Friday 6 November 2026
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Federal Signal Corporation
FSS Industrials Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Federal Signal Corporation’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended December 2025) was $2.2 billion, up 17.1% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +18.1%
- EPS
- +16.5%
- Free cash flow
- +47.9%
- Total debt
- +97.1%
Quarter to September 2026, against a year earlier
112.23
5.70
−4.83%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to December
| Ten-year view | Analyst estimates Powerpack | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | TTM Sep ’26 | Trend | 10 yrs | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e | Next 3/yr |
| Income, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 708 | 899 | 1,090 | 1,221 | 1,131 | 1,213 | 1,435 | 1,723 | 1,862 | 2,181 | 2,548 | +13.3% | 2,628 | 2,793 | 3,011 | +11.4% | |
| Gross margin, % | 25.91 | 24.62 | 25.89 | 26.43 | 25.96 | 23.80 | 24.04 | 26.13 | 28.63 | 28.95 | 29.10 | +3.0 pt | ||||||
| EBT | 57 | 61 | 112 | 139 | 125 | 118 | 151 | 203 | 264 | 325 | 387 | +21.4% | ||||||
| EBT margin, % | 8.02 | 6.79 | 10.24 | 11.35 | 11.02 | 9.69 | 10.52 | 11.78 | 14.18 | 14.88 | 15.20 | +6.9 pt | ||||||
| Net income | 44 | 62 | 94 | 109 | 96 | 101 | 120 | 157 | 216 | 247 | 297 | +21.2% | ||||||
| Per share, $ | ||||||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 11.72 | 15.05 | 18.19 | 20.29 | 18.75 | 19.95 | 23.72 | 28.38 | 30.57 | 35.86 | 41.78 | +13.2% | |||||
| Earnings | 0.72 | 1.03 | 1.57 | 1.80 | 1.59 | 1.65 | 1.99 | 2.59 | 3.55 | 4.06 | 4.87 | +21.2% | ||||||
| Cash flow | 0.41 | 1.22 | 1.55 | 1.71 | 2.26 | 1.67 | 1.19 | 3.20 | 3.80 | 4.19 | 6.60 | +29.5% | ||||||
| Capex | (0.10) | (0.13) | (0.24) | (0.59) | (0.49) | (0.62) | (0.88) | (0.50) | (0.67) | (0.45) | (0.62) | +18.2% | ||||||
| Free cash flow | 0.31 | 1.09 | 1.31 | 1.12 | 1.77 | 1.06 | 0.31 | 2.70 | 3.13 | 3.74 | 5.99 | +32.0% | ||||||
| Book value | 6.52 | 7.66 | 8.85 | 10.66 | 11.64 | 12.89 | 14.23 | 16.51 | 19.48 | 22.73 | 25.88 | +14.9% | ||||||
| Shares, m | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 61 | 61 | 61 | 61 | 61 | 61 | +0.1% | ||||||
| Valuation, × | ||||||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 22.04 | 19.34 | 12.68 | 17.92 | 20.73 | 26.11 | 23.37 | 29.18 | 26.03 | 26.75 | 23.02 | 22.4 | |||||
| P/S | 1.35 | 1.32 | 1.09 | 1.59 | 1.77 | 2.17 | 1.96 | 2.65 | 3.02 | 3.03 | 2.69 | 2.0 | ||||||
| P/B | 2.43 | 2.60 | 2.25 | 3.03 | 2.85 | 3.36 | 3.27 | 4.56 | 4.74 | 4.78 | 4.34 | 3.4 | ||||||
| EV/Sales | 1.37 | 1.59 | 1.25 | 1.74 | 1.88 | 2.37 | 2.18 | 2.79 | 3.09 | 3.26 | 2.82 | 2.2 | ||||||
| EV/FCF | 52.25 | 22.06 | 17.34 | 31.47 | 19.99 | 44.68 | 166.42 | 29.30 | 30.20 | 31.28 | 19.70 | 44.5 | ||||||
| Cash, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | 25 | 73 | 93 | 103 | 136 | 102 | 72 | 194 | 231 | 255 | 403 | +29.6% | |||||
| Capex | (6) | (8) | (14) | (35) | (30) | (37) | (53) | (30) | (41) | (28) | (38) | +18.3% | ||||||
| Free cash flow | 19 | 65 | 79 | 68 | 107 | 64 | 19 | 164 | 191 | 227 | 365 | +32.1% | ||||||
| Balance, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | 175 | 187 | 170 | 201 | 257 | 261 | 351 | 374 | 401 | 571 | 573 | +14.1% | |||||
