Luxembourg court halts Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. move to sell metal packaging unit. Court block prevents major divestiture and directly disrupts core strategic plans.
| Nov 25 | Feb 26 | May 26 | Aug 26 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| total | individual payouts | |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2027 | ‡‡‡ |
|
| 2026 | 0.40 |
—
—
—
|
| 2025 | 0.40 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2024 | 0.40 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 0.40 |
—
—
—
—
|
| 2022 | 0.40 |
—
—
—
|
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 443.00 | 610.00 | 522.00 | 189.00 |
| Receivables | 322.00 | 367.00 | 501.00 | 788.00 |
| Inventory | 469.00 | 382.00 | 509.00 | 584.00 |
| Other | 271.00 | 271.00 | 308.00 | 338.00 |
| 1,505.00 | 1,630.00 | 1,840.00 | 1,899.00 |
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Q'26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payables | 1,317.00 | 1,250.00 | 1,539.00 | 1,575.00 |
| ST’ Debt | 94.00 | 105.00 | 118.00 | 131.00 |
| Other | 69.00 | 46.00 | 27.00 | 52.00 |
| 1,522.00 | 1,448.00 | 1,729.00 | 1,795.00 |
| 10y | 5y | 3y | |
| Sales | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Cash Flow | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
| Earnings | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Book Value | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | 1,504.00 | 1,713.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | 1,268.00 | 1,455.00 | 1,428.00 | 1,346.00 |
5,497.00
|
| ’24 | 1,141.00 | 1,259.00 | 1,313.00 | 1,195.00 |
4,908.00
|
| ’23 | 1,131.00 | 1,255.00 | 1,294.00 | 1,132.00 |
4,812.00
|
| ’22 | 1,137.00 | 1,303.00 | 1,173.00 | 1,076.00 |
4,689.00
|
| ’21 | — | 991.00 | 1,038.00 | 2,026.00 |
4,055.00
|
| ’20 | — | — | 899.00 | — |
3,451.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (346.00) | 292.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (310.00) | 210.00 | 181.00 | 368.00 |
449.00
|
| ’24 | (338.00) | 234.00 | 169.00 | 385.00 |
450.00
|
| ’23 | (257.00) | 223.00 | 212.00 | 438.00 |
616.00
|
| ’22 | (194.00) | 55.00 | 61.00 | 283.00 |
205.00
|
| ’21 | (0.57) | 60.57 | 138.00 | 260.00 |
458.00
|
| ’20 | — | — | 194.00 | (194.61) |
334.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (405.00) | 256.00 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (349.00) | 168.00 | 131.00 | 315.00 |
265.00
|
| ’24 | (400.00) | 198.00 | 135.00 | 338.00 |
271.00
|
| ’23 | (383.00) | 127.00 | 130.00 | 364.00 |
238.00
|
| ’22 | (311.00) | (114.00) | (66.00) | 101.00 |
(390.00)
|
| ’21 | (0.57) | (228.43) | (1.00) | 2.00 |
(228.00)
|
| ’20 | — | — | 17.00 | (17.61) |
66.00
|
| Mar | Jun | Sep | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ’26 | (0.01) | 0.06 | — | — |
—
|
| ’25 | (0.02) | 0.00 | 0.04 | (0.03) |
(0.02)
|
| ’24 | (0.03) | (0.01) | 0.02 | (0.03) |
(0.05)
|
| ’23 | (0.01) | (0.03) | 0.02 | (0.10) |
(0.12)
|
| ’22 | 0.09 | 0.17 | 0.10 | 0.02 |
0.38
|
| ’21 | 0.03 | (0.15) | (0.32) | 0.03 |
(0.39)
|
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡ | 3.91 | 2.57 | 2.94 | 2.50 | — | — | — |
Low Price
|
| — | — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 9.80 | 5.90 | 4.26 | 4.78 | — | — | — |
High Price
|
| — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6,300 | 6,400 | 6,300 | 6,500 | — | — | — |
Employees
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.74 | 0.75 | 0.78 | 0.85 | — | — | — |
Revenue/Emp
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4,689.00 | 4,812.00 | 4,908.00 | 5,497.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 11.22% | 9.85% | 12.84% | 12.39% | — | — | — |
Gross Margin
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 256.00 | (71.00) | 10.00 | 4.00 | — | — | — |
EBT
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 5.46% | (1.48%) | 0.20% | 0.07% | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EBT Margin
|
| — | ‡‡‡ | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 237.00 | 76.00 | 202.00 | 244.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Net Income
|
| — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 359.00 | 418.00 | 449.00 | 463.00 | — | — | — |
