Monday 2 November 2026
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Cerence Inc.
CRNC Technology Software Application
Cerence Inc.’s revenue for fiscal 2025 (year ended September 2025) was $251.8 million, down 24.0% from fiscal 2024.
- Revenue
- +11.8%
- EPS
- +150.0%
- Free cash flow
- +22.2%
- Total debt
- −12.8%
Quarter to June 2026, against a year earlier
8.01
0.08
−0.99%
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Target Price Range
Analyst price targets
Free accountTen years at a glance Fiscal years to September
| Ten-year view | Analyst estimates Powerpack | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Line | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | TTM Jun ’26 | Trend | 10 yrs | 2026e | 2027e | 2028e | Next 3/yr |
| Income, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Income, $m | Revenue | 211 | 245 | 277 | 303 | 331 | 387 | 328 | 294 | 332 | 252 | 309 | +2.0% | 313 | 289 | 299 | +5.9% | |
| Gross margin, % | 67.65 | 72.00 | 70.05 | 67.25 | 67.41 | 73.89 | 70.37 | 67.68 | 73.69 | 72.74 | 78.69 | +5.1 pt | ||||||
| EBT | 47 | 63 | 37 | 11 | (23) | 48 | (199) | (36) | (585) | (9) | 23 | n/m | ||||||
| EBT margin, % | 22.38 | 25.83 | 13.29 | 3.69 | (6.96) | 12.47 | (60.61) | (12.36) | (176.35) | (3.50) | 7.48 | (25.9) pt | ||||||
| Net income | 35 | 47 | 6 | 100 | (18) | 46 | (311) | (56) | (588) | (19) | (15) | n/m | ||||||
| Per share, $ | ||||||||||||||||||
| Per share, $ | Revenue | 5.80 | 6.73 | 7.61 | 8.33 | 9.09 | 10.26 | 8.37 | 7.32 | 7.96 | 5.83 | 6.85 | +0.1% | |||||
| Earnings | 0.96 | 1.30 | 0.16 | 2.76 | (0.50) | 1.22 | (7.93) | (1.40) | (14.12) | (0.43) | (0.36) | n/m | ||||||
| Cash flow | 3.13 | 2.66 | 3.17 | 2.42 | 1.23 | 1.97 | (0.05) | 0.19 | 0.41 | 1.42 | 1.87 | (8.4%) | ||||||
| Capex | 0.00 | (0.13) | (0.18) | (0.12) | (0.52) | (0.32) | (0.45) | (0.13) | (0.12) | (0.33) | (0.13) | n/m | ||||||
| Free cash flow | 3.13 | 2.53 | 2.99 | 2.30 | 0.71 | 1.65 | (0.50) | 0.06 | 0.29 | 1.08 | 1.74 | (11.1%) | ||||||
| Book value | 27.78 | 0.00 | 27.30 | 29.35 | 26.36 | 27.33 | 18.19 | 17.28 | 3.39 | 3.49 | 3.68 | (20.6%) | ||||||
| Shares, m | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 42 | 43 | 45 | +1.9% | ||||||
| Valuation, × | ||||||||||||||||||
| Valuation, × | P/E | 10.54 | 10.54 | 10.54 | 6.26 | 0.00 | 77.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.5 | |||||
| P/S | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.07 | 5.38 | 9.37 | 1.88 | 2.73 | 0.40 | 2.14 | 1.17 | 2.4 | ||||||
| P/B | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.59 | 1.85 | 3.52 | 0.87 | 1.16 | 0.93 | 3.57 | 2.18 | 1.5 | ||||||
| EV/Sales | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.07 | 5.76 | 9.66 | 2.36 | 3.31 | 0.86 | 2.82 | 1.51 | 2.7 | ||||||
| EV/FCF | 5.32 | 5.32 | 5.32 | 7.51 | 73.93 | 60.00 | (39.44) | 410.73 | 23.45 | 15.17 | 5.95 | 56.7 | ||||||
| Cash, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Cash, $m | Operating cash flow | 114 | 97 | 115 | 88 | 45 | 74 | (2) | 7 | 17 | 61 | 85 | (6.7%) | |||||
| Capex | (8) | (5) | (7) | (5) | (19) | (12) | (17) | (5) | (5) | (14) | (6) | +6.3% | ||||||
| Free cash flow | 114 | 92 | 109 | 84 | 26 | 62 | (20) | 2 | 12 | 47 | 79 | (9.4%) | ||||||
| Balance, $m | ||||||||||||||||||
