

Impact 3 ·

19 Aug

Impact 3 ·

13 Aug

Impact 3 ·

11 Aug

Impact 3 · · The Motley Fool transcript

5 Aug

Impact 4 · · packaging-gateway.com
Impact 3 · · MarketBeat transcript

4 Aug

Impact 4 · · InvestorsHub
Impact 3 · · Moby transcript
Impact 3 · transcript
Impact 3 ·

3 Aug

Impact 4 ·

18 Jul

Impact 4 ·
Impact 3 ·

14 Jul

Impact 3 · · packaging-gateway.com

13 Jul

Impact 4 ·

11 Jun

Impact 3 ·

GPK metrics, ten years each

stockrow.com/GPK · Data as of Nov 5, 2026 · For information only; not investment advice. · © 2026 stockrow.com