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Brinker International, Inc. EAT

Consumer Cyclical — Restaurants
Dividend Champion (5y) Cash Flow Champion (3y)
Growth Flags show if company had growth for consecutive years

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Insider Decisions

Total sells
59.25
in millions of $
Nov 25 Feb 26 May 26 Aug 26
Buy — — — — — — — — — — — —
Sell — 2 — 2 7 — — 2 3 — 11 3
Insider Ownership
5.41%

Capital & Financial Ratios

Market Cap
8,330.00
Revenue
5,807.40
Net Income
487.00
Free Cash Flow
557.90
Net Debt
309.70
Current Ratio
0.45
Debt/Equity
0.95
P/E ratio
17.58
P/S ratio
1.48
P/B ratio
19.33
Past 5Y EPS Growth
(3.02%)
This Y EPS Growth
23.37%
Next Y EPS Growth
10.12%
Next 5Y EPS Growth
15.63%
in millions of $

Dividends

Payout Ratio
0.00
Annual Dividend Rate
—
Annual Dividend Yield
—
total individual payouts
2025 ‡‡‡
2024 ‡‡‡
2023 ‡‡‡
2022 ‡‡‡‡
2021 ‡‡‡‡
2020 0.38
—
2019 1.52
—
—
—
—
2018 1.52
—
—
—
—
2017 1.44
—
—
—
—
2016 1.32
—
—
—
—
predictions in italic, special payouts not included in total or ratios

Assets vs Liabilities

2023 2024 2025 2026
Cash 15.10 64.60 18.90 110.00
Receivables 60.90 60.60 73.40 82.60
Inventory 34.50 34.50 35.20 34.50
Other 55.60 53.80 54.90 56.80
183.30 234.10 207.00 307.70
2023 2024 2025 2026
Payables 125.70 160.60 168.50 168.90
ST’ Debt 123.00 — — —
Other 268.00 — — —
535.90 622.30 675.60 676.70
in millions of $

Compound Annual Growth

10y 5y 3y
Sales ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
Cash Flow ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Book Value ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡

Revenue

Sep Dec Mar Jun Year
’26 — — — —
—
’26 1,349.20 1,452.20 1,470.20 1,535.80
5,807.40
’25 1,139.00 1,358.20 1,425.10 1,461.90
5,384.20
’24 1,012.50 1,074.10 1,120.30 1,208.20
4,415.10
’23 955.50 1,019.00 1,083.20 1,075.50
4,133.20
’22 876.40 925.80 980.40 1,021.50
3,804.10
’21 740.10 760.70 828.40 1,008.60
3,337.80
in millions of $

Operating Cash Flow

Sep Dec Mar Jun Year
’26 — — — —
—
’26 120.80 218.90 232.10 217.60
789.40
’25 62.80 218.20 212.00 186.00
679.00
’24 59.10 91.20 130.10 141.50
421.90
’23 24.60 43.40 132.80 55.50
256.30
’22 40.20 67.20 104.20 40.60
252.20
’21 82.80 47.20 138.60 101.10
369.70
in millions of $

Free Cash Flow

Sep Dec Mar Jun Year
’26 — — — —
—
’26 62.40 155.20 181.00 159.30
557.90
’25 6.30 168.90 132.40 107.10
414.70
’24 12.20 49.30 78.90 87.30
227.70
’23 (22.10) (5.20) 91.50 12.70
76.90
’22 2.90 30.40 69.40 (0.70)
102.00
’21 69.20 25.00 113.60 69.50
277.30
in millions of $

EPS

Sep Dec Mar Jun Year
’26 — — — —
—
’26 2.17 2.86 2.87 2.99
10.87
’25 0.84 2.61 2.56 2.30
8.32
’24 0.16 0.94 1.08 1.24
3.40
’23 (0.69) 0.62 1.12 1.19
2.28
’22 0.28 0.60 0.81 0.90
2.58
’21 0.23 0.26 0.73 1.58
2.83

Target Price Range

High
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡‡
Average
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡‡
Low
‡‡‡‡‡
‡‡‡‡‡