| Balance, $m | Working capital | (23) | (19) | (39) | (37) | 51 | 122 | 80 | 78 | 49 | 90 | 110 | n/m | |||||
| Net debt | — | — | — | — | 125 | 112 | 155 | 172 | 155 | 112 | 46 | (2.2%) | ||||||
| Shareholders’ equity | 1,011 | — | 993 | 1,068 | 960 | 1,032 | 713 | 695 | 141 | 151 | 166 | (19.1%) | ||||||
| Returns, % | ||||||||||||||||||
| Returns, % | ROA | 2.65 | 7.30 | 0.44 | 6.96 | (1.16) | 2.70 | (20.56) | (4.30) | (58.81) | (2.81) | (2.45) | (5.5) pt | |||||
| ROIC | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.32 | 0.63 | 1.29 | 3.31 | (13.27) | (1.96) | (122.45) | (0.54) | 7.95 | (0.5) pt | ||||||
| ROE | 3.48 | 4.71 | 0.59 | 9.73 | (1.81) | 4.61 | (35.63) | (7.99) | (140.69) | (12.83) | (9.56) | (16.3) pt | ||||||
| People | ||||||||||||||||||
| People | Employees | — | — | 1,300 | 1,400 | 1,500 | 1,700 | 1,700 | 1,700 | 1,400 | 1,300 | — | 0.0% | |||||
| Revenue/emp, $m | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.19 | 0.17 | 0.24 | 0.19 | — | n/m | ||||||
Negative figures in brackets.
estimates
Fiscal years to Sep 2025 · latest quarter Jun 2026 · fundamentals updated 25 Oct 2026
Cerence Inc. vs peers in Software Application (Q) = latest quarter vs a year earlier
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | Revenue growth (Q) | EPS growth (Q) | FCF growth (Q) | Gross margin (Q) | EBIT margin (Q) | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTLS Materialise NV | $413.9M | 28.1× | 30.6× | −1.23% (below 0%: shrinking) | −32.25% (below 0%: shrinking) | +264.69% (above 0%: growing) | 57.68% | 1.98% | Compare |
| MFI mF International Limited | $388.9M | — | — | — | — | −38.82% (below 0%: shrinking) | — | — | Compare |
| AIOT PowerFleet, Inc. | $387.9M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | +6.41% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +92.55% (above 0%: growing) | 55.20% | 0.24% | Compare |
| CRNC Cerence Inc. | $365.9M | — (loss-making) | 243× | +11.81% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +22.24% (above 0%: growing) | 76.04% | 2.69% | |
| YB Yuanbao Inc. - Sponsored ADR | $362.5M | 2.3× | — | +37.38% (above 0%: growing) | +14.26% (above 0%: growing) | — | 92.98% | 32.39% | Compare |
| LAW CS Disco, Inc. | $340.2M | — (loss-making) | — (loss-making) | +13.23% (above 0%: growing) | n/m | +57.21% (above 0%: growing) | 74.43% | (21.36%) | Compare |
| HKD AMTD Digital Inc. Sponsored ADR | $327.1M | — | — | — | — | +39.75% (above 0%: growing) | 0.00% | 0.00% | Compare |
| API Agora, Inc. Sponsored ADR | $326.9M | 47.4× | 30.8× | +17.98% (above 0%: growing) | +89.87% (above 0%: growing) | −94.80% (below 0%: shrinking) | 63.67% | (2.36%) | Compare |
| ENRD Einride AB - Sponsored ADR | $316.9M | 6.9× | — | — | −17.66% (below 0%: shrinking) | −28.82% (below 0%: shrinking) | — | 0.00% | Compare |
| Median of peers | $351.4M | 17.5× | — | +13.23% | −1.70% | +39.75% | 60.68% | 0.00% |
Pay and ownership Proxy statement filed 2 January 2026
Ownership
Directors and executive officers, together
1.39%
Blackrock, Inc.
7.34%
The Vanguard Group
6.91%
American Capital Management Inc.
6.62%
Ownership is the proxy’s own table: the directors and officers as a group, and every holder of 5% or more.
Read the proxy statement
Cerence Inc. (CRNC) Latest News
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