| Net debt | 13 | 240 | 173 | 189 | 128 | 242 | 316 | 238 | 133 | 501 | 347 | +49.7% | ||||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 394 | 457 | 530 | 642 | 702 | 784 | 861 | 1,002 | 1,186 | 1,382 | 1,579 | +15.0% | ||||||
| Returns, % | ||||||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 6.69 | 7.53 | 9.32 | 9.91 | 8.10 | 7.81 | 8.33 | 10.01 | 12.78 | 11.86 | 13.52 | +5.2 pt | |||||
| ROIC | 9.33 | 6.59 | 10.80 | 11.07 | 9.89 | 7.96 | 8.54 | 11.32 | 13.34 | 11.31 | 13.40 | +2.0 pt | ||||||
| ROE | 10.95 | 14.47 | 19.04 | 18.52 | 14.32 | 13.54 | 14.64 | 16.90 | 19.77 | 19.20 | 20.47 | +8.3 pt | ||||||
| People | ||||||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | 2,200 | 3,100 | 3,300 | 3,600 | 3,500 | 3,900 | 4,100 | 4,500 | 4,700 | 5,800 | — | +11.4% | |||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | 0.32 | 0.29 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.38 | — | +1.7% | ||||||
Negative figures in brackets.
estimates
Fiscal years to Dec 2025 · latest quarter Sep 2026 · fundamentals updated 2 Nov 2026
Business profile
Where the money comes from and where it goes Fiscal 2025
| Environmental Solutions | 1,838 | 84.27% |
|---|---|---|
| Safety and Security Systems | 343 | 15.73% |
| Gross margin | 28.95% | |
| Operating margin | 15.63% | |
| Pre-tax margin | 14.88% |
Federal Signal Corporation vs peers in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PCAR PACCAR Inc. | $55.0B | 19.9× | 17.3× | +18.96% (above 0%: growing) | +43.75% (above 0%: growing) | −47.92% (below 0%: shrinking) | 20.48% | 14.88% | Compare |
| CNH CNH Industrial N.V. | $13.9B | 45.1× | 27.6× | +1.95% (above 0%: growing) | −35.29% (below 0%: shrinking) | −124.62% (below 0%: shrinking) | 29.29% | 13.66% | Compare |
| OSK Oshkosh Corporation | $8.3B | 17.2× | 16.6× | +5.69% (above 0%: growing) | −26.88% (below 0%: shrinking) | −35.86% (below 0%: shrinking) | 15.49% | 6.94% | Compare |
| AGCO AGCO Corporation | $7.6B | 28.6× | 23.3× | −8.63% (below 0%: shrinking) | −82.43% (below 0%: shrinking) | −1,351.85% (below 0%: shrinking) | 24.99% | 5.13% | Compare |
| FSS Federal Signal Corporation | $6.8B | 23.0× | 21.8× | +18.11% (above 0%: growing) | +16.51% (above 0%: growing) | +47.87% (above 0%: growing) | 28.86% | 16.99% | |
| TEX Terex Corporation | $6.1B | 27.3× | 27.6× | +58.40% (above 0%: growing) | +1.64% (above 0%: growing) | +61.54% (above 0%: growing) | 19.80% | 8.33% | Compare |
| BLBD Blue Bird Corporation | $1.9B | 7.0× | 6.4× | +29.94% (above 0%: growing) | +366.38% (above 0%: growing) | −58.60% (below 0%: shrinking) | 19.99% | 12.12% | Compare |
| ALG Alamo Group, Inc. | $1.7B | 21.2× | 14.7× | −4.02% (below 0%: shrinking) | −92.01% (below 0%: shrinking) | +24.63% (above 0%: growing) | 18.88% | 0.85% | Compare |
| LNN Lindsay Corporation | $1.1B | 20.0× | 20.6× | +5.21% (above 0%: growing) | +11.00% (above 0%: growing) | −20.40% (below 0%: shrinking) | 26.92% | 9.77% | Compare |
| Median of peers | $6.9B | 20.6× | 19.0× | +5.45% | −12.62% | −41.89% | 20.24% | 9.05% |
From the latest earnings call
- CEO Jennifer Sherman said third-quarter orders rose across several Environmental Solutions product lines, while aftermarket growth reflected demand for parts, used equipment and rentals.