Recommendation Rating

1.7
1
Buy
2
3
Hold
4
5
Sell
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 21.47 28.23 37.25 100.30 124.96 — — —
Low Price
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 44.03 44.97 137.86 192.22 254.99 — — —
High Price
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 62,025 64,323 68,852 83,840 85,003 — — —
Employees
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 — — —
Revenue/Emp
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 3,804.10 4,133.20 4,415.10 5,384.20 5,807.40 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 13.12% 12.10% 14.21% 18.25% 18.65% — — —
Gross Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 115.20 90.80 164.90 460.00 580.90 — — —
EBT
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 3.03% 2.20% 3.73% 8.54% 10.00% ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
EBT Margin
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 117.60 102.60 155.30 383.10 487.00 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Net Income
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 164.40 168.50 170.80 206.60 218.70 — — —
Depreciation
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 84.91 93.72 99.44 120.72 133.20 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Revenue/Sh
‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ 2.62 2.33 3.49 8.60 11.16 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Earnings/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 5.63 5.81 9.50 15.22 18.11 — — —
Cash Flow/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (3.35) (4.07) (4.37) (5.93) (5.31) ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Capex/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 2.28 1.74 5.13 9.30 12.80 — — —
Free CF/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (5.98) (3.27) 0.89 8.32 10.18 — — —
Book Value/Sh
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 44.80 44.10 44.40 44.60 43.60 ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡
Shares
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 8.34 15.84 20.79 20.92 15.01 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ —
PE Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.26 0.39 0.73 1.49 1.26 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PS Ratio
‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ 0.00 0.00 81.76 21.68 16.51 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
PB Ratio
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 0.55 0.64 0.92 1.59 1.34 ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡
EV/Sales
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 20.54 34.25 17.86 20.67 13.90 — — —
EV/FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 252.20 256.30 421.90 679.00 789.40 ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡ ‡‡‡
Op' Cash Flow
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (150.20) (179.40) (194.20) (264.30) (231.50) ‡‡‡‡‡ — —
Capex
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 102.00 76.90 227.70 414.70 557.90 — — —
FCF
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (356.80) (352.60) (388.20) (468.60) (369.00) — — —
Working Cap'
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1,122.10 1,035.20 786.30 426.00 419.70 — — —
Total Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 1,108.60 1,020.10 721.70 407.10 309.70 — — —
Net Debt
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (268.10) (144.30) 39.40 370.90 443.70 — — —
Sh' Equity
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 4.94% 4.13% 6.11% 14.53% 17.73% — — —
ROA
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ 11.86% 10.30% 18.85% 41.13% 51.43% — — —
ROIC
‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ ‡‡‡‡‡ (41.16%) (49.76%) (296.09%) 186.74% 119.57% — — —
ROE
predictions in italic, sparklines do not include predictions

Analyst Commentary (Summary)

Brinker International (EAT), parent of Chili’s and Maggiano’s, has engineered a stunning post-COVID turnaround, with revenue surging toward $5.4 billion in fiscal 2025 from pandemic lows of $3.1 billion in 2020. Fueled by robust traffic recovery at Chili’s, menu pricing power, digital sales, and operational efficiencies like supply chain optimizations, the company has expanded gross margins to a projected 18.3% and EBT margins to 8.5%, driving EPS growth to $8.60 in 2025 and $10.82 in 2026. Debt has been slashed 48% to $786 million, FCF per share hit $9.30, and stock highs have rocketed from $59.70 in 2020 to a projected $192.22 in 2025, reflecting investor bets on resilient consumer spending amid moderating inflation.

Yet, challenges persist: persistent insider selling totaling over $34 million with no buys, lingering negative working capital, and historical equity volatility temper the enthusiasm. Valuation remains attractive at a forward P/E of 21 and EV/FCF of 17.9, trading at a premium to 2022 lows but reasonable versus peers given 20%+ EPS CAGR through 2028.

Analysts forecast 19% upside with revenue reaching $5.81 billion in 2026, bolstered by international expansion, AI-driven efficiencies, and casual dining’s edge over fast-casual amid “revenge spending.” While macro risks like tariffs or recession loom, Brinker’s momentum positions it as a high-conviction growth play—read the full analysis for deeper historical parallels and risk assessment.

Read full commentary →

Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) Latest News

News by impact score

Fine-tune

18 Sep

4 , 10:39 AM
Brinker International sets FY29 targets and plans faster unit expansion. Long-term targets and accelerated expansion plans signal major strategic moves likely to shift growth trajectory and investor sentiment.

4 www.restaurantdive.com, 5:24 AM
Chili’s is prepared to open new stores as Brinker International executes expansion plans to capitalize on market demand and drive future growth. New store openings represent major strategic expansion that can significantly boost revenue and reshape company trajectory.

3 , 12:00 PM
UBS states Brinker's unit expansions and remodels could sustain sales growth. Unit expansions and remodels are positioned to support ongoing sales momentum at Brinker.

17 Sep

4 , 7:45 AM
Brinker International outlines growth strategy and long-term targets at investor day. Growth strategy and long-term targets outlined by Brinker International likely affect its future performance and investor sentiment.

3 www.fool.com, 10:41 AM
Brinker International targets $400 million in share repurchases as part of its 2026 capital allocation strategy. Share repurchase targets of this size can lift EPS and near-term investor sentiment without shifting core operations.

8 Sep

3 , 10:55 AM
Brinker International expands margins despite inflation, prompting questions about further upside potential for the company. Margin expansion amid inflation signals operational strength that may moderately support EAT's financial results and investor sentiment.

3 Sep

3 , 9:05 AM
Rising analyst optimism on Brinker International earnings and growth is expected to boost EAT investor sentiment and stock performance. Analyst optimism on earnings and growth produces moderately noticeable effects on EAT market trajectory and investor views.

2 Sep

4 , 10:32 AM
Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) expanded restaurant margins to a decade high, pointing to further potential upside. Margin expansion to decade highs signals strong operational gains likely to lift profitability and shift investor sentiment.