Depreciation
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 7.80 | 8.05 | 8.21 | 9.20 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Revenue/Sh
|
| — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.38 | (0.12) | (0.05) | (0.02) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Earnings/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | 0.34 | 1.03 | 0.75 | 0.75 | ‡‡‡ | — | — |
Cash Flow/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.99) | (0.63) | (0.30) | (0.31) | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Capex/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (0.65) | 0.40 | 0.45 | 0.44 | — | — | — |
Free CF/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.76 | 0.18 | (0.23) | (1.13) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
Book Value/Sh
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 601.00 | 597.60 | 597.70 | 597.70 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ |
Shares
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | 13.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ |
PE Ratio
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 0.64 | 0.48 | 0.37 | 0.45 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PS Ratio
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 6.62 | 21.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
PB Ratio
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 1.29 | 1.16 | 1.04 | 1.15 | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
EV/Sales
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (15.96) | 22.41 | 21.12 | 28.46 | — | — | — |
EV/FCF
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 205.00 | 616.00 | 450.00 | 449.00 | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡ |
Op' Cash Flow
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (595.00) | (378.00) | (179.00) | (184.00) | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — |
Capex
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | (390.00) | 238.00 | 271.00 | 265.00 | ‡‡‡‡‡ | — | — |
FCF
|
| — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 444.00 | (17.00) | 182.00 | 111.00 | — | — | — |
Working Cap'
|
| — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,592.00 | 3,734.00 | 3,902.00 | 4,419.00 | — | — | — |
Total Debt
|
| — | — | — | — | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3,037.00 | 3,291.00 | 3,292.00 | 3,897.00 | — | — | — |
Net Debt
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 455.00 | 106.00 | (136.00) | (675.00) | — | — | — |
Sh' Equity
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 4.04% | (1.28%) | (0.49%) | (0.20%) | — | — | — |
ROA
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 3.15% | 1.40% | 4.00% | 4.73% | — | — | — |
ROIC
|
| — | — | — | ‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | ‡‡‡‡‡ | 61.00% | (26.38%) | 180.00% | 2.71% | — | — | — |
ROE
|
Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) rides the wave of a booming sustainable packaging market, with revenue surging 47% since 2019 to $4.91 billion in 2024 on an 8% CAGR, fueled by post-pandemic beverage can demand and eco-friendly tailwinds like plastic bans. Employee productivity shines, up 11% per head, positioning AMBP as a resilient player in aluminum cans—95% recyclable and dominating craft beer and RTD segments. Yet, profitability swings wildly, with gross margins rebounding to 12.8% in 2024 after aluminum price shocks, while sky-high debt at $3.9 billion (12x net income) and negative equity cast long shadows in a high-rate world.
Cash flow offers hope, turning solidly positive at $271 million in free cash flow, supporting dividends amid capex cuts. Stock has cratered 65% from 2021 peaks, trading at a deep 0.37x PS discount to peers, with analysts eyeing modest EPS recovery to $0.11 by 2027. Insider silence and neutral targets reflect caution, but macro boosts like reshoring subsidies could spark deleveraging.
For patient investors, AMBP weaves a classic turnaround tale: durable top-line growth meets leverage risks, priced for execution but ripe for 20-30% upside if margins stabilize and FCF doubles. Dive into the full analysis for the catalysts ahead.
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