- Sherman said Federal Signal narrowed its full-year sales outlook primarily because of expected third-party refuse-truck delivery delays, while raising its adjusted earnings outlook.
Largest institutional holders 13F, quarter to 30 June 2026
Held by institutions
101.84%
Held by the ten largest
49.20%
| Holder | Shares | Stake | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| BlackRock | 9.62m | 15.76% | +554.38k |
| Vanguard | 6.68m | 10.95% | −203.28k |
| State Street | 2.45m | 4.01% | +139.39k |
| Capital Group | 2.43m | 3.98% | −198.71k |
| Geode Capital Management | 1.95m | 3.20% | +155.82k |
| Fidelity (FMR) | 1.49m | 2.44% | −154.69k |
| Neuberger Berman | 1.44m | 2.36% | +47.70k |
| T. Rowe Price | 1.38m | 2.26% | +151.30k |
| WASATCH ADVISORS LP | 1.37m | 2.24% | −141.17k |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors | 1.23m | 2.01% | +18.54k |
13F filings for the quarter to 30 June 2026: long positions in US-listed shares reported by managers with $100m or more, ~45 days after the quarter.
Pay and ownership Proxy statement filed 6 March 2026
Chief executive’s pay
| Year | Total pay | Actually paid | $100 invested |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8.42m | 14.80m | 339,000,000.00 |
| 2024 | 7.58m | 15.67m | 299,000,000.00 |
| 2023 | 6.87m | 15.04m | 247,000,000.00 |
| 2022 | 5.65m | 7.49m | 148,000,000.00 |
| 2021 | 4.67m | 7.32m | 137,000,000.00 |
Ownership
Directors and executive officers, together
3.30%
BlackRock, Inc.
14.20%
The Vanguard Group
11.00%
Total pay is as the Summary Compensation Table states it; actually paid revalues the year’s share awards
at its end, as the SEC’s pay-versus-performance rule asks. $100 invested is what $100 in the company’s
shares at the start of the earliest year shown was worth at each year’s end.
Ownership is the proxy’s own table: the directors and officers as a group, and every holder of 5% or more.
Read the proxy statement
Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) Latest News
31 Oct
29 Oct
28 Oct
1 Aug
31 Jul
30 Jul
8 Jul
FSS metrics, ten years each
- Revenue
- Net income
- EPS (diluted)
- EBITDA
- Free cash flow
- Operating cash flow
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
- Free cash flow margin
- P/E ratio
- P/S ratio
- P/B ratio
- Price to free cash flow
- EV/EBITDA
- EV/Sales
- EV/FCF
- Return on equity
- Return on assets
- Return on invested capital
- Debt to equity
- Current ratio
- Total debt
- Shares outstanding
- Book value per share
- Revenue growth
- Piotroski F-score
- Altman Z-score
- Beneish M-score
Federal Signal designs, manufactures and supplies equipment used to maintain infrastructure and protect people and property. Founded in 1901 and headquartered in Oak Brook, the company is led by President and Chief Executive Officer Jennifer L. Sherman.
Its Environmental Solutions Group makes vehicles and equipment for jobs such as cleaning sewers, sweeping streets, collecting refuse and marking roads. Its vacuum- and hydro-excavation trucks use suction and water to expose underground pipes and utility lines. Other products include dump truck bodies, trailers, industrial vacuum loaders and specialty vehicles that support metal extraction.