31 Aug

3 , 12:14 PM
Brinker International has two factors supporting investor attention and one cautionary element on its performance outlook. Two supportive reasons and one caution point to moderate effects on EAT trajectory without major shifts.

28 Aug

3 , 6:00 PM
Brinker International (EAT) is positioned as a potential restaurant turnaround candidate with prospects to reshape investor interest and stock trajectory. Turnaround speculation around EAT may moderately shift investor sentiment and near-term performance without guaranteeing fundamental change.

19 Aug

3 transcript www.fool.com, 9:43 AM
Brinker International Inc. released its Q4 2026 earnings call transcript covering quarterly results, performance metrics, and forward guidance. Earnings call delivers standard quarterly updates that may shift short-term sentiment without major strategic shifts.

18 Aug

3 , 12:20 PM
Earnings estimates for Brinker International (EAT) are rising, pointing to a potential buy opportunity in the stock. Rising earnings estimates indicate improved outlook that may lift near-term investor sentiment and valuation without altering long-term company trajectory.

3 www.fool.com, 5:25 AM
Brinker International capped five years of growth. Its CEO sold shares into the rally. CEO share sales after capping multi-year growth point to possible valuation concerns affecting stock trajectory.

16 Aug

3 , 4:30 PM
Brinker International seeks expanded role in fast food digital sales, with CEO identifying takeout as primary growth opportunity. Strategic push into digital takeout may shift operations toward new consumer channels but lacks confirmed financial scale.

15 Aug

4 , 1:33 PM
Brinker International achieves Q2 momentum through menu innovation and operational efficiency gains. Menu innovation and operational efficiency gains represent major strategic moves that can significantly alter Brinker International's trajectory and investor sentiment.

14 Aug

3 , 7:17 PM
Brinker International (EAT) shares skyrocketed. Share price surge signals improved short-term market sentiment without altering core operations.

3 , 12:31 PM
Brinker International's EAT stock rose 28.7% over the past month on Chili's momentum, leaving uncertainty about whether the gains can continue. Monthly stock surge tied to Chili's performance signals moderate effects on near-term investor sentiment and brand results.

3 , 12:27 PM
Chili's growth at Brinker International faces rising costs and valuation risks, prompting questions on whether EAT stock qualifies as a buy. Chili's growth is tempered by cost pressures and valuation concerns that may moderately affect EAT's financial outlook.

13 Aug

3 , 10:52 AM
Brinker International's Q4 earnings matched estimates while revenues beat expectations on Chili's growth. Q4 earnings meeting estimates with revenue beat signals moderate positive effect on financial performance and sentiment.

12 Aug

4 , 1:43 PM
Brinker International issues upbeat outlook citing Chili's growth momentum, driving shares higher. Upbeat outlook and Chili's growth momentum indicate major positive shifts in performance and investor sentiment.

4 , 6:45 AM
Brinker International reported fourth quarter and full year fiscal 2026 results while providing fiscal 2027 guidance. Earnings results combined with forward guidance typically trigger major shifts in valuation and investor positioning.

3 , 2:37 PM
Brinker International (EAT) prepares to report quarterly earnings with focus on revenue growth, same-store sales, operating margins, and forward guidance. Earnings releases and previews can moderately move EAT shares via updated financial metrics and outlook.

3 www.marketbeat.com, 2:04 PM
Brinker International released Q4 earnings call highlights covering financial results, operational updates and forward guidance. Q4 earnings highlights supply financial metrics and outlook that moderately influence near-term stock movement and sentiment.

3 transcript app.moby.co, 1:05 PM
Brinker International reported Q4 2026 results in its earnings call, covering revenue, earnings per share, same-store sales trends, and forward guidance for the casual dining segment. Quarterly earnings and guidance updates typically produce moderate short-term stock movement without fundamentally changing long-term trajectory.

3 www.nrn.com, 12:17 PM
Brinker International reports 5% sales growth as Chili’s brand extends its streak to 21 straight quarters of expansion. Ongoing multi-quarter sales gains point to steady operational momentum without signaling major strategic shifts.

3 , 9:30 AM
Brinker International (EAT) released Q4 earnings with analysis of key metrics. Q4 earnings release supplies financial results that influence near-term stock valuation and sentiment.

3 investorshub.advfn.com, 8:02 AM
Brinker International shares declined after missing earnings expectations, despite the company issuing strong guidance for 2027. Earnings miss triggers share price drop while strong 2027 guidance points to sustained operational strength.

9 Aug

3 , 1:10 AM
Brinker International shares rose 5.4% after Chili’s outperformed targets despite rising costs, leaving open whether prior growth expectations still hold. Chili’s outperformance against rising costs produced a noticeable stock gain yet signals no lasting change to company trajectory.

7 Aug

4 , 9:00 AM
Brinker International (EAT) stock rose 58% year-to-date on strong sales, earnings results, and increased institutional ownership. Positive sales and earnings trends plus institutional buying can materially lift valuation and investor confidence.

31 Jul

3 , 8:09 AM
Brinker International (EAT) heads into earnings amid ongoing valuation questions. Valuation questions ahead of earnings may affect short-term market sentiment for EAT.
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